Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 15 of 15
Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.
Below are links to ballots for six of this year’s free agents, the first half of the reliever we’ll consider here.
Other Players: Brett Anderson / Nori Aoki / Alex Avila / Mark Buehrle / Marlon Byrd / Asdrubal Cabrera / Yoenis Cespedes / Wei-Yin Chen / Bartolo Colon / Johnny Cueto / Chris Davis / Rajai Davis / Alejandro De Aza / Ian Desmond / R.A. Dickey / Stephen Drew / Marco Estrada / Doug Fister / Dexter Fowler / David Freese / Yovani Gallardo / Jaime Garcia / Alex Gordon / Zack Greinke / Jeremy Guthrie / J.A. Happ / Jason Heyward / Rich Hill / Torii Hunter / Chris Iannetta / Hisashi Iwakuma / Austin Jackson / John Jaso / Kelly Johnson / Matt Joyce / Scott Kazmir / Howie Kendrick / Kyle Kendrick / Ian Kennedy / John Lackey / Mat Latos / Mike Leake / Tim Lincecum / Kyle Lohse / Justin Masterson / Justin Morneau / Brandon Morrow / Daniel Murphy / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / Dioner Navarro / Bud Norris / Gerardo Parra / Steve Pearce / Mike Pelfrey / David Price / Alexei Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Alex Rios / Jimmy Rollins / Jeff Samardzija / Alfredo Simon / Geovany Soto / Denard Span / Justin Upton / Juan Uribe / Chase Utley / Will Venable / Shane Victorino / Matt Wieters / Chris Young the Outfielder / Chris Young the Pitcher / Jordan Zimmermann / Ben Zobrist.
Antonio Bastardo (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Bastardo:
- Has averaged 54 IP and 0.7 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 0.8 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 0.6 WAR in 57.1 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 0.4 WAR per 65 IP**.
- Is entering his age-30 season.
- Made $3.1M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Bastardo.
Joe Blanton (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Blanton:
- Has averaged 104 IP and 0.3 WAR over last three season (missed 2014).
- Has averaged 0.2 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 1.1 WAR in 76.0 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 0.7 WAR per 65 IP**.
- Is entering his age-35 season.
- Made $1.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in February 2015.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Blanton.
Jonathan Broxton (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Broxton:
- Has averaged 50 IP and 0.2 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 0.3 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 0.3 WAR in 60.1 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 0.4 WAR per 65 IP**.
- Is entering his age-32 season.
- Made $9.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in November 2012.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Broxton.
Trevor Cahill (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Cahill:
- Has averaged 100 IP and 0.5 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 0.3 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 0.1 WAR in 43.1 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 0.4 WAR per 65 IP**.
- Is entering his age-28 season.
- Made $12.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in April 2011.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Cahill.
J.P. Howell (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Howell:
- Has averaged 52 IP and 0.5 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 0.6 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 0.3 WAR in 44.0 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 0.2 WAR per 65 IP**.
- Is entering his age-33 season.
- Made $4.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2013.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Howell.
Tommy Hunter (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Hunter:
- Has averaged 69 IP and 0.6 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 0.5 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 0.3 WAR in 60.1 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 0.5 WAR per 65 IP**.
- Is entering his age-29 season.
- Made $4.7M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
I get that he is just a simple reliever, not a closer, but no Darren O’Day for crowdsourcing? Nothing massive but would guess he gets 2 years, $12 mil or so.
He’s appearing soon! In Day 15 of 15, Part Deux.