Contract Crowdsourcing 2014-15: Day 7 of 10
Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2014-15 free-agent market.
Below are links to ballots for another collection of starting pitchers — generally speaking, a healthier sort of starting pitcher than which appeared in yesterday’s edition of this same thing.
Other Players: Nori Aoki / Brett Anderson / Chad Billingsley / Emilio Bonifacio / A.J. Burnett / Billy Butler / Asdrubal Cabrera / Melky Cabrera / Nelson Cruz / Michael Cuddyer / Gavin Floyd / Jason Hammel / Chase Headley / Torii Hunter / Adam LaRoche / Jed Lowrie / Nick Markakis / Russell Martin / Victor Martinez / Kendrys Morales / Michael Morse / Aramis Ramirez / Hanley Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Mark Reynolds / Alex Rios / Pablo Sandoval / Ichiro Suzuki / Chris Young (OF)/ Delmon Young.
Aaron Harang (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Harang:
- Has averaged 175 IP and 1.4 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 1.6 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 2.5 WAR in 204.1 IP in 2014.
- Is projected to record 0.5 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
- Is entering his age-37 season.
- Made $1.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in February of 2014.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Harang.
Hiroki Kuroda (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Kuroda:
- Has averaged 206 IP and 3.7 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 3.6 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 3.5 WAR in 199.0 IP in 2014.
- Is projected to record 2.5 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
- Is entering his age-40 season.
- Made $16.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in December of 2013.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Kuroda.
Jon Lester (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Lester:
- Has averaged 212 IP and 4.5 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 4.3 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 6.1 WAR in 219.2 IP in 2014.
- Is projected to record 3.6 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
- Is entering his age-31 season.
- Made $13.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in March of 2009.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Lester.
Francisco Liriano (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Liriano:
- Has averaged 160 IP and 2.1 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 2.6 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 1.6 WAR in 162.1 IP in 2014.
- Is projected to record 2.7 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
- Is entering his age-31 season.
- Made $8.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in February of 2013.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Liriano.
Justin Masterson (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Masterson:
- Has averaged 176 IP and 1.9 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 2.2 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 0.3 WAR in 128.2 IP in 2014.
- Is projected to record -0.1 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
- Is entering his age-30 season.
- Made $9.8M in 2014, as part of deal signed in February of 2014.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Masterson.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
Harang 1/7M
Kuroda – retire (go back to Japan)
Lester – 6/144M
Liriano – 4/48M
Masterson – 1/7M
I’m similar to you.
Harang: 2/14
Kuroda: 1/16
Lester: 6/144
Liriano: 3/36
Masterson: 1/11
We basically disagree on years or Harang/Liriano, one in each direction, and differ on Masterson.
Wow, we are eerily similar Maniel. The only difference was that I said Kuroda would get the Colon deal, and I thought Masterson’s pillow contract would be worth $9 million.