2017 World Series Game 4 Live Blog
| 8:12 |
: Happy Game 4, everyone.
|
| 8:13 |
: Just having a quick dinner, then will start chatting.
|
| 8:13 |
: In the mean time, let’s have some polls.
|
| 8:13 |
:
Alex Wood goes
1-3 innings (15.0% | 28 votes)
4+ innings (53.7% | 100 votes)
5+ innings (23.6% | 44 votes)
6+ innings (4.3% | 8 votes)
7+ innings (1.0% | 2 votes)
8+ innings (1.0% | 2 votes)
9 innings (1.0% | 2 votes)
Total Votes: 186
|
| 8:14 |
:
Gurriel Suspension
Should Have Been Tonight (54.0% | 126 votes)
5 Games Next Year is Fair (45.9% | 107 votes)
Total Votes: 233
|
| 8:16 |
:
1 World Series Game is Worth
0-10 Regular Season Games (36.7% | 72 votes)
11-20 Regular Season Games (32.1% | 63 votes)
21-30 Regular Season Games (14.2% | 28 votes)
31-40 Regular Season Games (5.6% | 11 votes)
41-50 Regular Season Games (11.2% | 22 votes)
Total Votes: 196
|
| 8:18 |
: Alright, let’s get ready to talk some baseball.
|
| 8:18 |
: Gut feeling: Wood is really good tonight, goes 5 or 6, and Jansen pitches at least 2, so the Dodgers bullpen issue turns out to not be a big deal.
|
| 8:19 |
: Which starter will last longer?
|
| 8:19 |
: Wood.
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| 8:19 |
: Would guess Morton gives way to McHugh after 3-4.
|
| 8:19 |
: Just Dave tonight?
|
| 8:19 |
: Yeah, just me. Didn’t want to ask too many people to give up their Saturday nights.
|
| 8:20 |
: Does the “the appeals process would delay it until 2018 anyway” argument mean that the appeals process needs to be improved?
|
| 8:20 |
: I would guess MLB will look to add some language that clarifies how postseason suspensions will be handled going forward.
|
| 8:20 |
: Hinch’s results or Roberts’ process?
|
| 8:20 |
: The latter.
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| 8:21 |
: Wood didn’t last so long last time though. What makes this time different?
|
| 8:21 |
: Maeda isn’t available tonight.
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| 8:21 |
: And they probably don’t want to throw Fields/Stripling if they don’t have to.
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| 8:21 |
: Most of them are probably watching this anyway, though?
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| 8:21 |
: I know it might sound weird, but there’s definitely a difference between watching the game and helping run a live blog.
|
| 8:22 |
: Would you have been tempted to use Kershaw tonight? I know we’ll see him a 3rd time in Game 7 anyway.
|
| 8:22 |
: No chance.
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| 8:22 |
: Rich Hill is around to bail out Wood for a couple innings in case of danger.
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| 8:22 |
: That could happen, maybe.
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| 8:23 |
: Would you normally be doing other work related stuff while following the game if you’re not running the blog?
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| 8:23 |
: Not really, but it’s a lot easier to interact with the world around you when not live blogging. Don’t have to entirely ignore your family if just watching the game, for instance.
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| 8:24 |
: Since you’re already chatting on short rest, will you be unavailable for Game 7, or ready for a fireman-type role?
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| 8:24 |
: I’m already signed up for Game 7.
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| 8:24 |
: Send help
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| 8:25 |
: Are you mentally exhausted after live blogging a game? I’m mentally exhausted just following them and can’t imagine how you pay attention to your screen and the game
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| 8:25 |
: After Game 2 ended, I had to go clear my head before I could write.
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| 8:25 |
: I was whipped.
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| 8:26 |
: The Dodgers have made so many outs at second base this week.
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| 8:27 |
: McCann threw someone out…wow
|
| 8:27 |
: Wow, he got him by a mile there
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| 8:27 |
: Forgot granderson was on the dodgers for a minute
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| 8:27 |
: Not on the WS roster.
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| 8:27 |
: Why the delayed steal?
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| 8:27 |
: No idea.
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| 8:27 |
: 2 months without throwing someone out is awful
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| 8:27 |
: Dave how is your cable ahead of mine again!
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| 8:28 |
: I’m using an antenna.
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| 8:29 |
: Players not on WSroster still get rings, right?
|
| 8:29 |
: Yup.
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| 8:29 |
: The Astros do not have a well-regarded team defense, but they’ve been very steady executing key bang-bang plays. Preparation or SSS luck?
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| 8:29 |
: Both?
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| 8:30 |
: Be interesting to see what Wood’s velo is like.
|
| 8:30 |
: He sat 94 early in the year when he was awesome, more 92 late in the year when he struggled.
|
| 8:30 |
: 92 first pitch.
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| 8:30 |
: Then 90.
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| 8:31 |
: It looked like that hit the dirt to me.
|
| 8:31 |
: is this worth a replay?
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| 8:31 |
: Yep.
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| 8:32 |
: That didn’t hit him.
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| 8:32 |
: Well, maybe it did.
|
| 8:32 |
: Ball changed directions
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| 8:32 |
: Ground would do that too.
|
| 8:32 |
: Need a side angle to see if it was dirt or shoe.
|
| 8:33 |
: Is it worth it if you’re a batter to make a big deal out of any little contact? Should teams be teaching Springer to fall down clutching his foot?
|
| 8:33 |
: I think if you overdo it, it won’t work.
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| 8:33 |
: But yes, if it it grazes you, you gotta be a bit more demonstrative.
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| 8:34 |
: I guess you don’t watch soccer Dave. 🙂
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| 8:34 |
: It doesn’t work in soccer either. You get carded for overdoing it.
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| 8:36 |
: 90 and going nowhere he wants it to
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| 8:36 |
: Yeah, wouldn’t call this a great first inning for Wood.
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| 8:36 |
: Is Smoltz correct here about Wood having phantom injuries?
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| 8:36 |
: Every Dodgers starter had some fake injuries this year.
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| 8:38 |
: How could any playoff suspensions happen going forward? The league has said it’s unfair to the other players on the team and pointed out the need to dock salary. Surely they didn’t just make up a reason to get out of this situation?
|
| 8:38 |
: Guess they’ll codify this after the season, but I can’t imagine either the owners or the players really want suspensions to be enforced in the postseason.
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| 8:38 |
: And while there’s a reasonable case to be made that they should be enforced then, the two stakeholders negotiating the discipline won’t want it to happen.
|
| 8:39 |
: If my child does something wrong I don’t wait until next year to punish her!
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| 8:40 |
: If you took your kid to Disneyland and spent $10K on the trip, would you really equate time out hours there to time out hours at home?
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| 8:40 |
: Or would you try to figure out how to craft a punishment that disincentivizes the action without ruining your vacation?
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| 8:41 |
: Do I have 24 other kids?
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| 8:41 |
: Is your last name Duggar?
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| 8:42 |
: My last name is Dugger lol
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| 8:43 |
: Baltimore Chop!
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| 8:43 |
: Off the foot!
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| 8:43 |
: Puig needs to hit the dirt if the ball hits his foot.
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| 8:44 |
: Definitely hit the foot.
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| 8:44 |
: Not reviewable? Weird.
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| 8:44 |
: That has to be reviewable, right?
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| 8:44 |
: Should be, you would think.
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| 8:44 |
: Really glad you can’t challenge that, but we can super slo-mo a guys entire body to see if he momentarily came off the bag!
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| 8:44 |
: Makes perfect sense.
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| 8:45 |
: Okay, so maybe overselling every bit of contact isn’t the best thing, but Puig can’t be running on that right?
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| 8:45 |
: I would imagine Puig is maybe sensitive to hustle critiques.
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| 8:45 |
: And would prefer not to hear a lecture about how lazy he is for not running out a ball.
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| 8:45 |
: How is that not reviewable? Do not get that logic
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| 8:46 |
: Shouldn’t you always finish a play out and then find out if it gets called back? That seems like Little League 101 to me.
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| 8:46 |
: So if MLB incorporated video replays to “get it right”, then why not dive all the way in. Personally, I hate the replays.
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| 8:47 |
: Don’t have to have a perfect system to have a better-than-nothing system.
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| 8:47 |
: But I don’t know why that isn’t reviewable.
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| 8:49 |
: Wood’s command is a 20 so far.
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| 8:49 |
: Alex Wood is not long for this game. Command way off
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| 8:49 |
: Doders can’t pull him early.
