Already Hit Hard by Injuries, the Yankees Lose Cody Bellinger

Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

The Yankees have been limping along since losing Aaron Judge to a stress fracture in his right first rib in early June, and they’ve been without Giancarlo Stanton for even longer due to a right calf strain. Now their lineup has suffered another major blow, as Cody Bellinger sustained a Grade 2 left hamstring strain on Saturday and landed on the injured list, a loss that ought to affect how the Yankees approach the August 3 trade deadline.

The 31-year-old Bellinger injured himself during Saturday’s game against the Phillies. While hustling his way into a double on a two-out eighth-inning hit to left-center field off Jonathan Bowlan, he appeared to slow up a bit before sliding into second. He ended up advancing no further, and when the Yankees took the field for the bottom of the eighth, Max Schuemann replaced him in left field.

Bellinger was spotted doing light agility drills on Sunday, but once it was clear to him that he wouldn’t be ready to return within a few days, he suggested an IL stint made sense because he didn’t want his teammates to play while down a man. “I just feel like I won’t be able to put on the cleats for the next four days, at least,” he said on Sunday. “So being short a man for that long, they’ll get a full roster up here and give the guys as much opportunity as they can.”

Alas, hopes that Bellinger would be out only for the 10-day minimum were dashed when he returned to New York for an MRI and was diagnosed with a Grade 2 strain, which is expected to sideline him for four to six weeks. Roughly speaking, that brackets his return somewhere between August 24 and September 7.

That’s a gut punch for the Yankees. At 61-46, they’re just a game and a half out of first place in the AL East and have a 5.5-game lead for the top Wild Card spot, giving them 98.9% playoff odds, but they’re just 25-23 since Judge last played on May 31, with an offense that has dried up:

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Yankees Offense Before and After Aaron Judge’s Rib Injury
Split G R/G HR BB% K% AVG OBP SLG wRC+
Thru May 31 59 5.17 86 11.6% 22.9% .243 .334 .436 116
Since June 1 48 4.06 66 7.7% 26.3% .223 .286 .392 89

Through the end of May, the Yankees led all American League teams in scoring by 0.51 runs per game, and in wRC+ by nine points. Since then, they rank 12th in scoring and 13th in wRC+.

Now they’re losing one of their top hitters, albeit one whose own production has fallen off along those lines. Bellinger is batting a solid but unspectacular .259/.350/.420 with 11 homers and 10 stolen bases overall, having dropped from a 142 wRC+ through May to an 88 since the start of June. While his overall 119 wRC+ — exactly matching his career mark — ranks only fourth on the team behind Ben Rice (158), Judge (150), and Paul Goldschmidt (121), Judge has already missed nearly two months and Goldschmidt is a platoon player who has been overexposed against righties due to the team’s injuries; he has a 63 wRC+ in 166 plate appearances against them, compared to a 193 wRC+ in 135 plate appearances against lefties. What’s more, thanks to his outstanding defense in left field (8 FRV and a whopping 19 DRS), Bellinger’s 3.1 WAR ranks second on the team behind Rice (3.2).

As reported on July 17, a recent scan showed that Judge has not healed enough to resume baseball activities yet, thus leaving the Yankees without two All-Star outfielders until at least late August. In the three games they’ve played since Bellinger went down — part of a stretch of five consecutive games facing left-handed starters — they’ve started the righty-swinging Schuemann in left and the switch-hitting Jasson Domínguez in right, with the lefty-swinging Trent Grisham starting two out of three in center. Lefty Spencer Jones, who was called up from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre to take Bellinger’s roster spot, took the other start in center and twice pinch-hit for Schuemann before taking over in left.

Offensively, that group’s current performance leaves something to be desired. After setting career bests with 34 homers, a 129 wRC+, and 3.2 WAR in 2025, the 29-year-old Grisham is hitting for a 101 wRC+ (.216/.319/.389) with 11 homers and 0.8 WAR. Unlike last season, when he absolutely raked against righties, he’s shown a minimal platoon split, with a 98 wRC+ against lefties and 102 against righties. That said, it’s worth noting that the Yankees have protected him to some degree, starting him in just 19 of the team’s 41 games against southpaws, with Bellinger covering 14 starts, Jones five, and Schuemann three.

