Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 6/25/15
| 10:56 |
:
|
| 12:01 |
Everything is coming up Milhouse! |
| 12:01 |
: COMING IN HOT
|
| 12:01 |
Do you expect Gomez to eventually start stealing bases again, or will he take it easy given his hip issue? |
| 12:01 |
: No way he doesn’t get to 15 IMO
|
| 12:02 |
Everyone seems to be expecting the A’s to be big time sellers, but I don’t see it that way. They’re 8-2 in the past 10, and have closed the gap to 9 games. If any team knows what it’s like to make crazy runs and make the playoffs, it’s the A’s, so why are people so convinced that Zobrist/Clippard/etc. will be dealt in the near future?
You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.
|
| 12:02 |
: I think they’ll go all the way to August just in case. The league dove for the middle and there are only two true sellers in my mind.
|
| 12:02 |
AL cy young winner joe kelly sent to triple a |
| 12:02 |
: Ug. I don’t apologize for being interested in a guy with velocity and three good pitches, but ug.
|
| 12:03 |
I keep adding and dropping Rubby de la Rosa in my dynasty league. Can’t decide what I should do with him. What do you think about him ROS and long-term? |
| 12:03 |
: Worth holding. The slider is good enough, the change is good, and he just switched to a two-seamer, which might help keep the lefties at bay.
|
| 12:03 |
Is Synergaard a fixture on a staff in a 10 teamer or just a streamer? |
| 12:03 |
: Hold. Sexy stuff.
|
| 12:03 |
I have Lynn coming off the DL have to cut one of these 3 to make room due to roster limitations. Taijuan Walker, AJ Burnett, or Eduardo Rodriguez, who should go? |
| 12:04 |
: Burnett for me. He’s good enough to stream/ hold in some situations, but I’d rather have Walker, who might have figured things out.
|
| 12:04 |
I love me some Osuna. Any chance he does so well that the Jays hold off on trading for a closer and let him run with the job instead? |
| 12:04 |
: Yes. I think they’d rather focus elsewhere if they make a trade.
|
| 12:04 |
For a utility spot- Soler or Rendon? |
| 12:04 |
: Rendon.
|
| 12:04 |
: And I like Soler.
|
| 12:04 |
So aren’t all trades really context dependent? How do you answer trade questions? I was going to comment on your Trout trade, but then I realized I really know nothing about the otteneu format. |
| 12:05 |
: They are even more context dependent than league settings and format. Like, in my league, there were three deals on the table because only three sellers. I had a shallow deal built on Addison Russell, a shallow deal built on Gallo, and then this deeper league with (admittedly) maybe not a guy as good as those two.
|
| 12:05 |
Any reason for optimism in regards to Josh Hamilton? Rather own him or Ryan Zimmerman ROS? |
| 12:06 |
: I like that he’s in Texas but would probably rather have Zimm. Versatility has to help a little.
|
| 12:06 |
Would you rather start May or Milone against the Brew Crew this week? |
| 12:06 |
: May
|
| 12:07 |
Think Correa outperforms Castro RoS? |
| 12:08 |
: That’s pretty close according to projections. Something like .255/7/10 vs .280/7/5. Power projections for Correa seem low, though, so I take him.
|
| 12:08 |
If Clippard was traded tomorrow, would you see Scribner, Mujica or Pomeranz getting first crack? |
| 12:08 |
: Scribner but that’s a shallow pen, I don’t know if that’s happening soon.
|
| 12:08 |
Do you think Keuchel has the ability to maintain his weak contact ways? As a grounball pitcher, shouldn’t he have a somewhat higher babip than most, as in one that is not his current .229? Do you expect him to be closer to the 2014 or 2015 version of himself ROS? Also, what’s the meaning of life? |
| 12:10 |
: SIERA research found that the elite ground ballers actually have plus BABIPs — maybe because the defense is on their toes — and I believe there is a little HR/FB risk sometimes, but I haven’t been able to pinpoint it in my research. I think he could manage a .260-.270 BABIP.
|
| 12:10 |
Saves prospecting in dynasty – what order? Bobby Parnell, J.J. Hoover, Steve Delabar. |
| 12:10 |
: Hoover Parnell Delabar
|
| 12:10 |
In a weekly format, Eduardo Rodriguez has two starts next week (@TOR, HOU at home). Is the upside worth the risk? Toronto torched him last time but didn’t hit him especially hard. |
| 12:10 |
: @TOR seems like a miss for even more established pitchers.
|
| 12:10 |
I don’t own him, but in researching for trades I found Ian Kinsler has been terrible. That happened quick didn’t it? |
| 12:11 |
: Decided to go the other way more this year, lost all his power.
|
| 12:11 |
Sounds like Marlon Byrd aka Mr Miyagi has a future as a hitting coach.? |
| 12:11 |
: As long as it wasn’t “Dr.” Miyagi that helped him and Turner out.
|
| 12:12 |
What do you think Shark would cost the Dodgers? KiKi Hernandez, Carlos Frias and maybe a 5-10 prospect about right? |
| 12:12 |
: That strikes me as light but he’s hurt his trade value a bit.
