Archive for August, 2013

The Fringe Five: Baseball’s Most Compelling Fringe Prospects

The Fringe Five is a weekly exercise (introduced in April) wherein the author utilizes regressed stats, scouting reports, and also his own heart to identify and/or continue monitoring the most compelling fringe prospects in all of baseball.

Central to this exercise, of course, is a definition of the word fringe. The author recognizes that the word has different connotations for different sorts of readers. For the purposes of this column, however — and for reasons discussed more thoroughly in a recent edition of the Five — the author has considered eligible for the Five any prospect who was absent from all of three notable preseason top-100 prospect lists.

That said, it should also be noted that in cases where the collective enthusiasm regarding a player’s talent becomes very fevered — like how the enthusiasm collectively right now for Philadelphia third-base prospect Maikel Franco is very fevered, for example — that will likely affect said player’s likelihood of appearing among the Five, given that the purpose of the series, at some level, is to identify prospects who are demonstrating promise above what one might expect given their current reputations within the prospect community.

With that said, here are this week’s Fringe Five:

Ji-Man Choi, 1B, Seattle (Profile)
Of Choi, readers will first note probably that his given name (Ji-Man) holds many possibilities in the way of amusing sobriquets — or, perhaps just one amusing one that can used frequently. Upon further inspection, however, that same reader might note something more germane to Choi’s status as a ballplayer — namely that he (i.e. Choi) has precisely zero stats for 2011. “Whither Ji-Man?” the cry goes round — or did, one assumes, for the duration of that lonely season. “Rehabbing from a back injury,” appears to be the concise answer. Regardless of what happened two seasons ago, the present one (i.e. season) has been rather an excellent one for Choi. Beginning the year with High-A High Desert, Choi recorded walk and strikeout rates of 12.8% and 15.6%, respectively, while also hitting seven home runs in 211 plate appearances there. Following an early June promotion, the 22-year-old has been even more impressive with Double-A Jackson, posting a 14.1% walk and just 13.0% strikeout rate in nearly as many plate appearances (184), while hitting more home runs (eight) than in his Cal League stint while playing in a less robust park and league run environment.

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Prospect Stock Watch: Minnesota Twins

The Minnesota Twins’ Double-A affiliate in New Britain, CT features a plethora of top prospects, including three of the best hitting prospects in the system. They were on full display during a late July series against the Philadelphia Phillies’ Double-A affiliate in Reading, PA.

Eddie Rosario, 2B

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Effectively Wild Episode 260: Many More Listener Emails, and Our Answers to Them

Ben and Sam answer listener emails about the best free agents available, expanded rosters, a world without Tommy John surgery, and more.


FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 8/6/13

6:49
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody!

Join at least me tonight at 9 pm ET, and we’ll talk baseball. If you’re going to ask me about A-Rod, it better be a creative or funny question. Otherwise, get in any questions you have, and we’ll fire it up soon!

9:00
Paul Swydan: Let’s fire this up! Just me for now.

9:01
Comment From SonnyCheeba
What ever happened to the ADR defensive ratings?

9:01
Paul Swydan: Not sure. Posting this here for the Dark Overlord. I liked those as well.

9:01
Comment From Bob Melvin
Why does Cespedes not learn that all he is going to see is sliders away until he doesn’t swing at it?

9:02
Paul Swydan: Also not sure.

Resisting the urge to make a Pablo Cerrano joke.

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Examining the Dodgers Road Win Streak

Winning streaks are fun, but they are usually gone just as quickly as they come. The Dodgers’ road winning streak, however, is nearing a month in length. It is now tied for the third-longest road winning streak in history, and a sweep of the Cardinals this week will give them the record outright. Since the record was established in 1917 and tied just once, in 1984, that is a pretty cool feat. Getting win #17 might be tough, as the matchup is Ricky Nolasco vs. Shelby Miller, but whether or not they get the record, it’s been a fun stretch of Dodgers baseball, and one that has put them firmly back in the pennant race. As such, I thought we could look back at some of the more important moments of the streak today. Read the rest of this entry »


FanGraphs Audio: Aaron Gleeman at SABR 43 in Philadelphia

Episode 368
Aaron Gleeman is a contributor to NBC’s Hardball Talk and longtime proprietor of AaronGleeman.com. He’s also the guest on this edition of FanGraphs Audio — which episode was recorded live on tape from the lobby of the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 1 hr 24 min play time.)

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And The Worst Bunt of the Year Goes To…

St. Louis Cardinals outfielder Carlos Beltran!

I would say congratulations, but this probably isn’t the kind of award you want to win. So, let’s just skip the festivities and skip right to the recap, shall we?

In last night’s game between the Dodgers and Cardinals, Los Angeles held a 3-1 lead heading into the bottom of the 7th inning. Zack Greinke was pitching well, but he’d thrown 93 pitches and after facing a pinch-hitter for Adam Wainwright, was going to have to roll through the top of the batting order for the fourth time. This is danger territory, the type of spot where rallies are frequent and leads are often blown. Pitchers are less effective as they get deeper into the game and hitters perform better against a pitcher they’ve faced multiple times that day. The recipe for a comeback was in place.

And Greinke really hurt himself by walking the light-hitting Adron Chambers, who had pinch-hit for Wainwright leading off the inning. That walk took six pitches, and ended with Greinke throwing three straight out of the zone to put Chambers on first base. This brought up Matt Carpenter, the Cardinals All-Star second baseman, and the beginning of the best part of St. Louis’ offensive attack.

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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat — 8/6/13

9:00
Jeff Sullivan: Good heavens, I think we’re starting on time.

9:00
Jeff Sullivan: I better publicize that this is live now.

9:00
Comment From Eminor3rd
DELAY! We’ can;t start on time!

9:00
Jeff Sullivan: I am not prepared for this either!

9:01
Comment From Swing and a Miss Puiggy
Jeff Sullivan and the chat long Victory lap

9:01
Jeff Sullivan: I am amazed myself

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The Atlanta Braves and the Two-Month Victory Lap

Monday night in Washington, the Braves beat Stephen Strasburg and the Nationals by a 3-2 score. The beginning of the Nationals’ MLB.com game recap reads so casually you almost skip right over the astonishing part and miss the absurdity. Quote:

WASHINGTON — The Nationals entered Monday night with nine chances remaining to cut directly into the Braves’ 12 1/2-game lead in the National League East. They wasted the first of those chances in the opener of a three-game series, as Justin Upton’s go-ahead solo home run in the eighth inning lifted Atlanta to a 3-2 victory.

Braves in first, check. Nationals with chances left, check. Nationals with a blown chance, check. Twelve and a half games. Wait. Now thirteen and a half games. Because the Braves won. The number is inserted as if the gap isn’t completely ridiculous. The number is inserted as if Nationals fans ought to be holding out hope.

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Daily Notes: Prince Fielder’s RBI Total with Every Team

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Prince Fielder’s RBI Total with Every Team
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Prince Fielder’s RBI Total with Every Team
Introduction
On Monday, during the SportsTime Ohio broadcast of the Detroit-Cleveland game, Indians color commentator Rick Manning referred to Detroit first baseman Prince Fielder as a “good RBI man.” Nor is Manning mistaken in this assessment, at all. Indeed, entering play on Monday, Fielder had recorded the ninth-highest RBI total (76) in the major leagues this season — and is fourth overall by that same measure since his rookie season in 2006.

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