11:58 |
Dan Szymborski: If you die at 1 PM today, you will die knowing that you wasted the last hour of your existence because it’s time for the Dan Szymborski Cavalcade of Mediocrity!
|
11:59 |
Comment From Ryan GoinsMEDIOCRITY? THATS MY MIDDLE NAME!!!
|
11:59 |
Dan Szymborski: Cruel parents.
|
11:59 |
Comment From Walt JockettyHey Danny Boy! Did you see Skip’s gritty home run vs. St. Louis this weekend? Vindication is sweet! EAT CROW STATS BOY
|
11:59 |
Dan Szymborski: It’s a holiday that comes twice a year!
|
11:59 |
Comment From Kwisatz HadarachIf you are Jon Daniels, what is your game plan for the coming offseason?
|
12:00 |
Dan Szymborski: Wait and see. If I’m Daniels now, I don’t even know who is healthy in NOvember.
|
12:00 |
Comment From NealWhat should we take from Marcus Stroman’s first outing? Other than the yankee special he seemed pretty alright.
|
12:00 |
Dan Szymborski: Pretty solid.
|
12:00 |
Dan Szymborski: Nothing super notable other than he gives the Blue Jays another upper-tier rotation guy for the playoffs.
|
12:00 |
Comment From TomThink the Cardinals will hang on to the NL Central division lead?
|
12:01 |
Comment From Matt Harveys UCLHow about them Pirates? 2.5 back, think they can take the central?
|
12:01 |
Dan Szymborski: They can, but time favors the Cardinals. The calendar is getting small.
|
12:01 |
Comment From NealInsert weekly question about where Price signs here.
|
12:02 |
Comment From Concerned Reader JohnThought(s) on Johnny Cueto’s recent struggles?
|
12:02 |
Dan Szymborski: Oops, forgot to insert the weekly question for Neal
|
12:02 |
Dan Szymborski: “Where does Price sign?”
|
12:02 |
Dan Szymborski: But since I can’t ask questions at my own chat or it would destroy the chat trope, I cannot answer.
|
12:03 |
Dan Szymborski: I’d have to look at it more, but I get the impression almost that his delivery’s much sloppier than it usually is. But that could also be confirmation bias – I know he hasn’t pitched well lately, so I may be more inclined to believe it’s something like that.
|
12:03 |
Comment From BobWhat surprise Mystery Team signs Price this offseason?
|
12:03 |
Dan Szymborski: Bailing out Neal from the trap!
|
12:03 |
Dan Szymborski: Right now, I’m going to say Cubs.
|
12:04 |
Comment From Phillies113Dan, I don’t really have a good baseball question to ask. What would be a good topic for me to bring up for this chat? Thanks!
|
12:05 |
Dan Szymborski: Anything you can think of once we hit the Lightning Round.
|
12:05 |
Comment From Marcus Stromans ACLWho is your WS favorite right now this very moment?
|
12:06 |
Dan Szymborski: Dodgers right now. They’ve secured the race enough that the chances of the Giants foiling them are very long, so those scenarios don’t crush their WS odds.
|
12:06 |
Comment From TimDo you agree with Atlanta’s tanking strategy? It seems like losing that much could alienate a lot of fans
|
12:06 |
Dan Szymborski: I’m not sure you can call it tanking. A full rebuild is sometimes necessary. People act like winning 65 games instead of 72 means something to the fans, when there’s no real evidence that it does
|
12:08 |
Dan Szymborski: It just sounds good “Hey you can’t completely tank or you lose the fans!” But the O’s decade not too long ago and the Rockies most of the time featured teams refusing to rebuild and going for .500 and it appears to be done absolutely jack @#%# for retaining fans.
|
12:08 |
Dan Szymborski: Yeah, the Marlins killed their fan base, but that was also an extreme case.
|
12:08 |
Dan Szymborski: We’ll see how Astros attendance looks next year (attendance tends to lag a bit)
|
12:09 |
Dan Szymborski: Remember in the Marlins case it was essentially announcing “We’re going to sell off everybody because we don’t want to pay for anything and we demand a new park and by the way, our claims of losing $30 million is a complete @#%#% lie if you read the Smiley report.”
|
12:09 |
Comment From NealDAMNIT MY CONQUEST TO DESTROY THE SZYMBORSKI CAVALCADE OF MEDIOCRITY HAS BEEN RUINED AGAIN
|
12:10 |
Comment From Art VandelayTulo down for H2H playoffs, should I use Sano or Lindor ROS?
|
12:10 |
Dan Szymborski: Depends how much the position is worth it to you.
|
12:10 |
Dan Szymborski: It’s not lik you can put Sano at short. If it’s a position, however, where SS/3B doesn’t matter, Sano then.
|
12:11 |
Comment From MSWI’m in the fantasy playoffs so I need some halp. Which is a better start, Kazmir @ Texas or Quintana vs Oakland?
|
12:11 |
Dan Szymborski: I’d take Quintana.
|
12:11 |
Comment From MichaelMediocrity as a middle name isn’t cruel parents. Mediocrity as a *first* name is cruel parents.