|
| 12:12 |
How many times a month do you trade beer? Does Lady Eno ever get on your case for it? |
| 12:12 |
: Maybe once or twice. She doesn’t love it. Ranges from eye roll to get this crap out of here.
|
| 12:13 |
Josh Donaldson. Destroyer of children. |
| 12:13 |
|
| 12:13 |
How about some King Tubby or Lee Perry? Or this: https://www.youtube.com/wat… |
| 12:13 |
I have Iwakuma coming off the DL soon, and will need to drop one of these SP; who would you suggest? McCullers, Latos, or actually Iwakuma? |
| 12:13 |
: Latos but what I would do is actually leave Iwakuma on the DL for as long as possible.
|
| 12:13 |
Is Donaldson too much for Hamilton.? Have top 4 team but last in SB’s and tied for 2nd in HR’s. I’m ready to overpay. |
| 12:13 |
: Just shouldn’t cost that much.
|
| 12:14 |
Being offered Votto(can’t keep) for Correa(25th round) in a 12 team 6×6(OBP+TB) H2H league. I’ll have a meh SS situation after that(Brad Miller, DL’d Lowrie), Correa can’t be kept past next year. I should run not walk to do this right? |
| 12:14 |
: Only one year of Correa? That’s tradable. That’s more context for Trout, he’s probably a one-year keeper in that trade.
|
| 12:14 |
where are the HRs from Puig and Abreu? They’re killing me! |
| 12:14 |
: Coming.
|
| 12:14 |
Marco Estrada superstar? |
| 12:15 |
: No. Still has a bad fastball.
|
| 12:15 |
was offered hutch and eaton for teheran in dynasty, say no right? |
| 12:15 |
: yeah, no.
|
| 12:15 |
Who are the two sellers in your mind, the Phillies and _________? |
| 12:15 |
: Milwaukee?
|
| 12:15 |
: Guess could also be the Rockies.
|
| 12:16 |
I’m in 1st in my league, with expiring keeper Trout. Would it make sense to try and flip him for a long term asset can help me this year? |
| 12:16 |
: He’s probably that asset. If you in first, you have to keep the best player in the game.
|
| 12:16 |
De La Rosa vs De La Rosa in Colorado today! O/U 3.5 homers in the game |
| 12:16 |
: Over
|
| 12:17 |
Bolsinger or Chase Anderson? Or both trash |
| 12:17 |
: I like Anderson.
|
| 12:17 |
Motte or Strop for saves in Chicago? |
| 12:17 |
: I like Strop, best slider by whiff rate in baseball and Motte has no secondary pitch.
|
| 12:17 |
I just traded for Justin Turner. Tell me nice things about the man! |
| 12:17 |
: His projections have risen to meet his production!
|
| 12:17 |
Got Xander and Shark for Hamels and Aiko in dynasty league. Did good? |
| 12:17 |
: I think so.
|
| 12:17 |
Who are you most excited to see at Pitchfork this year? |
| 12:18 |
: Wilco?
|
| 12:18 |
deGrom is going to dominate today, isn’t he? |
| 12:18 |
: degrominate
|
| 12:18 |
Any hope for Ozuna’s power to return at some point? |
| 12:18 |
: I might need to see a change in batted ball mix. He’s hitting more oppo and grounders if I remember right, and that’s okay for BABIP but not great for power.
|
| 12:18 |
is the speed of a pitch measured at release point, mid way or after it crosses the plate? |
| 12:19 |
: Ours is measured at 50 feet, Brooks extrapolates to 55 feet, which is closer to actual release point.
|
| 12:19 |
Could you rank these guys to hold for a Util spot? 10 tm H2H points redraft. Soler, Franco, Dickerson, Josh Hamilton. |
| 12:19 |
: Dickerson Soler Franco …………………………………. Hamilton
|
| 12:19 |
Chris Young is doing the BABIP thing again |
| 12:20 |
: Good defense, good park, different approach than most.
|
| 12:20 |
So who IS the closer in Toronto? JOMPO CHIEF WANT KNOW |
| 12:20 |
: Cecil. But Osuna is getting close.
|
| 12:21 |
A. Russell or Odor as my Pedroia replacement? |
| 12:21 |
: Odor
|
| 12:21 |
Do you see any third basemen currently undervalued? Overvalued? |
| 12:21 |
: Beltre seems pretty attainable.
|
| 12:22 |
change yer mind on Robbie Ray yet? |
| 12:22 |
: Don’t really see anything compelling me to change my mind from a pitching mix standpoint. Good velocity, eh everything else.
|
| 12:22 |
Travis D’arnaud…unluckiest player in the MLB? |
| 12:22 |
: could be slightly injury prone
|
| 12:22 |
Carter Capps has a 49% k-rate and 25% swstrk%! |
| 12:23 |
: Yeah he’s dreamy.