The 23-year-old Domínguez, who spent most of the first two and a half months of the season at Triple-A, has hit a disappointing .239/.276/.398 (87 wRC+) with six homers and 0.2 WAR in 186 plate appearances, with his walk rate plummeting from 9.6% last year to 3.8% this year while his chase rate has spiked from 30.9% to 36.8%. Where he posted a 63 wRC+ against lefties and a 116 wRC+ against righties last year, he’s reversed that to a 112 wRC+ against lefties and a 71 against righties. Schuemann, a 29-year-old superutilityman acquired from the A’s in February, has hit .212/.358/.394 (119 wRC+) with a 14.8% walk rate, albeit in just 81 plate appearances. Jones, a 25-year-old with 70-grade raw power but serious contact issues, has hit .213/.308/.338 (86 wRC+) while striking out in a whopping 39.6% of his 91 plate appearances.

Domínguez and Jones project to improve at some point. The former was a 55-FV prospect who placed 16th on last year’s preseason Top 100 Prospects list, while the latter is a 45+-FV prospect who was sixth on the Yankees list in March. Still, the current pool of outfielders would have to step up in order to match their rest-of-season projections for league average-ish production; Grisham projects to produce a 112 wRC+ the rest of the way, Domínguez a 106, Jones a 102, and Schuemann a 90. Realistically, the only player on the current roster whom the Yankees can add to the mix is José Caballero, who has spread 12 starts and 18 total appearances across the three outfield positions, but he’s only hit .236/.287/.372 (85 wRC+) and lately has been sharing the shortstop duties with Anthony Volpe.

The next wave of reinforcements at Scranton/Wilkes-Barre is a pair of former 45-FV prospects who have yet to pan out. Oswaldo Cabrera, a 27-year-old switch-hitter who’s spent significant stretches with the Yankees since late 2022, owns an 80 wRC+ in 960 major league plate appearances; he has a 102 wRC+ at Triple-A this year. Yanquiel Fernández, a 23-year-old lefty, hit for just a 55 wRC+ in 147 plate appearances for the Rockies last year and has managed a 94 wRC+ this year in Triple-A.

Clearly, the Yankees will need help from outside the organization to bolster their roster in the coming weeks. Their catchers (Austin Wells, J.C. Escarra, and Ali Sánchez) and third basemen (Ryan McMahon and Amed Rosario) landed on my recent Replacement-Level Killers series; this just adds to their shopping list. Unfortunately for them, some of the more desirable outfielders whose names have been batted around as trade candidates in recent weeks play for teams that still have a chance at a Wild Card spot. Trevor Larnach of the Twins has hit for a robust 136 wRC+, but Minnesota — which also has catcher Ryan Jeffers, a logical fit given New York’s needs behind the plate — is 54-54, for example. Lars Nootbaar of the Cardinals has managed a more modest 103 wRC+ for the Cardinals (53-54) since his early-June return from offseason surgery to shave down bones in both heels. Taylor Ward has a 118 wRC+ for the Orioles, who are just 52-56 but play in the same division as the Yankees and have playoff odds of 19.6%.

Not every interesting option plays for a team that’s on the bubble. The Royals’ Lane Thomas has bounced back from a brutal, injury-marred 2025 season to produce a 102 wRC+; his defensive metrics in center field are bad, but he could cover the Yankees’ spacious left field. The Rockies’ Jake McCarthy, who’s in the midst of a breakout season (.296/.338/.497, 113 wRC+) and can play center field as well as both corners, has two years of club control remaining and could line up as a potential replacement for Grisham, a pending free agent. The Reds’ JJ Bleday, who has hit for a 116 wRC+, has two years of control remaining as well, though he’s played his way out of center. As Dan Szymborski pointed out yesterday, the Reds and Yankees line up reasonably well for a bigger trade; he proposed a swap of Volpe for catcher Tyler Stephenson, infield prospect Tyson Lewis, and outfielder Dane Myers, a 30-year-old righty who’s hitting .267/.365/.377 (105 wRC+) as the short half of a center field platoon.

