After Friday’s Sprint, Guardians Win Marathon to Advance to ALDS

© Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

A day after playing the fastest postseason game since 1999, the Rays and Guardians combined for a game more than twice as long, lasting 15 innings and four hours and 57 minutes. Dominant pitching was the name of the game as both teams were held scoreless until the 15th inning — the longest scoreless postseason game in major league history. The decisive blow came when Oscar Gonzalez blasted a Corey Kluber cutter deep into left-center field for the walk-off win.

Between the two teams, 16 different pitchers combined for 39 strikeouts, eight walks, and 11 hits. They threw 432 pitches, 68% of which were strikes. Just 15 of the 58 balls in play were hard hit. No matter how you slice it, it was simply a masterclass in modern pitching by both teams:

Guardians-Rays Game 2 Pitchers
Player IP H BB K Whiff% CSW%
Cleveland Guardians
Triston McKenzie 6 2 2 8 26% 29%
James Karinchak 1 0 1 0 25% 20%
Trevor Stephan 1 0 0 2 33% 33%
Emmanuel Clase 1 0 0 1 33% 35%
Nick Sandlin 0.2 0 1 1 40% 21%
Eli Morgan 1.1 0 0 2 25% 32%
Enyel De Los Santos 1 1 1 0 17% 23%
Sam Hentges 3 3 0 6 35% 46%
Tampa Bay Rays
Tyler Glasnow 5 2 0 5 42% 35%
Pete Fairbanks 0 0 2 0 0% 27%
Jason Adam 2 1 0 2 31% 33%
Drew Rasmussen 1.2 0 0 2 0% 38%
Garrett Cleavinger 1.1 0 0 4 60% 47%
Shawn Armstrong 1.1 1 0 3 40% 39%
Brooks Raley 1 0 1 2 56% 41%
Corey Kluber 1.2 1 0 1 10% 27%

The first five innings of Game 2 was eerily similar to Game 1. Triston McKenzie and Tyler Glasnow matched each other pitch for pitch, opening the game with a combined 12 strikeouts and just three hits. It was an extremely impressive performance from the Rays starter. After rehabbing from a Tommy John surgery that took place last August, Glasnow returned to the mound ahead of schedule, making two abbreviated starts in September. Helping his team in the playoffs was a motivator for him as he worked to get healthy, and he was fantastic when given the opportunity to help save Tampa Bay’s season. He worked efficiently, limiting hard contact, generating whiffs, and working into the fifth inning on a limited pitch count.

McKenzie was just as brilliant, his six inning effort the culmination of a true breakout season. He turned in a lackluster sophomore effort last year after a tantalizing 2020 debut. This season, he figured out how to command his entire repertoire. McKenzie’s zone rate jumped from 46.8% over his first two years in the big leagues to 51.4% in 2022. That helped him lower his walk rate to 5.9% while seeing just a slight dip in his strikeout rate. Those newfound skills were on display on Saturday afternoon, as he didn’t really face any trouble until the sixth inning. He allowed a pair of two-out baserunners on a walk and a single before squeaking out of the jam with a fly out to end the frame.

In the bottom of the sixth, Pete Fairbanks replaced Glasnow and walked the first two batters he faced before exiting the game with hand discomfort. Jason Adam came in and hit Amed Rosario with his first pitch of the game. With the bases loaded and José Ramírez at the plate, it was the first big scoring opportunity of the game for the Guardians. A journeyman reliever who had accumulated just 0.2 WAR across four big league seasons prior to this year, Adam was transformed into a deadly high-leverage reliever by the Rays development machine. His best weapon is a nasty changeup that really handcuffs left-handed batters; they were limited to just a .176 wOBA on the pitch this year. Ramírez chased three of those pitches out of the zone and was sent down on strikes before Adam got Josh Naylor to hit into a double play to escape the frame:

After that, a cavalcade of relievers marched out of each bullpen, stifling any scoring opportunities. Just two baserunners reached through the final three innings of regulation play and both were erased before they could advance past first base. With the Manfred Man eliminated from postseason play, these two teams would be forced to manufacture a run the old fashioned way. Tampa Bay looked like the more dangerous team in extras; they advanced a runner into scoring position in the 10th, 12th, and 15th innings. On the other side, the Guardians had three baserunners reach after the ninth but none reached second.

With most of their high-leverage options used up, both teams turned to their long relievers. At that point, it felt like a breakthrough was bound to happen. And it almost did in the top of the 15th when the Rays put runners on the corners with just one out. Sam Hentges struck out Francisco Mejía and Jose Siri, both on nasty curveballs.

That brought up Oscar Gonzalez in the bottom half of the inning. Much has been made of the youthful Guardians roster, the youngest in baseball. Gonzalez was one of Cleveland’s key rookie contributors this year, one of six players on the roster who outperformed their pre-season ZiPS projection by more than a win. The 24-year-old made his major league debut in late May after Cleveland had struggled to find consistent production in the outfield. A breakout minor league season in 2021 had put him on the map; he slugged 31 home runs between Double-A and Triple-A that year and made some improvements in his contact rate. His bat-to-ball skills got even better in this year, albeit at the expense of some of his power. But that one standout tool was on display as he launched a Kluber cutter deep into left-center field on the second pitch of the bottom of the 15th inning:

That was the only barreled ball the Guardians hit on Saturday, and at 107.5 mph, it was the hardest hit ball of the game. It flew 410 feet into the chilly afternoon sun and the fans in Cleveland flew into a frenzy as their team advanced. The Guardians will face the New York Yankees in the American League Division Series. Game 1 is Tuesday.





Jake Mailhot is a contributor to FanGraphs. A long-suffering Mariners fan, he also writes about them for Lookout Landing. Follow him on Twitter @jakemailhot.

12 Comments
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Not an expert
1 year ago

FG: “A breakout minor league season in 2021 had put him [Gonzalez] on the map”
FG: also doesn’t rank Gonzalez on 2022 prospect list

Last edited 1 year ago by Not an expert
szakyl
1 year ago
Reply to  Not an expert

To be fair to Eric and Kevin, it would’ve been pretty bullish to rank somebody who hit minor league free agency that off-season.

Last edited 1 year ago by szakyl
Free Clay Zavada
1 year ago
Reply to  szakyl

The point is it’s pretty disingenuous for Jake to say he was put on the map if he couldn’t even make the Fangraphs top 100

Professor Ross Eforp
1 year ago

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/cleveland-guardians-top-48-prospects-2022/

Not even in the Cleveland top 48!

This is not to knock their rankings, but to agree with the point it is seems pretty disingenuous.

I also think it is fair to say that Fangraphs is more than Eric and Kevin (who I think do fantastic work, btw), so maybe some of the emoyees liked him.

The interesting thing is that he got a mention in the previous year’s list, and he raked in AA in 2021.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-49-prospects-cleveland-baseball-team/

Not an expert
1 year ago

Yes this is generally my point. He really wasn’t on the map. The main people who liked him were the more novice fans who saw high batting average and HRs.

I didn’t mean to knock on the prospect list outside of general banter but as we all know there’s no way to really predict the future there.

Last edited 1 year ago by Not an expert
Left of Centerfield
1 year ago

Not ranked in the top 48 NOR mentioned elsewhere in the writeup. Not even under the section titled: One Note Offensive Skill Sets. Which makes little sense coming off a breakout year in which he showed far more power then he had before.