Adam LaRoche Was One of the Best 29th Round Picks Ever

Adam LaRoche may or may not be retiring. It certainly seems as though he is, and it seems as though his decision was made abruptly. While that may not be 100 percent certain, now seems like a good time to look back on his career. On one hand, LaRoche was sort of a letdown, in that he never really took off the way it seemed like he might. On the other hand, LaRoche was a huge success, and should be celebrated as such.

LaRoche burst on the scene in 2004, right at the tail end of the Braves’ division championship run. He made the team out of spring training, though he didn’t start on opening day. That honor went to the ageless Julio Franco. He would miss the month of June, and that turned out to be a blessing in disguise. At the time he exited the lineup, he was hitting .242/.271/.383, with two homers in 134 plate appearances. From his return on July 2 through the end of the season, he hit .301/.371/.556, with 11 homers in 222 PA. Let’s call that a marked improvement.

He was solid during the 2004 postseason. His three-run homer in the sixth inning of Game Four of the National League Division Series tied the game against the Astros. Three innings later, the Braves would pull ahead and force a Game Five. They ultimately wouldn’t advance, but LaRoche had dealt a mighty blow.

Two years later, LaRoche had stroked 32 homers (which tied for 30th in the majors) and posted a .276 ISO, which was good for 14th in the majors. But just as quickly as we started wondering if LaRoche could keep remain at that plateau or perhaps even best it, the Braves had shipped him off to the Pirates in a four-player deal. It didn’t work out super well for the Braves. The players they received — Michael Gonzalez and Brent Lillibridge — only provided 1.4 WAR in Atlanta. LaRoche posted 3.5 WAR with the Pirates.

Having said that, it could have been a lot worse for the Pirates. It would be six more seasons before LaRoche would top 30 homers, and he never came anywhere near that .276 ISO again. In short, while the Braves didn’t get what they wanted for him, they never had much reason to regret the trade, especially because they called up Mark Teixeira the next season.

This set the stage for LaRoche to be bounced around a few more times. In 2009, he was traded to the Red Sox, but he was an odd fit there, given that the team had Kevin Youkilis ensconced at first base. When the team acquired Victor Martinez nine days later, it became even harder to figure out where LaRoche fit in, but people didn’t have to wait for long, as he was traded that same day to the Braves for Casey Kotchman, who fit the Sox better at the time because of his adept glovework.

Back in Atlanta, LaRoche once again went on a tear. For the month of August, his 189 wRC+ was fourth best in the majors. For the entire second half — not all of which he spent in Atlanta — his 138 wRC+ was 28th best in the majors. Atlanta just agreed with LaRoche, so it seemed. Surely Atlanta, who would be in need of a first baseman in 2010, would re-sign LaRoche in free agency, yes? Well, no. They signed Troy Glaus instead, who would go on to be a replacement level player in his final major league season. Eight days later, LaRoche would sign with the Diamondbacks.

In his year in the desert, LaRoche hit well enough to earn a four-year deal with the Nationals, and he spent four years there before signing with the White Sox prior to the 2015 season. His first year with both the Nationals and the White Sox were a bit of a disaster, but in between he was a perfectly serviceable player. In 2012 in particular, he put up his career-best season by WAR (3.6), as he was above average with the bat and the glove. He was also nearly a scratch runner, which was pretty rare for him — since he entered the league in 2004, there have only been 25 players who have tallied a worse BsR than LaRoche has.

All told, LaRoche has only tallied 11.3 WAR for his career. That’s not that much, in the grand scheme of things. Mike Trout gets to that mark every eight months or so. But LaRoche wasn’t a first-round pick like Trout was — he was a 29th round pick. As you can imagine, 29th round picks don’t make it to the majors all that often. Certainly they don’t these days, with the new (and horrible, in my opinion) draft rules. But back in the day, we had the draft and follow, where teams could draft players, and then had the right to follow them for most of the next year before deciding whether to sign them or not. That practice helped build up the database of 29th rounders who made the majors.