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| 8:49 |
: Don’t have enough arms to get through.
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| 8:49 |
: Fields?
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| 8:50 |
: He won’t pitch unless it’s a blowout, probably.
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| 8:50 |
: Who’s the long man for the Dodgers tonight? Let’s say to get two innings coming into the fifth?
|
| 8:50 |
: McCarthy
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| 8:50 |
: Houston fans giving a standing ovation to the guy getting suspended for racism. Bold move.
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| 8:50 |
: Tribalism makes people do dumb things.
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| 8:51 |
: that helped.
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| 8:51 |
: Fitting
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| 8:51 |
: The universe won’t let this stand. Gurriel will be responsible for 8 outs tonight.
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| 8:51 |
: I believe in baseball gods
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| 8:52 |
: Some good D there.
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| 8:52 |
: That was nifty
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| 8:52 |
: Nope.
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| 8:52 |
: Wood doesn’t look good but he’s stealing some innings so far
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| 8:53 |
: so using the f word in your name is better then what gurriel did ?
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| 8:53 |
: Sorry, hadn’t seen that guys nickname. I deleted the comment.
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| 8:54 |
: At least you used replay, Dave
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| 8:54 |
: Fun fact: if your burger is actually touching the flame, you’re doing it wrong.
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| 8:55 |
: Burger King’s entire pitch is “we’re creating a terrible chemical reaction on your food”
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| 8:55 |
: It should be mentioned that Yu Darvish handled the thing with amazing perspective and grace. We could all learn from him.
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| 8:55 |
: At least they’re not lying about the quality of their food
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| 8:55 |
: Just to be clear, doesn’t everyone agree that using the f word in your name is better then what gurriel did?
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| 8:55 |
: Yes, of course.
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| 8:57 |
: This has been a very groundbally game
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| 8:59 |
: So we have no idea where this velocity came from for Morton, correct?
|
| 8:59 |
: He tried to throw harder, and it worked.
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| 8:59 |
: Curveballs are fun
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| 8:59 |
: That was a good curve
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| 8:59 |
: beautiful pitch on that strickout
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| 8:59 |
: Dave, are you at the bar again?
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| 8:59 |
: No, home tonight.
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| 9:00 |
: Wow 97?
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| 9:00 |
: He throws hard now.
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| 9:00 |
: And right on the corner again and again
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| 9:00 |
: This postseason has really increased my appreciation of curveballs
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| 9:01 |
: That was a fantastic pitch
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| 9:01 |
: If we’re moving towards shorter outings in general, you’ll see more guys “discover” velocity, right? More of a max effort game
|
| 9:01 |
: Yep
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| 9:01 |
: Wow
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| 9:01 |
: Morton actually looks better tonight than against the Yankees, when he kinda got lucky
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| 9:01 |
: Wow
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| 9:01 |
: Charlie Morton sits 96 now. What a time to be alive, people!!
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| 9:01 |
: Charlie Morton rules
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| 9:01 |
: You can’t take that pitch
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| 9:02 |
: That was as borderline as a pitch gets
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| 9:02 |
: Pitchers duel between Morton & Wood…just like everyone expected at the beginning of the year
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| 9:02 |
: That inning was very impressive.
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| 9:02 |
: Will teams start to pay more for a guy that goes all-out for 150 innings and gets hurt a lot over the durable, 200 inning guy who doesn’t strike out as many guys?
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| 9:02 |
: Yup
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| 9:03 |
: Does anyone else think mlb.com gameday zone box shades pitches towards what was called?
|
| 9:03 |
: Nope
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| 9:03 |
: It’s just showing Stacast location
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| 9:03 |
: Should the Astros rip up Morton’s contract and sign him longer term?
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| 9:04 |
: Nope.
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| 9:04 |
: He still gets hurt a lot.
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| 9:04 |
: What are TV broadcasts using? ‘Cause I often see a difference.
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| 9:04 |
: Same tracking system, but they can draw their own graphics box
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| 9:04 |
: So the size of the overlay varies
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| 9:05 |
: “Yup” “Nope” “Nope” Dave Cameron out here speaking like that Drive Time commercial
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| 9:05 |
: It does not feel like Alex Wood has faced the minimum at all. Astros doing him some favors.
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| 9:05 |
: Size of the box looks the same for every player
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| 9:06 |
: Right, that’s one of the downsides of the TV boxes. I’m pretty sure they don’t have individualized overlays.
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| 9:06 |
: If Houston wins the series, what do other teams try to copy?
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| 9:06 |
: Curveballs forever.
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| 9:07 |
: Also playing an obnoxious sound effect constantly before game time.
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| 9:07 |
: If Wood looks so bad tonight, what are the Astros hitters missing here? Or is it luck?
|
| 9:07 |
: They’ve swung at some bad pitches.
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| 9:08 |
: Wood has abandoned his fastball
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| 9:08 |
: It wasn’t good.
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| 9:10 |
: They’re not chasing Wood’s slider at all
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| 9:11 |
: 89 with a fastball.
|
| 9:11 |
: Wood does not have his normal velo tonight
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| 9:11 |
: I’m exaggerating a little, but aren’t starting pitchers are going the way of Running backs at this rate?
|
| 9:11 |
: Yeah.
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| 9:12 |
: 89 down the middle and McCann swung through it.
|
| 9:12 |
: Oof
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| 9:12 |
: Major props to wood if he can grind through 5
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| 9:12 |
: McCann made that look like a much better pitch
|
| 9:12 |
: McCann been under the radar terrible this series
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| 9:13 |
: why is McCann starting against the lefty?
|
| 9:13 |
: Framing.
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| 9:13 |
: Could the Dodgers put Wood on the DL after this start?
|
| 9:13 |
: Not unless he was legit hurt.
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| 9:14 |
: MLB is scrutinizing postseason roster moves much closer.
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| 9:14 |
: This is an absolute houdini act
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| 9:14 |
: Hit some fly balls, it’s 2017! I demand homers
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| 9:14 |
: Wood’s getting results better than his performance.
|
| 9:14 |
: Gritty
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| 9:14 |
: 110 EV from Springer
|
| 9:14 |
: Reddick’s was 106
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| 9:15 |
: Altuve 103
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| 9:15 |
: Need some fly balls!
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| 9:15 |
: Next inning might be no bueno for Wood…
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| 9:15 |
: Yeah, that’s the one I’d be really worried about if I was Roberts.
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| 9:15 |
: Hey, talk trash on the velo all you want, everything hit hard is on the ground.
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| 9:16 |
: Looked more like bad hitting than good pitching to me.
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| 9:16 |
: I don’t know what everybody else is watching but I just watched three hitless innings. Looks good from here.
|
| 9:16 |
: Process != Results
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| 9:17 |
: 10 straight innings without a homer. They changed the ball!
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| 9:17 |
: Or they left the stadium where it was 100 at first pitch
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| 9:17 |
: It’s apparently in the 40’s right now in Houston.
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| 9:17 |
: We’re being spoiled with beautiful curveballs this series.
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| 9:17 |
: Was that a righty on righty change?
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| 9:18 |
: Yep.
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| 9:18 |
: The difference in quality of stuff between these two SPs is stunning.
|
| 9:18 |
: Seager really struggling
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| 9:18 |
: That is just mean by Morton.
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| 9:18 |
: I can’t handle Charlie Morton looking like an ace
|
| 9:18 |
: Pretty changeup
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| 9:19 |
: The movement on the two-seamer is amazing
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| 9:20 |
: Just nasty from Morton/
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| 9:20 |
: 41 pitches through 4. What.
|
| 9:20 |
: Morton has been real good, but the Dodgers also just look horrible.
|
| 9:20 |
: Charlie Morton’s average FB velocity this year (95.0) was harder than Jake Arrieta’s (94.6) during his Cy Young season.
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| 9:20 |
: 12 outs on 41 pitches
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| 9:20 |
: Everything moving and to the corners
|
| 9:20 |
: 5 Ks
|
| 9:20 |
: Wow. He made Turner look foolish there
|
| 9:21 |
: So, Astros pitching well, hitting worse?
|
| 9:21 |
: I keep wanting to feel worried for the Dodgers but then I remember they have Kershaw tomorrow
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| 9:21 |
: Losing tonight would put them in a tough spot, but if they can steal this one, they’re in a good spot.
|
| 9:21 |
: This game probably determines the series.
