Detroit Tigers Top 34 Prospects
Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Detroit Tigers. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as our own observations. This is the second year we’re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see in the “position” column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers.
A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. A much deeper overview can be found here.
All of the numbered prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details than this article and integrates every team’s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found here.
| Rk | Name | Age | Highest Level | Position | ETA | FV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Torkelson | 22.4 | AAA | 1B | 2022 | 60 |
| 2 | Riley Greene | 21.3 | AAA | RF | 2022 | 60 |
| 3 | Jackson Jobe | 18.9 | R | SP | 2026 | 50 |
| 4 | Dillon Dingler | 23.3 | AA | C | 2023 | 50 |
| 5 | Cristian Santana | 18.1 | R | SS | 2025 | 45 |
| 6 | Reese Olson | 22.4 | AA | SP | 2022 | 45 |
| 7 | Ty Madden | 21.4 | R | SP | 2024 | 45 |
| 8 | Joey Wentz | 24.3 | AA | SP | 2022 | 45 |
| 9 | Colt Keith | 20.4 | A+ | 3B | 2025 | 40+ |
| 10 | Beau Brieske | 23.8 | AA | SP | 2023 | 40+ |
| 11 | Ryan Kreidler | 24.2 | AAA | SS | 2022 | 40+ |
| 12 | Gage Workman | 22.2 | A+ | SS | 2024 | 40+ |
| 13 | Wilmer Flores | 20.9 | A | SIRP | 2024 | 40+ |
| 14 | Trei Cruz | 23.5 | A+ | 2B | 2024 | 40 |
| 15 | Izaac Pacheco | 18.6 | R | 3B | 2026 | 40 |
| 16 | Alex Faedo | 26.2 | AA | SP | 2022 | 40 |
| 17 | Dylan Smith | 21.1 | R | SP | 2025 | 40 |
| 18 | Roberto Campos | 18.6 | R | RF | 2025 | 40 |
| 19 | Elvin Rodriguez | 23.8 | AAA | SP | 2022 | 40 |
| 20 | Jason Foley | 26.2 | MLB | SIRP | 2022 | 40 |
| 21 | Kody Clemens | 25.6 | AAA | 2B | 2022 | 40 |
| 22 | Paul Richan | 24.8 | AA | SP | 2022 | 40 |
| 23 | Manuel Sequera | 19.3 | R | 2B | 2023 | 40 |
| 24 | Wenceel Perez | 22.2 | A+ | SS | 2022 | 40 |
| 25 | Zack Hess | 24.9 | AA | SIRP | 2022 | 40 |
| 26 | Wilkel Hernandez | 22.7 | A | SP | 2022 | 40 |
| 27 | Parker Meadows | 22.2 | A+ | CF | 2022 | 40 |
| 28 | Daniel Cabrera | 23.3 | AA | LF | 2022 | 40 |
| 29 | Angel De Jesus | 24.9 | AAA | SIRP | 2022 | 35+ |
| 30 | Franklin Pérez | 24.1 | AA | SP | 2022 | 35+ |
| 31 | Tyler Mattison | 21.9 | R | SIRP | 2025 | 35+ |
| 32 | Andre Lipcius | 23.6 | AA | 3B | 2023 | 35+ |
| 33 | Jose De La Cruz | 20.0 | A | RF | 2024 | 35+ |
| 34 | Keider Montero | 21.5 | A+ | SIRP | 2023 | 35+ |
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.
Undrafted $20K Gems
Gabriel Sequeira, LHP
Chris Mauloni, RHP
Nick Davila, RHP
In addition to a few of the undrafted prospects in the main section of the list, the Tigers have this troika led by Sequeira and his terrific slider, which helped him strike out 74 in 47 IP, albeit as a 23-year-old in A-ball. Mauloni, 23, is a lower slot righty out of Jacksonville with two good breaking balls and an upshot fastball sitting about 93-94. He has a relief-only mechanical flavor. Davila has more of a starter look with more generic stuff, sitting 92 with an average slider and change. He could eventually be a spot starter.