|
12:11 |
Dan Szymborski: Now, first name is *really* cruel parents.
|
12:11 |
Comment From NostradamusPresumably, Price will sign towards the bottom of the final sheet of the contract that is verbally agreed upon. Depending on the format, he may initial each page as well.
|
12:11 |
Comment From GuestDodgers sign Price and Grienke?
|
12:11 |
Dan Szymborski: I think they go all-out for Greinke and probably don’t win Price.
|
12:11 |
Comment From LightningWhat video games are you playing this week?
|
12:11 |
Dan Szymborski: The usual. (sorry, meant to save for Lightning Round)
|
12:12 |
Dan Szymborski: Hearthstone, Final Fantasy XIV
|
12:12 |
Dan Szymborski: (Finally got through the expansion storyline on the latter, now I’m starting to save up tomes for gear and getting remaining crafting/gathering to 60 and getting red scrip stuff)
|
12:13 |
Comment From LightningPortal Stories: Mel, played it?
|
12:13 |
Dan Szymborski: I have not.
|
12:13 |
Dan Szymborski: DAMMIT LIGHTNING
|
12:13 |
Dan Szymborski: I am very stupid, so I’m easy to trick.
|
12:14 |
:
|
12:14 |
Comment From NealThere are some Blue Jays conspiracy theorists who believe that Tulo isn’t actually that injured, and the 2-3 week estimate is just to “give him a reason to get rest”. I don’t know why I’m posting this.
|
12:14 |
Dan Szymborski: That’s not a question. That’s a statement!
|
12:14 |
Comment From AndrewDoes Daniel Murphy get a QO?
|
12:14 |
Dan Szymborski: As we’ve seen from the Mets, they value $ and don’t value draft picks.
|
12:15 |
Dan Szymborski: Though I guess from the Cuddyer signing, you could say they don’t value either.
|
12:15 |
Comment From EhhhThink the Royals hold onto the AL lead?
|
12:16 |
Dan Szymborski: Yes. 2 games is more than it sounds at this point (not insurmountable, but 2 games is enough to make you signif favorite)
|
12:16 |
Dan Szymborski: And the Royals don’t have many tough games left
|
12:17 |
Dan Szymborski: There’s the Cubs makeup game and the Indian series (I still thin kthe Indians are better than the Twins) left
|
12:17 |
Comment From FrankDo you think the Astros will go after a 1B for 2016, or rely on what they have until AJ Reed is ready?
|
12:17 |
Dan Szymborski: No, I don’t think that’s what they’ll target.
|
12:17 |
Dan Szymborski: 1B spending in FA tends to be inefficient.
|
12:17 |
Comment From HouzerAre the Rays the worst offense in baseball right now against righties?
|
12:18 |
Dan Szymborski: Don’t think so – last I checked, I think the Marlins had like a 650 OPS against righties
|
12:18 |
Comment From GuestTulo with a cracked shoulder blade. What strange injury does he have next?
|
12:18 |
Dan Szymborski: I don’t think a player has ever been put on the DL with beriberi!
|
12:18 |
Comment From MSWSo you think the Dodgers will top the Mets in the NLDS?
|
12:18 |
Dan Szymborski: In the NLDS, you get a disproportionate amount of Greinke/Kershaw compared to what you get in regular season
|
12:18 |
Comment From MikeI saw your retweet of Greg Holland’s precipitous velocity decline … I don’t remember – in general does a sudden, dramatic decline in velo strongly suggest injury?
|
12:18 |
Dan Szymborski: It can, but I don’t want to cause any panic.
|
12:19 |
Comment From Steve Donahuewhy did it take three MRIs to figure out that Teixeira’s leg was broken?
|
12:19 |
Dan Szymborski: Maybe the first two were MREs? “Nah, the boil-in-bag spaghetti says he’s ok?”
|
12:19 |
Comment From ThornI’m streaming verrett tonight. Thoughts?
|
12:20 |
Dan Szymborski: Home and the Marlins suck. There are worse ideas easily
|
12:20 |
Comment From TimAs a pirates fan who went through Dave Littlefields yearly “drive for 75” and then saw Huntington tear it down, a lot of locals DID care about winning 70 instead of 60. Fans went insane when he traded away the “core” of McLouth, Nady and Bay
|
12:21 |
Dan Szymborski: Except you’re making my point.
|
12:21 |
Dan Szymborski: THe more rabid fans yelled about it on talk radio
|
12:22 |
Dan Szymborski: There was no decrease in attendance. Since 2009 – the Pirates attendance has been up every year.
|
12:22 |
Dan Szymborski: 2014 was the 3rd highest attendance/game in the history of the Pirates. 2015 is the 1st.
|
12:23 |
Dan Szymborski: Despite the complaining, nobody actually valued winning 70 instead of 60. People valued *actually being a good team*
|
12:23 |
Dan Szymborski: And sweeping Dave Littlefield’s Augean Stables was the best way to actually be a good team.
|
12:23 |
Comment From JordanIt’s looking more likely that the Jays are going to take a run @ Price in free agency, do you think they are for real or just pandering to what the fan base wants to hear?
