The Yankees Bulk up the Offense With Luis García Jr.

Christopher Hanewinckel-Imagn Images

The Yankees acquired another bat for their offense on Sunday, bringing in first baseman/second baseman Luis García Jr. in return for pitchers Jack Cebert, Ben Grable, Yovanny Cruz, and Jake Bird. Scratched from Sunday’s lineup due to the strong possibility of a trade being completed, García has had a breakout season, at least when it comes to power, hitting .283/.313/.560 with 23 home runs in 104 games, for a wRC+ of 134 and 2.2 WAR.

The offense has been a real sore spot for New York lately, so making an addition here was a primary concern for the club. When the Yankees woke up for an off-day on the morning of June 1, they ranked second in baseball in wRC+ and fourth overall in runs scored. Aaron Judge had gone 1-for-4 with two RBI the night before, and that was the last time we saw him in a game. Before first pitch that day, the three-time MVP was removed from the lineup due to lingering shoulder soreness. Later, after imaging revealed a stress fracture in Judge’s right rib cage, he was placed on the IL.

Since losing Judge, the Yankees have had the worst wRC+ in baseball, at 87, and have ranked 26th in the league in runs scored. That they have still managed to play barely winning baseball, going 27-26 since then, is thanks to their elite pitching. Crunching some numbers, if the Yankees had merely had a league-average pitching staff over the last two months, they would have about six fewer wins right now, which is basically their entire cushion in the wild card race.

Now, it would be exaggerating things to say that Judge’s absence is responsible for all of this missing offense, since one player can only do so much in baseball, but his injury is still a major factor here. As I’ve mentioned previously, most of the Yankees’ disaster scenarios in the preseason ZiPS simulations involved losing Judge for some or all of the 2026 season.

There’s no official timetable for Judge’s return as we head into deadline day, and with All-Star outfielder Cody Bellinger now out until at least early September with a hamstring strain — not to mention the even-longer absence of Giancarlo Stanton with a right calf strain — the Yankees simply do not have the luxury of waiting for their big bats to return if they’re serious about running down the Rays in the AL East.

Nobody will confuse García Jr. with a superstar, but he also might end up being the best offensive player moved at this trade deadline. In Washington, ZiPS believed García was due for some regression (as all of the projection systems did), expecting him to post a .273/.309/.467, 110 wRC+ line for the rest of the season. However, ZiPS sees García’s left-handed power bat as being particularly well-suited for Yankee Stadium, bumping that projection up to .270/.308/.487 (117 wRC+). ZiPS forecasts similar numbers from him in 2027.

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The immediate effect of the acquisition is fewer matchups against right-handed pitching for Paul Goldschmidt, who is slashing .201/.232/.349, for a 59 wRC+, when facing righties this year, compared to a 178 mark against lefties. Now 38, the seven-time All-Star has not been a productive batter against same-handed pitching for some time; the last time he even put up a .700 OPS against righties was in 2023. García has generally been protected from facing lefties, only starting in 12 of Washington’s 37 games against southpaws in 2026. With García probably the better defensive first baseman, Ben Rice is free to stick as the team’s full-time DH for the time being.

Speaking of defense, García has been a dreadful second baseman in recent years, which is why the Nationals moved him to first base this season. But his second base experience at least gives the Yankees some additional options, especially when Judge, Bellinger, and Stanton get back into the lineup. In this scenario, perhaps, García could play some second base, with Jazz Chisholm Jr. sliding over to third, where the incumbent third baseman, Ryan McMahon, has struggled offensively this year.

It’s not hard to see why Washington decided to trade García, one of the few constants on the roster during this long-term rebuilding phase. He’s still young, but he has only one year of club control left after this one, meaning the Nationals did not consider him to be part of their core the way they do James Wood. García is a good source of power, but he has never been a high-on-base guy, and he can hardly be called a foundational talent. For a team like Washington that is really looking for pitching, the opportunity to acquire a quartet of arms was hard to resist.

ZiPS Projection – Luís García Jr.
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2027 .267 .306 .480 510 75 136 25 3 26 108 31 80 8 116 2.1

Back in March, Jack Cebert was barely on the radar for the Yankees, and we ranked him 27th among their prospects. My colleague Eric Longenhagen has described the 24-year-old Cebert as maybe the biggest riser in the New York system this year. He’s a well-built hurler who throws strikes and has good breaking pitches, but still lacks an offspeed weapon. His raw numbers aren’t super impressive, but he does miss bats, and he’s improved as he’s gotten more experience at Double-A. After allowing a home run in each of his first eight starts for Double-A Somerset, he hasn’t given up any in his five starts since. Eric now thinks of Cebert as a 40+ FV prospect who “already looks like a backend starter.”

