The Essence of the Brewers in One Handy Table

Let’s do some quick review! One stat we have on our pages shows up as IFFB%. This measures the rate of infield pop-ups per fly ball hit. You know this measure — this is the one where Joey Votto is a freak.

Another stat we have on our pages shows up as HR/FB. This measures the rate of home runs per fly ball hit. You also know this measure — this is the one where Aaron Judge is a freak. (And, seemingly, everybody else.)

Both of these numbers make sense to look at for individuals, and for teams. Let’s think about teams. In fact, let’s think about one specific team, that being the Milwaukee Brewers. This season, the Brewers have hit pop-ups on 6.2% of their fly balls. That’s the lowest rate for any team. Also, this season, the Brewers have hit home runs on 20.6% of their fly balls. That’s the highest rate for any team. The Brewers currently rank as the best by each measure. That means they rank No. 1.

We have this batted-ball data going back to 2002, which gives us 15 full individual seasons, and one partial one. Combining everything, here is a table of the 10 best offensive teams by average rank in these two stats.

Infield Flies and Homers, 2002 – 2017
Team Season IFFB% MLB Rank HR/FB% MLB Rank Avg. Rank
Brewers 2017 6.2% 1 20.6% 1 1.0
Yankees 2004 9.7% 2 14.5% 1 1.5
Yankees 2002 10.2% 3 14.1% 1 2.0
Yankees 2007 7.7% 2 12.0% 2 2.0
Rangers 2011 8.2% 2 12.8% 2 2.0
Rangers 2009 8.1% 3 12.9% 2 2.5
Brewers 2016 8.1% 4 15.6% 1 2.5
Indians 2005 9.7% 2 13.0% 4 3.0
Nationals 2017 7.0% 3 15.6% 3 3.0
Yankees 2003 10.3% 6 14.4% 1 3.5

In short, the Brewers are trying to be the first team in a decade and a half or so to be better than anyone else in terms of pop-ups and homers. The 2004 Yankees came tantalizingly close to dual No. 1s, but they were narrowly edged out in pop-ups by the Tigers. I’m sure the Yankees didn’t mind, and it’s not like this is the end goal of the whole Brewers organization, but this is, overall, a positive reflection of the lineup through to this point. Although they’ve swung and missed, this is how you make the most of fly balls.

As it happens, these Brewers are actually tied with the 2015 Giants for what would be the lowest pop-up rate in the whole window. And no team has previously reached even 17% home runs per fly ball; the Brewers are close to 21%. So, technically, they rank No. 1 in each category this season, and they also rank No. 1 in each category over all 15+ seasons. This is a remarkable partial achievement!

In closing, this year’s team with the worst average rank is the Red Sox, who are 27th by pop-ups and 29th by homers. No team has ever finished last in both categories. The closest was the 2014 Royals, who were worst in homers and second-worst in pop-ups. The 2014 Royals lost the World Series in seven games. Don’t accuse me of overselling.





Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.

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Seuss2004member
6 years ago

I just yesterday realized that Aaron Judge has a HR/FB rate at home of 68.8%.

so … sustainable? Legal?