|
12:23 |
Dan Szymborski: I think they will but will be outbid
|
12:24 |
Comment From MikeSo where are the Indians right now as far as playoff odds? Where were they a month ago? Is there any chance? (I think the answer to the last question is no but I’m hoping you say yes.)
|
12:24 |
Dan Szymborski: Low single digits. Actually a slightly worse standing than last month – the calendar was always against them
|
12:25 |
Dan Szymborski: If the schedule was 182 games, the Indians would have a decent shot. 162 games, not so much.
|
12:26 |
Dan Szymborski: All of these things have to happen: they have to be 4 better than the Twins over 21, 2 better than the Angels over 21, and at *least* 5 games better than the loser of the AL West.
|
12:27 |
Dan Szymborski: And the schedule hurts them because with the AL West teams playing each other, one team tanking will help the other teams.
|
12:28 |
Dan Szymborski: Like say the Rangers fall apart. 20% of their remaining games are against the Angels, so that takes away a scenario
|
12:29 |
Dan Szymborski: Because let’s say the Rangers go 8-12 in their final 20 games. That’s good for the Indians. But they also need that to be against Houston and Seattle, not against the Angels.
|
12:29 |
Dan Szymborski: If you pencil in an 0-4 scenario for Rangers against Angels, the Angels have a 4-0 scenario and with that assumption, their average result over last 20 would be 12-8, which puts Indians needing .667 ball
|
12:30 |
Dan Szymborski: Obviously, that’s *one* scenario of many, but just pointing out that every scenario like this that exists hurts the Indians
|
12:30 |
Dan Szymborski: That’s why it can sometimes be very very hard to make up even a few games when you’re behind several teams that play each other a lot
|
12:31 |
Dan Szymborski: Same with the Twins. The Twins could suck in September and lose a bunch of ground to Indians in 7 games. But if the Indians suck in September, it’s likely they also sucked against the Angels.
|
12:31 |
Comment From ChristianWhich GM job would you prefer: Phillies or Mariners? I am afraid you will say Phillies since they have something that actually resembles a farm system 🙁
|
12:31 |
Dan Szymborski: Phillies.
|
12:32 |
Dan Szymborski: I don’t think the Mariners actually understand why the Zduriencik years failed.
|
12:33 |
Dan Szymborski: I believe the Mariners believe that the Mariners organization had good plans that Zduriencik failed to execute. I’d argue that the organization had bad plans that Zduriencik executed in average fashion.
|
12:33 |
Comment From ozzieCespedes to Baltimore this offseason?
|
12:34 |
Dan Szymborski: Probably not. He’s going to be very overpaid I think and that’s not usually the O’s gas.
|
12:34 |
Comment From MichaelIt looks like the projections show the Dodgers would be about 3-2 favorites over the Mets in the NLDS. Seems a little high, no?
|
12:34 |
Dan Szymborski: 60% isn’t that crazy.
|
12:35 |
Comment From MSWSomehow the Mets managed to rebuild despite trying to not tank completely because they were worried about losing fans.
|
12:35 |
Dan Szymborski: Except they *did* lose fans.
|
12:36 |
Dan Szymborski: Go check their attendance numbers – tryign to win 75 games a year didn’t do anything to retain the fans of the late 00s
|
12:37 |
Comment From Josh IHi Dan! Been waiting a while to ask you this. Best career – Chris Bassitt, Sean Nolin, Kendall Graveman, or Jesse Hahn?
|
12:37 |
Dan Szymborski: If Hahn were healthy right now I’d say him
|
12:37 |
Dan Szymborski: But he’s not
|
12:38 |
Dan Szymborski: Bassitt probably safest
|
12:38 |
:
|
12:38 |
Comment From Geralt of RiviaHi Dan, any opinion on the regular meltdowns of Sale against the Twins? It’s mostly luck by them or they found sometingh to lecture him ??
|
12:38 |
Dan Szymborski: I wouldn’t read too much into noisy data. Even if there *is* signal here, you’ll never find it.
|
12:38 |
Comment From Ol Sea CapnWhere do you see Taijuan Walker ranking next year? His second half has shown promise but is he ready to breakout?
|
12:39 |
Dan Szymborski: He’s always on the verge of it, but he still goes through these long stretches where he just looks like he has no idea what he’s doing out there
|
12:40 |
Dan Szymborski: Now, walks aren’t an issue, so I’m not talking about that
|
12:40 |
Dan Szymborski: It’s just that he goes up there and sometimes seems like he’s just out there throwing.
|
12:40 |
:
|
12:40 |
Comment From brianWill Kyle Schwarber play another game at catcher, and pick up eligibility for next year, or are the Cubs worried about the rib injury?
|
12:40 |
Dan Szymborski: He might sneak in another one still.
|
12:41 |
Comment From TimFun Fact: Oliver Perez’s 2004 season is in the dictionary beside the word “outlier”
|
12:41 |
Dan Szymborski: You have a really weird dictionary
|
12:41 |
Comment From NealIf the Mets don’t sign Cespedes. Will the fans reach Rockies Reyes levels of depression?