LaRoche wasn’t one of them though. He was drafted by the Braves on June 5, 2000, and he signed on June 21st. Curiously, it was the third time that LaRoche had been drafted. He had gone in the 18th round in 1998 and the 42nd round in 1999, but hadn’t signed either time. As such, he is now one of the members of this select list:

29th Round Draft Picks Who Reached the Majors
Player Year Team G WAR
Ken Griffey 1969 Cincinnati 2,097 32.1
John Denny 1970 St. Louis 325 27.9
Kyle Lohse 1996 Chicago (NL) 455 26.7
Adam LaRoche 2000 Atlanta 1,605 11.3
Nick Blackburn 2001 Minnesota 145 4.0
Mike Venafro 1995 Texas 307 2.3
Kevin Foster 1987 Montreal 100 2.1
Erik Kratz 2002 Toronto 192 1.9
Mike Koplove 1998 Arizona 222 1.8
Lou Pote 1990 San Francisco 129 1.3
Dave Tomlin 1967 Cincinnati 409 1.2
Gene Walter 1982 San Diego 128 1.1
Kason Gabbard 2000 Boston 34 1.0
Mark Leonard 1986 San Francisco 168 1.0
Steve Delabar 2003 San Diego 183 0.7
Tim Spooneybarger 1998 Atlanta 88 0.7
Jack Fimple 1980 Cleveland 92 0.6
Brad Kilby 2005 Oakland 16 0.4
Ron Flores 2000 Oakland 53 0.3
John Harris 1976 California 56 0.3
Jonathan Van Every 2000 Cleveland 40 0.2
Gene Krug 1977 Chicago (NL) 7 0.1
Jim Farr 1978 Texas 5 0.1
Jeff Hamilton 1982 Los Angeles (NL) 416 0.1
Red Patterson 2010 Los Angeles (NL) 1 0.0
Michael Neu 1999 Cincinnati 33 0.0
Bobby Cuellar 1974 Texas 4 0.0
Russ Davis 1988 New York (AL) 612 0.0
Zak Shinall 1987 Los Angeles (NL) 1 -0.1
Kerry Woodson 1988 Seattle 8 -0.1
Paul Swingle 1989 California 9 -0.1
Jim Czajkowski 1986 Atlanta 5 -0.2
Tom Shearn 1996 Houston 7 -0.2
Kevin Pasley 1971 Los Angeles (NL) 55 -0.3
Sid Roberson 1992 Milwaukee 26 -0.4
Cliff Bartosh 1998 San Diego 53 -0.6

So, he wasn’t the best. But there’s certainly no shame in not being as good as Ken Griffey Sr. The main takeaway is just how impressive it is to have a substantial career when you’re drafted so late. For some of these players, the games played isn’t an adequate reflection of their time in the majors, since pitchers (and especially starting pitchers) necessarily play in fewer games than position players, but you get the idea. A lot of these players you probably have never heard of, or at best you did an “oh ya, I remember that name” kind of thing.

Getting to the majors is difficult. Staying there is even harder. These are both exponentially harder if you weren’t a bonus baby. Perhaps Adam LaRoche never took off and became the superstar he showed glimpses of being, but that isn’t necessarily the bar we should be judging players by. If this is the end of the line for him, he had a pretty sweet career.





Paul Swydan used to be the managing editor of The Hardball Times, a writer and editor for FanGraphs and a writer for Boston.com and The Boston Globe. Now, he owns The Silver Unicorn Bookstore, an independent bookstore in Acton, Mass. Follow him on Twitter @Swydan. Follow the store @SilUnicornActon.

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Hank G.Member since 2016
9 years ago

$70 million career earnings (if he does retire) is pretty sweet for a player who was below average for his career, and only had one season when he was substantially above average.

JediHoyer
9 years ago
Reply to  Hank G.

I think he was markedly average fod his career. Looking just at war and dividing by years played and saying he was below 2 war a season doesnt make a player below average. Take away his last season where he looked done and u get 12.7 war in basically 10 years. I consider 1-2 win players as average. There arent enough players over 2 war to consider that as average in my opionion. A player above replacement level but below above average quantifies average for me

Hank G.Member since 2016
9 years ago
Reply to  JediHoyer

Baseball Reference has him -5.5 WAA for his career. You can peg average wherever you want, but slightly above replacement level does not average make.

JediHoyer
9 years ago
Reply to  Hank G.

Average relative to what though? Starters at his position? All player pool? And half of the number you mentioned was from last year which i specifically discluded. I wouldnt penalize a guy like mays because he stuck around too long. Or if lackey tanks this year i weight the rest of his career over the anomaly.

Captain Tenneal
9 years ago
Reply to  Hank G.

From 2006-2012, Baseball Ref pegs him as exactly -0.0 WAA. And yes, that is in comparison to the entire pool of players.

The Puck
9 years ago
Reply to  JediHoyer

‘Take away his last season where he looked done and u get 12.7 war in basically 10 years. I consider 1-2 win players as average’

Fangraphs consider 1-2 win players ‘role players’. Got to get over 2 WAR to be considered solid starter.

By doing what you said in the quote above (taking away the last year), he averaged 1.27 WAR over basically 10 years. I can’t see being on the low side of ‘role player’ category as being average.