|
| 12:23 |
I’ve been hunting Heady Topper for some time now. Found it two weeks ago and still haven’t had it because i’m waiting to share it with a neighbor whos been on a similar hunt. Like losing virginity, I think it’s important that this experience be shared with another person. am i setting my expectations too high? |
| 12:23 |
: I didn’t love it like I’ve loved others but I suppose that’s a thing that happens with losing virginity too
|
| 12:23 |
Over/Under: my junky or my krunky? |
| 12:24 |
: Krunky
|
| 12:24 |
Hi Eno! Is there any difference between choking up on a bat 2 inches and using a bat that is just 2 inches shorter? Any reason why guys prefer one or the other? |
| 12:24 |
: Choking up seems like a temporary strategy, but there might also be some sort of lever/physics situation going on.
|
| 12:24 |
I picked up Moncada in 12-team, 5×5 H2h cats league with 5 keepers (forever). My first 4 keepers are Posey, Prince, Cole, Price. Would you keep Moncada over Pedroia, Holliday, Ellsbury or Tomas? UPSIDE. |
| 12:25 |
: Ellsbury vs Moncada is the decision. I think it’s a bit early for this. Moncada is 20 and in A-ball.
|
| 12:25 |
I’ve read Petco is much more hitter friendly in the day than at night. Could it make sense for the Padres to elect to bat first at home to maximize the amount of day at-bats for evening games? Or is the strategic advantage of batting second so much larger that this would never make sense? |
| 12:26 |
: Worth studying if it was actually an option. It is much friendlier during the day because it’s much warmer.
|
| 12:29 |
Can you please , please, please name a few AL players that are great buy low targets going into the 2nd half? |
| 12:29 |
: Victor Martinez, Leonys Martin, Garret Richards, Anibal Sanchez.
|
| 12:29 |
fanduel pays my tuition |
| 12:30 |
you said on the podcast recently you’d try to sell Gardner if you were rebuildling in a keeper. How about if you’re winning by a large margin in a keeper? what would you think would be a decent value young player that I could stash in my minors this offseason? |
| 12:30 |
: Best two left in minors are Seager and Giolito, probably. Seager might taste bigs though…
|
| 12:30 |
Nick Castellanos is only 23 but it seems like people want to shrink his ceiling quite a bit so his projection is middling at best. Is this a fair readjustment or does he still have shiny chrome future? As always thanks for awesome. |
| 12:31 |
: Other than a .312 lifetime BABIP, there just isn’t something here that’s pointing to his supposed plus hit tool. The defense has improved but he’s still below replacement in all three years in the league… Yeah his ceiling has come down.
|
| 12:31 |
How much does Pujols have left? 2-3 years of .330 obp 30hr? |
| 12:32 |
: Dunno if he has two 30 homer seasons left in him after this year. I’d sell if my team wasn’t competitive and he was on it.
|
| 12:32 |
Do you think we will see Aaron Nola anytime soon? |
| 12:32 |
: He’s ready. The only thing keeping him back is probably service time stuff.
|
| 12:32 |
i’ve held on to Brandon Beachy for two years in a dynasty league despite only 3 DL spots and a slew of other injuries BECAUSE I’M A GENIUS |
| 12:32 |
would jesus get me Mikael Franco? |
| 12:32 |
I had a really good questions that i wanted to ask you today, but it slipped my mind in the past 24 hours. Instead, I’ll take this opportunity to tell you I am A ROBOT |
| 12:33 |
Wait…isn’t Joe Kelly still better than Masterson? |
| 12:33 |
: I guess Brian Johnson and Henry Owens have to have taken a step closer.
|
| 12:33 |
How do you best measure if power is sustainable or fluky? |
| 12:34 |
: Career power rates, changes in batted ball mix, a glance at batted ball distance, changes in hard%. It’s the hardest thing to find, and so I usually am skeptical unless changes in the above convince me.
|
| 12:34 |
Predictions for DBack saves ROS? |
| 12:34 |
: Hudson? Reed gets right and gets back in it? Three guys with more than 7 saves? FUBAR?
|
| 12:35 |
Favorite Oregon beers? |
| 12:36 |
: Deschutes’ seasonals like Red Chair, Freshly Squeezed and Abyss. Crux Fermentation project everything, but especially Half Hitch. Cascade sours, but mostly only blackcap and sang royale.
|
| 12:36 |
Buy high on Chris Archer everyone |
| 12:37 |
Not sure if you mentioned this already but did you notice Montgomery went to his cutter more in his last start than he had been his previous ones? His fastball isn’t very good, but the cutter looks above average. |
| 12:38 |
: Nice, good eye. Yeah he’s a bit of a bad fastball guy, but it’s a little easier for lefties to be good with lower velocity fastballs. If he’s cutter, sinker, change, curve, then he’s got four average or better pitches. AL-only hold.
|
| 12:38 |
So is Cano coming out of his slump or is this just a lucky hot streak, I should take advantage of and try to get something of value in a trade? |
| 12:39 |
: I think he can .285+/8+ the rest of the way, but that isn’t really top-three at the position any more.
|
| 12:39 |
I thought Gibbons said Cecil was out as closer |
| 12:39 |
Cecil was removed |
| 12:39 |
: Cool. Last note on our site says Osuna is close.
|
| 12:39 |
: I like Osuna! I liked him best from beginning.