I’m surprised at how solid Cebert’s ZiPS projection in Washington is already; he could very easily make the 2027 rotation if the Nats project him similarly.

ZiPS Projection – Jack Cebert
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2027 5 6 4.49 23 20 116.3 117 58 16 38 99 92 1.2
2028 5 6 4.29 22 19 113.3 110 54 14 36 97 96 1.4
2029 5 5 4.17 21 18 112.3 109 52 14 34 96 99 1.6
2030 5 5 4.09 21 18 110.0 105 50 13 33 94 101 1.6
2031 5 5 4.09 21 18 110.0 106 50 13 34 93 101 1.6
2032 5 5 4.15 20 17 106.3 103 49 12 33 89 100 1.5
2033 5 5 4.12 19 16 102.7 100 47 12 32 85 100 1.4

The lone current big leaguer in this deal is Yovanny Cruz, a Cubs prospect way back from the before COVID times. He walked too many batters, then suffered a spate of injuries that cost him the entire 2021 season and parts of several seasons since. He’s bounced around, signed by the Red Sox, Padres, and then the Yankees. He still throws a 100-mph heater with a splitter and slider that can reach the low 90s. Cruz, who turns 27 later this month, earned a call-up after striking out 13 batters per nine innings in Triple-A while keeping his walk rate within a respectable range. The Nats need arms in the bullpen, and he’s become a rather interesting one. Like Cebert, ZiPS sees Cruz as already playable in Washington.

ZiPS Projection – Yovanny Cruz
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2027 6 7 4.01 50 0 60.7 50 27 7 26 75 103 0.3
2028 6 6 3.92 49 0 59.7 49 26 7 25 73 105 0.4
2029 6 6 3.92 48 0 59.7 49 26 7 24 72 105 0.4
2030 6 6 4.01 48 0 58.3 48 26 6 24 69 103 0.4
2031 6 6 4.08 48 0 57.3 48 26 6 24 67 101 0.3
2032 6 5 4.14 46 0 54.3 47 25 6 23 62 100 0.2

Ben Grable dropped to the 11th round in last year’s draft because of a couple of elbow surgeries. Exclusively used by the Yankees in relief, he’s been extremely effective at two levels. Grable has gained velocity since he was drafted, and his fastball now sits 94-97 with a ton of movement. Eric doesn’t use the term “monster pitch” to describe just any offering, but he did describe Grable’s heater as such. Alas, the 24-year-old is still trying to figure out his secondary pitches.

ZiPS Projection – Ben Grable
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2027 2 3 4.37 52 0 47.3 43 23 7 18 48 95 0.0
2028 2 3 4.24 55 0 51.0 44 24 6 19 51 98 0.2
2029 3 2 4.08 56 0 53.0 46 24 6 19 53 101 0.2
2030 3 2 4.02 58 0 53.7 46 24 6 19 53 103 0.3
2031 3 2 4.02 58 0 53.7 47 24 6 19 53 103 0.3
2032 3 2 4.08 58 0 53.0 47 24 6 19 52 101 0.3

Also joining the Nationals is a more familiar name, Jake Bird, who is long past his prospect days. Bird had a moment with the Rockies a few years ago but has since alternated between bad and inconsistent seasons. I liked the trade that brought him to New York a year ago, but he’s been downright lousy in Yankee pinstripes, and has spent a good chunk of his time with the franchise pitching for Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. His secondary numbers aren’t as awful, with a high BABIP being the main culprit in bloating his ERA, so the expectation here is that he’ll eat up some innings in a relatively low-leverage middle-relief role for the Nats over the next couple of years.

ZiPS Projection – Jake Bird
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2027 2 3 3.88 56 0 60.3 55 26 6 22 65 107 0.4
2028 2 2 4.13 53 0 56.7 52 26 6 21 59 100 0.3

In summation, the Yankees got more than a year of a player whose bat should play well in Yankee Stadium and lengthen their lineup a bit, while the Nationals received some interesting pitchers who may be able to help quickly. Both teams picked up pieces they sorely needed, without doing much, if any, damage to their futures. Maybe that’s boring, but it makes for a good trade.





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

20 Comments
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sadtromboneMember since 2020
7 days ago

This is the part of the deadline where we all say “who are these prospects?”

Cashman’s deadline trades are all like this: Here, take these four prospects / players who we can’t use anyway for some reason, and you send us a starting caliber first baseman (or closer, or whatever).

But those four pitchers look like they are already average enough to beat out guys currently on the Nationals 26 man roster. So I guess maybe it works? They did seem to have decent success with the Gore trade which was kind of like that.

broeygallo
7 days ago

Ben Grable is the prize here. Pure relievers only have so high you can go, but this is an absolutely ridiculous fastball.