|
12:41 |
Dan Szymborski: Possibly.
|
12:41 |
Comment From Jeremy CorbynBe seeing you.
|
12:41 |
Dan Szymborski: Well, if I’m hanging out in 4th place in the 2020 election, sure.
|
12:42 |
Comment From Ol Sea CapnIs Odorizzi worth the hype? I feel like I missed an opp to sell high on him pre injury but unsure what hos future holds. Thiughts?
|
12:42 |
Dan Szymborski: I think he’s rated fairly accurately right now
|
12:42 |
Comment From JillPick 1 to stream. I don’t need K’s. Smyly vBAL (Chen) or Matz vNYY (Pineda). Matz was shakey against the Braves & Smyly has been great & not so great.
|
12:43 |
Dan Szymborski: At home I’ll go with smyly
|
12:43 |
Comment From Tito F.When’s Kluber coming back?
|
12:43 |
Dan Szymborski: When his hammy’s better. I dont’ think he’s on a specific timetable.
|
12:44 |
Comment From MarcWas the weekend series the kiss of death for the Yankees with respect to the division?
|
12:44 |
Dan Szymborski: Not death, but 3.5 games is fairly serious at the this time of year.
|
12:44 |
Comment From GuestWorst cliche playoff trope announcers start to wheel out around now? I nominate “winning the playoffs is all about getting hot at the right time,” which is as much of a tautology as I can come up with.
|
12:45 |
Dan Szymborski: I always enjoy that one. It’s essentially A = A.
|
12:45 |
Dan Szymborski: (as you note of course)
|
12:46 |
Dan Szymborski: All the various playoff experience bullcrap.
|
12:47 |
Dan Szymborski: There’s actually no evidence that teams with playoff experience on the roster out-perform their expected records and vice-versa
|
12:47 |
Comment From GaryWhy Lindor gettin’ no love for the AL ROY?
|
12:48 |
Dan Szymborski: Evaluating defense is tricky — even with Lindor expected to play excellent defense — and Lindor came up about the time the mainstream stopped paying attention to the Indians
|
12:48 |
Comment From GuestDo the Cardinals sign Heyward this offseason?
|
12:48 |
Comment From Phillies113What if the parents are Greek, and they name their child Mediocrates?
|
12:48 |
Comment From Guestapparently jack white attempted to fight the guy from black keys last night. good on him
|
12:48 |
Dan Szymborski: I have no idea what the background of this is
|
12:49 |
Comment From GaryAny thoughts on Trout’s precipitous decline in stolen bases?
|
12:50 |
Dan Szymborski: It’s not unexpected. First, stolen bases peak very very very early
|
12:50 |
Dan Szymborski: And guys that prove to be extremely crucial *outside* of their stolen bases tend to see their attempts decline quite a bit
|
12:51 |
Comment From Greg Hollands MotherMY BABY BOY IS INJURED?
|
12:51 |
Comment From Guest“the ‘core’ of McLouth, Nady and Bay” my heart pines for the people of pittsburgh
|
12:51 |
Comment From RyanShould the Nationals consider rebuilding, or are they still in decent shape for next year?
|
12:51 |
Dan Szymborski: I think they’re in pretty good shape
|
12:51 |
Comment From hscerWhat changes in ZiPs from late September to next year’s preseason projections?
|
12:52 |
Dan Szymborski: Full model, year of aging significant. Things like BABIP are “stickier” in season than season-to-season
|
12:52 |
Comment From JordanIs Alex Anthopoulos the exec if the year?
|
12:52 |
Comment From GuestCubs’ playoff odds something around 100%, and division odds have been so low that I never considered it as a possibility. Is there any reason I should care about games they lose?
|
12:53 |
Dan Szymborski: Well, home field for the playoff game is a few percentage points
|
12:53 |
Comment From 20longyearsIf you’re Neal Huntington, what offer do you make to Happ after the season? He’s not this good, and he’d cost more, and Kingham and Glasnow and Taillon will crowd the rotation soon, but he’s probably still better than Locke.
|
12:53 |
Dan Szymborski: I don’t think I would
|
12:54 |
Comment From GuestWhat do the Cardinals do with Moss next year? Or do they trade him before then?
|
12:54 |
Dan Szymborski: If nobody shows interest, he’s a possible non-tender.
|
12:55 |
Comment From hscerFG still has the Nats at non-zero to win the World Series! (0.1%, but still!) Do you?
|
12:55 |
Dan Szymborski: Well, not zero – I wouldn’t put the odds that we’re living in a simulation of the universe at exactly zero. Longer than FG for sure.
|
12:55 |
Comment From Julio PepperAny chance Choo can be a 2-ish WAR player and salvage some of his contract?
|
12:55 |
Dan Szymborski: He can be 2ish maybe. It’s still looking pretty awful
|
12:56 |
Comment From GuestAstros only have 91% playoff odds, seems pretty low no?