|
| 12:39 |
Do you like Conforto or JP Crawford in my minor league slot? |
| 12:40 |
: Crawford. Sexy shortstop.
|
| 12:40 |
Will Carrasco ever have a fair ERA? Is his defense just that bad? |
| 12:40 |
: I think so. He strikes out enough guys that he can keep it out of the D’s hands to an extent.
|
| 12:40 |
Drink that Heady, man! It’s not getting any fresher |
| 12:41 |
Eno, I know everyone is down on Gausman, but that team has two starters with ERAs north of 6! He’s gotta be a better option, right? |
| 12:41 |
: Bundy’s dealing in Double-A too but I wonder how cautious they’ll be with him. They just don’t seem to trust Gausman.
|
| 12:42 |
What’s your grail beer? |
| 12:43 |
: Is that the one I’d want the rest of my days? Might be AleSmith X. Just really easy to drink. Is that one I’ve searched for all my life? I’ve got my first Hill Farmstead in the fridge…
|
| 12:43 |
Should I be picked up after my outing yesterday? |
| 12:44 |
: I liked the command and the mechanics, but kept watching for a change, didn’t seem like he trusted it a ton. May not have a great strikeout rate.
|
| 12:44 |
is it wrong that as a mets fan, i am really hoping they keep tanking, fire collins, trade murphy, colon, niese and every other asset they might get a return for? |
| 12:44 |
: They are missing things that they need. And no, I don’t like Collins. The problem is that those players have been on the block for a while and haven’t gotten anything back yet.
|
| 12:44 |
I asked my cat Higgins who his favorite baseball team is. He said ‘Mets’. Poor, delusional feline. |
| 12:45 |
: Sad cat.
|
| 12:45 |
Rank these: No DH, always DH, and keep as-is |
| 12:46 |
: Always DH, Keep As Is, No DH. But the first two much closer. Everytime I see a pitcher bat I think nah we don’t need this. And we already have defensive specialists and pinch runners and pinch hitters, so the specialization of the game has already happened. Plus most minor league pitchers don’t bat. And colleges even using it. I think it’s just going to be all DH soon, and I think interleague and roster construction in-season is made more difficult by the Keep As Is. That’s ranked second because difficult also means interesting.
|
| 12:47 |
Home team must bat 2nd. I was just reading “Game of Inches.” It wasn’t mandatory until the 50’s or so, though. |
| 12:47 |
: Yeah I didn’t they could change that. Would be interesting.
|
| 12:47 |
Ellsbury or Soler in a 15-keeper, no-costs league? |
| 12:47 |
: This year, Ellsbury by far. But rest of career? I take Soler.
|
| 12:47 |
Was offered Bryant, Mookie, Carlos Martinez and Shoemaker for Adam Jones, Maybin, Vogelsong and Votto. I have Rizzo at 1B already and my rotation is thin after Chris Archer. Thoughts? |
| 12:48 |
: Yes do it.
|
| 12:48 |
Trust Clay Buchholz yet? |
| 12:48 |
: Closer, I guess.
|
| 12:48 |
Cashner drop-able in 12-teamers? |
| 12:48 |
: I’m still holding.
|
| 12:48 |
I’m hungry, and I have a buckwheat udon noodle “salad” with peanut/rice vinegar dressing in the fridge, as well as a soup I made last night with shrimp balls, watercress, shiitake mushrooms, and fried gluten. This isn’t a question, I could have either of those things and feel perfectly satisfied. I am bragging. |
| 12:48 |
should adding “metrics” to your last name to create your fantasy team name be punishable by league expulsion? |
| 12:48 |
What is the proper mien for a young person in a white collar workplace? Play up that you’re young and own the inexperience, or project an outsized amount of confidence regarding your ability despite inexperience? |
| 12:49 |
: I’d do the first but I suppose your Gecko types are all about the second.
|
| 12:49 |
Better Aoki replacement: Kiermaier or Eaton? |
| 12:49 |
: KK
|
| 12:49 |
Going to Cape Cod in a couple weeks. Any ideas of beers I should be on the lookout for that I can’t find in DC area? Maybe a tough question… sorry. |
| 12:49 |
: Look for anything Jack’s Abby or Maine. Also, Fuzzy Baby Ducks. And Night Shift.
|
| 12:50 |
Eno, have you ever thought about investing in baseball cards? I read that a Mike Trout bowman chrome rookie sold for $50k on ebay a couple months ago… |
| 12:50 |
: Hahahaha. They seem like a terrible investment. But I have a bunch of really great ones, which I’m keeping from my son until he knows how to keep his hands clean.
|
| 12:51 |
Replacement options for Freeman suck worse than Jane Fonda… Clint Robinson, Juan uribe, chris johnson, justin smoak, Jake elimore and Gordan Beckham. On a scale of Ommerang to Bud Light…. how screwed am I? |
| 12:51 |
: OOOOOF. LIMEARITA screwed. Smoak?
|
| 12:51 |
:
|
| 12:51 |
What kind of numbers do you see soler putting up in his prime? is .300-40-100 possible? |
| 12:51 |
: Probably under on the batting average, but I see that kind of power in him still. He’s a beast.
