Contract Crowdsourcing 2014-15: Day 7 of 10

by
October 21, 2014

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2014-15 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for another collection of starting pitchers — generally speaking, a healthier sort of starting pitcher than which appeared in yesterday’s edition of this same thing.

Other Players: Nori Aoki / Brett Anderson / Chad Billingsley / Emilio Bonifacio / A.J. Burnett / Billy Butler / Asdrubal Cabrera / Melky Cabrera / Nelson Cruz / Michael Cuddyer / Gavin Floyd / Jason Hammel / Chase Headley / Torii Hunter / Adam LaRoche / Jed Lowrie / Nick Markakis / Russell Martin / Victor Martinez / Kendrys Morales / Michael Morse / Aramis Ramirez / Hanley Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Mark Reynolds / Alex Rios / Pablo Sandoval / Ichiro Suzuki / Chris Young (OF)/ Delmon Young.

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Aaron Harang (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Harang:

  • Has averaged 175 IP and 1.4 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.6 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.5 WAR in 204.1 IP in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 0.5 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-37 season.
  • Made $1.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in February of 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

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Click here to estimate years and dollars for Harang.

***

Hiroki Kuroda (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Kuroda:

  • Has averaged 206 IP and 3.7 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.6 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 3.5 WAR in 199.0 IP in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 2.5 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-40 season.
  • Made $16.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in December of 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Kuroda.

***

Jon Lester (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Lester:

  • Has averaged 212 IP and 4.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 4.3 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 6.1 WAR in 219.2 IP in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 3.6 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $13.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in March of 2009.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Lester.

***

Francisco Liriano (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Liriano:

  • Has averaged 160 IP and 2.1 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.6 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.6 WAR in 162.1 IP in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 2.7 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $8.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in February of 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Liriano.

***

Justin Masterson (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Masterson:

  • Has averaged 176 IP and 1.9 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.2 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.3 WAR in 128.2 IP in 2014.
  • Is projected to record -0.1 WAR per 200 IP** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $9.8M in 2014, as part of deal signed in February of 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Masterson.





 

Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

15 Comments
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Maniel Durphy
11 years ago

Harang 1/7M
Kuroda – retire (go back to Japan)
Lester – 6/144M
Liriano – 4/48M
Masterson – 1/7M

0
Anthony
11 years ago
Reply to  Maniel Durphy

I’m similar to you.

Harang: 2/14
Kuroda: 1/16
Lester: 6/144
Liriano: 3/36
Masterson: 1/11

We basically disagree on years or Harang/Liriano, one in each direction, and differ on Masterson.

0
JayT
11 years ago
Reply to  Maniel Durphy

Wow, we are eerily similar Maniel. The only difference was that I said Kuroda would get the Colon deal, and I thought Masterson’s pillow contract would be worth $9 million.

0