Breaking Down 2010 MLB Regular Season Attendance
There were no extra games played this regular season, much to the chagrin of Padres fans, but when the books were closed on 2010 (sans the postseason), MLB’s paid attendance was almost flat compared to last season.
All told, MLB’s audited attendance (we’ll get to why “audited” means something in a minute) came to 73,061,781, compared to 73,367,659 for the 2009 regular season — a decline of just 0.42 percent. When looking at attendance per game, 2010 saw an average 30,067compared to 30,300 last season. The reason “audited” makes a difference is, if we added up all the paid attendance figures you get 73,061,763 in 2010 and 73,508,197 in 2009, a decline of 0.61 percent. Since MLB does not release the audited figures for each of the 30 clubs, the best we can work with are the unaudited figures for individual clubs. Still, it paints the story of paid attendance well enough (now, if only the league were to count actual turnstile clicks as opposed to ticket sales, we’d have a true “attendance” picture).
As it was last year, and the year before (actually, there were two last season with the Mets and Yankees, and the Nationals the year prior), new stadium development made the numbers turn out better than they could have. The Twins, with their new Target Field, bolstered the league by posting the largest increase over last season. All told, paid attendance for the Twins was 3,223,640, compared to 2,362,149 last season — an increase of 36.47 percent. If you were to adjust the league attendance with the Twins’ figures from last year, paid attendance would have been 72,200,290. Instead of a decline of four-tenths of a percent, you get a decline of 1.6 percent. It will be interesting to see if the attendance figures hold next season given the fact that MLB will not have the benefit of a new stadium opening next season (the Marlins new ballpark is slated to open in 2012 and there are no new ballparks set to open anytime soon).
Behind the Twins, the largest increases came from the Reds (17.89 percent) and Rangers (16.19 percent). All told, 13 clubs posted gains (Twins, Reds, Rangers, Rockies, Giants, Braves, Phillies, Marlins, Pirates, Yankees, A’s, Nationals, and Angels).
In terms of total attendance, the Yankees are on top (3,765,803), followed by the Phillies (3,647,249), and Dodgers (3,562,320), who fall from the #1 position they held last season.
For decliners, the Cleveland Indians dragged the league down more than any. Drawing 1,391,644, compared to 1,766,242 for 2009 (a difference of 374,598), the Tribe drew 21.21 percent fewer fans this year than in 2009. They were closely followed by the Mets, who, with the lackluster performance in the standings and a year removed from the initial honeymoon of CitiField drew 2,559,738, compared to 3,154,270 last season — a decline of 18.85 percent. If you compare attendance to the last year in cavernous Shea Stadium, the Mets are down a whopping 36.67 percent from when the club was second in the league in attendance behind only the Yankees after drawing 4,042,047. Other double-digit declines came by way of the Blue Jays (down 16.3 percent) and Royals (10.24 percent). For the Royals, part of the decline is due to last season being the first season after the renovations to Kauffman Stadium.
In terms of the lowest total attendance, it’s the Indians at #30 (1,391,644), followed by the A’s (1,418,391) and Marlins (1,524,894).
In terms of which Division drew the best in 2010, the numbers may surprise you. When looking at average attendance, the National League cleans up. All three of the NL divisions drew better average attendance than their AL counterparts (see table and chart below)
2010
Attendance (By Division) |
||
Division | Total | Avg |
NL West | 13,663,479 | 2,732,696 |
NL Central | 15,146,161 | 2,524,360 |
NL East | 12,200,139 | 2,440,028 |
AL East | 11,905,752 | 2,381,150 |
AL West | 9,260,006 | 2,315,002 |
AL Central | 10,886,226 | 2,177,245 |
Coming back to total attendance, the decline from last season, while slight, is still a decline. In fact, despite total attendance numbers coming in at the sixth-highest totals ever, the economy has still packed a punch over the past three seasons. To place the 2010 attendance figure (73,061,781) in perspective, it is all of 38,812 more than 2004’s total (73,022,969). The following is the past decade by total attendance.
Total Attendance 2001-10 |
|||
YEAR | GAMES | TOTAL | % (+/-) |
2001 | 2413 | 72,530,213 | |
2002 | 2412 | 67,858,176 | -6.44% |
2003 | 2413 | 67,688,994 | -0.25% |
2004 | 2402 | 73,022,969 | 7.88% |
2005 | 2419 | 74,925,821 | 2.61% |
2006 | 2421 | 76,078,766 | 1.54% |
2007 | 2425 | 79,503,175 | 4.50% |
2008 | 2415 | 78,591,116 | -1.15% |
2009 | 2420 | 73,367,197 | -6.58% |
2010
|
2426
|
73,061,781
|
-0.42%
|
Finally, here’s how each of the 30 clubs breaks down compared to last season (ranked by % of increase/decrease).