|
| 12:52 |
Desmond worth owning anymore? |
| 12:52 |
: yes
|
| 12:52 |
CASTELLANOS WILL LIVE FOREVER, SHINY AND CHROME |
| 12:52 |
What do you think of Reddick? He’s batting .290/.350/.500 with a 10% K rate over the last year (about 450 PA). Can this possibly be for real? |
| 12:52 |
: Talked to him about and it was so simple that maybe it’s possible. He just said he’s spitting on the outside corner, swinging less. It’s amazing how good that’s for him. I’d give him a .275/.280 type RoS batting average.
|
| 12:52 |
I predict .244, 10 HR, and 86 games on the DL for pujols in 2016. Write that down |
| 12:52 |
I’m last in the pitching percentages categories in my traditional 5×5 league, but after a few trades, my staff is now: Fernandez, Greinke, Stras, Salazar, Odorizzi, Anibal, Kazmir and Shark. Can I make a comeback or do I need more moves? |
| 12:53 |
: Yes sit tight and watch. Love that staff now.
|
| 12:53 |
Seems like the winning strategy in Daily Fantasy is to pick the stack that no one else picks and hope it scores 10 runs. But is today’s ARI-COL De La Rosa-fest so sure to result in a ton of runs that I’m a fool for passing on players involved in it? |
| 12:54 |
: That’s the way to win the big ones, boom or bust. I think if I played DFS I would have two strategies. Mixed lineups to win a few 50/50s to make sure I keep my money slowly building, and then some crazy stacks in the big tourneys for the big money.
|
| 12:54 |
a ROBOT wouldn’t forget questions |
| 12:54 |
: boooo
|
| 12:54 |
Hey Kiley!!! What do you think of Wirfin Obispo down on the farm? I read he’s a 70 FV raw power game power hit tool 53.2/80? |
| 12:54 |
whatever happened to that dude in the white fedora with a radar gun behind home plate at Dodger’s stadium? |
| 12:54 |
Diamondbacks? More like Savinbucks amirite |
| 12:54 |
Quick Scouting report on Nola? Worth picking up in 12 team, Keep 12? |
| 12:55 |
: Four good pitches, great command, no elite pitch. I’d wait till he was up.
|
| 12:56 |
Hey Eno, what in the world do we do with Rollins? Drop for Flores or Yunel? |
| 12:56 |
: Hold.
|
| 12:56 |
What team(s) currently out of it could conceivably make a 2nd half push that would shock and amaze the experts? |
| 12:56 |
: Athletics? If the D-Backs find some pitching…
|
| 12:56 |
I’ve been reading Big Data Baseball recently. Great book, by the way. I love the parts that document some behind-the-scenes action that shows how, ultimately, baseball clubs are a lot like other businesses. There was an anecdote about Hurdle’s sending out a motivational email out everyday to players and front office personnel that end with “Make a difference today. Love Clint.” |
| 12:56 |
Think we’ll ever have accurate/meaningful enough defensive stats that it’ll make sense to include them in fantasy? |
| 12:57 |
: The problem is that there aren’t a lot of defensive chances game to game, so you can’t depend on it in a daily way. I think that’s the biggest problem actually.
|
| 12:57 |
I’m going to Japan in a few weeks — should I see one baseball game or 10? |
| 12:58 |
: You have to at least go to Yakult AND Tokyo stadiums.
|
| 12:58 |
000001 000000011 000001111 0001111111 |
| 12:58 |
Do you think that turf causes a secret “Home-Field Advantage”? Seems like every series in Toronto has the opposing team either resting or DHing their best players for at least one of the games. |
| 12:58 |
: but then your own players are getting hurt
|
| 12:59 |
I assume there is a maximum to how hard a baseball can be hit, before it deforms so much that it either gets misshapen (and flies poorly) or kinda explodes. I wonder how close Giancarlo Stanton is to making this happen. Where’s PoBGuy when we need him? |
| 12:59 |
: Can you destroy a baseball, Alan?
|
| 1:00 |
: This is great
|
| 1:00 |
:
|
| 1:00 |
Which ONE doesn’t make the cut ROS: Calhoun, Holt or Collabello? |
| 1:00 |
: COLABELLO
|
| 1:00 |
Best guess as to when Matz gets the call? |
| 1:00 |
: Very soon
|
| 1:01 |
do you think john hart ever feels the least bit bad or guilty for continuing to fleece other gms/ i sometimes feel bad when i do that in fantasy. i still do it, but i feel bad at least |
| 1:01 |
: Dunno man he traded a lot of bats for arms, and at some point he’ll need some bats.
|
| 1:01 |
Need to trade a closer, who is the best to shop – Tolleson, Betances, Britton, Carson, Smith (league minimum salary), or Osuna (league minimum salary) |
| 1:03 |
: I’d say Betances but he’s such a great pitcher that you have to keep him even with Miller on the mend. Britton’s new K rate makes him untradable. I might look at what Tolleson could get me.