|
12:56 |
Dan Szymborski: You guys always want to ask about the odds I dont’ run! lol
|
12:56 |
Dan Szymborski: I don’t think that’s low.
|
12:57 |
Dan Szymborski: They’re not *that* far ahead of the Twins and Angels.
|
12:57 |
Dan Szymborski: If they don’t win ithe division, the events that make them not win the division are also likely to make winning a wild card difficult
|
12:58 |
Dan Szymborski: If they don’t win the division, all their odds are essentially WC2 because if they don’t win the division, they sure as hell didn’t lose the division *and* catch the AL East loser (likely the Yankees)
|
12:58 |
Comment From SeanDo you see Yasmani Tomas having trade value, especially if a team could put him at 1B? I think he’d be a plus defender at first (he’s surprisingly athletic, just raw) and he definitely has potential with the bat. His contract is pretty friendly too.
|
12:58 |
Dan Szymborski: I think he would have some trade value.
|
12:58 |
Dan Szymborski: But Arizona would only trade him for $70 million worth of prospects because that’s what he signed for.
|
12:59 |
Dan Szymborski: Trout only signed a $1.2 million signing bonus. So ARizona would need just under 60 Trouts or so in return to make a trade.
|
12:59 |
Comment From NealDAMN DAN. SHUTTING DOWN ALLLLLL INDIAN FANS HOPES AND DREAMS.
|
12:59 |
Comment From Cube JockeyWould you rather see the rosters for the Wild Card games carry over to the division series so that the WC games have to be managed more like a standard game?
|
12:59 |
Dan Szymborski: No, I think the all-in play-in is a really good thing
|
1:00 |
Comment From Mandatory High SocksSo, Ryan Dull. Any thoughts?
|
1:00 |
Dan Szymborski: He’s lucky *his* parents didn’t name him Mediocre
|
1:01 |
Dan Szymborski: He’s deserved a shot – I think it’s always smart for teams to look at guys that defy their original scouting reports
|
1:01 |
Dan Szymborski: He’s not a big guy and his fastball doesn’t pop any high numbers, but he’s got a crapload of movement
|
1:01 |
Comment From MattWho will be a bigger disappointment relative to their contracts that they’ll sign next year – Jason Heyward, or Yoenis Cespedes?
|
1:02 |
Comment From Mandatory High SocksWhat midrange SP would the A’s go after in free agency? Buerlhe?
|
1:02 |
Dan Szymborski: Buehrle in Oakland would be fun, though there’s always the chance he retires which he always threatens
|
1:02 |
Comment From tomWhat are your thoughts on Craig Counsell as manager? From the limited amount I’ve seen him, he seems to love sacrifice bunting with his position players with a man on first and no outs..
|
1:02 |
Dan Szymborski: Honestly, I dont’ turn to a ton of Brewers games this year so any impression of this type would be small sample
|
1:02 |
Comment From Josh TholeI’m Dickey’s personal catcher. I close my eyes when I catch his knuckleball, and I’m the best one at it. I CLOSE MY DAMN EYES, DAN.
|
1:03 |
Comment From Phillies113If each playoff-bound team could choose only one player from a non-playoff team to play for them just for the duration of the playoff run, which players would (or should) each team take?
|
1:04 |
Comment From LukeSting WWE Champion?
|
1:04 |
Dan Szymborski: WOuld have been more interested if this was 15 years ago
|
1:04 |
Comment From MSWCorrect, the Mets lost a ton of fans, and most like me refused to spend money on the team because of ownership. I’d have preferred a total teardown, or even if they admitted before 2012 that they had been rebuilding for three years. That being said, they tried the half-assed rebuild plan, it took 6 years, and now they’ve got a contender. I’m pleased with the result even though I railed against the process.
|
1:05 |
Comment From AgaveOtterYour opinions on Patron Warrior? should he be nerfed? if so, how?
|
1:05 |
Dan Szymborski: oops, clipped wrong one
|
1:05 |
Dan Szymborski: Well, we’re getting to 1 PM
|
1:05 |
Dan Szymborski: OK, let’s call the start of the Lightning Round. Especially since everybody was good and I only8 had to save a couple questions for the Lightning Round.
|
1:06 |
Dan Szymborski: The rules of the Lightning Round are simple. I have to answer every off-topic question EVEN IF I DO NOT HAVE ANY PARTICULAR INSIGHT OR KNOWLEDGE. Usual exceptions (explicit stuff, work-related)
|
1:06 |
Dan Szymborski: So if you ask me question about ESPN and esports or something that counts as something I do not have to answer!
|
1:06 |
Dan Szymborski: (and won’t)
|
1:06 |
Comment From GuestIs there something wrong with the fact that each of our 9 supreme court justices attended one of three law schools? Or does that simply reflect that our system works well to smoke out merit through two levels of higher education gatekeeping (i.e. admissions) and evaluation (i.e. grades)?
|
1:07 |
Dan Szymborski: I think what it comes down to is that the brightest and also importantly *ambitious* minds try to hit those schools.
|
1:07 |
Dan Szymborski: And bright minds that are also *ambitious* will more likely seek out those schools.
