Author Archive

FanGraphs Audio: Dave Cameron Answers Baseball Questions

Episode 330
Dave Cameron is both (a) the managing editor of FanGraphs and (b) a guest on this particular edition of FanGraphs Audio — during which edition he answers questions concerned predominantly with baseball and the analysis thereof.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 38 min play time.)

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Daily Notes: Now with NERD Scores Everywhere

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Announcement: NERD Scores Now Available
2. NERD for Pitchers: Leaderboards and Formula
3. NERD for Teams: Leaderboard and Formula
4. Today’s Complete Schedule

Announcement: NERD Scores Now Available
The purpose of this announcement is to inform the reader that NERD scores are now available and will be a fixture in the Daily Notes for the remainder of the season.

“What is a NERD score, even?” a reasonable person might ask. It’s this, in fact: an attempt to summarize, in one number (on a scale of 0-10), the watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. It’s also this: a response to a challenge issued by Rob Neyer to the author in May of 2010.

Below is a discussion of pitcher and team NERD, specifically — along with leaderboards for each and relevant current formulae.

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Daily Notes: Sunday’s Games Considered for Your Pleasure

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Today’s Notable Games (With a Note on Free MLB.TV Games)
2. Potentially Useful Video: John Lackey’s Season Debut
3. Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages

Today’s Notable Games (With a Note on Free MLB.TV Games)
Note: on what MLBAM is calling Free Preview Sunday, all of today’s games besides the Atlanta-Detroit ESPN Sunday Night one are available for free on MLB.TV.

Cincinnati at Washington | 13:35 ET
After an excellent performance in his first major-league start, Tony Cingrani was even better in his second one, striking out nine of 25 Cubs batters while walking none (box). Notable is this: Cingrani compiled 12 swinging-strikes among the 72 fastballs he threw, or ca. 17%. League average, meanwhile, is about 6%.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Washington Radio

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Daily Notes: Saturday’s Games Considered for Your Pleasure

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
2. Barely Helpful Footage: Ervin Santana’s Slider
3. Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages

Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
Cleveland at Kansas City | 19:10 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Dayton Moore’s somewhat mysterious confidence in Ervin Santana has been justified thus far, as the right-hander has posted an 86 xFIP- and 0.5 WAR and 0.9 RA/9 WAR (that is, WAR based not on FIP but on runs allowed) through four starts. Santana’s swinging-strike rate has been about two percentage points above his career average so far — and much of that seems due to his slider. Always his best pitch by pitch-type value, Santana’s slider has been even better than usual, worth about 3.5 runs above league average for every hundred thrown. He’s also throwing it 40% of the time, which is rather often, actually.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Cleveland Radio

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Daily Notes: Baseball Information for the Reader’s Enjoyment

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Three Notable Pacific Coast League Peformances
2. SCOUT Leaderboards: Triple-A Pacific Coast League
3. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
4. Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages

Three Notable Pacific Coast League Peformances
The leaderboards for the Triple-A Pacific Coast League are below. Here are brief notes on three players from those leaderboards.

• On Wednesday, the author sang the body Wilmer Flores (currently fifth on the prospect-age batting leaderboard below) as part of the second installment of a weekly column called The Fringe Five. In summary: he (i.e. Flores) is only 21 and controls the hell out of the strike zone.

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FanGraphs Audio: Dayn Perry Ends Comedy

Episode 329
Dayn Perry is a contributor to CBS Sports’ Eye on Baseball and the author of three books, now — one of them serviceable and one of them, against all odds, something more than serviceable. He’s also the guest on this edition of FanGraphs Audio.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 51 min play time.)

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Daily Notes: Rousing Information for the Learned Fan

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Three Notable International League Peformances
2. SCOUT Leaderboards: Triple-A International League
3. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
4. Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages

Three Notable International League Peformances
The leaderboards for the Triple-A International League are below. Here are brief notes on three players from those leaderboards.

• This season is likely to mark the third consecutive one in which Chris Marrero, in his age-24 season, makes the majority of his plate appearances at Triple-A. Either a return to health or exposure to the level has allowed him to flourish early on. Generally speaking, it’s to the hitter’s advantage to walk and strikeout and homer all at the same rate — a thing which Marrero is more or less doing at the moment. Still, his currently major-league prospects rely on an injury to Adam LaRoche or trade.