|
| 1:03 |
Is Jhonny underrated as a top fantasy SS? The position is shallow, but he’s tops in LD%, hard%, OPS, ISO for a couple years now. |
| 1:03 |
: Yeah, he is, and it’s weird.
|
| 1:03 |
Bundy has another appt with James Andrews this week to check on shoulder inflammation 🙁 |
| 1:03 |
: ug
|
| 1:04 |
is it time to sell Garrett Richards in belief that his 2014 levels of production aren’t coming back? |
| 1:04 |
: I don’t think so. Still has excellent velocity, good swinging strike rate.
|
| 1:04 |
Conceptual question, when you have a top team in a H2H dynasty format, how heavily can you play for now with regards to the inherent randomness of H2H playoffs? |
| 1:05 |
: I think I would just manage my bench differently. Not necessarily trade away the farm. But, on my bench, have some injured vets that might be there for me in September over a long-term prospect keeper that’s fringe anyway.
|
| 1:05 |
How do you value positional flexibility when trading? I was thinking of trading Semien but moving him between 2B and SS has been useful and I don’t know if losing a game from my SS or 2B every week or so matters a lot. |
| 1:06 |
: I don’t worry so much about backups and extra games. The wire is there for backups, and the extra games aren’t like in basketball, they’re fairly infrequent.
|
| 1:06 |
who is chad bettis? |
| 1:06 |
: eh
|
| 1:07 |
Where does Michael Taylor reasonably end up as a player? |
| 1:07 |
: Still could be Corey Patterson. Outside chance at Carlos Gomez ish. I’m not in love though. Not the plate discipline package I go for.
|
| 1:08 |
thoughts on Eugenio Suarez in a dynasty format? Underrated blend of opportunity and skills at 23 years old |
| 1:08 |
: Deep league interesting, I actually kind of like him, and he has some things going for him that Cozart never will.
|
| 1:08 |
I traded Cano for Mookie Betts this past offseason in my dynasty league and am starting to feel like the smartest man in the world |
| 1:09 |
Is Mookie going to be keepable next year over guys like K. Seager, Pollock, Betances? Going to lose 2B eligibility I assume |
| 1:09 |
: Even in OF I take him over a reliever, even a great one.
|
| 1:09 |
Joakim Soria has been scuffling and his FIP is around 5 now, few Ks recently. If I have him should I be looking to move him and is there a guy that could take that job in DET in your eyes? |
| 1:09 |
: I’d watch Rondon. They are going to try to hold Soria in there for a while, they held on to Nathan forever too.
|
| 1:09 |
Should I basically start any pitcher against the Mets? |
| 1:09 |
: I’ve been doing a little bit of that.
|
| 1:10 |
What do I expect from Olivera going forward for this year |
| 1:10 |
: Eh
|
| 1:11 |
you have the same music taste as my hippie ex GF that I hate |
| 1:11 |
: I like so many different musics, I very much doubt it
|
| 1:11 |
:
|
| 1:11 |
Re: Cape Cod beer- go to Moonshine Liquors on Rte 28 in Hyannis- best selection of craft beers on the Cape |
| 1:11 |
Hard hit % not correlated with LD%, but iirc LD% is correlated with BABIP. Does that mean hard hit % and BABIP don’t have a connection? If so, how can that be? |
| 1:12 |
: Hard hit includes homers, which aren’t in BABIP, so hard hit is better correlated to wOBA than LD%. Does that make sense?
|
| 1:12 |
Eno? Is it me you’re looking for? I can see it in your eyes, I can see it in your smile, and I want to tell you so much I love you. |
| 1:12 |
: Posted, deleted, posted again, deleted again, and re-posted.
|
| 1:12 |
Will you please give your thoughts on Desmond? |
| 1:13 |
: Game built on athleticism and some dings and cuts have stolen that from him this year. Long-term still think he can get back some of what he’s lost, but he may end up at a different position, and we may not ever see 20+ steals again. But I do think the power will come back, and this year.
|
| 1:13 |
SAY SOMETHIGN ABOUT CHAZ ROE |
| 1:13 |
: DAT SLIDER
|
| 1:14 |
The Cubs are accidentally good. Do they push chips for this year or just see if this crew can keep playing well and plan to go HAM in the offseason? As a fan, would hate to see them move top prospects but stumble because the young kids falter |
| 1:14 |
: I think they’ll buy a pitcher, but one they can own for next year too.
|
| 1:14 |
re: defensive stats. I joined a league that used FPCT as a category, it was my first serious league so I didn’t protest at first. After three years I was ready to quit the league unless they dropped it |
| 1:14 |
: yes.
|
| 1:14 |
There was an article on MLB the other day about Hurdle getting Scherzer to sign the lineup cards from his no hitter. I always like it when a manager or player is also a fan. |
| 1:14 |
I saw Jonny Gomes get Rod Carew’s autograph one time before a game too. |
| 1:14 |
: Writers are *not* allowed to do this.
|
| 1:14 |
Encouraged by Strasburg’s return? |
| 1:14 |
: I want more whiffs from his change.
