Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 12 of 15
Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.
Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them starting pitchers once again.
Other Players: Brett Anderson / Nori Aoki / Alex Avila / Mark Buehrle / Marlon Byrd / Asdrubal Cabrera / Yoenis Cespedes / Wei-Yin Chen / Bartolo Colon / Johnny Cueto / Chris Davis / Rajai Davis / Alejandro De Aza / Ian Desmond / R.A. Dickey / Stephen Drew / Marco Estrada / Doug Fister / Dexter Fowler / David Freese / Yovani Gallardo / Jaime Garcia / Alex Gordon / Zack Greinke / Jeremy Guthrie / J.A. Happ / Jason Heyward / Rich Hill / Torii Hunter / Chris Iannetta / Hisashi Iwakuma / Austin Jackson / John Jaso / Kelly Johnson / Matt Joyce / Howie Kendrick / Justin Morneau / Daniel Murphy / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / Dioner Navarro / Gerardo Parra / Steve Pearce / Alexei Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Alex Rios / Jimmy Rollins / Geovany Soto / Denard Span / Justin Upton / Juan Uribe / Chase Utley / Will Venable / Shane Victorino / Matt Wieters / Chris Young the Outfielder / Ben Zobrist.
Scott Kazmir (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Kazmir:
- Has averaged 177 IP and 2.8 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 3.1 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 2.4 WAR in 183.0 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 2.8 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-32 season.
- Made $11.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2013.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Kazmir.
Kyle Kendrick (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Kendrick:
- Has averaged 174 IP and 0.6 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 0.7 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a -1.0 WAR in 142.1 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 0.9 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-31 season.
- Made $5.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in Februrary 2015.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Kendrick.
Ian Kennedy (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Kennedy:
- Has averaged 183 IP and 1.6 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 1.8 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 0.8 WAR in 168.1 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 2.6 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-31 season.
- Made $9.8M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Kennedy.
John Lackey (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Lackey:
- Has averaged 202 IP and 2.8 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 2.8 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 3.6 WAR in 218.0 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 3.1 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-37 season.
- Made $0.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2009.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Lackey.
Mat Latos (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Latos:
- Has averaged 143 IP and 2.7 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 3.7 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 1.5 WAR in 116.1 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 2.2 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-28 season.
- Made $9.4M in 2015, as part of deal signed in February 2015.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Latos.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
No way Kendrick doesn’t get a major league deal. I’d think a lot of teams will view him as a good, cheap, bounce back option for the 4th/5th spot in the rotation. He wasn’t useless before going to Colorado.