Another team that lines up for a deal with the Yankees is the Dodgers. With Enrique Hernández having just returned from an oblique strain — and with their farm system bursting at the seams, particularly with outfield prospects — the two-time defending champions might be willing to part with 31-year-old righty Alex Call (.246/.355/.314, 94 wRC+) or 28-year-old lefty Ryan Ward (.218/.283/.455, 100 wRC+), both of whom could get pushed off the 40-man roster as pitchers Edwin Díaz, Blake Snell, and (eventually) Tyler Glasnow return from stints on the 60-day injured list.

Lefties, righties, pending free agents and players with years of control — options to bolster the Yankees outfield are out there. The question is how willing general manager Brian Cashman is to dig into the team’s farm system to get them, and perhaps, how much money the team is willing to absorb on longer-term deals. Over the next couple of weeks, we’re going to find out.





Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011, and a Hall of Fame voter since 2021. Follow him on BlueSky @jayjaffe.bsky.social.

18 Comments
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mike sixelMember since 2016
11 days ago

If the Twins had real guts, they’d deal larnach and call up Jenkins…..

Ivan_GrushenkoMember since 2016
11 days ago
Reply to  mike sixel

They could just put Jenkins and Larnach in LF/RF, and Jeffers at DH. They could use another starter and a couple of relievers but Ryan, Bradley, Rojas are a real front 3 Gomez, Morris and Nance could be a bullpen.

The team isn’t exactly good but they’re capable of catching lightning in a bottle like the 2023 Ranger and Diamondbacks did.

D4PMember since 2019
11 days ago

Bellinger is batting a solid but unspectacular .259/.350/.420″

At Yankee Stadium: .325/.407/.574, 8 HRs in 169ABs
On the road: .205/.302/.293, 3 HRs in 205 ABs

The Original DrewMember since 2021
11 days ago
Reply to  D4P

Those splits are hilarious, and as a Yankee fan I am definitely not crying. YOU’RE CRYING.

DirtyDongerMember since 2024
11 days ago

At least he’s likely a fun watch if you go to a game in person? Small silver lining!

bosoxforlifeMember since 2016
11 days ago

I will tell you who is really crying and that is everybody with any interest in the Tigers. Losing an important game that you have a 99% chance of winning in the 7th, and with Skubal pitching, is a kick where it hurts. I guess Hinch thought he would save Skubal for the next team he pitches for and pulled him after 92 pitches

Deduno AbidesMember since 2026
11 days ago

Jones had contact problems in the minors. How often does someone with poor contact % in the minors succeed in the majors?

sadtromboneMember since 2020
11 days ago
Reply to  Deduno Abides

I don’t know how to search for contact rate in the minors. It’s available on the FG pages under “plate discipline” going back quite a ways but not on the minor league leaderboards.

But the list of players in the major leagues with a contact rate of 62% or under is abysmal. And if you’re only running a 61.4% contact rate in the upper minors I don’t think it is likely to get much better in the majors.

SIS has contact numbers going back quite a ways. Let’s start with the age 24 season and end with the age 29 season, to throw out people who declined precipitously in their 30s. With a minimum of 1000 PAs, here is the entire list of players with Contact% under 62%.

Russell Branyan
Keon Broxton
Joey Gallo

That is it. The entire list. Mike Zunino, Mark Reynolds, Miguel Sano, Bobby Dalbec, Jorge Alfaro…these guys all ran higher contact rates.

With a minimum of 450 PAs in a season, there are only three seasons in total where someone ran a sub-62% contact rate. That’s Gallo, Reynolds, and Broxton.

I think the best scenario for him succeeding–barring him having the wrong prescription for his contact lenses or something–is that he might be able get that up to about 65% if he is deployed exclusively against right handed pitching. There’s actually much more precedent for guys like this succeeding with contact rates in that range, including left-handed platoon specialists like Luke Raley and Matt Wallner.