|
| 1:14 |
Jaime Garcia is a definite sell-high candidate, yes? He’s dealing these days but the injury risk trumps all, no? |
| 1:15 |
: Also he chooses grounders over Ks and so sometimes/most times, his WHIP and K rate aren’t good.
|
| 1:15 |
where are all the weird questions? |
| 1:15 |
why are there birds in airports sometimes |
| 1:15 |
: Literally one after the other.
|
| 1:15 |
young orioles arms: stay far, far away. Backdate this to over a decade ago |
| 1:16 |
: And yet they brought it new people over that time and put in new philosophies and banned pitches and wait, yup, still no success stories really.
|
| 1:16 |
Was the average hunter-gatherer of 30,000 years ago happier than the average person is today? |
| 1:16 |
: No, he spent most of his time looking over his shoulder and wondering where next meal was coming from.
|
| 1:17 |
Do you think there’s any chance Javier Baez is back with the MLB team for the White Sox series just before the All-Star break to increase trade options for the Cubs? |
| 1:17 |
: Yeah he’s probably back up again soon.
|
| 1:17 |
Is Hanley too much to give up for Beltre? I have Correa. |
| 1:18 |
: Hanley’s exit velocity is creeping back up again, I think his shoulder is better. But you can probably find a good wire / bench OF that makes Beltre+Correa the better IF.
|
| 1:18 |
chad bettis looks nothing like his cousin jerome |
| 1:18 |
: But we may see his stats balloon to that size yet
|
| 1:18 |
DJ LeMahieu: you buying him as a true talent .290/10/20 AVG/HR/SB type so long as he plays in Colorado? Does that make him a top 10 or even top 5 2B ROS? |
| 1:19 |
: Top ten. Has never stolen 20 so that would be a career high. Can’t bank on that.
|
| 1:19 |
Drop Yelich for Soler in redrafts? |
| 1:19 |
: Yes.
|
| 1:19 |
what’s your future outlook on alex guerrero for next couple years? stud in the making or just utility bat? |
| 1:19 |
Is Guerrero a HOLD in case he gets dealt to an every day role. |
| 1:19 |
: I don’t think he gets dealt because if he does, his contract gets ripped up, basically. And the Dodgers seem happy to use him as a vs lefties utility guy with bad glove, so I’m not that excited about him.
|
| 1:20 |
Eno, as long as you don’t like Best Coast, your taste in music is just fine. |
| 1:20 |
: I don’t really, but Sirius keeps playing them.
|
| 1:20 |
What the hell is up with Micheal Pineda? Sequencing, Babip, and the short porch? |
| 1:20 |
: When he loses his slider, everything goes.
|
| 1:20 |
Avisail Garcia…Just a nasty slump or is he a drop in 12-teamers? |
| 1:20 |
: I’m holding.
|
| 1:21 |
Seattle is going to start hitting again especially Cano, now that Edgar Martinez is the new hitting coach. True or False? |
| 1:21 |
: Cano has been hitting the ball hard all year.
|
| 1:21 |
Or just more changes period from Stras, right? |
| 1:21 |
: yah that too
|
| 1:21 |
KROD for Kinsler? |
| 1:21 |
: Yeah who knows if K-Rod makes it through the year as a closer.
|
| 1:21 |
voting bernie sanders because i want to see “doin the bernie” gain traction holla to my 2008 boys |
| 1:21 |
You buy Shelby Miller as a good Fantasy pitcher? Lots of guys seem bearish, but I like his stuff. |
| 1:22 |
: Yeah I think he’ll regress, but to like 3.3/3.4 ERA, so he’s good even with regression coming, which is a fact that some people miss as they yell about regression.
|
| 1:22 |
Maikel Franco – .280/.320/.480 going forward realistic? |
| 1:22 |
: yes.
|
| 1:22 |
avg hunter/gatherer lived many fewer years, thus having fewer years to accumulate unhappiness |
| 1:22 |
Young O’s pitcher have success all the time! It just happens to be with other teams re: E-Rod, Arrieta |
| 1:22 |
Who do you like long term, Justin Turner or Roughed Odor? |
| 1:22 |
: Long term, Odor. This season, Turner.
|
| 1:23 |
Some theories state that monogamy wasn’t a thing for hunter gatherers, which led to more and varied sex, and more happy people. |
| 1:23 |
but really does anyone know its not like birds hang around in the doctor’s office |
| 1:23 |
What do you think happens with Valbuena when Lowrie returns from the DL? |
| 1:23 |
: Platoon bat that gets used around the infield to rest guys.
|
| 1:23 |
Sent Bryant and Montgomery for Bumgarner Pence and Chapman in a dynasty league. Deep rosters so no one is ever available on WW. I liked the depth and value but did I give up too soon on a future top ten guy…? |
| 1:24 |
: It’s a decent return but Bryant is sexy time going forward, you gave up the best asset.
|
| 1:24 |
Saw you mention Garrett Richards as a buy low? May I ask what you see that has you optimistic? Ive been pretty worried, especially cuz of the drop in K-BB% |
| 1:24 |
: Still got the same velocity and swinging strike rate.
