NERD Game Scores: Dylan Bundy’s Debut of Debuts
Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.
Most Highly Rated Game
Baltimore at Tampa Bay | 13:10 ET
Bundy (38.0 IP, 116 xFIP-) vs. Odorizzi (104.2 IP, 101 xFIP-)
A lot hasn’t gone particularly well for Dylan Bundy over the last few years. After having been selected fourth overall in 2011 out of an Oklahoma high school and then promptly dispatching all manner of hitter up to Double-A as just a 19-year-old, Bundy experienced arm trouble which required surgery. Since then, he’s failed to reproduce the ecstatic promise of his first year — failed until this most recent month, that is. One wouldn’t necessarily notice it even by examining Bundy’s full-season numbers, but he’s been excellent recently.
Regard:
Range | IP | K% | BB% | GB% | xFIP- | ERA- | Velo |
4/7 to 6/9 | 26.0 | 13.7% | 7.7% | 29.2% | 136 | 103 | 93.4 |
6/15 to 7/6 | 12.0 | 32.0% | 6.0% | 37.9% | 71 | 0 | 95.3 |
That’s Bundy over the most recent month (on bottom) compared to all of Bundy from before that. The difference is stark. More strikeouts, fewer walks, more ground balls — and he’s throwing harder. Which, perhaps that last variable is responsible for the first three: greater arm speed tends to have positive consequences beyond just a better fastball.
Of course, all that’s been in relief because all of Bundy’s career appearances have been in relief. This is his first start as a major leaguer. The point, though: Bundy appears more well prepared to handle a starting role now than the last couple years would lead one to suppose.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Tampa Bay Radio or Baltimore Television.
Two Other Brief Notes
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Kansas City at Detroit, starts at 13:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.
Broadcaster Rankings
Recently, the present author facilitated a crowdsourcing effort to reproduce the broadcaster rankings which appeared on this site roughly four years ago. The results from that effort are published here in one easily digestible post.
Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.
Away | SP | TM | GM | TM | SP | Home | Time | ||
Dylan Bundy* | BAL | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | TB | Jake Odorizzi | 13:10 |
Yordano Ventura | KC | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | DET | Michael Fulmer | 13:10 |
Zachary Davies | MIL | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | CIN | Dan Straily | 13:10 |
Jon Gray | COL | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | ATL | Julio Teheran | 13:35 |
Jacob deGrom | NYN | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | PHI | Zach Eflin | 13:35 |
Chad Kuhl | PIT | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 10 | WAS | Max Scherzer | 13:35 |
Josh Tomlin | CLE | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | MIN | Kyle Gibson | 14:10 |
Adam Conley | MIA | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | STL | Michael Wacha | 14:15 |
Cole Hamels | TEX | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | CHN | John Lackey | 14:20 |
Jacob Turner* | CHA | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | LAA | Jered Weaver | 15:35 |
J.A. Happ | TOR | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | OAK | Rich Hill | 16:05 |
Collin McHugh | HOU | 5 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | SEA | Mike Montgomery* | 16:10 |
Kenta Maeda | LAN | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8 | AZ | Robbie Ray | 16:10 |
Johnny Cueto | SF | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | SD | Edwin Jackson* | 16:40 |
David Price | BOS | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 6 | NYA | Masahiro Tanaka | 20:05 |
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.
* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of clueless author.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
Happy (long awaited) Dylan Bundy Day everyone!