Projecting Brendan McCurry, The Return for Jed Lowrie
On Thanksgiving Eve, the Athletics acquired infielder Jed Lowrie from the Astros in exchange for minor league reliever Brendan McCurry. If you haven’t already, you should check out Jeff Sullivan’s piece on Lowrie. This abbreviated missive focuses not on Lowrie, but on the minor league reliever who’s headed to Houston.
An undersized reliever, McCurry fell all the way to the 22nd round in 2014’s amateur draft, but his minor league performance has since lifted him to fringe prospect status. McCurry worked in relief at High-A and Double-A last season, where he pitched exceptionally well. He struck out 32% of his batters faced last season, and finished up with a 2.44 ERA.
McCurry’s numbers are excellent, but plenty of minor league relievers put up excellent numbers, especially in the lower levels. Throw in that he’s nearly 24, and he’s about as fringy as they come. KATOH forecasts McCurry for a mere 0.7 WAR through his age-28 season, making him the 771st highest-ranked prospect. Going by the stats, at least, most organizations have multiple relief prospects just as interesting as McCurry, if not more interesting. His Mahalanobis distance comps help illustrate how rarely guys like this become anything more than Triple-A depth.

Name | Year | Mah Dist | IP | WAR | |
1 | Austin House | 2014 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Seth Frankoff | 2013 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Adam Kolarek | 2012 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Randy Fontanez | 2013 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Zack Thornton | 2012 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Cody Ege | 2014 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Grant Dayton | 2012 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Seth Rosin | 2012 | 0.73 | 6 | 0 |
9 | Robert Bell | 2009 | 0.76 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Rob Musgrave | 2010 | 0.77 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Zach Quate | 2010 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ricky Brooks | 2008 | 0.91 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Cody Winiarski | 2013 | 1.08 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Mason Mcvay | 2014 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Kyle Bellamy | 2010 | 1.12 | 0 | 0 |
16 | C.C. Lee | 2009 | 1.12 | 34 | 0 |
17 | Jose Valdez | 2012 | 1.22 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Christopher Nunn | 2014 | 1.24 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Hector Neris | 2012 | 1.25 | 41 | 0 |
20 | Justin Kaye | 2000 | 1.31 | 3 | 0 |
Chris works in economic development by day, but spends most of his nights thinking about baseball. He writes for Pinstripe Pundits, FanGraphs and The Hardball Times. He's also on the twitter machine: @_chris_mitchell None of the views expressed in his articles reflect those of his daytime employer.
Interestingly, if you find this sort of thing interesting, some of his top comps were in Oakland’s system too: House, Frankoff, and Thornton.