Ivan_GrushenkoMember since 2016
11 days ago

Fortunately the AL is so bad that even if the Yankees go 15-25 they’d still be in contention if Judge and Bellinger can return for the last couple of weeks.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
11 days ago

The good news for them is that it’s going to be real hard for them to miss the playoffs because the AL is so mediocre right now.

I don’t think it makes sense to trade for a top-tier replacement since ideally Bellinger and Judge will be back for the postseason.

I do think it would make a ton of sense for them to try and find a right handed outfielder who at the minimum can sub in against left handed pitching for Jones / Dominguez.

Lane Thomas is sort of the prototype for the sort of player I’m thinking of. Luis Robert would also be really good, although I suspect he might cost more than Thomas because he can play center field better than Thomas can.

Of course the guy who really makes the most sense in Randal Grichuk, have the Yankees thought about acquiring him? Hold on, someone’s passing me a note.

MarkZMember since 2016
10 days ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Judge and Bellinger coming back as a hinderance to whom they acquire was my thought as well. Mets match up reasonably well as they can send Raley or Minter along with Tyrone Taylor. Taylor has been hot since he came off the IL and can take time in CF or LF now while sliding back to the bench when the boppers return.

timtomakethedonutsMember since 2025
10 days ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

while i agree with this fully, the whole theory is predicated upon bellinger and judge coming back at close to 100%. honestly, i don’t think that’s viable nor do i expect anything over 60% of their 2025 rate stats from either upon return. i have not idea how this changes the calculus of the trade environment, but it can’t be ignored, right?

sadtromboneMember since 2020
10 days ago

You would want Judge and Bellinger totally healed but back in time enough to shake the rust off before the playoffs. Is that doable? Let’s say if they come back on August 21 for a series against the Blue Jays.

If they come back and are performing approximately where they left off in 2026 for the playoffs (which would be a 119 wRC+ for Bellinger and 151 for Judge) that is still far better than anyone they could trade for. That’s not too far off your projection for Judge but definitely higher than your projection for Bellinger.

In that case, you *might* want to get a little more aggressive to compensate for Bellinger hitting more around league average. But in that case you’re probably better off paying the massive 4 or 5 player haul for Hunter Goodman (basically the Yankees 4-5 most valuable trade chips aside from Lombard) than trading for a higher end outfielder than Lane Thomas / Tyrone Taylor. I am not even sure who aside from Robert, Adell, Moniak, Jesus Sanchez, and Jake McCarthy would even be available, or whether they would even be improvements over a diminished Bellinger.

JimmieFoxxalorianMember since 2020
11 days ago

Meanwhile, two plate appearances into his Red Sox career, Curtis Mead breaks wrist, done for the season. Those wacky baseball gods are just trying to tell us something. What exactly, I’m not sure

docgooden85Member since 2018
11 days ago

I don’t root for players to get hurt. But if they get hurt anyway, it doesn’t bother me if they play for the Yankees. The only thing that bothers me about the Yankees is that they don’t lose 162 games every damn year.

hopbittersMember since 2020
10 days ago
Reply to  docgooden85

Uh, Dwight? Didn’t you spend three seasons in the Bronx and get a ring in 2000?

KeithMember since 2024
10 days ago

and they’ve been without Giancarlo Stanton for even longer due to…..

Was this written prior to the start of the season? You can pretty much bet your house on this occurring every year….

rallyboy
9 days ago

It appears Cashman will not trade George Lombard. I don’t blame him, but what does that leave him in the way of trading chips? Spencer Jones, despite the booming homers, looks like a K machine, a hitter who strikes out too much to be an above-average major league hitter. I doubt he has much trade value. The vaunted pitching prospects look so-so. Dax Kilby? The scouts love his bat, but what does 23 A-ball appearances get you? Perhaps they can deal Warren or Weathers for something of value. Cashman has scrambled well in the past (hello, Jazz Chisholm), and it looks like he’ll have to pull on his scrambling shoes again.