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| 9:22 |
: Do you think we could create a stat that can encompass luck based on pitch location, movement, velo and expected results? Some metric To help differentiate performances like these between Morton and wood
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| 9:22 |
: Eventually, yes. Will also need some kind of sequencing variable.
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| 9:23 |
: Agree that this game could decide it. Dodgete shouldn’t wait to go to Kenley, even though they have other good relievers. He’s their best.
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| 9:23 |
: Kenley pitches tonight no matter the score
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| 9:23 |
: If it’s close, he goes 2
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| 9:23 |
: Wood is gonna get blown up eventually, I think this inning is huge
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| 9:23 |
: If Wood really has been living a charmed life, then this inning should be the true test.
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| 9:24 |
: When would you pull Wood? One base runner?
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| 9:24 |
: Have to ride him a bit, due to thin pen.
|
| 9:24 |
: Probably try to get him through 5.
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| 9:24 |
: 0 swings and misses !!
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| 9:24 |
: I’d think Dodgers should have someone up from now on
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| 9:24 |
: You prefer Fields here?
|
| 9:24 |
: That can’t be right, McCann swung through one
|
| 9:24 |
: McCarthy?
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| 9:25 |
: I like McCarthy but he hasn’t pitched much this year.
|
| 9:25 |
: That was a mistake pitch. Bregman missed it
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| 9:25 |
: They were talking about the changeup on the zero swings and misses.
|
| 9:25 |
: Bregman’s lineout was 96
|
| 9:25 |
: 5 balls hit 95+ by HOU tonight; they are 0 for 5 on them.
|
| 9:26 |
: If they have that little confident with McCarthy, why did they keep him instead of , I don’t know, Ryu?
|
| 9:26 |
: Ryu can’t really pitch in relief due to his warmup routine.
|
| 9:26 |
: Wood devil magic is turning into a Thing.
|
| 9:26 |
: This must be extremely frustrating for Houston
|
| 9:26 |
: Forsythe just made a really tough play.
|
| 9:26 |
: Dave, where are you seeing exit velocity?
|
| 9:27 |
: That was a huge inning for Wood.
|
| 9:27 |
: Should be able to sneak him through bottom of the order, then have Morrow to go after the top of the order in the 6th.
|
| 9:27 |
: Alex Wood is a modern-day baseball GOD!!
|
| 9:28 |
: We’ll have epic pitching duel narrative soon with only one pitching well
|
| 9:28 |
: This is really confusing
|
| 9:28 |
: Sometimes runs allowed is as good as an indicator as swinging strikes, or is it just me?
|
| 9:28 |
: No
|
| 9:28 |
: What is the probability of Roberts letting Wood see these guys a 3rd time through? Its zero, right?
|
| 9:29 |
: With thin pen, if he goes 1-2-3 next inning, probably lets him get to those guys but has someone warming
|
| 9:29 |
: Can you guys all write a bunch of ominous warnings about Morton having a potentially terrible inning? It’d make me feel better.
|
| 9:29 |
: Can you really pull wood if he has a no hitter though?
|
| 9:29 |
: Yes.
|
| 9:29 |
: Should any pitcher ever see a lineup a 3rd time in the World Series?
|
| 9:29 |
: Sure, the Kershaws and Verlanders
|
| 9:29 |
: The Woods and Mortons, less often.
|
| 9:30 |
: Though with how sharp Morton looks tonight, Hinch has to be tempted, right?
|
| 9:30 |
: Hinch will ride him, yeah. He clearly has no trust in his relievers.
|
| 9:30 |
: Smolz will lose it if Wood pulled with no hitter
|
| 9:30 |
: Pretty sure he trusts Peacock
|
| 9:30 |
: Peacock is a starter being used in relief.
|
| 9:31 |
: By reliever, I mean Harris, Giles, Devenski, etc…
|
| 9:31 |
: Bellinger misses a center cut hanging curve
|
| 9:31 |
: Morton got away with a bad CB there.
|
| 9:31 |
: Oh my lord Bellinger
|
| 9:31 |
: so when is bellinger gonna do something?
|
| 9:31 |
: Bellinger is lost.
|
| 9:31 |
: Bellinger is a mess right now. That front hip is bailing out protecting that hole in his swing where they throw the curve
|
| 9:31 |
: I never imagined Charlie Morton ever inducing a bad swing like that. This doesn’t feel real.
|
| 9:31 |
: There’s that curveball again
|
| 9:32 |
: That was an ugly-ass swing on a pretty pitch
|
| 9:32 |
: Tough call on who’s got the best curveball in this series
|
| 9:32 |
: Nah, it’s McCullers
|
| 9:32 |
: Bregman is a vacuum at third.
|
| 9:32 |
: That was nice, Bregman is good
|
| 9:33 |
: Better than Kershaw’s?
|
| 9:33 |
: Yes
|
| 9:33 |
: So, who’s got the best slider in the series?
|
| 9:34 |
: Verlander
|
| 9:34 |
: Morton is just dealing.
|
| 9:34 |
: Morton is also giving a beating to Tango’s pitch count estimator
|
| 9:34 |
: Sick
|
| 9:34 |
: I mean that’s just incredible
|
| 9:34 |
: What a K pitch there!
|
| 9:34 |
: Holy wow.
|
| 9:34 |
: That was awesome
|
| 9:34 |
: Pinpoint. He is on fire
|
| 9:34 |
: Charlie is PAINTING out there. Unreal
|
| 9:35 |
: This is a fun game
|
| 9:35 |
: Morton and Wood facing the minimum through 4 and a half. Just as predicted.
|
| 9:35 |
: Why doesn’t every pitcher just decide to throw 7 mph faster and develop one of the sharpest curves in baseball?
|
| 9:35 |
: Chances we see Yu on the mound again this series?
|
| 9:35 |
: Very good
|
| 9:35 |
: Dodgers not going to turn away from him after one bad start
|
| 9:36 |
: Morton so far: 5 IP, 1 H, 0 everything else bad, 7 K
|
| 9:36 |
: Which side is benefiting most from this pitchers dual?
|
| 9:36 |
: Dodgers. They absolutely would have taken 0-0 at this point before the game started.
|
| 9:37 |
: Morton looks so so much better than wood, baseball is weird and dumb
|
| 9:37 |
: Paging Andy Hawkins — he owns the last WS stint of 5+ innings facing minimum batters.
|
| 9:37 |
: More hope in seager or belli to break out first?
|
| 9:37 |
: Seager
|
| 9:38 |
: darvish’s slider – 6th best in baseball by pitch value since coming into the league. nearly doubles verlander’s. that goes for every single year, as well.
|
| 9:38 |
: Verlander fixed his slider in July.
|
| 9:39 |
: Would you be warming Morrow yet?
|
| 9:39 |
: No, save him for the top of the order.
|
| 9:39 |
: Something has to be said for Wood
|
| 9:39 |
: That was a good change.
|
| 9:39 |
: He is battling
|
| 9:39 |
: Best change yet
|
| 9:39 |
: Good job by Wood shaking off the fastball
|
| 9:39 |
: Kevin Appier reference!
|
| 9:39 |
: Hey, a swinging strike on Wood
|
| 9:39 |
: Great change up by wood there
|
| 9:40 |
: This has been an okay inning
|
| 9:40 |
: Hypothetically Wood gets through 6, it’s still 0-0. Do you jusr go straight to Kenley for the 7th?
|
| 9:40 |
: Morrow, probably.
|
| 9:40 |
: Then Kenley
|
| 9:40 |
: Wood at 65 pitches and dealing. Trust him to… 85 pitches?
|
| 9:40 |
: Trust him to McCann
|
| 9:40 |
: No way I’d let him face Springer/Bregman/Altuve again
|
| 9:40 |
: I was gonna say something has to be said for his delivery and getting the results he has when he has generally not pitched himself into the most favorable situations thus far
|
| 9:41 |
: Think Barnes has only stolen one strike all night, that’s a pretty good job by Diaz, because Barnes is real good.
|
| 9:41 |
: I feel like Gattis should be standing up there with an axe handle.
|
| 9:41 |
: Lol Morton is pitching a 1 hitter but Wood has a no hitter
|
| 9:41 |
: Astros look completely incapable of elevating the ball
|
| 9:42 |
: Really good job by Wood for giving Roberts a pretty lengthy outing so far
|
| 9:42 |
: it’s Wood vs. Woodsman
|
| 9:42 |
: The first dodger to no hit a team in the world series is alex wood and his 89 fastball, love baseball
|
| 9:42 |
: Astro hitters are swinging like Wood is throwing a wiffle ball.