|
1:08 |
Comment From Guest‘No way to prevent mass shootings,’ says only nation where this regularly happens
|
1:08 |
Dan Szymborski: Actually, on a per capita basis, our standing in mass shootings is rather unimpressive – where we excel are those run-of-the-mill murders.
|
1:10 |
Dan Szymborski: Like our overall murder rate kicks germany’s ass, but our rampage shooting deaths per capital is only liek 20% higher.
|
1:10 |
Comment From Art VandelayIs too much RNG ruining Hearthstone?
|
1:11 |
Dan Szymborski: No, RNG is a big part of spectator sports of all types.
|
1:11 |
Dan Szymborski: Look at how BABIP is a thing.
|
1:11 |
Dan Szymborski: Poker has even bigger RNG and it’s a very successful spectator event for a card game
|
1:12 |
Dan Szymborski: The thing is RNG *does* help better players too – it creates a wide variety of tactical situations.
|
1:12 |
Comment From GuestThe Outfield – Your Love: great song or greatest song?
|
1:12 |
Comment From MattTomas could be had for a school of trout? Seems low, no?
|
1:12 |
Comment From Guest
Mr. Stewart, we have your shipment here in return for Yasmani Tomas.
|
1:12 |
Comment From GuestHow much does recency bias affect FA contracts? Talk of Cespedes getting a boatload, certainty that Fowler will get a QO, etc. when they’re not exactly young and having career-best seasons.
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1:13 |
Dan Szymborski: There’s quite a bit of recency bias
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1:13 |
Dan Szymborski: Would be interesting to do a more specific study
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1:13 |
Comment From That guyYou know WWE isn’t real, right?
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1:13 |
Dan Szymborski: You know Breaking Bad isn’t real, right?
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1:13 |
Dan Szymborski: OMG YOU SO STUPID DID YOU THINK BRYAN CRANSTON WAS ACTUALLY MAKING METH? LOLOL
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1:13 |
Comment From GuestWhy not call this the thunder round?
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1:14 |
Dan Szymborski: Thunder is loud and seeing text isn’t loud.
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1:14 |
Comment From MarkFixing Patron is easy: Warsong commander’s effect is a buff – once something gets higher than 3 attack it no longer has charge.
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1:14 |
Dan Szymborski: That’s what I would do. The problem with Patron Warrior isn’t really the Grim Patrons.
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1:14 |
Dan Szymborski: The Patron Warrior deck should best be described as a Frothing Berserker deck.
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1:15 |
Dan Szymborski: Patrons are annoying as hell, but it’s those Berserkers doing 40 damage that is what makes the deck overpowered
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1:15 |
Dan Szymborski: And relatively non-interactive.
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1:15 |
Dan Szymborski: I might raise Patron to 6 or reduce to 3/2, but only after testing after a warsong fix.
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1:15 |
Comment From GuestBruce Springsteen even wrote a song about it, Thunder Round
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1:16 |
Comment From GuestWhat’s the most explicit thunder round question you have declined to answer?
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1:16 |
Dan Szymborski: Sex-related stuff. Not sure why people would ask a dumpy nerd approaching middle age sex questions but people are odd.
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1:16 |
Comment From Mandatory High Socks
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1:16 |
Comment From GuestHave you ever been to japan
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1:16 |
Dan Szymborski: I have not.
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1:16 |
Comment From GuestHave you ever been to scotland
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1:16 |
Comment From GuestHave you ever been to italy
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1:16 |
Dan Szymborski: I have not.
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1:16 |
Comment From GuestHave you ever been to sweden
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1:16 |
Comment From GuestHave you ever been to lesotho
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1:16 |
Comment From Phillies113Who dropped the screw in the tuna?!
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1:17 |
Dan Szymborski: I’m guessing this is a sexual question?
|
1:17 |
Comment From Guestis shrek love? is shrek life?
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1:17 |
Comment From MattSoup, or Spaghetti?
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1:17 |
Dan Szymborski: Spaghetti
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1:17 |
Comment From Blast HardcheeseWhen you want to get rid of a headache, what do you reach for? Aspirin, Tylenol, Aleve, Advil, Vicodin, or something else?
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1:17 |
Dan Szymborski: ibuprofen
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1:17 |
Comment From AaronIs the hot dog a sandwich?
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1:17 |
Comment From Your Display NameEver tried MtG?
|
1:17 |
Dan Szymborski: Yes, but i mostly played mtg in the 90s
|
1:17 |
Dan Szymborski: I was a blue-white control guy
|
1:18 |
Comment From MattThunder and lightening are different sides of the same coin, Dan.
|
1:18 |
Dan Szymborski: Yeah, but I emphasize the speed part rather than the sound part
|
1:18 |
Comment From MattREO Speedwagon was neither fast, nor a wagon. Thoughts?
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1:18 |
Dan Szymborski: Their popularity fell off quite fast
|
1:18 |
Comment From Bernie SandersFEEL THE BERN BABY!
