Author Archive

Ke’Bryan Hayes Needs a Bat Path Fix

Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Since 2021, Ke’Bryan Hayes is the leader in OAA among all infielders. As one of the best defenders in the sport, his floor is very high. Even with his career 87 wRC+, he has still been worth about 3 WAR per 162 games. If he could be a consistently average offensive player, he’d be one of the most valuable players at his position. This is a story we all know. With his name swirling in trade rumors, you have to imagine other teams are thinking about the possibility more so now than in the past. His issues stem from his suboptimal swing path, and if he’s traded, that will be what his new hitting coach tries to fix.

In the last calendar year (459 plate appearances), Hayes has a 60 wRC+. That is bad! But despite those struggles, it’s not like he is completely lacking offensive ability. His bat speed is only a little below average. His strikeout and whiff rates are better than league average over the past three seasons. He hits the ball hard more often than not, and he chases at about an average rate. Those are all things you could work with if you’re trying to manufacture a league average hitter. But if you’re doing all this and your path is rarely working in an ideal direction, you’ll always have limitations on what you do when you actually make contact. Read the rest of this entry »


Behold the Dazzling Defense of Denzel Clarke

Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images

I watch a lot of baseball, to the point that you might think it would all seem routine to me. After all, how many times can one person see a monster home run before the achievement loses its luster? Yet, at least for me, that could not be further from the truth. More often than not, the players on the field still find ways to captivate and surprise me. In a league with Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, and Paul Skenes, the unimaginable seems to happen on a regular basis. But early last week, I experienced one of the more jaw-dropping baseball moments of my life, courtesy of Athletics rookie center fielder Denzel Clarke in a game against the Angels.

I wasn’t the only one either. The whole baseball was excited about Clarke’s catch. Martín Gallegos of MLB.com talked with Clarke and his peers about it. In the Wall Street Journal, Jared Diamond used the catch as the hook to tell a more in-depth story about Clarke. Sam Miller covered Clarke’s two-and-a-half week progression of dealing with the wall over on his Substack, Pebble Hunting. And, of course, last week Ben Clemens led his Five Things column with Clarke and the catch. If you’re like me and can’t get enough of the catch, you should check out all four of these pieces.

So, about that catch… Clarke channeled his inner Spider-Man by scaling the Angel Stadium wall, catching the ball, and gracefully protecting his body on the way down, finishing with a perfectly symmetrical two-foot landing. The athletic ability is no surprise, given he was doing this last fall in Arizona. The little things, though, are great to see from an early development perspective. The entire play is a perfect demonstration of everything that Clarke excels at defensively — burst, route, deceleration, wall awareness — in addition to the acrobatics. I’m going to break it all down here today. But first, I want to make sure we’re all on the same page about how good Clarke has been on defense to start his young career. Let’s start with the outfield OAA leaders this season:

Outfield Defense Leaders
Player Outfield Innings OAA
Pete Crow-Armstrong 655.2 13
Ceddanne Rafaela 601.1 10
Denzel Clarke 191.2 9
Victor Scott II 590.2 9
Julio Rodríguez 636.0 8
Fernando Tatis Jr. 593.2 8
Harrison Bader 480.0 7
Michael Harris II 641.1 6
Kyle Isbel 495.2 6
Jake Meyers 594.2 6
SOURCE: Baseball Savant

Clarke has played in 24 games and has 9 OAA, which is tied for third best among outfielders. The two players ahead of him — Pete Crow-Armstrong and Ceddanne Rafaela – have both played over 400 more defensive innings than him. Basically, almost every time Clarke has attempted a play that most other outfielders wouldn’t have made, he’s caught the ball.

Having 95th percentile speed is certainly a major part of that, but as we know, speed alone doesn’t make an elite defensive outfielder. To understand the other pieces of Clarke’s defensive game, we have to watch some video. Where better to start than with the Spider-Man catch.

