Contract Crowdsourcing 2016-17: Day 9 of 10

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2016-17 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all relievers are some repute.

Other Players: Pedro Alvarez / Erick Aybar / Jose Bautista / Carlos Beltran / Billy Butler / Andrew Cashner / Bartolo Colon / Rajai Davis / Ian Desmond / R.A. Dickey / Edwin Encarnacion / Doug Fister / Dexter Fowler / Carlos Gomez / Jeremy Hellickson / Rich Hill / Matt Holliday / Austin Jackson / Jon Jay / Matt Joyce / Colby Lewis / Brandon Moss / Mike Napoli / Ivan Nova / Angel Pagan / Steve Pearce / Wilson Ramos / Colby Rasmus / Josh Reddick / Michael Saunders / Kurt Suzuki / Mark Trumbo / Justin Turner / Chase Utley / Luis Valbuena / Edinson Volquez / Neil Walker / Matt Wieters / C.J. Wilson.

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Joe Blanton (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Blanton:

  • Has averaged 78 IP and 1.0 WAR over last two seasons*.
  • Has averaged 0.8 WAR per 65 IP** over last two seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.9 WAR in 80.0 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 0.8 WAR per 65 IP***.
  • Is entering his age-36 season.
  • Made $4.0M in 2016, as part of deal signed in January.

*Didn’t pitch in 2014.
**That is, a roughly average number of innings for a relief pitcher.
***Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

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Click here to estimate years and dollars for Blanton.

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Santiago Casilla (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Casilla:

  • Has averaged 58 IP and 0.3 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 0.4 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.3 WAR in 58.0 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 0.7 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-36 season.
  • Made $6.5M in 2016, as part of deal signed in December 2012.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a relief pitcher.
**Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Casilla.

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Brett Cecil (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Cecil:

  • Has averaged 48 IP and 1.0 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.3 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.4 WAR in 36.2 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 1.3 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $3.8M in 2016, as part of deal signed in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a relief pitcher.
**Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Cecil.

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Aroldis Chapman (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Chapman:

  • Has averaged 59 IP and 2.7 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.9 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.7 WAR in 58.0 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 2.6 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Made $$11.3M in 2016, after avoiding arbitration in February.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a relief pitcher.
**Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Chapman.

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Greg Holland (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Holland:

  • Averaged 53 IP and 1.5 WAR in 2014-15*.
  • Averaged 1.8 WAR per 65 IP** in 2014-15.
  • Was injured for all of 2016.
  • Is projected to record 0.3 WAR per 65 IP***.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $8.3M in 2015, after avoiding arbitration in January 2015.

*Didn’t pitch in 2016.
**That is, a roughly average number of innings for a relief pitcher.
***Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Holland.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

6 Comments
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JediHoyer
9 years ago

Chapman gets all the monies.

TKDCMember since 2016
9 years ago
Reply to  JediHoyer

I think he does. I think he will get $20 million per season. But I don’t see anyone going past 4 years, and I kindasorta wonder if part of the reason I think that no one will go five is his off-field behavior.

JediHoyer
9 years ago
Reply to  TKDC

He’s getting at least 5 to me. I think he’s kinda douchey in his on field actions as well as the off the field situation but its still the best arm in the game. I feel like he can still get better, his command is still terrible.