|
| 9:43 |
: That was a legitimately good inning.
|
| 9:43 |
: Kudos to Wood.
|
| 9:43 |
: Everything down now. Moving down
|
| 9:43 |
: I mean, you gotta appreciate the grit, or whatever the hell hes surviving on.
|
| 9:43 |
: He’s just junkballing now.
|
| 9:43 |
: Those last sliders were excellent
|
| 9:43 |
: Wood back out for the 6th?
|
| 9:43 |
: They’ll let him face Gonzalez/McCann for sure.
|
| 9:44 |
: And if he gets to 2 outs with bases empty, probably Springer
|
| 9:44 |
: But you have to have someone warming in case he doens’t get those guys.
|
| 9:44 |
: This is definitely the best case scenario for the Dodgers
|
| 9:45 |
: If Dodgers wins the series, this may be the ‘turning point’. Love baseball
|
| 9:45 |
: Is this live?
|
| 9:45 |
: Yes
|
| 9:45 |
: You think Roberts might be cowed a bit from going to his pen early? Or does he stick to the right process?
|
| 9:46 |
: I think he’ll be a little more conservative tonight because he doesn’t have Maeda
|
| 9:46 |
: If he had Maeda, almost certain he’d be the guy on mound for top of the order.
|
| 9:46 |
: Wood in the 5th: 15 pitches, 4 fastballs
|
| 9:47 |
: The stand-up to cancer segment >>> god bless America. That was well done
|
| 9:47 |
: Seeing Orbit with a stand up to cancer sign was both amusing and sobering.
|
| 9:47 |
: Establishing the changeup
|
| 9:48 |
: Possibly unpopular opinion: I don’t like the cancer bit
|
| 9:48 |
: Ok Satan
|
| 9:48 |
: Only hit of the game was first batter!
|
| 9:48 |
: Hey Dave – I stand up for my mom but also for you and a whole bunch of other people
|
| 9:48 |
: Thank you.
|
| 9:48 |
: Best of luck to your mom!
|
| 9:49 |
: That’s one way to start a rally against him.
|
| 9:49 |
: A bless of luck!
|
| 9:49 |
: Hbp on a check swing is pretty sucky.
|
| 9:49 |
: Lead off runner on base. Here we go…
|
| 9:50 |
: Morton’s got a pretty quick move to first
|
| 9:50 |
: Why is Barnes getting so much action over Grandal this postseason?
|
| 9:50 |
: Hot hand decision making.
|
| 9:51 |
: Same reason Enrique Hernandez is starting vs an RHP.
|
| 9:51 |
: Kike has a hot hand vs rhp’s?
|
| 9:51 |
: The grand slam lingers.
|
| 9:51 |
: Dave Roberts trying to sneak bites of a rice crispy treat. We see you, Dave.
|
| 9:52 |
: Dodgers are going to see curveballs in the dirt in their nightmares
|
| 9:52 |
: Wood looks like he’s getting at least the start of the inning.
|
| 9:52 |
: As he should
|
| 9:52 |
: No reason to pull him before McCann
|
| 9:53 |
: Camera angle made that look harder hit, like Bellinger’s fly in game 2. Sheesh.
|
| 9:53 |
: Rice Krispies are full of good decisions. It’s analytics!
|
| 9:53 |
: If you’d told me that Joc would be having the best at bats of all the young Dodger lefties I wouldn’t have believed it.
|
| 9:53 |
: Do match-ups really matter if a guy like Wood is throwing sharp fire?
|
| 9:53 |
: Yes, and he’s not.
|
| 9:54 |
: I’m getting nervous as an Astros fan…
|
| 9:54 |
: generous call there
|
| 9:55 |
: “Tension in this ballpark right now”
|
| 9:55 |
: Two perfect pitches after 3-0
|
| 9:55 |
: Painting
|
| 9:55 |
: Strike zone has been generous but not outrageous
|
| 9:55 |
: This has been the best playoff strike zone I’ve seen so far.
|
| 9:56 |
: I’m glad a pitcher isn’t batting here
|
| 9:56 |
: Last night’s zone was excellent too.
|
| 9:56 |
: ENRIQUE!
|
| 9:56 |
: Oh boy
|
| 9:56 |
: Baseball is amazing.
|
| 9:57 |
: Things are happening!!
|
| 9:57 |
: That’s life, man.
|
| 9:57 |
: Hot hand!
|
| 9:57 |
: What an AB
|
| 9:57 |
: some stew is on the stove
|
| 9:57 |
: Ok, Dave Roberts is smarter than I am.
|
| 9:57 |
: YOU GUYS ARE AHEAD OF ME AND IM SAD
|
| 9:57 |
: This is bad. Need a K from Chuck
|
| 9:57 |
: There’s Morrow.
|
| 9:57 |
: Hot Hand Hernandez. He will bat against RHP for rest of series
|
| 9:57 |
: Wood just had more GRIT
|
| 9:57 |
: This is such a great series. Can we make it a best of 9?
|
| 9:57 |
: Maybe the first ball Morton thrown down the middle tonight.
|
| 9:57 |
: Alex Wood limps along for 5 innings of no hit ball while Charlie Morton is overpowering dudes, and now the Dodgers have the best chance to score. Baseball is weird.
|
| 9:57 |
: Balls hit in the air. Balls up in the zone. Seems like Morton is tiring.
|
| 9:57 |
: that was two down the middle in a row
|
| 9:58 |
: Morton looks less sharp this inning.
|
| 9:58 |
: morton’s losin it fast
|
| 9:58 |
: Tired at 63 pitches?
|
| 9:58 |
: Need one of those grounders
|
| 9:58 |
: This feels like most of Morton’s games so far this postseason
|
| 9:58 |
: Harris in the pen
|
| 9:58 |
: That was a bad call.
|
| 9:58 |
: Gift call there on 1-0.
|
| 9:58 |
: Dodgers win expectancy: 60.4%. Feels higher than that.
|
| 9:59 |
: Road team
|
| 9:59 |
: Ryan S, these have been max effort pitches for all 63. Not like a regular season start.
|
| 9:59 |
: This postseason is amazing
|
| 9:59 |
: Bregman again.
|
| 9:59 |
: Maybe stop running on contact to 3B.
|
| 10:00 |
: WOW
|
| 10:00 |
: SAVAGE
|
| 10:00 |
: Don’t run on Bregman.
|
| 10:00 |
: Barnes with a case of the Puigs
|
| 10:00 |
: Chris Taylor not all that
|
| 10:00 |
: Bregman is better than you
|
| 10:00 |
: Why run there
|
| 10:00 |
: THE BREGMAN
|
| 10:00 |
: The contact play bites again
|
| 10:00 |
: No reason to go there
|
| 10:00 |
: That’s terrible baserunning.
|
| 10:00 |
: Whoa. Bregman is so smooth.
|
| 10:00 |
: Honestly he plays third like a shortstop
|
| 10:00 |
: Bergman strikes again!
|
| 10:00 |
: Is the contact play ever a good idea?
|
| 10:00 |
: Contact play was RIGHT with 1 out.
|
| 10:00 |
: Dodgers have made, what, 7 or 8 outs on bases this series?
|
| 10:01 |
: Bregman’s having a pretty good postseason for a 23-year-old.
|
| 10:01 |
: And Morton gets out of it
|
| 10:01 |
: Wow. Wow. Wow.
|
| 10:01 |
: That was fun
|
| 10:01 |
: Gaffe of the series?
|
| 10:01 |
: That was not fun
|
| 10:01 |
: I love baseball
|
| 10:01 |
: wow morton just barely escaped that inning
|
| 10:01 |
: If I see Greg Bird get thrown out at home another time I’m gonna throw up.
|
| 10:01 |
: Running there was not all that crazy. Only way Bregman could get that out, was like he did
|
| 10:01 |
: You mean field the ball and throw to the plate to get him by 15 feet?
|
| 10:02 |
: All i want to discuss is Morton throwing right-on-right changeups twice in that AB. Not sure if he’s thrown a changeup to a lefty tonight
|
| 10:02 |
: I don’t understand why anyone thinks that was a mistake. Still have a RISP with 2 out if they make the play
|
| 10:03 |
: Runner on 2nd isn’t same thing as runner on 3rd, for one.