Performance Art
Austin Murr, OF
Bryant Packard, OF
Ben Malgeri, OF
Austin Schultz, 2B/OF
This group consists of guys who have performed statistically, in either college or pro ball, and could realistically become bench pieces. Murr, 24, spent two years at a Des Moines JUCO then had two great seasons at NC State and was a sixth rounder in 2021. He had a measly 4% swinging strike rate in pro ball, though it was a relatively small, low-level sample. Packard has been on this list before but his performance took a dip in 2021 and we’re now a few years removed from the glow of his college track record, which is what put him on our radar in the first place. Malgeri did a box step around New England as an amateur, playing his freshman year at Holy Cross, summer ball with North Shore, then transferring to Northeastern and getting Cape reps before the draft. He has an OBP-driven profile. Schultz is a short-levered, multi-positional SEC performer drafted in the 10th round in 2021.
Earn Your Stripes
Eliezer Alfonzo, C
Rayner Castillo, RHP
Carlos Marcano, RHP
J.D. McLaughlin, OF/RHP
Iverson Leonardo, OF
Gabriel Reyes, LHP
Wilmer A. Fenelon, RHP
The young guys. We want to love Alfonzo, 20, as he’s a young-for-the-level switch-hitter with good numbers, but his visual evaluation is more in line with a third catcher on a 40-man. Castillo is still 17 and has prototypical measurables at 6-foot-3, 170 pounds. He sat 90-92 in 2021 and has a 45-grade curveball right now. Marcano, 18, also has a plus frame, sits about 92, and has a solid curveball. McLaughlin is a big-framed junior college prospect from Arizona with a bunch of 40/50-grade tools and a chance to grow into meaningful mass. He has experience on the mound and at a few different defensive positions. Leonardo, 20, has above-average bat speed and good career numbers, but his swing is odd and he’s a three-year rookie ball guy. Reyes, 18, is an above-average athlete currently sitting about 90-91. Fenelon, also 18, sat 92 in 2021 and has a slider that some pitch metrics really like, but he also walked a batter per inning. Those three teenage arms are priority stateside follows for 2022.
Older Depth Arms
Garrett Hill, RHP
Brendan White, RHP
Michael Bienlien, RHP
Wilmer Fenelon, RHP
Erick Pinales, RHP
Hill struck out 99 hitters in 75 innings while reaching Double-A in 2021, but the Tigers didn’t 40-man him. He sat mostly 91-94 during his Arizona Fall League stint, and his breaking balls, especially his slider, were harder than they were during the regular season. Hill’s splitter is his out-pitch, though. He’s a four-pitch spot starter type. White is a funky low-ish slot righty relief prospect with a big, sweeping breaking ball that spins in at 2900 rpm. Bienlein, 24, is another good find from NC State and has pitched well through the mid-minors while sitting 93-94 with an average curveball. That’s right, there are two Wilmer Fenelons in this system. They’re cousins. This Fenelon, 21, only pitched 11 innings in 2021 but he sat 97 while he did so. He also walked a batter per inning. Pinales sits 96 but has 20 control.
System Overview
The Tigers won just 77 games in 2021, but taken in context, the season was a rousing success. Some much-hyped young players began to contribute in the big leagues, the impact of new manager A.J. Hinch was easy to see, and the humble win total represented the club’s high water mark over the last five years. The Tigers aren’t good yet, but they’ve taken the essential and quite difficult step of going from being a club that is constantly re-tooling to one on its way. Now it’s time to take that next step toward actual contention.
Most of Detroit’s progress in 2021 came on the pitching side, as the offense finished 11th in the American League in runs scored. But while the Tigers system isn’t exceptionally deep, it does feature a duo of 60 FV offensive prospects in first baseman Spencer Torkelson and outfielder Riley Greene, who are not only quite good, but also quite close to making their debuts in Motown after finishing the year with successful runs at Triple-A Toledo. If both can reach their potential (far easier said than done), the middle of the Tigers lineup will be transformed. Those two alone could end up producing as much as some systems will in their entirety.
Other than 2021 first round pick Jackson Jobe, who is a long way away, the rest of the system is stocked with plenty of potential big leaguers, though few who look like future impact players. That’s fine, as the team has already sent the message that they are ready to spend in order to complement what’s coming from within, committing more than $200 million to Eduardo Rodriguez and Javier Báez this winter, while also trading for Gold Glove catcher Tucker Barnhart.
While the White Sox aren’t going anywhere at the top of the AL Central, the Tigers have plenty of key indicators trending in the right direction, and look to be on pace for their first playoff appearance since 2014 in the coming years.
