Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 12 of 15

by
October 27, 2015

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them starting pitchers once again.

Other Players: Brett Anderson / Nori Aoki / Alex Avila / Mark Buehrle / Marlon Byrd / Asdrubal Cabrera / Yoenis Cespedes / Wei-Yin Chen / Bartolo Colon / Johnny Cueto / Chris Davis / Rajai Davis / Alejandro De Aza / Ian Desmond / R.A. Dickey / Stephen Drew / Marco Estrada / Doug Fister / Dexter Fowler / David Freese / Yovani Gallardo / Jaime Garcia / Alex Gordon / Zack Greinke / Jeremy Guthrie / J.A. Happ / Jason Heyward / Rich Hill / Torii Hunter / Chris Iannetta / Hisashi Iwakuma / Austin Jackson / John Jaso / Kelly Johnson / Matt Joyce / Howie Kendrick / Justin Morneau / Daniel Murphy / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / Dioner Navarro / Gerardo Parra / Steve Pearce / Alexei Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Alex Rios / Jimmy Rollins / Geovany Soto / Denard Span / Justin Upton / Juan Uribe / Chase Utley / Will Venable / Shane Victorino / Matt Wieters / Chris Young the Outfielder / Ben Zobrist.

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Scott Kazmir (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Kazmir:

  • Has averaged 177 IP and 2.8 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.1 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.4 WAR in 183.0 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 2.8 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $11.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

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Click here to estimate years and dollars for Kazmir.

***

Kyle Kendrick (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Kendrick:

  • Has averaged 174 IP and 0.6 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 0.7 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a -1.0 WAR in 142.1 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 0.9 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $5.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in Februrary 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Kendrick.

***

Ian Kennedy (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Kennedy:

  • Has averaged 183 IP and 1.6 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.8 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.8 WAR in 168.1 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 2.6 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $9.8M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Kennedy.

***

John Lackey (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Lackey:

  • Has averaged 202 IP and 2.8 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.8 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 3.6 WAR in 218.0 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 3.1 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-37 season.
  • Made $0.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2009.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Lackey.

***

Mat Latos (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Latos:

  • Has averaged 143 IP and 2.7 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 3.7 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.5 WAR in 116.1 IP in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 2.2 WAR per 200 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-28 season.
  • Made $9.4M in 2015, as part of deal signed in February 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Latos.





 

Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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TKDC
10 years ago

No way Kendrick doesn’t get a major league deal. I’d think a lot of teams will view him as a good, cheap, bounce back option for the 4th/5th spot in the rotation. He wasn’t useless before going to Colorado.

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