|
| 10:03 |
: The play was not easy as he made it look
|
| 10:03 |
: He’s a good defender, but it wasn’t like that was a tough play.
|
| 10:03 |
: But it could have instead been a double play
|
| 10:04 |
: Nah, that was a chopper.
|
| 10:04 |
: The value of running on contact isn’t that high. If he waits .5 seconds before running to see where the ball is going he scores most times anyway
|
| 10:04 |
: Fox has the No-Hitter graphic. Now you gotta leave him in!
|
| 10:05 |
: If he gets McCann, imagine he gets a chance to get through this.
|
| 10:05 |
: If he doesn’t get McCann, you have to pull him.
|
| 10:05 |
: This start from wood is so fun
|
| 10:05 |
: Man that was lucky turner
|
| 10:06 |
: Well then.
|
| 10:06 |
: Wood has been better these last few innings than early.
|
| 10:06 |
: Getting rid of his fastball and just living off the soft stuff.
|
| 10:06 |
: That was a shit call
|
| 10:06 |
: Location has been pretty flawless
|
| 10:06 |
: I didn’t realize Alex Wood had such a good change up…
|
| 10:06 |
: Looked like a strike
|
| 10:07 |
: Does Wood’s command typically get better as he goes like this?
|
| 10:07 |
: No.
|
| 10:07 |
: What completely different and equally impressive starts from Game 4 starters
|
| 10:07 |
: Morton has gotten that same call more than once. I can’t be mad
|
| 10:07 |
: Good job to lay off the high FB George
|
| 10:07 |
: hey, Smoltz is actually prepared to see Wood leave
|
| 10:07 |
: You have to feel like he could allow a HR at any moment, though.
|
| 10:08 |
: Yup.
|
| 10:08 |
: Like that.
|
| 10:08 |
: LOL
|
| 10:08 |
: like there?
|
| 10:08 |
: Yup
|
| 10:08 |
: Lolollo
|
| 10:08 |
: And there it is
|
| 10:08 |
: Like, there.
|
| 10:08 |
: Nice!
|
| 10:08 |
: Wow
|
| 10:08 |
: Whoops
|
| 10:08 |
: welp
|
| 10:08 |
: There t goes
|
| 10:08 |
: “You have to stick with your starter” fails again.
|
| 10:09 |
: We won’t get a 4 inning Smoltz lecture this time.
|
| 10:09 |
: First hanger he’s thrown in the last few innings.
|
| 10:09 |
: That’s why the hot hand is not good
|
| 10:09 |
: That wasn’t even a mistake pitch. Springer must have been looking for it.
|
| 10:09 |
: That sucks for Wood, he gave it his all, and the bats have been useless.
|
| 10:09 |
: Heck of a third time penalty to pay
|
| 10:09 |
: Downside of abandoning the FB is that guys can just sit on the breaking pitch.
|
| 10:09 |
: He kept it down
|
| 10:09 |
: That was a beautiful swing
|
| 10:10 |
: Dodgers bats in Houston has been THE problem.
|
| 10:10 |
: Wood looks bad now but it wouldnt hurt if LAD scored a run or two
|
| 10:10 |
: This game will break your heart.
|
| 10:10 |
: If Roberts didn’t pull Wood there, would any other manager?
|
| 10:10 |
: No
|
| 10:10 |
: But this is probably where yesterday hurt them.
|
| 10:10 |
: If Maeda was available, I doubt Wood gets Springer there
|
| 10:10 |
| 10:11 |
: To be fair, even you said you’d let him face Springer with no one on.
|
| 10:11 |
: I was predicting what Roberts would do.
|
| 10:11 |
: I 100% would have yanked him
|
| 10:12 |
: But it wasn’t a totally disastrous decision, was it? Process-wise
|
| 10:12 |
: Disastrous, no, because of the 2 outs/no on situation.
|
| 10:12 |
: But obviously high risk of a HR there.
|
| 10:12 |
: No hittter factor in Roberts decision?
|
| 10:12 |
: No. He had no chance of actually completing the no-no.
|
| 10:13 |
: Think he got to face Springer just because there were 2 outs and no one on, preference to bring Morrow in to begin fresh inning if possible.
|
| 10:13 |
: sorry I’m lazy. What is ideal exit angle for mashing taters?
|
| 10:13 |
: 27 degrees
|
| 10:13 |
: this series, and this game, is on the dodgers’ bats.
|
| 10:13 |
: How long does Morton go now?
|
| 10:13 |
: He gets the 7th, then Jansen
|
| 10:13 |
: Roberts would’ve pulled him after 6 regardless
|
| 10:14 |
: Yup. That as his last batter either way.
|
| 10:14 |
: I think you read “Morrow” when they said “Morton”
|
| 10:14 |
: Oh
|
| 10:14 |
: Guessing Hinch tries to get 1 more out of Morton
|
| 10:15 |
: What’s the quintessential Los Angeles food? Sushi?
|
| 10:15 |
: Lemongrass
|
| 10:15 |
: Think Hinch will try to get 2 out of Giles?
|
| 10:15 |
: Didn’t trust Giles to get 3 outs up by 2 last night. So no.
|
| 10:15 |
: You would pull Morton, correct?
|
| 10:15 |
: Yes, but I trust Harris and Devenski more than Hinch.
|
| 10:16 |
: Bregman is having a series
|
| 10:16 |
: I AM THE BREGMAN
|
| 10:16 |
: Holy shit
|
| 10:16 |
: BREGMAN IS BETTER THAN YOU
|
| 10:16 |
: Bregman for MVP
|
| 10:16 |
: HOLY COW
|
| 10:16 |
: Turner got Turnered
|
| 10:16 |
: Now THERE’s a throw most 3Bs wouldn’t make
|
| 10:16 |
: Turner is slow
|
| 10:16 |
: That was weird
|
| 10:17 |
: Yikes
|
| 10:17 |
: Here we go, Smoltz
|
| 10:17 |
:
Alex Bregman 84.5 MPH across the diamond to get Turner.
|
| 10:17 |
: Smoltz really lecturing us about the eye test right after no-hitter guy gave up a go ahead bomb and then reliever got an easy out?
|
| 10:17 |
: Okay Soapbox John
|
| 10:17 |
: Belly this time takes the hanger
|
| 10:17 |
: Bellinger has no idea what he’s doing right now.
|
| 10:18 |
: Smoltz actually making up a strawman about bullpen usage then criticizing people for not admitting they were wrong write after Wood gives up a bomb.
|
| 10:18 |
: What a tool.
|
| 10:18 |
: then Smoltz accuses [you] of being disingenuous based on results
|
| 10:18 |
: Smoltz has some good insights on pitching, and he’s better than some other guys Fox has had in the booth./
|
| 10:19 |
: But man, he’s been obnoxious about this.
|
| 10:19 |
: Bellinger!
|
| 10:19 |
: REDEMPTION!
|
| 10:19 |
: Belly!
|
| 10:19 |
: Baseball is so weird.
|
| 10:19 |
: That was a weak swing too!
|
| 10:19 |
: oh this is sweet.
|
| 10:19 |
: It’s a miracle
|
| 10:19 |
: Almost tied the game
|
| 10:19 |
: Belly dance.
|
| 10:19 |
: He slapped that ball like 320 feet
|
| 10:19 |
: He Frazier’d that one
|
| 10:19 |
: Bunch of hangers
|
| 10:20 |
: Pull Morton now
|
| 10:20 |
: I believe in the baseball announcer gods!
|
| 10:20 |
: I guess AJ Hinch isn’t gutsy anymore!
|
| 10:20 |
: Awesome start from Morton. That was fun
|
| 10:20 |
: Harris coming in!
|
| 10:20 |
: Great performance
|
| 10:21 |
: will Smoltz admit he’s wrong for thinking Morton should have started the 7th?
|
| 10:21 |
: Of course not
|
| 10:21 |
: Tough to be any better than Morton was tonight.
|
| 10:21 |
: “And you’re never gonna hear John Smoltz own being completely wrong on his Hinch praise”
|
| 10:21 |
: <blockquote class=”twitter-tweet”><p lang=”en” dir=”ltr”>John Smoltz is kind of a dick.</p>— Rob Lowe (@RobLowe) <a href=”
John Smoltz is kind of a dick.
