Contract Crowdsourcing 2014-15: Day 9 of 10

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2014-15 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for the last four starting pitchers we’ll be considering.

Other Players: Nori Aoki / Brett Anderson / Chad Billingsley / Emilio Bonifacio / A.J. Burnett / Billy Butler / Asdrubal Cabrera / Melky Cabrera / Nelson Cruz / Michael Cuddyer / Gavin Floyd / Jason Hammel / Aaron Harang / Chase Headley / Torii Hunter / Hiroki Kuroda / Adam LaRoche / Jon Lester / Francisco Liriano / Jed Lowrie / Nick Markakis / Russell Martin / Victor Martinez / Justin Masterson / Brandon McCarthy / Kendrys Morales / Brandon Morrow / Michael Morse / Jake Peavy / Aramis Ramirez / Hanley Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Mark Reynolds / Alex Rios / Pablo Sandoval / Ervin Santana / Max Scherzer / Ichiro Suzuki / Chris Young (OF)/ Delmon Young.

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James Shields (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Shields:

  • Has averaged 227 IP and 4.0 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.5 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 3.7 WAR in 227.0 IP in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 2.9 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-33 season.
  • Made $13.5M in 2014, as part of deal signed in January of 2008.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Shields.

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Ryan Vogelsong (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Vogelsong:

  • Has averaged 159 IP and 0.9 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.1 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.0 WAR in 184.2 IP in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 0.4 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-37 season.
  • Made $5.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in December of 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Vogelsong.

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Edinson Volquez (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Volquez:

  • Has averaged 182 IP and 0.7 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 0.8 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.7 WAR in 192.2 IP in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 0.8 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $5.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in December of 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Volquez.

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Chris Young (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Young:

  • Has averaged 140 IP and 0.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 0.7 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.2 WAR in 165.0 IP in 2014.
  • Is projected to record -1.6 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-36 season.
  • Made $1.3M in 2014, as part of deal signed in March of 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Young.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Paul
9 years ago

James Shields: 5 yr, $90 mil
Ryan Vogelsong: 1 yr, $6 mil
Edinson Volquez: 2 yr, $21 mil
Chris Young: 1 yr, $7 mil

Maniel Durphy
9 years ago
Reply to  Paul

yeah this is pretty close to what I have.

JayT
9 years ago
Reply to  Paul

Yeah, pretty close for me too. I have this feeling that the Giants will extend Vogelsong for two years though.