With Grant Holman on the bump and Nolan Schanuel at the plate with no runners on, Clarke has a standard alignment. On a 1-0 pitch, Schanuel gets a splitter over the heart of the plate and puts as great swing on it, launching the ball 29 degrees at 102 mph to left-center field. Let’s watch it again:

Man, there are so many things to unpack with this play. Clarke is already at full speed by the time the camera cuts to him. He has the third-best burst in the majors, meaning that once he gets going in his route, he is absolutely cooking to get to the ball. Clarke’s reaction metric is actually only around average compared to other outfielders. What he does is a common strategy many fielders employ when tracking down fly balls: He waits a split second to find the ball to make sure he’ll take a more efficient route. From there, he accelerates to the spot where the ball is going.

After the jump, outfielders need to determine where they are relative to the ball and the wall, and then adjust their speed accordingly. Here, Clarke steals two quick looks after sprinting for several steps. First, he flicks his head around to look for the warning track; then, after a few more steps, he flicks his head around again, this time to find the wall. These glances force him to slow down and be more under control as he attempts to make the catch, which is especially important on this particular play, when he not only has to track the fly ball but also scale the wall.

His elite burst, efficient route, and poised deceleration give him a chance to make the play. Pure athleticism does the rest.

With a few choppy steps on the warning track, he gets in the perfect position to propel his body up and over the wall. He then grabs the top of the wall with his throwing hand to steady himself. Simultaneously, he extends his left arm, snags the ball, and rotates his upper body to protect is shoulder and halt his momentum so he and the ball don’t end up on the other side of the fence. He continues his clock-wise turn and rolls off the wall to land smoothly with two feet on the ground, then pops up to celebrate his absurd accomplishment.

Clarke dazzles on defense even when he’s not robbing home runs. I am most impressed with his proficiency on low line drives. These may seem fairly straightforward, but they are among the more difficult plays for outfielders. On an episode of his Bleacher Report podcast, On Base, from last week, Mookie Betts spoke with guest Jackson Merrill about a number of baseball topics, including Clarke’s catch. During the conversation, Merrill, a converted shortstop in his second year as a center fielder, said line drives are the most difficult batted balls for him to field. This is a common sentiment among outfielders. You have less time to read the flight of the ball and determine its trajectory; hesitation can lead to extra bases. So outfielders have to make a decision quickly and stick to it — and they need to be correct. Here are some examples of liners that Clarke has tracked down so far this season:

That first one, hit by Nick Castellanos, looks destined for the gap, but with a quick read and a straight route to the ball, Clarke catches it with ease. He recognizes the ball is looping a little, meaning he has a bit more time to cut it off in the air. If it’s hit slightly harder or with less arc, maybe he wouldn’t attempt to catch it, instead opting to head for the wall and play the carom.

Or maybe, considering how Clarke approaches the scorchers off the bats of Taylor Ward (second liner) and Bo Bichette (fourth), he’d run faster and make the play anyway. He looks just as comfortable snatching those two would-be extra-base hits, each rocketed over 105 mph.

He can afford to do this because of how quickly he can slow down. See how he overruns Ward’s line drive? That would be disastrous for most outfielders, but not for Clarke. He’s sprinting to his right, then suddenly decelerates with a slide and reaches back to his left. And he can do this in all directions.

The best outfielders are often the ones who aren’t afraid to sacrifice their bodies. Clarke is no exception, but he also isn’t reckless; he knows how to dive in a way that limits his injury risk. Watch the third play in the video above, when he dives forward as he comes in on the ball. Notice how he catches the ball in the center of his body. This allows him to make the catch with his hands facing upward so his wrists and shoulders are less exposed, thereby preventing awkward landings that could lead to jammed joints, torn ligaments, and broken bones.

Clarke’s defensive skills are so advanced that the A’s are willing to run him out there even as he struggles mightily at the plate. The good news, as Ben noted in last week’s Five Things, is Clarke was a productive hitter in the minors, and maybe he just needs time to develop at the big league level. I really hope that’s the case, because it’s such a treat to watch him play center field.


Wait, Gabriel Arias Is Standing Where in the Box?

Brad Mills-Imagn Images

Do you remember the scene from The Benchwarmers when Clark is up to bat, except that he is absolutely nowhere near the plate? Back when I used to catch and would see hitters set up way off the plate, that was always the image that popped into my head. After an internal laugh, I’d give my sign, then take one big side step to the opposite side of where the hitter was standing to make sure my pitcher didn’t come close to fixating on the inner half. Unless you’re swinging a 40-inch bat and simultaneously have the strength of Giancarlo Stanton, you’re not making good contact on anything away. Gabriel Arias is a prime example of this.

