Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 11 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2017-18 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them starting pitchers.

Other Players: Yonder Alonso / Jake Arrieta / Alex Avila / Jose Bautista / Carlos Beltran / Jay Bruce / Melky Cabrera / Trevor Cahill / Welington Castillo / Lorenzo Cain / Andrew Cashner / Jhoulys Chacin / Alex Cobb / Bartolo Colon / Zack Cozart / Johnny Cueto / Yu Darvish / Lucas Duda / Jarrod Dyson / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Doug Fister / Todd Frazier / Jaime Garcia / Carlos Gomez / Carlos Gonzalez / Miguel Gonzalez / Curtis Granderson / Jeremy Hellickson / Matt Holliday / Eric Hosmer / Chris Iannetta / Jon Jay / Howie Kendrick / Francisco Liriano / Jonathan Lucroy / Lance Lynn / J.D. Martinez / Cameron Maybin / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Ricky Nolasco / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Jose Reyes / Carlos Santana / Justin Upton / Neil Walker / Jayson Werth.

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Michael Pineda (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Pineda:

  • Has averaged 144 IP and 2.6 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.3 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons*.
  • Recorded a 1.1 WAR in 96.1 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 0.0 WAR per 180 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Made $7.4M in 2017 after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**That is, because he’s unlikely to pitch after undergoing Tommy John surgery this year.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Pineda.

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CC Sabathia (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Sabathia:

  • Has averaged 165 IP and 1.9 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.1 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons*.
  • Recorded a 1.9 WAR in 148.2 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 2.1 WAR per 180 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-37 season.
  • Made $25.0M in 2017 as part of extension signed in October 2011.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Sabathia.

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Masahiro Tanaka (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Tanaka:

  • Has averaged 177 IP and 3.2 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.3 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons*.
  • Recorded a 2.7 WAR in 178.1 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 3.6 WAR per 180 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Made $22.0M in 2017 as part of deal signed in January 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Tanaka.

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Chris Tillman (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Tillman:

  • Has averaged 146 IP and 1.1 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.3 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons*.
  • Recorded a -1.0 WAR in 93.0 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 0.8 WAR per 180 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $10.1M in 2017 after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Tillman.

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Jason Vargas (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Vargas:

  • Has averaged 78 IP and 0.8 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.8 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons*.
  • Recorded a 1.6 WAR in 179.2 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 1.7 WAR per 180 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-35 season.
  • Made $8.0M in 2017 as part of deal signed in November 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Vargas.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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