26, 2017</a></blockquote> <script async src=”https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js” charset=”utf-8″></script> |
| 10:21 |
: Smoltz is mild mannered so lots of people tend to give him a pass for ridiculous comments
|
| 10:21 |
: He was really good on Jonah’s podcast
|
| 10:22 |
: Rob Lowe is a dick.
|
| 10:22 |
: He’s not a luddite
|
| 10:22 |
: He’s just got an agenda on this one topic
|
| 10:22 |
: And refuses to acknowledge what is actually happening
|
| 10:23 |
: 52/7, didnt know harris was that good
|
| 10:24 |
: Puig thought he got one out, looks like
|
| 10:24 |
: 52/7 is great but still like half a kenley haha
|
| 10:24 |
: Bellinger has to tag there. Scores regardless if ball drops
|
| 10:24 |
: no tag up?
|
| 10:24 |
: He got fooled by Puig too
|
| 10:24 |
: I think that’s like his first time on base in a week, to be fair
|
| 10:25 |
: Dodgers look like they have no idea what they’re doing on the bases.
|
| 10:25 |
: So who’s up in the Houston bullpen after Harris? Both Devo and Giles?
|
| 10:25 |
: Knowing Hinch, I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s McHugh
|
| 10:25 |
: A clutch hit!
|
| 10:25 |
: tied up!
|
| 10:25 |
: This one has the makings of a classic
|
| 10:25 |
: YES!
|
| 10:25 |
: LOGIE BEAR!
|
| 10:26 |
: Forsythe!
|
| 10:26 |
: woooooo
|
| 10:26 |
: I’m surprised Belly didn’t run backwards on that one
|
| 10:26 |
: This wouldn’t have happened if Hinch trusted his starter.
|
| 10:26 |
: Feel bad for Morton.
|
| 10:26 |
: Hinch dies even more inside
|
| 10:26 |
: Morton looks sad
|
| 10:26 |
: Nice night for Forsyth – he’s also had 2 nice defensive plays
|
| 10:26 |
: Pulling start fails again…
|
| 10:26 |
: 106 mph on that hit from Forsythe.
|
| 10:26 |
: Relievers can allow hits, too.
|
| 10:26 |
: Should’ve thrown a different pitch.
|
| 10:27 |
: This is going 13
|
| 10:27 |
: This is going to 15 innings–calling it.
|
| 10:27 |
: That was a center cut pitch.
|
| 10:27 |
: Is it pronounced “Fore-scythe” or “Foresight?” Pretty sure I’ve heard Buck say both
|
| 10:27 |
: The former
|
| 10:27 |
: Compromise: it’s going 14
|
| 10:28 |
: Devenski up!
|
| 10:28 |
: Because if it goes 9 it means the next 2 innings will be great entertainment.
|
| 10:28 |
: I guess McHugh can still throw the last four innings of the game afterall
|
| 10:28 |
: Numbers are killing stolen bases! Numbers are killing starting pitchers! Numbers killed my puppy!
|
| 10:29 |
: morrow again and then jansen for the 8th/9th?
|
| 10:29 |
: Yup
|
| 10:29 |
: Jansen probably starts warming this inning so he comes in if Morrow gets in trouble
|
| 10:30 |
: The game is killing numbers! …looks at WS teams
|
| 10:31 |
: Would you Dave (Cameron) Roberts have faith in Jansen for more than 6 outs?
|
| 10:31 |
: Probably not
|
| 10:31 |
: But they don’t have to be the 8th/9th outs
|
| 10:31 |
: If you need Jansen to get out of a jam in the 7th, could finish with someone else
|
| 10:32 |
: Smoltz seems to have a problem admitting when he’s wrong
|
| 10:32 |
: It’s really just on this one issue
|
| 10:32 |
: Everything else, he’s fine
|
| 10:32 |
: Even good
|
| 10:32 |
: But he can’t accept that this is how pitching should work now.
|
| 10:32 |
: Are the Tonys available tonight?
|
| 10:32 |
: Yep
|
| 10:32 |
: Who would you trust for closing after Jansen?
|
| 10:32 |
: Depends where you are in the order
|
| 10:33 |
: Depending on if you have enough time to get him up, maybe Hill
|
| 10:33 |
: COULD finish with someone other than Jansen. But has anyone actually done THAT with a closer yet? We saw Wade Davis enter in the 7th, but he finished.
|
| 10:33 |
: Last year, Jansen got replaced by Kershaw in 9th when he ran otu of gas
|
| 10:33 |
: who pitches game 6 if Hill pitches tonight?
|
| 10:34 |
: It’s Hill’s throw day. He can probably give you an inning tonight.
|
| 10:34 |
: Especially if you’re only getting 18 batters from him on Tuesday anyway.
|
| 10:34 |
: Classic 3-0 call
|
| 10:35 |
: “Altuve is short. Judge is tall.”
|
| 10:35 |
: Did you know that Jose Altuve is short and Aaron Judge is tall?
|
| 10:35 |
: Would’ve hit him if he didn’t swing at it
|
| 10:35 |
: Pretty good fielding today… mostly by 3B… all by 3B.
|
| 10:36 |
: and forsythe!
|
| 10:36 |
: Seems like if you need Hill in a tie game tonight, let next week take care of itself.
|
| 10:36 |
: Yeah
|
| 10:36 |
: Tony W in the pen
|
| 10:36 |
: Devenski up
|
| 10:37 |
: Dave, you got AJ on the phone huh
|
| 10:37 |
: I would imagine that the front office has been feeding him “trust your relievers” information all week
|
| 10:37 |
: Does Morrow ever get another chance to start?
|
| 10:37 |
: No
|
| 10:38 |
: Is Travis doing the live blog from the game tomorrow?
|
| 10:38 |
: No, Paul has tomorrow night
|
| 10:38 |
: With Darvish not going very far yesterday, you could probably throw him game 6 on short rest, and just let game 7 sort itself out between Hill/Wood/Kershaw and the rest of the pen if you get that far
|
| 10:38 |
: Shouldn’t need Darvish on Tuesday
|
| 10:39 |
: Kershaw goes deep tomorrow, then off day, then Hill/Maeda/Morrow/Jansen on Tuesday, then Darvish/Kershaw/Jansen on Wednesday
|
| 10:39 |
: That’s obviously best case scenario.
|
| 10:39 |
: When you say “this is how starting pitching should work now” do you mean only playoffs or regular season as well?
|
| 10:39 |
: In the postseason
|
| 10:39 |
: Can’t do this in the regular season
|
| 10:39 |
: Right now
|
| 10:40 |
: If Kershaw gets rocked, is the series over?
|
| 10:40 |
: Probably
|
| 10:40 |
: LA needs to win tomorrow, most likely
|
| 10:40 |
: As vaunted as the Dodgers pen is, seems like the only guys Roberts trusts in all situations are Morrow, Maeda and Jansen. Which may still be 2 more than most other teams.
|
| 10:40 |
: He’d use Watson/Cingrani more if HOU had better LHBs
|
| 10:40 |
: But they don’t
|
| 10:41 |
: How bad would it be for the LA bullpen if the game goes 15 or more innings?
|
| 10:41 |
: It only goes 15 if a guy like McCarthy pitches well for a long time
|
| 10:41 |
: Does the fangraphs game odds take into account who is available in each bullpen?
|
| 10:42 |
: No
|
| 10:42 |
: Analysis: Joc and Bellinger swing very hard
|
| 10:42 |
: Will Devenski go 2 innings?
|
| 10:42 |
: Doubt it.
|
| 10:42 |
: Giles if they get the lead, McHugh if they don’t
|
| 10:43 |
: I know Joc doesn’t like it but that was a strike.
|
| 10:43 |
: joc is mad.
|
| 10:43 |
: NOBODY expects the high change-up!
|
| 10:43 |
: High changeup usually isn’t a thing you get away with
|
| 10:43 |
: So bad it was good
|
| 10:44 |
: That one goes a mile if he’s ready for it.
|
| 10:44 |
: Just under it.
|
| 10:44 |
: Hefty seing
|
| 10:44 |
: Almostttt
|
| 10:44 |
: Almost killed it
|
| 10:44 |
: devenski still looks meh
|
| 10:44 |
: they’re sitting change up
|
| 10:45 |
: Devenski’s location not inspiring a lot of confidence.
|
| 10:45 |
: bad location, weird delivery…every World Series needs a little spirit of Mitch Williams
|
| 10:46 |
: “I wonder what Alex Wood would look like if he were right-handed”, God asked right before creating Chris Devenski.
|
| 10:46 |
: half the time, near the target, half the time 2 feet plus away
|
| 10:47 |
: Taylor almost beat that out.