In 2025, there hasn’t been a single hitter who stands farther from the plate than Arias. This is a relatively new extreme. Since 2023, Arias has moved farther and farther from the plate, starting at 31.9 inches in 2023, to 33.0 in 2024, to a league-leading 35.4 this season. For context, let’s take a snapshot of the 2025 leaders:

Distance off Plate Leaders
Player Distance off Plate (Inches) Depth in Box (Inches) Stance Angle (Degrees)
Gabriel Arias 35.4 29.3 3
Paul Goldschmidt 33.6 25.7 11
Aaron Judge 32.7 27.2 6
Jake Burger 32.2 23.2 2
Elly De La Cruz 31.7 29.6 35
Shohei Ohtani 31.6 29.0 9
Lawrence Butler 31.5 26.2 3
Mickey Moniak 31.5 25.5 12
Bo Naylor 31.4 26.6 22
Agustín Ramírez 31.4 29.7 12
Jonah Heim 31.4 28.7 7
Kyle Manzardo 31.4 22.2 4
Ryan McMahon 31.4 22.4 2
Nathaniel Lowe 31.4 26.3 12
Max Kepler 31.3 33.1 26
SOURCE: Baseball Savant

Most of these players are on the very tall side. That’s not to say you have to be tall to stand off the plate, but if the goal is to make sure your barrel aligns with the heart of the plate, it would make sense that the taller players are the ones who, generally, would benefit from having more space between the plate and where they set up. Conversely, when shorter players set up far off the plate, they increase the area they need to cover with their swings while lacking the length to do so.

That seems to be what’s happening with Arias, who despite being among the shorter players on this list, is standing nearly two more inches off the plate than the next guy, Paul Goldschmidt, and nearly three more inches off it than Aaron Judge, who is six inches taller than the Guardians infielder. How can Arias possibly reach pitches on the outer third of the plate? Here is an example from a game last week:

If I had any video editing skills, I’d overlay Clark as a comparison to highlight just how far this is. It’s an interesting strategy that needs to be reasoned out. Despite his power potential, Arias entered 2025 with a career 74 wRC+, so it’s understandable he would want to make some changes. Setting up even farther away, though, seemed like a bizarre choice, given his average height for a ballplayer and the way it would expose him to outside pitches. Initially, I thought the new setup would hurt him more than it would help. I mean, why would pitchers ever throw him a pitch over the inner third? But then I noticed Arias’ wRC+ is higher this season than it was in 2023 and 2024, up to 88 as of Thursday morning, which is still quite bad but represents a sizable improvement nonetheless. Maybe he was on to something after all.

To see what’s going on here, let’s first zoom in on how this change is playing out on a zone-by-zone basis. In 2023 and 2024, Arias’ xwOBA against pitches on the outer third was .224 and .248, respectively, putting him near the bottom of the league. That number is nearly the same this year, at .235. I’m surprised it hasn’t gotten worse. Where he’s standing, the outside corner might as well be Narnia.

My best guess for why he’s setting up farther away is he wanted to have a better shot at damaging inside pitches. Perhaps he often felt handcuffed and thought moving off the plate would give him more space to get his barrel on plane and make it easier for him to elevate pitches. How’s that working out for him?

Arias Inner-Third Performance
Season wOBA xwOBA Whiff% Hard-Hit% Sweet-Spot%
2023 .262 .306 27.0 49.2 28.8
2024 .319 .245 28.8 38.9 16.7
2025 .362 .401 21.5 54.1 37.8
SOURCE: Baseball Savant

OK, now we’re talking. In his previous two seasons, he was not competitive against pitches on the inner third. He was both whiffing a lot and not balancing it out with a ton of hard-hit balls. This year, he’s flipped the script by whiffing less and hitting the ball hard more often.

On top of that, he’s making sweet-spot contact at an impressive rate, helping him pull off a .436 xwOBACON on the inner third. Of course, that only accounts for his performance against pitches to one-third of the zone, but it’s still an improvement that has propelled his offensive performance from unplayable to bearable.

