Author Archive

Daily Notes: Odds for the Derby, Translated to Win Percentage

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Odds for the Derby, Translated to Win Percentage
2. Unhelpful Video: Pedro Alvarez Homering Once

Odds for the Derby, Translated to Win Percentage
Introduction
With the conclusion of Sunday night’s Cubs-Cardinals game, capital-B Baseball has officially entered its All-Star Break. For those (like the present author) whose affection for the sport is tied directly to its ubiquity during the summer months, the Break is not a particularly welcome interval. For those (also like the present author) whose job it is to produce Notes on a Daily basis, the Break creates what is known as “a dearth of content.”

In any case, to divert ourselves today, Day 1 of 4, the author has produced the following — i.e. the projected winning percentages of every participant in tonight’s home-run derby based on the latest betting odds regarding same.

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Daily Notes: A Maybe Useful Preview of Today’s Futures Game

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. A Maybe Useful Preview of Today’s Futures Game
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

A Maybe Useful Preview of Today’s Futures Game
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is to alert the reader to how the Futures Game — which features (more or less) the best prospects from the United States playing against (more or less) the best prospects born abroad — is scheduled for today (Sunday) at 2pm ET.

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Daily Notes: Mostly Just Regarding Corey Kluber’s Changeup

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Regarding Corey Kluber’s Changeup
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Regarding Corey Kluber’s Changeup
A Largely Uninteresting, But Still Factual, Point Regarding the Author
The reader will likely not be fascinated to learn, but the author is compelled to announce anyway, that he (i.e. that same author) was forced to compose the greater portion of these Notes at 2:00am CT at a Comfort Inn in Prospect Heights, Illinois — this, after his travel plans from New York City to Madison, Wisconsin, were altered for the less convenient.

While one’s own travel woes are Pressing and Important, it’s also true that another’s (i.e. another’s travel woes) are both Tedious and Wearisome. That being the case, the author will not elaborate on his own any further. He mentions it here primarily as justification for why this edition of the Notes is mostly just regarding Corey Kluber’s changeup.

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Daily Notes: Meeting of the Corey Kluber Society Today

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Meeting of the Corey Kluber Society Today
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Meeting of the Corey Kluber Society Today
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is to announce a meeting — in this case, at 7:05pm ET today (Friday) — of the Corey Kluber Society.

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Daily Notes: Absolutely Concerning Danny Salazar’s Debut

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Concerning Danny Salazar’s Debut
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Concerning Danny Salazar’s Debut
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is to announce how right-handed Cleveland prospect and fixture in the present author’s weekly Fringe Five column Danny Salazar is making his major-league debut at 12:05pm ET today against Toronto.

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Daily Notes: Top Performances of the Mexican League So Far

The author apologizes to the tens of this column’s readers for its tardiness. He (i.e. that same author) was on a Chicago-area tarmac.

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Top Performances of the Mexican League So Far
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Top Performances of the Mexican League So Far
A Brief Introduction
Featured in this edition of the Notes are the SCOUT leaderboards for the Mexican League. Briefly stated, SCOUT represents an attempt to use our knowledge of certain metrics, and at what sample sizes they become reliable, to measure run production/prevention in instances where small samples are all that’s available. Stated less briefly, is the explanation available here.

Other recent editions: Triple-A / Double-A / High-A / Class A / Low-A.

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The Fringe Five: Baseball’s Most Compelling Fringe Prospects

The Fringe Five is a weekly exercise (introduced in April) wherein the author utilizes regressed stats, scouting reports, and also his own heart to identify and/or continue monitoring the most compelling fringe prospects in all of baseball.

Central to this exercise, of course, is a definition of the word fringe. The author recognizes that the word has different connotations for different sorts of readers. For the purposes of this column, however — and for reasons discussed more thoroughly in a recent edition of the Five — the author has considered eligible for the Five any prospect who was absent from all of three notable preseason top-100 prospect lists.

This week, the reader will find that three players retain their place among the Five: contact-heavy Phillies prospect Maikel Franco; Atlanta’s reliever-turned-starter, right-hander Cody Martin; and grievously under-represented White Sox infielder Marcus Semien.

Departing from the Five proper — largely because the author is restless and dumb — are well-educated Mets pitching prospect Matthew Bowman and perpetually youthful other Mets prospect Wilmer Flores.

Replacing that pair are recently promoted Washington left-hander Robbie Ray and right-handed Cleveland prospect Danny Salazar, who is very likely to receive a promotion (to the majors) on Thursday.

Now, here are this week’s Fringe Five:

Maikel Franco, 3B, Philadelphia (Profile)
In last week’s edition of the Five, the present author called attention to Franco’s excellent plate-discipline figures (including, at that point, a 1:2 walk-to-strikeout ratio in 52 plate appearances) as an indication that the 20-year-old was adapting quickly to the Double-A Eastern League. “To sustain such a high contact rate (in particular) would be unlikely, though,” the author either expressly stated or at least suggested quite vigorously. Somewhat surprisingly, however, Franco more or less has sustained those same basic rates. Consider: in his 24 plate appearances for Reading since last Tuesday, the third baseman has recorded a 0:1 walk-to-strikeout ratio, while also hitting a home run. His defense-independent numbers at Reading now? These: 76 PA, 5 HR, 1 BB, 3 K.

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Daily Notes: Statistical Update on 2013’s First-Round Picks

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Statistical Update on 2013’s First-Round Picks
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Statistical Update on 2013’s First-Round Picks
The Purpose of This Post
The purpose of this post is to announce that the author has updated the custom leaderboard featuring every first-round pick from the most recent draft both to have signed and also played for an affiliate of the relevant drafting team.

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FanGraphs Audio: Tony Cingrani on His Fastball, For Example

Episode 359
Tony Cingrani is a young and talented left-handed pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds whose fastball induces swings and misses at a rate above league average. He’s also the guest on this edition of FanGraphs Audio.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 10 min play time.)

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FanGraphs Audio: Dave Cameron Analyzes All Nolasco Trade

Episode 358
Dave Cameron is both (a) the managing editor of FanGraphs and (b) the guest on this particular edition of FanGraphs Audio — during which edition he analyzes mostly the trade by Miami to the Los Angeles Nationals of Ricky Nolasco.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 35 min play time.)

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