Daily Notes: The League’s Most Valuable Pitches So Far
Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.
1. The League’s Most Valuable Pitches So Far
2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
3. Today’s Complete Schedule
The Best Pitches in the Majors So Far This Season
Introduction
It’s a fact as old as the sands of the deserts — or at least as old as the expensive laptops which utilize semiconductors fashioned from the silicon extracted from those sands — that, within the electronic pages of FanGraphs, one can find the run values relative to league average for every pitcher’s respective pitch types. The point is self-evident.
The bright idea which has stopped the reader in his tracks this morning, however — not unlike Paul on the Damascus Road, really — is to combine all the respective pitch-type run values into a single leaderboard, such that the public might better discern which pitches have been most valuable this season.
This step having been taken by the author during his breakfast, the reader is invited to find the results of same reproduced in the table below.
Leaderboard: Most Valuable Pitches in 2013, Thus Far
Here, according to pitch-type run values available here at the site, are the top-10 most valuable pitches so far this season relative to league average:
Rank | Name | Team | IP | Runs | Type |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clayton Kershaw | Dodgers | 204.0 | 34.5 | Four-Seam Fastball |
2 | Matt Harvey | Mets | 178.1 | 31.1 | Four-Seam Fastball |
3 | Yu Darvish | Rangers | 168.0 | 30.5 | Slider |
4 | Max Scherzer | Tigers | 178.1 | 26.8 | Four-Seam Fastball |
5 | Cole Hamels | Phillies | 179.0 | 24.7 | Changeup |
6 | Kenley Jansen | Dodgers | 64.2 | 19.5 | Cut Fastball |
7 | Jose Fernandez | Marlins | 152.2 | 18.3 | Curveball |
8 | Justin Masterson | Indians | 182.1 | 18.3 | Slider |
9 | Jose Quintana | White Sox | 164.2 | 16.3 | Four-Seam Fastball |
10 | Bronson Arroyo | Reds | 168.2 | 15.6 | Slider |
Three Notes
• Of all the league’s pitches, Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw’s fastball has been the most valuable this season in terms of runs prevented relative to league average. For a number of reasons — the most basic of which is that Kershaw’s fastball is very good — this is unsurprising. Among those unsurprising reasons, however, is this: between 2009 and -12, Kershaw’s fastball was worth an average of +22.2 runs per season, a mark that would place sixth on this list by itself.
• Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen has thrown precisely 90 fewer innings than the next least prolific pitcher (Miami’s Jose Fernandez) on this list. This also isn’t particularly surprising: in both 2011 and -12, Jansen’s cutter was worth at least +12 runs.
• Here’s action footage of that same cutter — in this case, at 93 mph to Giancarlo Stanton for a strikeout on August 21st:

And here’s that same pitch in slow-motion:

Today’s MLB.TV Free Game
Los Angeles AL at Tampa Bay | 19:10 ET
Garrett Richards faces Chris Archer (95.1 IP, 108 xFIP-, 0.7 WAR). While the latter has received considerable attention, it’s actually the former (Richards) who’s posted both the better defense-independent numbers (85 vs. 108 xFIP-) and slightly higher average fastball velocity (95.0 vs. 94.8 mph, according to PITCHf/x) — this, with the caveat that Richards has thrown some number of innings in relief.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Tampa Bay Radio, Probably.
Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 6.1.
Note: the following table is entirely sortable.

Away | SP | Tm. | Gm. | Tm. | SP | Home | Time | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Edwin Jackson | CHN | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | LAN | Ricky Nolasco | 15:10 |
Martin Perez | TEX | 7 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 9 | SEA | Felix Hernandez | 15:40 |
H. Alvarez | MIA | 6 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 | WAS | St. Strasburg | 19:05 |
Tom Gorzelanny | MIL | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | PIT | Charlie Morton | 19:05 |
Hiroki Kuroda | NYA | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | TOR | Todd Redmond | 19:07 |
Dan Straily | OAK | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | DET | Doug Fister | 19:08 |
Garrett Richards | LAA | 8 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 5 | TB | Chris Archer | 19:10 |
Bud Norris | BAL | 3 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 7 | BOS | John Lackey | 19:10 |
Justin Masterson | CLE | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 5 | ATL | Paul Maholm | 19:10 |
Cole Hamels | PHI | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | NYN | D. Matsuzaka* | 19:10 |
Jarred Cosart | HOU | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | CHA | Chris Sale | 20:10 |
Danny Duffy* | KC | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | MIN | Andrew Albers | 20:10 |
Homer Bailey | CIN | 9 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | STL | A. Wainwright | 20:15 |
M. Bumgarner | SF | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | COL | Jhoulys Chacin | 20:40 |
Robbie Erlin | SD | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 | AZ | Wade Miley | 21:40 |
To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
Does Kershaw get the most ‘rise’ on his fastball out of all pitchers? He has to be in the discussion if he’s not the leader.
He gets 11.3 inches of rise which is the most of anyone who has thrown 100 IP or more. Although he’s basically even with about 20 other guys incl. Miguel Gonzalez, Weaver, and Chris Tillman. He has very little horizontal movement, and I’m curious how this compares to other lefthanders but, as far as I’m aware, fangraphs doesn’t searches by handedness or sorting by handedness in their leaderboards.
Really? The original comment has been up for over an hour now and no one has made a joke about how much “rise” they get from Kershaw’s fastball? For shame, Daily Notes readers, for shame.
It is then incumbent upon you, sir to make the joke rather than to scold the masses.
I got most of my rise out of Harvey’s slider, but sadly I’m only experiencing sinkers right now 🙁