Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 4 of 15
Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.
Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, including former shortstop Juan Uribe and four current shortstops.
Other Players: Alex Avila / Chris Davis / Stephen Drew / David Freese / Chris Iannetta / Kelly Johnson / Howie Kendrick / Justin Morneau / Daniel Murphy / Mike Napoli / Dioner Navarro / Geovany Soto / Chase Utley / Matt Wieters / Ben Zobrist.
Juan Uribe (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Uribe:
- Has averaged 409 PA and 3.5 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 5.1 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 1.9 WAR in 397 PA in 2015.
- Is projected to record 2.2 WAR per 600 PA**.
- Is entering his age-37 season.
- Made $6.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2013.
*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Uribe.
Asdrubal Cabrera (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Cabrera:
- Has averaged 576 PA and 1.4 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 1.5 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 2.2 WAR in 551 PA in 2015.
- Is projected to record 1.2 WAR per 600 PA**.
- Is entering his age-30 season.
- Made $7.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2014.
*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Cabrera.
Ian Desmond (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Desmond:
- Has averaged 648 PA and 3.5 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 3.2 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 1.7 WAR in 641 PA in 2015.
- Is projected to record 2.0 WAR per 600 PA**.
- Is entering his age-30 season.
- Made $11.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2014.
*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Desmond.
Alexei Ramirez (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Ramirez:
- Has averaged 651 PA and 1.9 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 1.8 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a -0.5 WAR in 622 PA in 2015.
- Is projected to record 1.3 WAR per 600 PA**.
- Is entering his age-34 season.
- Made $10.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in February 2011.
*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Ramirez.
Jimmy Rollins (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Rollins:
- Has averaged 613 PA and 1.9 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 1.8 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 0.2 WAR in 563 PA in 2015.
- Is projected to record 1.5 WAR per 600 PA**.
- Is entering his age-37 season.
- Made $11.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2011.
*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
Ian Desmond has to be just about the hardest guy to predict. I could see that one go so many different ways from a one year pillow contract, to accepting the qualifying offer, to getting a Pablo Sandoval deal. I just don’t know.
Seems to be a pretty candidate for a 1 yr re-establishment deal. Pads?
He seems like a great candidate to be the first to take the QO, but I bet he doesn’t. He’ll try like hell to get the deal he wants, and if it isn’t there, the worst case scenario is that he get a 1-year deal for a few million less than the QO, but at least he gets options for where he wants to play (though I’d assume Washington anyway). I think a team will take a chance on him at 6/$100 million and the security in that deal will be too much for him to pass up.
6 100 to the yankees? ^
I said 5 years $75 million. Less dollars per year than he’ll want, but since he’s relatively young, someone will add enough years to make it palatable. Hard to imagine him going the one year route.