NERD Game Scores for September 20, 2016

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

***

Most Highly Rated Game
Boston at Baltimore | 19:05 ET
Rodriguez (90.1 IP, 119 xFIP-) vs. Gausman (160.0 IP, 87 xFIP-)
Despite Boston’s win over Baltimore last night, this series remains the most relevant where postseason implications are concerned. The Red Sox possess the lowest probability of winning their division among the league’s six divisional leaders. The Orioles, meanwhile, have nearly even odds of qualifying for the wild card or not doing that. With regard to Kevin Gausman, here’s something not entirely irrelevant, either: over the last 30 days, he’s recorded the third-highest WAR among major-league pitchers — the sort calculated with FIP — and the second-highest WAR as calculated with runs allowed. This has all been information.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Baltimore Television.

One Other Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features the same Boston and Baltimore clubs cited above and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

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NERD Scores for September 20, 2016
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Eduardo Rodriguez BOS 4 7 7 8 8 BAL Kevin Gausman 19:05
James Shields CHA 1 4 3 4 2 PHI Jake Thompson 19:05
Julio Teheran ATL 5 4 5 6 8 NYN Robert Gsellman 19:10
Edinson Volquez KC 5 4 4 4 6 CLE Josh Tomlin 19:10
Michael Pineda NYA 10 4 6 5 6 TB Drew Smyly 19:10
Tanner Roark WAS 4 4 5 4 10 MIA Jose Fernandez 19:10
Josh Smith* CIN 5 4 4 4 6 CHN Jon Lester 20:05
Daniel Wright LAA 1 4 4 4 4 TEX A.J. Griffin 20:05
Matt Boyd DET 5 6 5 4 2 MIN Hector Santiago 20:10
Steven Brault PIT 3 4 4 4 2 MIL Matt Garza 20:10
Adam Wainwright STL 5 8 5 4 1 COL Jorge de la Rosa 20:40
Joe Musgrove HOU 8 5 6 4 8 OAK Sean Manaea 22:05
Archie Bradley AZ 6 4 4 4 0 SD Paul Clemens 22:10
Johnny Cueto SF 7 8 7 5 7 LAN Rich Hill 22:10
J.A. Happ TOR 5 8 6 5 3 SEA Hisashi Iwakuma 22:10
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of clueless author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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robertobeersMember since 2020
9 years ago

Cistulli, it’s time to start the discussion of Jose Fernandez’s Line Drive problem (highest rate against for a qualified starter on record).