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1:18 |
Dan Szymborski: Not a question
|
1:18 |
Comment From MattHave you ever been to Narnia?
|
1:19 |
Dan Szymborski: No. I don’t think I’d fit in a school locker.
|
1:19 |
Comment From PogoFrankfurter and Hamburger or dog and burger?
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1:19 |
Dan Szymborski: hamburger and hot dog
|
1:19 |
Comment From DruidifulIs pizza a sandwich?
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1:19 |
Comment From tomSeriously? What is the argument for a hot dog not being a sandwich? That the bread is connected? Is a hoagie not a sandiwch?!
|
1:19 |
Dan Szymborski: The hinge is a big deal. Also, forces are applied differently. I dont’ consider subs sandwiches either.
|
1:19 |
Comment From MattBlue-white control guy. Does that make you a smurf?
|
1:20 |
Comment From KevinPunishment for the HS football players that took out the referee?
|
1:20 |
Dan Szymborski: Expulsion. Even in the event that the racial slur story was true. Violence is unacceptable.
|
1:20 |
Comment From Pogois there a town in germany called KauFleischhoff that would have been a more appropriate home of the hamburger?
|
1:21 |
Dan Szymborski: I do not believe so
|
1:21 |
Comment From Bernie SandersOK HAVE YOU FELT THE BERN YET???
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1:21 |
Comment From GuestShould I rename my car the Oreo Speedwagon when I go to the groceyr stire
|
1:21 |
Dan Szymborski: Trademark violation?
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1:21 |
Dan Szymborski: I actually play with a TF2 player named Oreo Speedwagon
|
1:22 |
Comment From Adamwhat are the top 3 movies you’ve seen in the past 5 years?
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1:22 |
Dan Szymborski: Uh Lincoln, Imitation Game and I can’t say best, but I really loved Skyfall
|
1:22 |
Comment From GuestIs pizza an open-faced sandwich?
|
1:22 |
Comment From GuestIs an open-faced sandwich a sandwich?
|
1:22 |
Dan Szymborski: It is not
|
1:22 |
Comment From Guest“sub” is literally short for “submarine sandwich”
|
1:22 |
Dan Szymborski: I can call something angel hair pasta and that doesn’t make the hair of angels into pasta
|
1:23 |
Comment From tom“I don’t consider subs sandwiches”- GET OUT JUST GTFO
|
1:23 |
Comment From MattI once heard someone not from America order a Hot Dog sandwich. It made me chuckle.
|
1:23 |
Comment From KevinWhy weren’t there more Rafael Palmeiro and Viagra jokes?
|
1:23 |
Dan Szymborski: Ther ewere
|
1:23 |
Comment From arThe argument is as follows: if someone was out and texted you and said “hey i’m getting sandwiches, do you want one?” and you said “sure” and then they came back with a hot doq, you would be a)surprised, and b) pissed.
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1:23 |
Comment From DruidifulDo you play WoW at all?
|
1:23 |
Dan Szymborski: Yeah, though at this point mostly at the expansions
|
1:23 |
Comment From Blue CatIf a health inspector shut down a food business because they served pork and it offended his Islamic religious beliefs, would the flag eagle people holding up the kentucky lady as a martyr have a crisis of mental conflict?
|
1:23 |
Dan Szymborski: letter warriors only defend their side
|
1:23 |
Comment From Mikeis gravy a condiment or a sauce?
|
1:23 |
Comment From KevinWhy do people wear their sunglasses at night?
|
1:23 |
Dan Szymborski: To increase the chances of car accident
|
1:24 |
Comment From MattOn a scale of 1 to 10, what’s your favorite letter?
|
1:24 |
Comment From DruidifulWhat TV do you watch other than baseball?
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1:24 |
Dan Szymborski: football, wrestling, it’s always sunny
|
1:24 |
Comment From Guestwhy would someone ask sexually explicit questions of you in the thunder round? I don’t ask sexually explicit questiosn where I eat.
|
1:24 |
Dan Szymborski: People are insane
|
1:24 |
Comment From KevinDid you know most people think that Def Leppard is a hearing-impaired large cat?
|
1:24 |
Dan Szymborski: That was the original drummer
|
1:24 |
Comment From Permanent ScarsThose are some seriously weak movies, you should watch better movies bro
|
1:24 |
Comment From tomIs Dan Symborski a sandwich?
|
1:25 |
Dan Szymborski: Don’t know him
|
1:25 |
Comment From KevinWhat is the difference between a submarine sandwich, a Hoagie and a Hero?
|
1:25 |
Dan Szymborski: that submarine is a good name and the others are dumb
|
1:25 |
Comment From BruceThe chat box beeps, Szymborski’s mouse clicks. Like a vision he types across the screen as the radio plays. Countless people chatting cause they’re lonely, hey that’s me and I want Dan only. Don’t IP ban me again, I just can’t face myself alone again. OOOOOOOO THUNDER ROUND
|
1:25 |
Dan Szymborski: You can’t possibly hear my mouse from there
|
1:25 |
Comment From MSWA hot dog is a kind of sausage, the bread is irrelevant.
|
1:25 |
Comment From MattBacon and Chili are the only food in a category of their own ad things that can pass as both meals, and condiments. Agree?