|
| 10:47 |
: Taylor is fast
|
| 10:47 |
: How many changeups can he throw before it stops working?
|
| 10:47 |
: I have no idea how Chris Devenski gets anything on his delivery that’s not a changeup
|
| 10:47 |
: Ask Marco Estrada.
|
| 10:47 |
: as many as he has now thrown
|
| 10:47 |
: Yea no way Devenski should go out for a 2nd.
|
| 10:48 |
: Greg Zaun bashing the decision to pull Wood :/
|
| 10:48 |
: You can use it as a litmus test for whether you should keep listening to someone.
|
| 10:48 |
: If they think Wood should have stayed in, just walk away.
|
| 10:48 |
: When managing a tie game in the late single-digit innings, how much do you take the possibility of an extra-inning game into account?
|
| 10:48 |
: In the World Series, not much
|
| 10:48 |
: You don’t want to burn guys for one batter outings here
|
| 10:49 |
: But you can’t save your guys just thinking this might go 12
|
| 10:49 |
: This game feels like a preview for what baseball will be in 5 years. If you don’t throw 95, you don’t throw a FB ever.
|
| 10:49 |
: Tony Watson to start the 8th
|
| 10:49 |
: Would imagine Jansen not far behind
|
| 10:49 |
: and 5 years after that, if you don’t throw 95, you don’t throw
|
| 10:50 |
: If the Astros win today, and Keuchel goes 6 strong with a lead, would you think Hinch goes for the throat and uses Verlander to close it out?
|
| 10:50 |
: No
|
| 10:50 |
: You don’t use your Game 6 starter up 3-1 in the series
|
| 10:51 |
: Jansen warming, to no one’s surprise
|
| 10:51 |
: Lots of popups today from the Stros
|
| 10:51 |
: This is the dream scenario for Roberts.
|
| 10:51 |
: If they can hold Jansen for the 9th…
|
| 10:51 |
: Jansen for 1-6
|
| 10:51 |
: Well that was a poor Gattis at bat
|
| 10:52 |
: Gattis might be.. not good
|
| 10:52 |
: do you keep watson in to begin the 9th?
|
| 10:52 |
: No
|
| 10:52 |
: I think Roberts’ dream scenario would include about 10 runs.
|
| 10:52 |
: Even with McCann up?
|
| 10:52 |
: You don’t let Jansen watch game end from the pen in the 9th
|
| 10:52 |
: Giles warming
|
| 10:53 |
: Looks like we’re headed for maximum leverage again! Great series so far.
|
| 10:53 |
: Paging Buck Showalter
|
| 10:53 |
: over/under: 40 combined pitches for Giles & Jansen tonight?
|
| 10:53 |
: Over
|
| 10:54 |
: would you have watson going against marwin?
|
| 10:54 |
: Yeah, this is okay.
|
| 10:54 |
: Marwin’s power is mostly from left side
|
| 10:54 |
:
wut
 |
| 10:54 |
: feels like where we are right now- the winner of this game is going to be a huge favorite going forward….
|
| 10:55 |
: LA not huge favorite if they win, but small favorite.
|
| 10:55 |
: HOU huge favorite if they win, obviously.
|
| 10:55 |
: Big inning by Watson.
|
| 10:55 |
: If you had offered Roberts chance to go to 9th with game tied and he hadn’t used Jansen yet, he’d have hugged you
|
| 10:55 |
: Gregg Zaun is mysteriously related to BJ Surhoff.
|
| 10:56 |
: Who the hell is Greg Zaun?
|
| 10:56 |
: Former backup C turned bad announcer
|
| 10:56 |
: I think LA with Kershaw tomorrow and Hill/Darvish for games 6/7 entering tied- would be a pretty big favorite.
|
| 10:57 |
: Kershaw/Keuchel in HOU isn’t huge LA advantage. Verlander/Hill in LA probably HOU advantage. Game 7 small edge to LA mostly because of home field.
|
| 10:57 |
: Base hit!
|
| 10:58 |
: Why Giles here?
|
| 10:58 |
: Because, postseason struggles aside, he’s a good reliever.
|
| 10:58 |
: And they don’t have a better option.
|
| 10:58 |
: That hit probability for Seager had to be less than 10%
|
| 10:58 |
: 40%, actually
|
| 10:59 |
: If either bullpen gives up a run, it’ll show that you should’ve left the starter in the game
|
| 10:59 |
: Now someone warming?
|
| 10:59 |
: Yep
|
| 11:00 |
: 3-0 to Turner is very bad.
|
| 11:00 |
: This is very bad
|
| 11:00 |
: This man is bouncing fbs, christ
|
| 11:00 |
: Suddenly very nervous ballpark.
|
| 11:00 |
: I don’t love that 3-0 swing there
|
| 11:01 |
: This is a problem
|
| 11:01 |
: Giles doesn’t do clean innings
|
| 11:01 |
: ugly start
|
| 11:01 |
: Giles just makes me queasy, I don’t care what anyone says.
|
| 11:01 |
: triple-play time
|
| 11:01 |
: Turner still looks gimpy running to 1st.
|
| 11:01 |
: Musgrove!
|
| 11:01 |
: Pinch runner?
|
| 11:01 |
: I wouldn’t hate a bunt here, honestly
|
| 11:02 |
: I’m normally anti-bunt but this is a situation where it would be okay
|
| 11:02 |
: Bellinger is fast, could get on with an error anyway
|
| 11:02 |
: What did Dave Cameron just say??
|
| 11:02 |
: Hey he didn’t swing at a breaking ball inside
|
| 11:02 |
: DAVE SAID WE CAN BUNT EVERYONE BUNT
|
| 11:02 |
: Or just hit a line drive
|
| 11:02 |
: How sweet it is!
|
| 11:02 |
: SHOULD HAVE BUNTED
|
| 11:02 |
: “He should bunt”
|
| 11:03 |
: This was better than a bunt
|
| 11:03 |
: BELLINGER
|
| 11:03 |
: Belly back
|
| 11:03 |
: GILES
|
| 11:03 |
: That’s why he shouldn’t bunt Dave
|
| 11:03 |
: And still 0 out
|
| 11:03 |
: Catastrophic appearance by Giles.
|
| 11:03 |
: NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT NEVER BUNT
|
| 11:03 |
: Not loving 100 miles giles
|
| 11:03 |
: Last we see of Giles this series?
|
| 11:03 |
: Maybe
|
| 11:03 |
: Can’t see Jansen blowing another save!
|
| 11:04 |
: Who should Astros use as closer now?
|
| 11:04 |
: Guessing it will be Peacock rest of series
|
| 11:04 |
: If there’s anything I learned from Game 2, it’s that this just means the Astros are gonna hit some dingers in the bottom of the inning
|
| 11:05 |
: you absolutely have to get one more run here
|
| 11:05 |
: Jansen can protect 1 run
|
| 11:05 |
: Are there any other first basemen in the league that turn that into a double? Bellinger is crazy athletic.
|
| 11:05 |
: No
|
| 11:06 |
: Devenski shaky, Giles…bad. maybe Hinch is right to not trust his bullpen
|
| 11:06 |
: The alternative was stick with a tiring Morton. Wouldn’t have gone better.
|
| 11:06 |
: Harris was fine.
|
| 11:06 |
: From July 1 through the end of the regular season, Ken Giles pitched in 31 games with this line:
32.1 IP, 22 H, 4 R, 9 BB, 44 K, 1.11 ERA |
| 11:07 |
: Technically, Wil Myers is slightly faster. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sprint_speed_leaderboard?year=2017&posi…
|
| 11:07 |
: turner out the game. that’s not good for the dodgers
|
| 11:07 |
: Eh, he looks hobbled and Jansen probably ends it
|
| 11:07 |
: If the dodgers score at least 2 more, do they still go to jansen?
|
| 11:07 |
: Jansen pitches the 9th no matter what
|
| 11:07 |
: first time the Astros have trailed at hime this postseason, btw
|
| 11:07 |
: What if the Dodgers score 10 runs?
|
| 11:08 |
: Jansen is already warm, hasn’t pitched in two days, off day on Monday
|
| 11:08 |
: He’s pitching the 9th
|
| 11:08 |
: Puig needs to get one in the air.
|
| 11:09 |
: we live in a world where joe musgrove throws 97
|
| 11:09 |
: #MusgroveForCloser.
|
| 11:09 |
: Beautiful execution by Musgrove.
