The last time he was permitted to participate in this daily Watch of baseball Prospects, the author submitted a statistical report on the most recent collection of first-round draft picks — which report revealed, among other stirring truth, that Cubs draftee Kyle Schwarber was meting out much in the way of Baseball Justice on minor-league pitchers.
What follows is almost the same exact exercise as that one from three weeks ago, except applied to last year’s first-round picks instead. As in the case of that first post, what I’ve done here is to produce a pair of leaderboards (one for batters; one, pitchers) of the relevant first-rounders. Links to the relevant FanGraphs leaderboards are available here: Batters / Pitchers.
Leaderboard: 2013 First-Round Batters
Here are all the last year’s first-round batters to have recorded at least a single plate appearance in 2014, sorted by Weighted Runs Above Average (wRAA):
|1||Kris Bryant||Cubs (AA/AAA)||2||22||3B||448||13.4%||26.8%||33||.417||198||52.4|
|2||Aaron Judge||Yankees (A/A+)||32||22||OF||430||14.4%||21.9%||13||.395||158||30.3|
|3||D.J. Peterson||Mariners (A+/AA)||12||22||3B||411||8.0%||20.7%||23||.358||150||26.9|
|4||Hunter Renfroe||Padres (A+/AA)||13||22||OF||426||8.7%||24.2%||20||.332||128||16.1|
|5||J.P. Crawford||Phillies (A/A+)||16||19||SS||411||12.9%||14.1%||7||.332||128||13.7|
|6||Hunter Dozier||Royals (A+/AA)||8||22||SS||409||11.5%||23.2%||7||.349||118||9.0|
|7||Clint Frazier||Indians (A)||5||19||OF||389||10.0%||28.5%||11||.360||119||8.7|
|8||Travis Demeritte||Rangers (A)||30||19||SS||361||10.8%||33.8%||20||.292||119||8.5|
|9||Eric Jagielo||Yankees (R/A+)||26||22||3B||252||9.5%||22.6%||13||.266||125||7.1|
|10||Tim Anderson||White Sox (A+)||17||21||SS||300||2.3%||22.7%||6||.369||119||6.8|
|11||Colin Moran||Marlins (A+)||6||21||3B||380||7.1%||13.4%||4||.332||110||4.2|
|12||Austin Meadows||Pirates (R/A)||9||19||OF||76||9.2%||11.8%||0||.383||136||3.3|
|13||Billy McKinney||A’s/Cubs (A+)||24||19||OF||420||11.2%||17.6%||11||.288||105||1.6|
|14||Dominic Smith||Mets (A)||11||19||1B||404||8.9%||15.1%||0||.341||97||-1.4|
|15||Phillip Ervin||Reds (A)||27||21||OF||425||8.9%||18.8%||5||.276||93||-3.5|
|16||Nick Ciuffo||Rays (R)||21||19||C||116||9.5%||21.6%||1||.269||70||-4.3|
|17||Christian Arroyo||Giants (A-/A)||25||19||SS||276||5.4%||14.1%||3||.292||80||-6.8|
|18||Reese McGuire||Pirates (A)||14||19||C||322||6.2%||9.9%||1||.288||75||-9.8|
Leaderboard: 2013 First-Round Pitchers
Here are all the first-round pitchers to have recorded an appearance of some sort — sorted, in this case, by kwERA, an ERA estimator that accounts for strikeout and walk rate:
|1||Hunter Harvey||Orioles (A)||22||19||RHP||87.2||10.9||3.4||0.5||3.51||3.00|
|2||Ian Clarkin||Yankees (A)||33||19||LHP||65.0||9.7||2.8||0.8||3.79||3.14|
|3||Marco Gonzales||Cards (A+/AA/AAA/MLB)||19||22||LHP||91.2||9.2||2.3||0.7||3.04||3.16|
|4||Braden Shipley||D-backs (A/A+)||15||22||RHP||99.0||9.1||2.8||0.7||3.85||3.40|
|5||Jon Gray||Rockies (AA)||3||22||RHP||105.0||8.2||2.7||0.8||3.33||3.58|
|6||Ryne Stanek||Rays (A/A+)||29||22||RHP||55.2||7.9||2.8||0.3||3.16||3.76|
|7||Mark Appel||Astros (A+)||1||22||RHP||44.1||8.1||2.2||1.8||5.33||3.80|
|8||Rob Kaminsky||Cardinals (A)||28||19||LHP||72.0||6.9||2.9||0.1||3.28||4.07|
|9||Chi-Chi Gonzalez||Rangers (A+/AA)||23||22||RHP||103.2||6.9||2.7||0.3||3.34||4.09|
|10||Chris Anderson||Dodgers (A+)||18||21||RHP||96.2||9.5||5.2||0.9||4.94||4.14|
|11||Kohl Stewart||Twins (A)||4||19||RHP||81.2||6.4||2.5||0.3||3.66||4.15|
|12||Trey Ball||Red Sox (A)||7||20||LHP||68.1||6.3||3.2||0.8||4.60||4.49|
|13||Jonathon Crawford||Tigers (A)||20||22||RHP||90.1||6.1||3.4||0.3||3.91||4.51|
|14||Jason Hursh||Braves (AA)||31||22||RHP||120.1||4.6||2.8||0.3||3.63||4.79|
Moderately Helpful Notes
Here are five notes, offering varying degrees of insight:
- Omitted from the above is Phil Bickford, which right-handed prospect was selected 10th overall but ultimately decided to matriculate at Cal State Fullerton.
- Positions listed are those at which relevant prospect was drafted, not necessarily that which he’s playing now.
- Among 2013 first-round batters, Cubs third-base prospect Kris Bryant has produced the most successful 2014 season by weighted runs — a figure, that, largely aided by his 33 home runs and .400-plus BABIP.
- Among pitchers, the question of which has produced the most impressive season has a less clear answer. One notes, however, that, with the exception of some difficult major-league appearances, that St. Louis left-hander Marco Gonzales has sustained his impressive strikeout and walk rates across multiple levels.
- Baseball America’s draft database has been of some assistance to the composition of this post.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.