|
1:25 |
Dan Szymborski: Chili is a stew. You can use it as a condiment but it’s still stew
|
1:25 |
Comment From spudchukarGood on you for recognizing the greatness of “The Imitation Game.” And if the MVP in the NL were voted on by the players, I bet Yadier Molina would get a lot of votes.
|
1:25 |
Comment From Guestbaseball is a tv?
|
1:25 |
Dan Szymborski: I assume baseball-related programming
|
1:25 |
Comment From tomar, if someone asked you if you wanted a sandwich and you didn’t specify the type, YOU HAVE NO RIGHT TO BE UPSET. If someone brought me a tofu sandwich I wouldn’t eat it, but I’d have no right to be angry because I am the idiot who wasn’t specific
|
1:25 |
Comment From Guestwhen does it’s always sunny come back?
|
1:26 |
Dan Szymborski: I actually thought it was coming back in september!
|
1:26 |
Comment From arfeels like they are running out of ideas for brawls… do you have any good ones that haven’t been done yet?
|
1:26 |
Dan Szymborski: I’d like to see one in which we get the same decks powers as random naxx bosses.
|
1:26 |
Dan Szymborski: So you could be Heroic Mode Kel Thuzad against Heroic Mode Anub’arak or something
|
1:26 |
Comment From KevinWhat does a dyslexic, agnostic, insomniac do?
|
1:27 |
Dan Szymborski: I’m only one of those. I imagine edits Wikipedia a lot.
|
1:27 |
Comment From Blue CatIf you were Terrence Howard, would you publicize the fact that you left a school because you argued with a teacher about if 1 times 1 equaled one, and you thought it didn’t?
|
1:27 |
Dan Szymborski: Probably not, but I tell dumb stories about myself too
|
1:27 |
Dan Szymborski: If mean, if you were Dan Szymborski, would you publicize the fact that you ruined a $100 keyboard with gravy?
|
1:28 |
Comment From marcCats names Dexter and Walkter after two TV B.As. Yay or nah?
|
1:28 |
Comment From marcYay or nah on “Better call Saul”?
|
1:28 |
Dan Szymborski: Yay, but I’m biased because I tend to overlike Bob ODenkirk tghings
|
1:29 |
Comment From Art VandelayIf you’re German, sauerkraut is also in the food/condiment category
|
1:29 |
Dan Szymborski: Sauerkraut is a salad
|
1:29 |
Comment From mtswExpectation created by new Subway ads that the person making my sandwich will be enthusiastic about receiving custom sandwich requests the least realistic thing an ad has expected to believe recently?
|
1:29 |
Comment From MattJack and Coke, hold the coke, or Rum Chatta on the rocks?
|
1:30 |
Dan Szymborski: I can’t drink much straight-up liquor – i’ve had occasional stomach acid related issues over th years
|
1:30 |
Comment From MSWA dog named Barktolo Colon, best idea or bestest idea?
|
1:30 |
Dan Szymborski: That is a good
|
1:30 |
Comment From DruidifulDo you think that Curtis Granderson was being truthful about believing the moon landing was faked?
|
1:30 |
Dan Szymborski: Well, truthful that he believed it
|
1:30 |
Comment From MattIf I were Dam Szymborski, I would not only not admit that I owned a $100 keyboard, but also that I wasted gravy.
|
1:30 |
Comment From GuestCraig Finn on a seamless ads, attributed solely as “craig.” what
|
1:30 |
Dan Szymborski: wait, what?
|
1:31 |
Comment From marcwhats a good underrated Netflix series?
|
1:31 |
Dan Szymborski: Honeslty I’d have to look at a list
|
1:31 |
Comment From KevinDoes taking the new Jared Subway challenge result in jail time?
|
1:31 |
Dan Szymborski: I don’t think Subway endorses child pornography
|
1:31 |
Comment From MattCurt Schilling, The Dali Llama and Rick Flair go to a bar. What’s the punchline?
|
1:32 |
Dan Szymborski: They all have an enjoyable dinner?
|
1:32 |
Comment From GuestA cat named Clayton Kershawhisker
|
1:32 |
Comment From GuestA rabbit named Bryce Hopper
|
1:32 |
Comment From GuestA duck named Bill
|
1:32 |
Comment From GuestA horse named Rollie Neighlor
|
1:32 |
Dan Szymborski: OK, that looks like a good time to stop
|
1:32 |
Dan Szymborski: Thank you all for coming! Hope to see you guys next week!
|
1:33 |
Dan Szymborski: As a reminder, you can find my work on ESPN.com, chats and projections here at FanGraphs, and DSzymborski on Twitter. ZimSmash on Twitch (though slow during baseball season), DSzymborski on Steam, and Zim#1236 on Blizzard! Or if you don’t like Szymborski avoid all these things! But if you don’t like Szymborski why are you wasting your time here? It’s not like you’re hanging out days early for Sully or Cameron.
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“‘No way to prevent mass shootings,’ says only nation where this regularly happens [that we actually hear about]”. Fixed that for you.