Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 11 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them starting pitchers once again.

Other Players: Brett Anderson / Nori Aoki / Alex Avila / Mark Buehrle / Marlon Byrd / Asdrubal Cabrera / Yoenis Cespedes / Wei-Yin Chen / Bartolo Colon / Johnny Cueto / Chris Davis / Rajai Davis / Alejandro De Aza / Ian Desmond / R.A. Dickey / Stephen Drew / Marco Estrada / Doug Fister / Dexter Fowler / David Freese / Yovani Gallardo / Jaime Garcia / Alex Gordon / Jason Heyward / Torii Hunter / Chris Iannetta / Austin Jackson / John Jaso / Kelly Johnson / Matt Joyce / Howie Kendrick / Justin Morneau / Daniel Murphy / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / Dioner Navarro / Gerardo Parra / Steve Pearce / Alexei Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Alex Rios / Jimmy Rollins / Geovany Soto / Denard Span / Justin Upton / Juan Uribe / Chase Utley / Will Venable / Shane Victorino / Matt Wieters / Chris Young the Outfielder / Ben Zobrist.

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Zack Greinke (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Greinke:

• Has averaged 201 IP and 4.6 WAR over last three seasons.
• Has averaged 4.6 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
• Recorded a 5.9 WAR in 222.2 IP in 2015.
• Is projected to record 4.1 WAR per 200 IP**.
• Is entering his age-32 season.
• Made $23.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2012.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Greinke.

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Jeremy Guthrie (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Guthrie:

• Has averaged 187 IP and 0.2 WAR over last three seasons.
• Has averaged 0.2 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
• Recorded a -0.8 WAR in 148.1 IP in 2015.
• Is projected to record -0.5 WAR per 200 IP**.
• Is entering his age-37 season.
• Made $9.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in November 2012.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Guthrie.

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J.A. Happ (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Happ:

• Has averaged 141 IP and 1.8 WAR over last three seasons.
• Has averaged 2.5 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
• Recorded a 3.3 WAR in 172.0 IP in 2015.
• Is projected to record 2.7 WAR per 200 IP**.
• Is entering his age-33 season.
• Made $6.7M in 2015, as part of deal signed in March 2103.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Happ.

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Rich Hill (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Hill:

• Has averaged 24 IP and 0.4 WAR over last three seasons.
• Has averaged 3.6 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
• Recorded a 1.1 WAR in 29.0 IP in 2015.
• Is projected to record 2.1 WAR per 200 IP**.
• Is entering his age-36 season.
• Made less than $0.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in August 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Hill.

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Hisashi Iwakuma (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Iwakuma:

• Has averaged 176 IP and 2.9 WAR over last three seasons.
• Has averaged 3.3 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
• Recorded a 1.8 WAR in 129.2 IP in 2015.
• Is projected to record 3.3 WAR per 200 IP**.
• Is entering his age-35 season.
• Made $7.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in November 2012.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Iwakuma.