Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 6 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them corner outfielders.

Other Players: Nori Aoki / Alex Avila / Asdrubal Cabrera / Chris Davis / Ian Desmond / Stephen Drew / Dexter Fowler / David Freese / Chris Iannetta / Austin Jackson / Kelly Johnson / Howie Kendrick / Justin Morneau / Daniel Murphy / Mike Napoli / Dioner Navarro / Alexei Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Jimmy Rollins / Geovany Soto / Denard Span / Juan Uribe / Chase Utley / Matt Wieters / Ben Zobrist.

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Marlon Byrd (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Byrd:

  • Has averaged 587 PA and 2.4 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.5 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.0 WAR in 544 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 0.4 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-28 age-38 season.
  • Made $8.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in November 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Byrd.

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Yoenis Cespedes (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Cespedes:

  • Has averaged 632 PA and 4.1 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.9 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 6.7 WAR in 676 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 2.8 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $10.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in February 2012.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Cespedes.

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Rajai Davis (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Davis:

  • Has averaged 408 PA and 1.4 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.1 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.8 WAR in 370 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 0.7 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-35 season.
  • Made $5.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Davis.

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Alejandro De Aza (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding De Aza:

  • Has averaged 523 PA and 1.8 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.0 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.2 WAR in 365 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 0.9 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $5.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in February 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for De Aza.

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Alex Gordon (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Gordon:

  • Has averaged 588 PA and 4.4 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 4.5 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.8 WAR in 422 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 3.6 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $12.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in March 2012.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Gordon.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Pinstripe Wizard
8 years ago

While it is the correct answer, there’s only one option for Gordon on whether he’ll accept the QO. Seems like there’s not a point to the question if you can only pick one answer.

Jason B
8 years ago

Nay, that’s *exactly* the point.

John Elway
8 years ago
Reply to  Jason B

Nay.