Total aside bc I just started reading….FanGraphs is in as good a position as anyone or anything to start referring to the NCAA as a pro level league. I know it’s not technically correct and since we’ve all gone insane, would hurt the site’s credibility, but like…it is and they’re lying under cover of being able to write the rules. Just wait until Disney pays for media rights in 2023, it’s going to be a shit ton of money for a totally definitely amateur league that just happens to get meat years for free from many many future MLers….many only there because the MLB made up rules so they specifically would be funnelled to the NCAA
What’s more disgusting…a blatantly criminal organization exploiting both youth and labor without even hiding it anymore….or that everyone….f’n everyone in this corrupt Disneyland/Ruby Tuesdays…perpetuates the lie?
Anyway, back to the list…Colt Keith seems interesting, impressed by what he’s done so far IIRC
Soft kitty, warm kitty, little ball of fur…
uhh
It’s all good guys: I’m a little stoned plus on the cahvid-19…it made sense to me at time
“we’ve all gone insane” is very true, though.
*That* said: I still agree with it just…time and place…First comment too. Still, even passive support for the NCAA propping itself as amateur should go away and fast
Lmao I thoroughly enjoyed it
Also it was a bit worded incoherently but you’re mostly right about NCAA
this is a correct take, whoever downvoted is cringe incarnate. the ncaa is an anti-labor cartel
Yup.
I downvoted (so I guess I’m “Cringe incarnate”..Oh NO, how will I go on!!!)….because it has nothing to do with the article.
There are a lot of things that are “correct” ,but, really have no reason to be posted in an article about Tigers prospects. Keep it relevant.
“Thin” is pretty good, considering Mize, Skubal and Manning (for now) have graduated. Could Greene and Torkelson be the next Kaline/Cash? That would be the dream scenario, but even if they just turn out to be comps for Bobby Higginson and Jason Thompson, solid but unspectacular, that still makes the Tigers better tomorrow than they are today. Hope beats despair every day of the week.
The SP depth in the upper minors is sneaky good considering all the big arms have graduated. There is a decent chance they get a good #4 starter out of the Wentz/Faedo/Olson/Brieske/Hill/Elvin group and probably a good reliever as well
I thought Faedo was the most likely to be that guy, and then Wentz, but with the injuries, who knows what they’re like now. Brieske probably is the guy I’d think has the best shot. I’m not sure what Olson is going to be, but my guess it’s going to be a reliever of some kind, although potentially a good one. He’s not a particularly exciting prospect but for a rental reliever who wasn’t even that good at the deadline, he’d be an excellent return even if he only pitches the 7th inning and the fans feel good about it.
I still like Alex Lange some too, gritty mcgritguy who is also a grinder
I get the Alexei confused…first round righties, SEC arms. It isn’t hard to confuse me though.
I’d bet against Faedo as he gives me a lot of Henry Sosa vibes because of his excellent control/command and extreme flyball tendencie without the velocity Sosa has even at 36 years old as he had been measured at 157 KPH (97.5 MPH) as recently as 2020 while sitting 92-95. (Missed almost all of 2021 with a torn ACL).
& they’ve got Jobe/Madden/Smith behind them. Granted they haven’t pitched in the minors yet, but, a good chance the if/when one of Mize/Skubal/Manning either flames out/gets hurt/ gets expensive, they may have the replacement ready.
Add in Turnbull coming back from TJ in 2023 & they could have a ton of pitching in2-3 years.
I do think the Jobe 2026 timeline is awfully conservative for a 50, who as Eric says, could move quickly.
Between Trei Cruz, Gage Workman, Kody Clemens, Parker Meadows, and Daniel Cabrera, there seem to be a disproportionate number of guys who can’t make contact (Pacheco may join them). I’m not sure anyone saw this coming with Cabrera but for the other guys, it does make me wonder how the Tigers are evaluating hit tool–I think all of these guys were picked in rounds 2-4, so while the likelihood anyone in that range pans out is low it’s still pretty ugly. Kreidler also fits this description too, and is probably the closest thing for a success story of guys-who-can’t-hit and in his case, it’s largely because he can play shortstop. So I don’t know what their plan was but to me, them drafting a ton of arms in 2021 seems like a better idea than them (hopefully) unintentionally and repeatedly drafting guys who can’t make contact.
Also add Nick Quintana (who they flipped for Barnhardt), and maybe Dingler. They seem to have trouble developing hit tool, not just evaluating.