At some point, though, pitchers are going to have adjust, right? They can no longer beat him inside like they did before, but there’s a large chunk of the zone still available to them. And that area might be larger than just the outer third. Because Arias is standing so far off the plate and looking to turn on inside pitches, he might also have a tough time covering at least some pitches over the middle, too.

Hitters who shift farther away from the plate should still be able to crush middle-middle pitches, but depending on how their swing works, it could be difficult for them to reach either high or low pitches over the middle. Before diving into how Arias’ swing works, let’s see if the data tell us a bit more about that:

Arias Middle-Third Performance
Zone Season wOBA xwOBA Whiff% Hard-Hit%
Low-Middle 2023 .313 .392 23.1 58.3
2024 .289 .474 17.9 44.4
2025 .578 .497 29.5 60.0
Middle-Middle 2023 .456 .461 26.9 69.0
2024 .465 .424 18.2 63.2
2025 .264 .387 31.8 56.3
Upper-Middle 2023 .373 .395 43.7 75.0
2024 .366 .394 50.0 75.0
2025 .053 .182 46.5 33.3
SOURCE: Baseball Savant

As expected, Arias’ new location in the box has created another hole over the middle third of the plate. His .053 wOBA and .182 xwOBA up top are absolutely brutal under any circumstances, but they’re especially jarring compared to his .366/.394 from last season. The drop-off alone isn’t entirely uncommon because of the small sample sizes when looking at one-ninth of the zone, but to go from above average to fourth worst in baseball is tough. His numbers have also declined on middle-middle pitches. The .123 margin between his wOBA and xwOBA says bad luck may be involved, but there are many hitters with much wider gaps between their actual numbers and their expected one. However, it’s also interesting to see Arias’ improvement on low-middle pitches. He’s always been good against these pitches, but now he’s demolishing them far more frequently than before.

Even so, that leaves a massive area for opposing pitchers to target, and their pitch mix to get Arias out should be fairly simple: Overwhelm him with heaters up, then put him away with soft stuff outside. He has a .177 xwOBA against offspeed pitches and a .234 xwOBA against breaking balls this season. Those numbers are even worse on the outer third, with a .127 xwOBA against offspeed and a .128 xwOBA against breakers. So far, pitchers don’t seem to be giving him a noticeably different pitch mix compared to how they attacked him in other seasons, or even earlier this year, but they are definitely starting to throw more offspeed pitches to locations that are farther away. Maybe they’re catching on, maybe not. Time will tell.

Here is some video of swings he’s taken against outer-third pitches:

Almost everything is off the end of the bat. Any right-handed pitcher that can locate away is going to have a good shot at beating Arias. In almost all of these clips, he’s making contact off the end of the bat and/or swinging off balance. His closed stride helps him cover pitches that are closer to the middle — like the one from Carlos Rodón in the final GIF above — because his swing path is moving more toward the heart of the plate, but his barrel doesn’t stay in the hitting zone on an upward trajectory long enough to have much room for error. So unless he perfectly times his swing to connect with these pitches over the middle, he’s either not going to square them up or he’ll miss them altogether.

It’s clear Arias is trying to maximize his strengths, damaging inner-third and low-middle pitches, even if it means making his weaknesses even worse. So far, that trade-off is working for him. Although he remains below average at the plate, he’s a better hitter now than he was before; that improvement is enough for him to be a valuable player overall because he’s a good defender at multiple infield positions and he runs the bases well. But we’re only a third of the way through the season, and I have my doubts about how sustainable this will be for him. The holes in his plate coverage should be large enough for major league pitchers to exploit. If (read: when) that happens, Arias is going to have to punish every location mistake they make, which is difficult for even the most talented of hitters, or he’s going to have to continue to refine his game. Maybe that means closing off his stride even more to get to more pitches over the middle, or altering his swing to remain on an upward trajectory through the zone for a longer period of time. If his current setup proves to be too extreme, he can always slide ever so slightly closer to the plate. Not too much, just enough to cover a bit more of the zone without compromising his ability to turn on inner-third pitches.

