Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 13 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for six of this year’s free agents, all of them starting pitchers once again.

Other Players: Brett Anderson / Nori Aoki / Alex Avila / Mark Buehrle / Marlon Byrd / Asdrubal Cabrera / Yoenis Cespedes / Wei-Yin Chen / Bartolo Colon / Johnny Cueto / Chris Davis / Rajai Davis / Alejandro De Aza / Ian Desmond / R.A. Dickey / Stephen Drew / Marco Estrada / Doug Fister / Dexter Fowler / David Freese / Yovani Gallardo / Jaime Garcia / Alex Gordon / Zack Greinke / Jeremy Guthrie / J.A. Happ / Jason Heyward / Rich Hill / Torii Hunter / Chris Iannetta / Hisashi Iwakuma / Austin Jackson / John Jaso / Kelly Johnson / Matt Joyce / Scott Kazmir / Howie Kendrick / Kyle Kendrick / Ian Kennedy / John Lackey / Mat Latos / Justin Morneau / Daniel Murphy / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / Dioner Navarro / Gerardo Parra / Steve Pearce / Alexei Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Alex Rios / Jimmy Rollins / Geovany Soto / Denard Span / Justin Upton / Juan Uribe / Chase Utley / Will Venable / Shane Victorino / Matt Wieters / Chris Young the Outfielder / Ben Zobrist.

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Mike Leake (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Leake:

  • Has averaged 199 IP and 2.0 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.0 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.7 WAR in 192.0 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 1.7 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-28 season.
  • Made $9.8M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Leake.

***

Tim Lincecum (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Lincecum:

  • Has averaged 143 IP and 0.7 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.0 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.3 WAR in 76.1 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 0.3 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $18.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in October 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Lincecum.

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Kyle Lohse (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Lohse:

  • Has averaged 183 IP and 1.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.6 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a -0.1 WAR in 152.1 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 0.9 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-37 season.
  • Made $11.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in March 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Lohse.

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Justin Masterson (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Masterson:

  • Has averaged 127 IP and 1.2 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.9 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a -0.2 WAR in 59.1 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record -0.3 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $9.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Masterson.

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Brandon Morrow (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Morrow:

  • Has averaged 40 IP and 0.2 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.2 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.5 WAR in 33.0 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 2.3 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $2.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Morrow.

***

Bud Norris (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Norris:

  • Has averaged 141 IP and 1.4 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.0 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.0 WAR in 83.0 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 2.2 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $8.8M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Norris.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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TKDC
8 years ago

The most Lincecum is going to get are spring training invites. He’s toast.