Daily Notes, Featuring a Question About Billy Hamilton
Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.
1. Crowdsourcing: Billy Hamilton’s Whole Career
2. SCOUT Leaderboards: Arizona Fall League
3. Pretty Excellent and Recent Video of Joe Panik
Crowdsourcing: Billy Hamilton’s Whole Career
Reds prospect Billy Hamilton has earned considerable attention from prospect analysts for possessing what is likely generational footspeed — nor did he do anything to dim their enthusiasm this past Saturday, during the Arizona Fall League’s Rising Stars Game, stealing two bases and also reaching on a drag bunt. At the same time, he’s showed little power (7 HR in 1711 PA) and was recently moved off of shortstop (to center field). What we want to know is, “What will Hamilton’s career look like, ultimately?”
Please answer mostly that same question right here:
SCOUT Leaderboards: Arizona Fall League
SCOUT Leaderboard: Arizona Fall League Hitters (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT batting leaderboard for the Arizona Fall Leaague. SCOUT+ is calculated using regressed home-run, walk, and strikeout rates, where 100 is average and above 100 is above average. (Click here for more on SCOUT.)
| Player | MLB | Age | PA | xHR% | xBB% | xK% | SCOUT+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent Matthes | Rockies | 25 | 66 | 2.6% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 118 |
| Christopher Mcguiness | Rangers | 24 | 70 | 2.3% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 116 |
| Joe Panik | Giants | 21 | 60 | 1.7% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 115 |
| Jonathan Schoop | Orioles | 20 | 62 | 2.0% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 113 |
| Nick Franklin | Mariners | 21 | 53 | 2.1% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 112 |
| Trayce Thompson | White Sox | 21 | 46 | 2.1% | 13.1% | 21.4% | 112 |
| Adalberto Santos | Pirates | 24 | 60 | 1.7% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 112 |
| Josh Prince | Brewers | 24 | 73 | 1.6% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 111 |
| Matt Szczur | Cubs | 22 | 78 | 1.6% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 110 |
| Jonathan Singleton | Astros | 20 | 86 | 2.2% | 12.1% | 22.0% | 110 |
SCOUT Leaderboard: Arizona Fall League Hitters (Prospect-Age)
Here is the SCOUT batting leaderboard for the AFL, but only populated with players who are 22 or under — i.e. more distinctly of “prospect” age relative to the league.
| Player | MLB | Age | PA | xHR% | xBB% | xK% | SCOUT+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Panik | Giants | 21 | 60 | 1.7% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 115 |
| Jonathan Schoop | Orioles | 20 | 62 | 2.0% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 113 |
| Nick Franklin | Mariners | 21 | 53 | 2.1% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 112 |
| Trayce Thompson | White Sox | 21 | 46 | 2.1% | 13.1% | 21.4% | 112 |
| Matt Szczur | Cubs | 22 | 78 | 1.6% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 110 |
| Jonathan Singleton | Astros | 20 | 86 | 2.2% | 12.1% | 22.0% | 110 |
| Christian Vazquez | Red Sox | 21 | 39 | 1.8% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 109 |
| Cory Spangenberg | Padres | 21 | 34 | 1.8% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 108 |
| Ricky Oropesa | Giants | 22 | 42 | 1.8% | 12.8% | 22.6% | 105 |
| Rymer Liriano | Padres | 21 | 60 | 2.3% | 8.4% | 19.5% | 105 |
SCOUT Leaderboard: Arizona Fall League Pitchers (Overall)
Below is the current SCOUT pitching leaderboard for the Arizona Fall League. SCOUT- is calculated using regressed strikeout and walk rates where 100 is average and below 100 is above average.
| Player | MLB | Age | G | GS | IP | TBF | xK% | xBB% | SCOUT- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Montgomery | Yankees | 21 | 7 | 0 | 8.1 | 31 | 26.1% | 10.0% | 88 |
| Chase Anderson | Diamondbacks | 24 | 4 | 4 | 13.2 | 55 | 25.5% | 9.7% | 89 |
| Grant Dayton | Marlins | 24 | 7 | 0 | 8.1 | 35 | 25.6% | 10.1% | 89 |
| Nicholas Bucci | Brewers | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13.2 | 61 | 24.7% | 9.3% | 89 |
| Kyle Gibson | Twins | 24 | 4 | 4 | 15.0 | 67 | 24.6% | 9.2% | 89 |
| Kevin Quackenbush | Padres | 23 | 8 | 0 | 8.1 | 29 | 25.1% | 9.7% | 89 |
| Kevin Rhoderick | Cubs | 23 | 9 | 0 | 9.1 | 35 | 24.9% | 9.5% | 90 |
| Kevin Siegrist | Cardinals | 22 | 4 | 3 | 12.0 | 46 | 24.1% | 9.4% | 91 |
| Pete Ruiz | Red Sox | 24 | 7 | 0 | 9.2 | 43 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 91 |
| Nick Tropeano | Astros | 21 | 8 | 1 | 11.0 | 42 | 24.0% | 9.6% | 92 |
SCOUT Leaderboard: Arizona Fall League Pitchers (Starters)
Here is the SCOUT pitching leaderboard for the AFL, but only populated with pitchers who’ve made at least half of their appearances as starts.
| Player | MLB | Age | G | GS | IP | TBF | xK% | xBB% | SCOUT- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson | Diamondbacks | 24 | 4 | 4 | 13.2 | 55 | 25.5% | 9.7% | 89 |
| Nicholas Bucci | Brewers | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13.2 | 61 | 24.7% | 9.3% | 89 |
| Kyle Gibson | Twins | 24 | 4 | 4 | 15.0 | 67 | 24.6% | 9.2% | 89 |
| Kevin Siegrist | Cardinals | 22 | 4 | 3 | 12.0 | 46 | 24.1% | 9.4% | 91 |
| Seth Blair | Cardinals | 23 | 4 | 4 | 13.1 | 57 | 24.6% | 10.2% | 92 |
| T.J. House | Indians | 22 | 4 | 4 | 17.0 | 63 | 23.8% | 9.8% | 92 |
| Robbie Erlin | Padres | 21 | 4 | 4 | 10.2 | 43 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 94 |
| James Paxton | Mariners | 23 | 5 | 5 | 12.2 | 57 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 94 |
| Boone Whiting | Cardinals | 22 | 5 | 5 | 17.1 | 72 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 95 |
| James Nelson | Brewers | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14.2 | 61 | 22.7% | 10.2% | 96 |
Pretty Excellent and Recent Video of Joe Panik
San Francisco middle-infield prospect Joe Panik is currently first among all prospect-age batters on the SCOUT leaderboard. Here’s some pretty excellent and recent video of him, courtesy Bullpen Banter’s Steve Fiorindo.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
I feel like 11-25 WAR is a really wide range