But we’re not there yet. The most important thing to take away from this is Arias has shown he can make a fairly drastic adjustment and have it work as intended. So when pitchers inevitably adjust to him, perhaps he can do it again.


Oneil Cruz Is Starting To Damage Low Pitches

Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

When I first started writing this piece, it began something like this: The results had yet to come for Oneil Cruz. But after a week of hitting lasers all over the park, Cruz’s wRC+ is up to 126, the highest mark of his career outside of his brief 2021 call-up. The 6-foot-7 outfielder’s titanic bat speed and explosiveness ignite stretches of truly incredible performance. His current hot streak and season-long numbers are a glimpse into what he can do with his talent, and they stand in contract with last season, when he had a 110 wRC+ and posted underwhelming numbers in the lower third of the strike zone for such a long limbed and powerful guy.

Back in January, I examined Cruz’s greatest strength: his ability to pound pitches at the top of the zone. Players with such long levers aren’t normally as productive at the top of the zone as Cruz was last season. His .496 xwOBA ranked third in all of baseball! If you left a pitch up there against him, you were vulnerable to some real pain. But being locked in in one part of the zone often means making sacrifices in another. It’s difficult to be versatile enough to command both the upper and lower thirds, and Cruz only ran a measly league average xwOBA in the bottom third (.319). That’s odd, though, because these are the types of pitches you’d expect somebody with his stature to drop their barrel under the ball with ease. When I wrote my January piece, one obvious conclusion was that if Cruz could preserve his upper-third excellence while doing more damage in a part of the zone that should mesh well with his physical abilities, then his batted ball profile would be fully unlocked. It’s still early, but Cruz’s .367 xwOBA in the lower third so far this season is a big improvement. Read the rest of this entry »


Brice Turang Is a Great Model for How To Increase Bat Speed

Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

I like to analyze what’s happening with individual batters as a way to have a broader discussion about hitting. The story I wrote about Oneil Cruz back in January also covered how unusual it is for long-limbed hitters to crush high pitches. Digging into Brent Rooker’s excellent 2024 campaign in December offered me an opportunity to look at how batters can make subtle adjustments to command the top of the zone. And today’s piece on Brewers second baseman Brice Turang doubles as a primer on the best way to make bat speed gains.

It’s almost always a good thing for hitters to increase their bat speed. That sounds obvious, right? If you swing faster, you can hit the ball harder, get to more pitches, and have more time to react. No arguments there.

But when training to increase your bat speed, you don’t just swing some weighted bats around and magically become a better hitter. Your goal should be to swing faster while preserving the strengths of your swing. Sometimes higher-effort hacks can have unintended consequences, so hitters and their coaches need to pay attention to how individual swing components interact with all the others. For Turang specifically, this meant he had to figure out how to swing harder while maintaining his elite contact skills, which come from his bat angle variability and short stroke. With bat speed, intercept, and swing length data now in the public sphere, we can better understand how Turang is doing this. But first, let’s take a look at how much better Turang has been this season than he was in 2024:

Brice Turang’s Progression
Season xwOBA xwOBACON Sweet-Spot% Barrel% Hard-Hit%
2024 .297 .322 32.0 2.4 29.7
2025 .364 .426 36.2 9.6 48.9
SOURCE: Baseball Savant

Yes, somehow, this is the same hitter. Turang’s Barrel% has jumped from the third percentile to the 56th, while his Hard-Hit% surged from the ninth percentile to the 80th. That’s ridiculous. Turang was essentially a bottom-decile guy across the board when it came to contact quality. Now, he’s well above average, and he’s improved without compromising the other parts of his game, which I’ll get into later. He’s also increased his power ceiling, with his max exit velocity climbing from the 33rd to the 64th percentile.

All these improvements are due to the fact that Turang is swinging significantly faster. No qualified hitter has increased his average bat speed more than the 2.8 mph that Turang has added, from 66.2 mph last year to 69.0 mph in 2025. That’s important when you consider that last year batters posted a .164 xwOBA on swings below 66 mph. Looking at how the distribution of Turang’s swing speeds has changed further demonstrates why it was especially crucial for him to take harder hacks:

This visualization specifically focuses on swings when Turang made contact. In 2024, about a tenth of his swings were at or below 60 mph, and those swings yielded a .165 xwOBA. Now, nearly all of his swings have a speed above that threshold. He has raised his floor a ton by minimizing how often he swings that slowly. The midpoint of his swing speed distribution has shifted beyond 70 mph – more often than not he’s giving himself a chance to do real damage, and that just wasn’t the case in the past.

