Daily Notes: Rest-of-Season Leaderboards for Hitters, Pitchers
Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.
1. Rest-of-Season Leaderboards for Hitters, Pitchers
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule
Rest-of-Season Leaderboards for Hitters, Pitchers
Introduction
While Italian people are famously always like “che sarà” this and “sarà” that, it would appear as though the baseballing public’s relationship with the future is considerably more fraught. With a view towards easing whatever such anxieties might exist among this site’s readership, the author has prepared the following — namely, hitting and pitching leaderboards for the rest of the season, created from the projections freely available at the site.
For each hitter below is included his projected rest-of-season plate appearances, wOBA, and WAR; for each pitcher, projected rest-of-season innings, ERA, and WAR. Column headings preceded by an s denote Steamer projections; z, ZiPS projections; and c, a combination of the two.
A full list of both hitter and pitcher rest-of-season projections is available as a web page here.
Rest-of-Season Leaderboard: Hitters
Here are the top-10 batters by combined rest-of-season WAR from the Steamer and ZiPS projections systems:
| Player | sPA | swOBA | sWAR | zPA | zwOBA | zWAR | cPA | cwOBA | cWAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 240 | .388 | 2.7 | 236 | .388 | 2.7 | 238 | .388 | 2.7 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 233 | .424 | 2.6 | 227 | .425 | 2.5 | 230 | .425 | 2.6 |
| Buster Posey | 224 | .384 | 2.6 | 198 | .375 | 2.1 | 211 | .380 | 2.4 |
| Evan Longoria | 196 | .370 | 2.0 | 191 | .361 | 1.9 | 194 | .366 | 2.0 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 213 | .378 | 2.0 | 220 | .369 | 1.9 | 217 | .374 | 2.0 |
| Robinson Cano | 227 | .366 | 1.8 | 226 | .373 | 1.9 | 227 | .370 | 1.9 |
| David Wright | 205 | .368 | 1.8 | 217 | .364 | 1.8 | 211 | .366 | 1.8 |
| Joey Votto | 197 | .401 | 1.7 | 201 | .408 | 1.8 | 199 | .405 | 1.8 |
| Troy Tulowitzki | 178 | .394 | 1.7 | 145 | .395 | 1.6 | 162 | .395 | 1.7 |
| Jose Bautista | 208 | .386 | 1.7 | 182 | .388 | 1.6 | 195 | .387 | 1.7 |
Rest-of-Season Leaderboard: Pitchers
Here are the top-10 pitchers by combined rest-of-season WAR from the Steamer and ZiPS projections systems:
| Player | sIP | sERA | sWAR | zIP | zERA | zWAR | cIP | cERA | cWAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Hernandez | 63.0 | 3.19 | 1.5 | 76.0 | 2.97 | 1.9 | 69.5 | 3.08 | 1.7 |
| Yu Darvish | 62.0 | 3.09 | 1.7 | 62.0 | 3.43 | 1.5 | 62.0 | 3.26 | 1.6 |
| Justin Verlander | 65.0 | 3.56 | 1.2 | 75.0 | 3.29 | 1.8 | 70.0 | 3.43 | 1.5 |
| Clayton Kershaw | 67.0 | 3.11 | 1.2 | 76.0 | 2.51 | 1.7 | 71.5 | 2.81 | 1.5 |
| Chris Sale | 65.0 | 3.34 | 1.5 | 64.0 | 3.27 | 1.4 | 64.5 | 3.31 | 1.5 |
| Adam Wainwright | 64.0 | 3.18 | 1.3 | 66.0 | 3.13 | 1.4 | 65.0 | 3.16 | 1.4 |
| Max Scherzer | 59.0 | 3.18 | 1.3 | 65.0 | 3.77 | 1.4 | 62.0 | 3.48 | 1.4 |
| Cliff Lee | 63.0 | 3.26 | 1.2 | 66.0 | 3.25 | 1.4 | 64.5 | 3.26 | 1.3 |
| CC Sabathia | 61.0 | 3.64 | 1.2 | 70.0 | 3.99 | 1.2 | 65.5 | 3.82 | 1.2 |
| David Price | 63.0 | 3.45 | 1.2 | 62.0 | 3.23 | 1.1 | 62.5 | 3.34 | 1.2 |
Notes
• A rest-of-season ZiPS projection appears to be absent from Dodger wunderkind Yasiel Puig’s player page. His Steamer rest-of-season WAR projection (1.4) places him about 20th among hitters.
• Recent Colorado debutant, right-hander Chad Bettis, would appear to be the best pitcher for whom there’s not both a Steamer and ZiPS projection. Steamer projects him to record a 4.07 FIP and 0.3 WAR in 24.0 innings.
• Texas outfielder Craig Gentry has the highest WAR projection per 600 plate appearances of any player who lacks a starting role.
Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
Washington at Milwaukee | 14:10 ET
Taylor Jordan (35.1 IP, 95 xFIP-, 0.6 WAR) faces Kyle Lohse (134.1 IP, 104 xFIP-, 1.1 WAR). The former has been quite effective, actually, after a difficult late-June debut — largely on the strength of a 3.4% walk and 57.6% ground-ball rate.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Milwaukee Radio.
Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 4.9.
Note: the following table is entirely sortable.
| Away | SP | Tm. | Gm. | Tm. | SP | Home | Time | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Rienzo* | CHA | 6 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | DET | Rick Porcello | 13:08 |
| Scott Kazmir | CLE | 6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 5 | MIA | Nathan Eovaldi | 13:10 |
| Ervin Santana | KC | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | NYN | Zack Wheeler | 13:10 |
| Lance Lynn | STL | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | CIN | Mike Leake | 13:10 |
| Bran. McCarthy | AZ | 6 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | BOS | Felix Doubront | 13:35 |
| Juan Nicasio | COL | 4 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | PIT | A.J. Burnett | 13:35 |
| Joe Saunders | SEA | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 3 | BAL | Wei-Yin Chen | 13:35 |
| G. Moscoso* | SF | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | TB | R. Hernandez | 13:40 |
| Brad Peacock | HOU | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | MIN | Mike Pelfrey | 14:10 |
| Taylor Jordan | WAS | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | MIL | Kyle Lohse | 14:10 |
| Zack Greinke | LAN | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | CHN | C. Villanueva | 14:20 |
| Mark Buehrle | TOR | 4 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 4 | LAA | C.J. Wilson | 15:35 |
| Derek Holland | TEX | 8 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | OAK | A.J. Griffin | 16:05 |
| Phil Hughes | NYA | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | SD | Ian Kennedy | 16:10 |
| Alex Wood* | ATL | 8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 9 | PHI | Cliff Lee | 20:05 |
To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
Well this is no good. Wright will be out for 3-5 weeks. Dunno if that’ll disqualify him