Team
|
#
Gms |
Attend
(09) |
09
Avg |
#
Gms |
Attend
(10) |
10
Avg |
Diff
|
Dif
Per |
%
(+/-) |
Twins
|
81
|
2,362,149
|
29,162
|
81
|
3,223,640
|
39,798
|
861,491
|
10,636
|
36.47%
|
Reds
|
81
|
1,747,919
|
21,579
|
81
|
2,060,550
|
25,439
|
312,631
|
3,860
|
17.89%
|
Rangers
|
81
|
2,156,016
|
26,617
|
81
|
2,505,171
|
30,928
|
349,155
|
4,311
|
16.19%
|
Rockies
|
81
|
2,665,080
|
32,902
|
81
|
2,875,245
|
35,497
|
210,165
|
2,595
|
7.89%
|
Giants
|
81
|
2,861,111
|
35,322
|
81
|
3,037,443
|
37,499
|
176,332
|
2,177
|
6.16%
|
Braves
|
81
|
2,373,631
|
29,304
|
81
|
2,510,119
|
30,989
|
136,488
|
1,685
|
5.75%
|
Phillies
|
81
|
3,647,249
|
45.027
|
* 84
|
3,777,322
|
44,968
|
176,629
|
515
|
4.91%
|
Marlins
|
81
|
1,464,109
|
18,075
|
81
|
1,524,894
|
18,826
|
60,785
|
750
|
4.15%
|
Pirates
|
81
|
1,577,853
|
19,480
|
81
|
1,613,399
|
19,919
|
35,546
|
439
|
2.25%
|
Yankees
|
81
|
3,765,807
|
46,027
|
81
|
3,765,807
|
46,491
|
46,449
|
573
|
1.25%
|
Athletics
|
81
|
1,408,783
|
17,392
|
81
|
1,418,391
|
17,511
|
9,608
|
119
|
0.68%
|
Nationals
|
81
|
1,817,280
|
22,436
|
81
|
1,828,066
|
22,569
|
10,786
|
133
|
0.59%
|
Angels
|
81
|
3,240,386
|
40,005
|
81
|
3,250,814
|
40,134
|
10,428
|
129
|
0.32%
|
Red Sox
|
81
|
3,062,699
|
37,811
|
81
|
3,046,445
|
37,610
|
-16,254
|
-201
|
-0.53%
|
Rays
|
81
|
1,874,962
|
23,148
|
81
|
1,864,999
|
23,025
|
-9,963
|
-123
|
-0.53%
|
Padres
|
81
|
2,154,203
|
26,595
|
81
|
2,131,774
|
26,318
|
-22,429
|
-277
|
-1.04%
|
Cardinals
|
81
|
3,343,252
|
41,275
|
81
|
3,301,218
|
40,756
|
-42,034
|
-519
|
-1.26%
|
Cubs
|
80
|
3,168,859
|
39,611
|
81
|
3,062,973
|
37,814
|
-105,886
|
-1,796
|
-3.34%
|
D-backs
|
81
|
2,129,183
|
26,286
|
81
|
2,056,697
|
25,391
|
-72,486
|
-895
|
-3.40%
|
White Sox
|
81
|
2,284,163
|
28,200
|
81
|
2,194,378
|
27,091
|
-89,785
|
-1,108
|
-3.93%
|
Tigers
|
81
|
2,567,192
|
31,694
|
81
|
2,461,237
|
30,386
|
-105,955
|
-1,308
|
-4.13%
|
Mariners
|
81
|
2,195,128
|
27,100
|
81
|
2,085,630
|
25,749
|
-109,498
|
-1,352
|
-4.99%
|
Dodgers
|
81
|
3,761,669
|
46,440
|
81
|
3,562,320
|
43,979
|
-199,349
|
-2,461
|
-5.30%
|
Astros
|
81
|
2,521,081
|
31,124
|
81
|
2,331,490
|
28,784
|
-189,591
|
-2,341
|
-7.52%
|
Brewers
|
81
|
3,037,451
|
37,499
|
81
|
2,776,531
|
34,278
|
-260,920
|
-3,221
|
-8.59%
|
Orioles
|
81
|
1,907,163
|
23,545
|
81
|
1,733,019
|
21,395
|
-174,144
|
-2,150
|
-9.13%
|
Royals
|
81
|
1,799,686
|
22,218
|
81
|
1,615,327
|
19,942
|
-184,359
|
-2,276
|
-10.24%
|
Blue Jays
|
78
|
1,786,626
|
22,905
|
* 78
|
1,495,482
|
19,173
|
-291,144
|
-3,733
|
-16.30%
|
Mets
|
81
|
3,154,270
|
38,942
|
81
|
2,559,738
|
31,602
|
-594,532
|
-7,340
|
-18.85%
|
Indians
|
81
|
1,766,242
|
21,805
|
81
|
1,391,644
|
17,181
|
-374,598
|
-4,625
|
-21.21%
|
TOTAL
|
2,426
|
73,508,197
|
30,300
|
2,430
|
73,061,763
|
30,067
|
-446,434
|
-184
|
-0.61%
|
MLB (Audit)
|
73,367,659
|
73,061,781
|
-0.42%
|
* Blue Jays games moved to Citizen Bank Park due to G20 security concerns
Source: Baseball-Reference, BizofBaseball.com research
Maury Brown is the Founder and President of the Business of Sports Network, which includes The Biz of Baseball, The Biz of Football, The Biz of Basketball and The Biz of Hockey, as well as a contributor to FanGraphs and Forbes SportsMoney. He is available for freelance and looks forward to your comments.
So now we have hard numbers to back up our intuition that Rays-Rangers is going to be a complete ratings bust.