Quintana! I knew there was another guy! I don’t know whether it’s them evaluating or developing but they have a thing for these older guys who can’t hit. (I guess Meadows is a younger guy who can’t hit.)
And Dingler, yeah, he’s kind of a mess offensively too. Although if he can catch and there’s any power at all there’s a good chance he’ll be fine anyway. Catchers are like that.
Thank goodness they picked some position players at the top of the first round, otherwise things would be a bit of a mess. Maybe they should just draft pitchers from now on and trade for batters.
The last impact bat to arrive in Detroit was probably Nick Castellanos in 2014, before that I guess it was Granderson in 2005. Things have been BLEAK.
That said, the Tigers have made the following hires, almost entirely in the past several months:
VP Player Development poached from the Dodgers, Director of Player Development poached from the Brewers, Director of Pitching from the Dodgers, Pitching Coordinator from the Dodgers, Hitting Coordinator from Driveline, and a bunch of new minor league coaches…
I mean maybe we’ll see a few reasons for optimism this year?
Yep, they also revamped their front office by moving Sartori and Menzin into VP roles. There’s actually been a really radical overhaul of decision makers and coaches over the past 4-5 months. Maybe they won’t do better, but I’m feeling pretty optimistic about it.
I was going to make a similar comment. The new blood coming in on the developmental side makes me hopeful that they recognize the challenges and gaps they’ve had with developing hitters and are trying to address it. I’m all about looking for reasons for optimism!
I am a little surprised to see no mention of Eric De La Rosa. He had a productive year last year, albeit a little old for his level(s).
Is there any schedule or something about what order or frequency the top prospects lists come out in?
No, not publicly ahead of time. They get rolled out in seemingly random order through June.
So Eric lives in Arizona (at least he used to), so my guess is that the Arizona teams come a bit sooner because he can go watch the Arizona Complex League way more. The Tigers play in Florida, though, so my guess is those come when he can finish sourcing the list.
They are slightly different in their skill bases, but Riley Greene is a Michael Brantley comp.
Also Detroit has recently been more successful with PD for pitching rather than hitting and Eric said that they had a gentleman’s agreement pre-draft w Jobe assuming Mayer would be gone and didn’t want to renege on it, but it was still fascinating to watch Detroit take Jobe before Mayer with Middle Infield a glaring hole in their pipeline and SP seemingly a strength.
Maybe in terms of overall value, but since Brantley has 30 game power and probably a 65 grade hit tool, 70 if you’re being generous, probably there are better comps out there. Greene looks more like a guy who runs higher strikeout rates (and probably walk rates too) but gets to about 30 homers a year at his peak and has good quality contact when he puts the ball in play. I wouldn’t be surprised if his best seasons will look like Teoscar Hernandez’s 2021, although I’d guess higher walk and strikeout rates. He’ll also look better doing it than Hernandez.
You think Brantley has 30 game power?
Maybe not at his peak. But now? Yeah, absolutely.
(Open up copy of Future Value). Eric gives 30-grade power to 5 HRs / 650 PAs, .095 ISO, .345 SLG, 20% hard hit %, and 1% barrel rate (he uses Jarod Dyson and Alcides Escobar as comps). Brantley is some parts 40 (ISO, HRs) and some parts 45 (hard hit %, barrel%) based on what I see in the book. His SLG% puts him at a 50, but that’s mainly due to base hits / batting average.
That’s about a full grade higher than I would have expected for that. Thanks.
I guess I better need to get Future Value (checked it out from the library, had to return it, so I don’t have it here).
I’d very easily give Brantley a 70 grade hit tool (and a flat out 80 as far as bat control goes) and 45 game power for his career. His career ISO is .142 vs .156 league average.
Marcelo Mayer is going to give Tigers fans nightmares for the next decade. You’ve got an Alan Trammell-level shortstop fall into your lap … and you draft a kid pitcher.
Tsk tsk. Jackson Jobe is no mere kid pitcher, you philistine!
Quick question about Kreidler – 50 grade raw and in-game power, but the “2021 Updated Board” has his max EV at 102. That is, shall we say, well below average. So did that change in 2021, but “The Board” just hasn’t updated yet? Can anyone explain that?
I like Green and Torkelson a lot. If they combine for almost 6 WAR like ZiPS projected them, that will be an extremely fun season in DET.