NERD Game Scores: Dylan Bundy’s Debut of Debuts

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Baltimore at Tampa Bay | 13:10 ET
Bundy (38.0 IP, 116 xFIP-) vs. Odorizzi (104.2 IP, 101 xFIP-)
A lot hasn’t gone particularly well for Dylan Bundy over the last few years. After having been selected fourth overall in 2011 out of an Oklahoma high school and then promptly dispatching all manner of hitter up to Double-A as just a 19-year-old, Bundy experienced arm trouble which required surgery. Since then, he’s failed to reproduce the ecstatic promise of his first year — failed until this most recent month, that is. One wouldn’t necessarily notice it even by examining Bundy’s full-season numbers, but he’s been excellent recently.

Regard:

Two Dylan Bundys
Range IP K% BB% GB% xFIP- ERA- Velo
4/7 to 6/9 26.0 13.7% 7.7% 29.2% 136 103 93.4
6/15 to 7/6 12.0 32.0% 6.0% 37.9% 71 0 95.3

That’s Bundy over the most recent month (on bottom) compared to all of Bundy from before that. The difference is stark. More strikeouts, fewer walks, more ground balls — and he’s throwing harder. Which, perhaps that last variable is responsible for the first three: greater arm speed tends to have positive consequences beyond just a better fastball.

Of course, all that’s been in relief because all of Bundy’s career appearances have been in relief. This is his first start as a major leaguer. The point, though: Bundy appears more well prepared to handle a starting role now than the last couple years would lead one to suppose.

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Two Other Brief Notes
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Kansas City at Detroit, starts at 13:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Broadcaster Rankings
Recently, the present author facilitated a crowdsourcing effort to reproduce the broadcaster rankings which appeared on this site roughly four years ago. The results from that effort are published here in one easily digestible post.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for July 17, 2016
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Dylan Bundy* BAL 10 9 7 5 5 TB Jake Odorizzi 13:10
Yordano Ventura KC 5 3 5 4 8 DET Michael Fulmer 13:10
Zachary Davies MIL 6 3 4 3 3 CIN Dan Straily 13:10
Jon Gray COL 9 3 5 2 5 ATL Julio Teheran 13:35
Jacob deGrom NYN 8 6 5 3 5 PHI Zach Eflin 13:35
Chad Kuhl PIT 2 5 6 7 10 WAS Max Scherzer 13:35
Josh Tomlin CLE 5 7 5 5 4 MIN Kyle Gibson 14:10
Adam Conley MIA 4 6 6 6 7 STL Michael Wacha 14:15
Cole Hamels TEX 6 5 6 6 6 CHN John Lackey 14:20
Jacob Turner* CHA 4 3 3 3 2 LAA Jered Weaver 15:35
J.A. Happ TOR 5 6 5 4 7 OAK Rich Hill 16:05
Collin McHugh HOU 5 7 6 4 6 SEA Mike Montgomery* 16:10
Kenta Maeda LAN 6 7 6 5 8 AZ Robbie Ray 16:10
Johnny Cueto SF 7 5 5 4 3 SD Edwin Jackson* 16:40
David Price BOS 9 9 7 4 6 NYA Masahiro Tanaka 20:05
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of clueless author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Joshua Miller
9 years ago

Happy (long awaited) Dylan Bundy Day everyone!