|
| 11:09 |
: that was horrible from puig
|
| 11:09 |
: Walk the next guy, hope for a grounder?
|
| 11:09 |
: That is the plan, it appears
|
| 11:10 |
: I don’t love walking Forsythe against an RHP
|
| 11:10 |
: Takes away margin of error
|
| 11:10 |
: Bregman will nail a guy at home.
|
| 11:10 |
: Oof that was a big swing
|
| 11:10 |
: lol I didn’t even realize Bellinger turned that into a 2B with a mild celebration and bat flip mixed in.
|
| 11:11 |
: Hate to have a BB or a HBP score an added run here. I hate it.
|
| 11:11 |
: That was a strike.
|
| 11:11 |
: Nah that was low
|
| 11:12 |
: Low
|
| 11:12 |
: That looked low
|
| 11:12 |
: Little low
|
| 11:12 |
: Dave Cameron is the new John Smoltz
|
| 11:12 |
: Whew.
|
| 11:12 |
: Breathe, Astros fans.
|
| 11:12 |
: That was a hanger.
|
| 11:12 |
: Aw man I was gonna lose it
|
| 11:13 |
: Holy jesus
|
| 11:13 |
: ooooof
|
| 11:13 |
: sweet lord
|
| 11:13 |
: Musgrove might need to change his undies.
|
| 11:13 |
: McCann says DO NOT THROW THAT AGAIN
|
| 11:13 |
: “Dont throw anything like that ever again”
|
| 11:13 |
: Right size, wrong shape.
|
| 11:13 |
: *unclenches*
|
| 11:13 |
: Whoooo-weee
|
| 11:13 |
: 3-1
|
| 11:13 |
: Don’t think Jansen blows two run lead twice.
|
| 11:13 |
: Huge
|
| 11:14 |
: Clutch productive out.
|
| 11:14 |
: fantastic there by barnes
|
| 11:14 |
: Going out on a limb here, but I think the Dodgers are gonna win.
|
| 11:14 |
: Bellinger tagged this time.
|
| 11:15 |
: Jansen is a huge human being.
|
| 11:15 |
: I gonna go out on a limb and say this games not over. Hey, i saw game 2
|
| 11:16 |
: Welp
|
| 11:16 |
: Doink
|
| 11:16 |
: relatively over now
|
| 11:16 |
: WOW
|
| 11:16 |
: JOC JACK!!!
|
| 11:16 |
: Good night
|
| 11:16 |
: WOWZA
|
| 11:16 |
: ok, it might be over now
|
| 11:16 |
: Gonna go out on a limb and say dodgers win
|
| 11:16 |
: Still want Musgrove for closer?
|
| 11:16 |
: That limb broke fast.
|
| 11:16 |
: Astros bullpen = poop emoji
|
| 11:16 |
: Joc smash.
|
| 11:16 |
: Crushed
|
| 11:16 |
: Can I get a refund on my ticket for the extra innings train?
|
| 11:16 |
: You like that lol
|
| 11:16 |
: I hear a fat lady. D
|
| 11:17 |
: Don’t pull your starter ever
|
| 11:17 |
: joc’s had a good series
|
| 11:17 |
: So.. jansen?
|
| 11:17 |
: He baseballed the hell out of that
|
| 11:17 |
: So, I’m guessing Hinch’s new plan is 9 innings each for Keuchel and Verlander, then rain, then more Keuchel and Verlander
|
| 11:17 |
: Still Jansen!
|
| 11:17 |
: yes jansen
|
| 11:17 |
: Yes, Jansen.
|
| 11:17 |
: JANSEN PITCHES THE 9TH
|
| 11:17 |
: Always Jansen.
|
| 11:17 |
: Giles ERA is something like 50 now
|
| 11:18 |
: The collapse of giles kind of sucks
|
| 11:18 |
: Obligatory Yasmani Grandal quote on why you pitch Kenley Jansen:
Yasmani Grandal reveals the complex mystery of Kenley Jansen’s success … dodgers.mlblogs.com/2016/10/09/yas…
 |
| 11:18 |
: Well we at least get 2 more games of this series.
|
| 11:18 |
: Houston pen 🙁
|
| 11:18 |
: I like that
|
| 11:18 |
: And Verlander is guaranteed to pitch again so that’s exciting.
|
| 11:18 |
: Joc is such a jock.
|
| 11:19 |
: Best news…. more baseball next week.
|
| 11:19 |
: When Alex Wood came out throwing 90 mph fastballs, this wasn’t an outcome I particularly expected…
|
| 11:19 |
: So Dallas-Verlander-Mcullers-Peacock and Morton the rest of this series?
|
| 11:19 |
: Maybe some Harris/McHugh in there too
|
| 11:19 |
: But yeah
|
| 11:20 |
: How does modern analytics account for specific instances where an RBI at bat is meaningful, like Barnes’ fly out? Through WPA?
|
| 11:20 |
: RE24 too
|
| 11:20 |
: Will Giles’ postseason performance reflect poorly on his standing as closer next season?
|
| 11:20 |
: I doubt he is the closer next season
|
| 11:20 |
: After this
|
| 11:21 |
: Fun
|
| 11:21 |
: McCann bunting against the shift is neat, and a nice play by Seager
|
| 11:21 |
: McCann is not fast
|
| 11:21 |
: Seager rocks
|
| 11:21 |
: Good idea. Bad execution.
|
| 11:21 |
: McCann with a beautiful bunt and he’s out easily
|
| 11:21 |
: not close enough to the line was his bigger problem
|
| 11:21 |
: 1 thing looking ahead to Tue/Wed- weather in LA a lot more normal- only 68 and 70 degrees for highs.
|
| 11:21 |
: I really think this series is a toss up at this point
|
| 11:21 |
: I’d probably go 55/45 LA
|
| 11:22 |
: shouldnt the astros be trying to have jansen throw as many pitches as possible at this point?
|
| 11:22 |
: Yep
|
| 11:22 |
: Kershaw pitches twice more this series if it goes 7?
|
| 11:22 |
: Yup
|
| 11:22 |
: Starts tomorrow, relieves on Wednesday
|
| 11:23 |
: Verlander and Keuchel and pray for rain.
|
| 11:23 |
: Why Jansen? It’s not Game 7
|
| 11:23 |
: He’s been warming for two innings. If you bring in anyone else and they get a guy on, Roberts would just bring him in anyway.
|
| 11:24 |
: That sure was a swing
|
| 11:24 |
: Giles will lose his closer job? Dave, aren’t you the one always bringing up small sample size?
|
| 11:25 |
: Astros don’t have that many ways to improve. They’ll upgrade pen.
|
| 11:25 |
: Add on runs mattered!
|
| 11:25 |
: BREGMAN
|
| 11:25 |
: Bregman is better than you
|
| 11:25 |
: There had to be 1
|
| 11:25 |
: Bregman is having a great game
|
| 11:26 |
: Four more please (chaotic neutral rooting here!)
|
| 11:26 |
: oh no the whistle
|
| 11:26 |
: First non-cutter gets crushed lol
|
| 11:26 |
: I’m beginning to think Bregman might be a pretty good player.
|
| 11:26 |
: If it was 2-1 and mccann bunted for a hit and bregman homered to win i wouldve died
|
| 11:26 |
: Bregman has postseason HRs off of Sale (x2), Kershaw, and Jansen
|
| 11:27 |
: 19% hit probability on that HR
|
| 11:27 |
: AND SO IT BEGINS
|
| 11:27 |
: And there’s the game.
|
| 11:27 |
: Fun game.
|
| 11:27 |
: Now we get Kershaw tomorrow and Verlander on Tuesday.
|
| 11:27 |
: And probably a Game 7.
|
| 11:27 |
: Hard to argue with that.
|
| 11:27 |
: Love this series
|
| 11:27 |
: Baseball is good and we get at least two more of these 🙂
|
| 11:28 |
: Thts three really good games out of four
|
| 11:28 |
: 2 evenly matched teams it seems.
|
| 11:28 |
: i love baseball.
|
| 11:28 |
: Thanks for hanging out, everyone.
|
| 11:28 |
: We’ll see you guys again tomorrow night for Game 5!
|
Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.
During the postgame broadcast they showed a clip of Kershaw leaving the celebration to run out to the mound. He got set, turned to pretend to check a runner on second and then turned towards home plate. While doing this he had the most focused and excited look on his face, it was pretty cool to see.