Going back to what I mentioned earlier, Turang has kept other components of his swing almost exactly the same even as he’s made these gains. His point of contact relative to his body is the same. Last year, his intercept point (which also includes swings without contact) was 31 inches versus his center of mass. This year, that’s shifted, but barely, 30.6. This is fantastic. To understand why, I need to get a little nerdy and bring in some more context. There are ways to cheat bat speed gains that can actually be detrimental to a hitter. Yes, I know that’s a bit contrary to my previous point, however, it can be true! If a hitter does everything the same and shifts his point of contact further out in front of his body (even if that creates suboptimal contact) his bat speed will increase!

It comes down to physics. One component of measuring bat speed is the distance from the bat’s knob (assuming that is the reference point) to the point of impact. If that radius increases, so will your bat speed, though obviously there is a limit here. That means that you can keep your angular speed (how quickly the bat rotates) the same while lengthening your radius to increase your bat speed. There is a sweet spot for that radius increase to be beneficial. If you exceed it, you’ll start to yank all your solid contact foul, and if you want to keep the ball fair, you’ll have to alter your bat angles, which leads to suboptimal contact. Like with every part of baseball, balance is needed.

Based on this calculation of bat speed, we can deduce that Turang is creating more angular speed in order to increase his overall bat speed without changing his average intercept point much. Very good! Along with that, Turang’s swing length is still elite (90th percentile this year compared to 100th last year), and he is now standing more toward the back of the box. The former means his swing is still short and sweet, and the latter adjustment might mean that when he does shift his point of contact farther out in front, he has more wiggle room to keep the ball fair. All this combined leads to the type of improvements we’ve seen so far.

Lastly, I’ll leave with you some video highlighting how Turang has drastically changed his setup compared to last year, which likely is one of the main factors driving his bat speed gains:

2024

2025

He stands more narrow with his hands higher and begins his load with a big leg kick. This has helped him swing the bat faster on average by cutting down on his slower, non-A swings while also maintaining his previous point of contact. For many hitters, the leg kick is a timing mechanism and not just a way to set up their rotation. I think this is the case for Turang. And to make sure this change wouldn’t leave him off balance, he has paired it with higher hands to keep his upper and lower halves connected. Really good process decisions here.

Turang has always been a great baserunner and an excellent fielder, but because of the gains he made during the offseason, he has elevated both his ceiling and his floor. And as a result, he is now emerging as a valuable everyday player for Milwaukee.


Jung Hoo Lee Is Starting To Look Like a Star

Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

No player wants to suffer a significant, season-ending injury like Jung Hoo Lee did last May, especially in their rookie year. But when players do find themselves in that situation, they can at least use the time to reflect on their performance and make adjustments that they think will improve their game upon their return. Despite it being early in the season, it seems that is exactly what Lee has done.

The Giants center fielder’s offensive improvements warrant a look under the hood to see exactly what he has changed, because right now, he seems like a completely different player from the one we saw last year. So far this season, Lee is sporting a 192 wRC+, a .394 xwOBA (86th percentile), a 43.1% sweet-spot rate (87th percentile), and a .446 xwOBACON. Those are all big improvements compared to his limited 2024 sample. Read the rest of this entry »


So Far, Corbin Carroll’s Stance Change Is Paying Off

Rob Schumacher/The Republic-USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Spring is a time of batting stance changes. As players come back from their offseason workouts and sessions with their private hitting coaches, they may have new setups and mechanics that they believe will make them better hitters in the year ahead. Typically, we can notice stance changes right away, but throughout spring training and the first few weeks of the regular season, it can be difficult to determine whether an alteration will have any real impact on a player’s performance. A lot of times, a change can be noise, so filtering through why it was made is critical to understanding its eventual effectiveness. I approach this by thinking about a hitter’s weakness and how the change might address it. In the case of Corbin Carroll, there is a straightforward story to be told that makes me confident his new stance will be impactful in the long term.