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Daily Notes: Baseball in the Palm of Your Hand, Metaphorically

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Three Notable Florida State League Peformances
2. SCOUT Leaderboards: High-A Florida State League
3. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
4. Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages

Three Notable Florida State League Peformances
The leaderboards for the High-A Florida State League are below. Here are brief notes on three players from those leaderboards — like who they are mostly, for example.

• Out-performing the rest of the FSL at the moment is Toronto infield prospect Andrew Burns. An 11th-round pick in 2011 by the Blue Jays out of the University of Arizona, Burns has posted an impressive 13:6 walk-to-strikeout ratio, while also hitting two home runs, for Dunedin. The plate-discipline figures represent a marked improvement over his previously established levels. While little digital ink has been spilled with regard to Burns, John Sickels did note in his top-20 prospect list for Toronto that “[i]f you want a sleeper, keep an eye on infielder Andy Burns, who showed a potent power/speed combo in Low-A before getting injured in July. He’s under the radar but he’s got tools and some skills to go with them.”

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The Fringe Five for April 24, 2013

The Fringe Five, in case you’re wondering and also don’t know, is a weekly exercise (introduced last Tuesday) wherein the author utilizes regressed stats, scouting reports, and his own man-heart to identify and/or continue monitoring the most compelling fringe prospects in all of baseball.

“What precisely the hell do you mean by fringe?” a particularly combative reader might ask. To which query the author would reply: “Currently, a fringe prospect is one who was absent from all of three notable preseaon top-100 prospect lists.” And to which the author would continue responding as follows: “There is more discussion of the definition of fringe here.”

Being as this is merely the second installment of a column that is likely to run either (a) forever or (b) until the present author dies nobly in a Bloodsport-type combat situation, it’s fair to say that the criteria for inclusion among the Fringe Five is not entirely fixed at this point.

By way of illustration: four of the five players here are the same precise ones that appeared among the Fringe Five last week. That’s mostly because last year’s and this past winter’s performances are still very relevant. By way of even more illustration, the one player who’s departed from the Five (i.e. Joc Pederson) hasn’t been demoted for lack of performance, at all. In fact, Pederson has slashed something like .409/.500/.864 over the past week, with a 4:4 walk-to-strikeout ratio and two home runs.

Rather, the reason for Pederson’s exclusion has everything to do with how the author has parleyed with his True Self and found his True Self ultimately unmoved by Pederson. Does Joc Pederson have a future as a major leaguer? Almost certainly, yes, given his performance of late. Whatever he’s doing, however, is somehow not entirely consonant with the spirit of the Fringe Five.

Meanwhile, the player by whom Pederson has been replaced, Cardinals outfield half-prospect Mike O’Neill, is the sort whom we ought all to be celebrating constantly. One can read more about O’Neill below — and all the other members of this week’s Fringe Five.

Chase Anderson, RHP, Arizona (Profile)
After his considerable success in the Southern League last season — and also in the Arizona Fall League after that — right-hander Chase Anderson has done little to dispel the notion (if such a notion even exists) that he’s worthy of major-league baseball. Here’s his line from the past week, for example, in two Pacific Coast League starts: 10.0 IP, 12 K, 4 BB, 0 HR.

Also, here’s a changeup by Anderson to Trent Oeltjen from April 11th:

Anderson Oeltjenb CH SS Later

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Daily Notes: High-Quality Information for Everyone’s Use

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Three Notable California League Peformances
2. SCOUT Leaderboards: High-A California League
3. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
4. Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages

Three Notable California League Peformances
The leaderboards for the High-A California League are below. Here are brief notes on three players from those leaderboards — like who they are mostly, for example.

• “But that was in the California League” is a reasonable comment to append to any statement one might make with regard to a particularly promising line from a hitting prospect. It’s a comment one might reasonably append, as well, to the observation that Oakland first-base prospect Max Muncy’s has eight home runs in his first 85 plate appearances this season — especially in light of how Muncy hit only four of them in 274 plate appearances last season in the Midwest League. One might say all of this with one caveat: Muncy’s raw numbers are excellent so far, but so are his numbers/rates relative to league average. He’s both hitting home runs and controlling the strike zone better than his peers in the California League.

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