EasyenoughMember since 2016
7 days ago

The nationals are bottom 3 relief! This trade is like Christmas.

MoMember since 2024
6 days ago
Reply to  Easyenough

The Nat’s bullpen has really been…something…this year.

HappyFunBallMember since 2019
6 days ago
Reply to  Mo

And with Jake Bird, now it will be something else

johndarc
5 days ago
Reply to  Easyenough

Yankees mashed their bullpen to sweep that series and then left them with a little apology gift to redeem themselves.

glyn_the_don
7 days ago

LGJ has been impressive this season. Coming into today leading the NL in SLG. Increases in EV, EV max, barrel rate, bat speed, and fast swing percentage. I believe the only other hitter with a higher ISO and contact rate is Yordan Alvarez. I think he is seeing the ball and then making it go far.

NATS FanMember since 2018
6 days ago

Garcia was leading the NL in slugging and we saw him getting better as a first basemen as the season went on. not good, but getting closer to average. He has been one of the best batters in the second half. If not the best! So it Seems like a very light return to me. A bunch of guys the Yankees did not need? Granted our bullpen is awful. These guys probably help a little.
I’m glad Dan showed what’s expected in the future. Helped me as a fan. Chaparro should produce somewhat similar to Garcia. CJ and Woods production has been based on chemistry and hope as much as skill. They like to produce for their friends and teammates. Both have said many times that Garcia was the most important chemistry piece. Its probable they will fall off a bit offensively as a result.

Last edited 6 days ago by NATS Fan
Lunch AngleMember since 2016
6 days ago
Reply to  NATS Fan

You wouldn’t expect LGJr to continue to lead the league in slugging, would you? He’s been incredible this season, but it’s come pretty much outta nowhere. Sell high!

The Original DrewMember since 2021
6 days ago

Seems like sort of a bad omen for the Yankees that they are acquiring guys that don’t exactly fit their team if/when everyone is healthy. The team desperately needs a SS, C, RH hitter of some kind and bullpen help. This addresses zero of these issues.

Maybe it’s signaling that Stanton’s tenure with the team is going to be over? There’s certainly other moves to be made here.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
6 days ago

I think right now they’re in a position where they just need *bodies* who are capable of hitting baseballs at an acceptable level.

cashgod27Member since 2024
6 days ago

When you’ve had the worst offense in baseball for two months, you can’t really afford to get picky. You absolutely throw a bunch of spare parts together for a guy who’s going to be their second-best hitter until Judge is back, even if he doesn’t fit defensively.

carterMember since 2020
6 days ago

He won’t play vs lefties. Also I’d be shocked if Stanton doesn’t magically arrive right before the playoffs, and playoff Stanton is another beast. Judge should also be back. Right handed bats would have made a lot more sense. It’s a weird fit for them specifically, especially when guys like Lane Thomas just got traded day before. All things considered though he’s performed as good as any bat available… so I don’t hate it

ajake57Member since 2019
6 days ago

I don’t understand why Garcia’s projections would get a 7-point wRC+ bump from being traded to NY. I get the extra slug, but isn’t wRC+ park-adjusted? Can anyone help me understand this?

HappyFunBallMember since 2019
6 days ago
Reply to  ajake57

East Coast media bias?

ThomasMember since 2017
6 days ago
Reply to  HappyFunBall

lol where do you think Washington DC is located?

warpath
6 days ago
Reply to  ajake57

wRC+ is adjusted for the overall park factor of the park, but some parks suit certain hitters better than others. I’d guess that something about Garcia’s spray pattern makes the models think he will fare better in Yankees stadium than Nats park.

Lunch AngleMember since 2016
6 days ago
Reply to  warpath

it is park adjusted yeah, but that only means that it accounts for the overall park factor. Nats Park is an above average park for lefty batters, but Yankee Stadium is even better. Hence the projection bump.

marinmccoveysMember since 2026
6 days ago

Garcia doesn’t get on base, he doesn’t play D well, he’s having a career year offensively, and the Nats need a lot of arms. They did fine here.

Willians Astu-stu-studilloMember since 2020
6 days ago

I think the profile is a welcome fit for the Yankees. He doesn’t walk much, but they can afford the hit to their overall BB%. He also doesn’t strike out much, practically tied for lowest on the Yankees, and he hits for power. So he puts the ball in play a lot, with authority. Plus he runs one of the highest FB+LD pull rates among lefties – 36th in total events despite reduced PAs, due to being platooned. You gotta like that in Yankee Stadium.

With him and Stanton in the fold, and ongoing offensive struggles at catcher, I wonder about the possibility of seeing Rice behind the plate in September.