Before we get into why Carroll changed his stance from a data perspective, let’s discuss his reasoning behind the change and what it looks like, much of which was reported on during spring training. As Carroll told Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports, his intention with the stance change was to “have a better hand position to fire from.” Carroll has been tweaking his hand position since the second half of last season, but where his hands are now versus then is different, as you can see below in this side-by-side screenshot posted by DBacks Dispatch:

My main focus is how he’s shifted his hands forward, closer to his face than they were even after he made his tweak last summer. That change alone puts him in a much different position before his downswing, and therefore, sets him up for a different bat path. Let’s get into why. Read the rest of this entry »


Highlighting Some of the Best Defensive Plays of Opening Week

Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images

Man, it sure is nice to have baseball back, and we’ve already been treated with fantastic performances from across the league. There have been the usual Aaron Judge home runs, the return of Jacob deGrom’s dominance, the stretch of surprising Marlins walk-offs, and so much more. But for the next few minutes, we’re going to focus on the elite defense on display so far this season.

Great defense can come about in so many ways. Sometimes, it’s a feat of raw athleticism, while other excellent plays are a testament to the fielder’s intuition and preparation. Aside from actually making the plays, fielders must consider a multitude of factors in an extremely limited amount of time; the best fielders are also the best real-time processors. The best way to explain this is by watching it in action.

Let’s start with none other than defensive wizard Matt Chapman: Read the rest of this entry »


Let’s Talk About Slam Dunk Framing

Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re not familiar with Jerry Weinstein, you should be. He is a catching coach legend. After decades with the Rockies, he recently jumped to the Cubs, and lucky for us, he’s quite active online talking about catching philosophies and training. One thing he has discussed recently is “slam dunk” framing.

Some cues in baseball are universal, and slam dunk framing is one of them. It looks just like how it sounds: Catchers take their glove and quickly snap it down as if they were dunking a basketball. What’s the intention? By moving their glove down in a quick, fluid motion on pitches at the top of the zone, they’re attempting to give the impression that these pitches are lower than where they actually crossed the plate.

While this could easily just be another solo Patrick Bailey framing post, there is one other guy in particular, Cal Raleigh, who deserves to squat in the spotlight. To set the stage, here are the leaders in Strike% in Zone 12 (the upper third in the shadow zone) last season: Read the rest of this entry »


Entering His Age-40 Season, Justin Turner Signs on With the Cubs

Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports

For the third consecutive offseason, Justin Turner has signed to play for a new team. This time, he is heading to the north side of Chicago, after he and the Cubs agreed to a one-year deal worth $6 million earlier this week. Turner, who turned 40 in November, will likely split time at DH and 1B. The reason to add Turner at this stage in his career is straight forward: He can still hit at an above league average clip.

Considering Turner is entering his 17th major league season, you likely already know a lot about his game. His whiff and strikeout rates have stayed in the upper quartile even as he has aged, he doesn’t chase much, and has a great feel for spraying the ball to all fields. It’s the exact group of traits that a hitter without much explosiveness needs to survive this many years. Here is a quick reminder of his performance over the last handful of years to put into perspective where he is at right now:

Old Man Turner’s Still Got It
Season wRC+ K% Percentile Whiff% Percentile Chase% Percentile xwOBACON VBA
2021 126 80th 88th 83rd .383 36.9
2022 123 78th 78th 65th .367 34.9
2023 115 77th 92nd 71st .367 34.4
2024 117 74th 90th 72nd .343 34.2

There is no doubt his contact quality has dipped. That’s likely a function of his bottom decile bat speed. But along with that has come improved whiff rates. This compensation represents a new version of how Turner has been successful with his current physical attributes. It’s a benefit to any team to plug in this type of hitter, especially because he is productive and essentially platoon neutral.

To be frank, though, I don’t think a full on, comprehensive analysis of Turner’s offensive game is completely needed at this point. We’ve seen what he can do and have a good idea what type of hitter he is now. Instead, I want to use this time to highlight what I think is the most impressive part of Turner’s game, the part that makes me enthusiastic to watch him in the twilight of his career: His ability to hit sinkers. Read the rest of this entry »