Archive for Minor Leagues

Entirely Premature Statistical Report on the Arizona Fall League

It is “factually” “true” both that (a) the Arizona Fall League only just commenced yesterday and also that (b) AFL performances, even after having been regressed and adjusted for environment, are of questionable utility so far as evaluating prospects is concerned. (See, for example, Mike Trout’s performance there in 2011.)

That said, for those of us not currently present in the Greater Phoenix area — a state of affairs that might most appropriately be called “the best of times and the worst of times” — one of the few ways to participate in that very compelling league is by dwelling for too long on very small statistical samples.

Which, that’s the impetus for this post.

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A Minor Review of 2013: Cardinals

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009.

The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013’ will look back on some of the major happenings in each MLB organization since the beginning of April as a primer for the upcoming FanGraphs Top 10+5 prospects lists. This series will run throughout September and October. I hope you enjoy the series and are eagerly anticipating the start of ‘Prospect List Season.’

The player listed in the sleeper section was featured in a pre-season series that looked at one fringe prospect in each organization that was expected to take a big step forward during 2013, chosen by myself, a scout or a front office talent evaluator.

The Graduate: Shelby Miller, RHP: Pick a rookie, any rookie. The Cardinals may have received more impact from the minor leagues than any other club in 2013. Miller produced the second highest strikeout rate (8.78 K/9) of any rookie pitcher with at least 130 innings pitched, behind only Jose Fernandez of Miami. After some inconsistent results in the minors, the Texas native is once again looking like a future top-of-the-rotation talent.

The Riser: James Ramsey, OF: Ramsey was a tough player to rank in the offseason because the third-party scouting reports weren’t as kind to him as the opinions I received directly out of the Cardinals organization. I finally settled on a home for the outfielder at the 11th spot of the Cardinals Top 15 prospects list. He went on to play at three levels in 2013 and finished the season in Triple-A. Ramsey showed unexpected power with 16 home runs and posted an OPS of .814.

The Tumbler: Carson Kelly, 3B: When I spoke to a talent evaluator last winter, he said Kelly might have the highest ceiling of any player taken by the Cardinals in the 2012 amateur draft. The 19-year-old third baseman opened 2013 in low-A ball but posted a .590 OPS in 43 games to earn a trip back to short-season ball where he regrouped. That same talent evaluator compared Kelly’s offensive potential to the Giants’ starting catcher Buster Posey, which is fitting considering the Cardinals decided to move the second-year pro behind the plate after the ’13 season.

The 2013 Draft Pick: Steven Farinaro, RHP: The right-hander was considered a tough sign due to his commitment to UCLA, as well as the mixed opinions on his future (starter or reliever). Only three other players (The first three picks) received a larger bonus in the Cardinals’ draft class than Farinaro’s $750,000 — even though he was selected way down in the 11th round. He had a rude introduction to pro ball when he posted a 6.29 ERA in 10 games (six starts).

The Sleeper: Tony (Anthony) Bryant, OF: This was a huge miss. Bryant’s raw potential caught the attention of a talent evaluator I spoke with in the winter. However, before the end of spring training, the young outfielder was handed his release papers and failed to appear in an official game in 2013 despite later catching on the with Washington Nationals.


A Minor Review of 2013: Phillies

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009.

The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013’ will look back on some of the major happenings in each MLB organization since the beginning of April as a primer for the upcoming FanGraphs Top 10+5 prospects lists. This series will run throughout September and October. I hope you enjoy the series and are eagerly anticipating the start of ‘Prospect List Season.’

The player listed in the sleeper section was featured in a pre-season series that looked at one fringe prospect in each organization that was expected to take a big step forward during 2013, chosen by myself, a scout or a front office talent evaluator.

Read the rest of this entry »


A Minor Review of 2013: Braves

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009.

The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013’ will look back on some of the major happenings in each MLB organization since the beginning of April as a primer for the upcoming FanGraphs Top 10+5 prospects lists. This series will run throughout September and October. I hope you enjoy the series and are eagerly anticipating the start of ‘Prospect List Season.’

The player listed in the sleeper section was featured in a pre-season series that looked at one fringe prospect in each organization that was expected to take a big step forward during 2013, chosen by myself, a scout or a front office talent evaluator.

Read the rest of this entry »


A Minor Review of 2013: Nationals

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009.

The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013’ will look back on some of the major happenings in each MLB organization since the beginning of April as a primer for the upcoming FanGraphs Top 10+5 prospects lists. This series will run throughout September and October. I hope you enjoy the series and are eagerly anticipating the start of ‘Prospect List Season.’

The player listed in the sleeper section was featured in a pre-season series that looked at one fringe prospect in each organization that was expected to take a big step forward during 2013, chosen by myself, a scout or a front office talent evaluator.

Read the rest of this entry »


A Minor Review of 2013: Mets

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009.

The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013’ will look back on some of the major happenings in each MLB organization since the beginning of April as a primer for the upcoming FanGraphs Top 10+5 prospects lists. This series will run throughout September and October. I hope you enjoy the series and are eagerly anticipating the start of ‘Prospect List Season.’

The player listed in the sleeper section was featured in a pre-season series that looked at one fringe prospect in each organization that was expected to take a big step forward during 2013, chosen by myself, a scout or a front office talent evaluator.

Read the rest of this entry »


A Minor Review of 2013: Mariners

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009.

The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013’ will look back on some of the major happenings in each MLB organization since the beginning of April as a primer for the upcoming FanGraphs Top 10+5 prospects lists. This series will run throughout September and October. I hope you enjoy the series and are eagerly anticipating the start of ‘Prospect List Season.’

Read the rest of this entry »


Pedro Alvarez, Edwin Encarnacion, and Usable Power

With the season now on the threshold of the playoffs, there’s no more logical a thing to consider briefly than — and the public is certainly demanding to know more about — the question of raw power versus usable power and what it looks like at the major-league level.

The concept is important, and perhaps underestimated in its importance, but can also be illustrated rather expediently in the persons of Pittsburgh third baseman Pedro Alvarez and Toronto first-base/DH-type Edwin Encarnacion. Of Messrs. Alvarez and Encarnacion, one can make three true statements, as follows — namely that (a) both players hit 36 home runs this season, (b) both recorded something not unlike 600 plate appearances, and (c) both hit home runs in just under 6% of their respective plate appearances.

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A Minor Review of 2013: Rangers

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009.

The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013’ will look back on some of the major happenings in each MLB organization since the beginning of April as a primer for the upcoming FanGraphs Top 10+5 prospects lists. This series will run throughout September and October. I hope you enjoy the series and are eagerly anticipating the start of ‘Prospect List Season.’

Read the rest of this entry »


A Minor Review of 2013: Athletics

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009.

The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013’ will look back on some of the major happenings in each MLB organization since the beginning of April as a primer for the upcoming FanGraphs Top 10+5 prospects lists. This series will run throughout September and October. I hope you enjoy the series and are eagerly anticipating the start of ‘Prospect List Season.’

The player listed in the sleeper section was featured in a pre-season series that looked at one fringe prospect in each organization that was expected to take a big step forward during 2013, chosen by myself, a scout or a front office talent evaluator.

Read the rest of this entry »