|
| 1:24 |
Hanley got nailed on the hand by a line drive yesterday on a hit-and-run play (and therefore is out of the lineup today). Hanley didn’t even turn his head to try and find the ball after it was hit. Is that just super unluckiness or is it his responsibility to locate the ball while running and dodge it if needed? |
| 1:25 |
: He also threw the ball right into the ground and then wandered off as Mookie threw it in a few weeks back. He’s uninspired on defense.
|
| 1:25 |
If your the mets, lagares is clearly hurt, you have no offense, now no defense. Alderson states he feels pressure to make a move…. why waste time with zobrist? go get carlos gomez and segura, get lagares the elbow surgery, and get back in this race |
| 1:26 |
: Doing nothing is clearly a way to turn a team around, as prospects slowly rise to the top and make you look good. But you have to do something at some point to capitalize. Twins and Mets doing nothing, although I like what Twins did with Buxton.
|
| 1:26 |
clarification: I like your taste in music Eno; I just don’t like the ex who shares some of it 😛 |
| 1:26 |
: One of my worst breakups married one of my best friends.
|
| 1:27 |
Are you concerned for Y. Ventura? The piece on his fb getting hit harder than it should is scary, but totally makes sense. he does have a short stride |
| 1:27 |
: He’s much less than the sum of his pitches. Which means he has upside, but also that he may continue to be unimpressive. I’m holding if I’m building for future, but he’s a decent piece to sell if you want a now piece.
|
| 1:27 |
Duda + Schwarber to get Abreu in a keep-forever? |
| 1:27 |
: yes I’d do that
|
| 1:27 |
avg hunter/gatherer always eating locally sourced organic food |
| 1:28 |
: HIPSTERS
|
| 1:28 |
hunter/gatherers got a lot of exercise, didn’t have to spend money on a gym membership |
| 1:28 |
wasn’t illegal to smoke weed back then |
| 1:28 |
the Jeff Sullivan Gif-fest of Boston OF defensive ineptitude is waiting to be made…..Hanely and Rusney alone could fuel all of it |
| 1:28 |
In IP leagues do you save some IPs for the end of the year when teams are basically starting AAAA lineups? |
| 1:28 |
: Eh, maybe I do a little saving in the last month, particularly because you can load up on the last day, but I don’t worry too much about that.
|
| 1:28 |
Can someone tell the Twins to call up Berrios? |
| 1:28 |
: That’s what I’m talking about.
|
| 1:29 |
: But no, Pelfrey looks like he’s not trash. (I think he is.)
|
| 1:29 |
Kinsler hit a homer today! Suck it commenters! |
| 1:29 |
Syndergaard for Abreu is a no-brainer, right? Keeper league (Thor = 17th round vs Abreu in the 6th). |
| 1:29 |
: Even with the rounds I take the hitter.
|
| 1:29 |
I don’t think killing people was illegal back then either |
| 1:29 |
wait is it illegal to smoke weed now? |
| 1:29 |
I just shouted to the heavens and presumably Terry Ryan himself should he have been within earshot to call up Berrios |
| 1:29 |
Arismendy Alcantara just a quad-A guy now? I can’t quit him in dynasty despite the bad K numbers |
| 1:30 |
: Yeah he’s got that plate discipline package I don’t like, too.
|
| 1:30 |
ENO, DON’T LEAVE |
| 1:30 |
: I’m a little behind because it was my birthday yesterday. I gotta leave soon.
|
| 1:31 |
I asked Szym on Monday if Chaz Roe’s slider does actually have unique motion to it. It appears totally different than others by the infallible eye test. Is it in fact different?? |
| 1:31 |
: yeah it looks like Kluber’s slider, but it’s not as extreme. Kluber’s breaking ball has the drop of a curve and the sweep of a cutter, and roe’s does that a bit too.
|
| 1:31 |
HAPPY BIRTHDAY ENO |
| 1:32 |
: thanks!
|
| 1:32 |
I take my birthday off of Facebook as it approaches. |
| 1:32 |
: Crazy how many people I hadn’t heard from in years pop up around now on FB
|
| 1:32 |
Who produces the most for the rest of this year? Rusney, Schwarber or Khris Davis? |
| 1:32 |
: KH
|
| 1:32 |
|
| 1:32 |
Give up Bryant and Kemp for Adam Jones in a non-keeper? Have Franco to replace Bryant at 3B… |
| 1:32 |
: Isn’t Jones hurting right now? wait a day or two.
|
| 1:33 |
How do you think Lionel Messi feels about being the second most awesome person born on June 24? |
| 1:33 |
: Probably wants to yell about those rankings in a comments section somewhere.
|
| 1:33 |
“Average” lifespan of hunter-gatherers might be a little misleading due to childhood mortality. Though, I guess that’s a knock right there. |
| 1:33 |
: They didn’t have to shave, either.
|
| 1:33 |
|
| 1:34 |
In an ottoneu points league, would Harvey for Russell be a fair deal? Or should I ask for more for Russell? |
| 1:34 |
: That’s a good return for Russell.
|
| 1:34 |
What do you mean by “They would have to rip up Guerrero’s contract” if they trade him. |
| 1:34 |
: There’s some provision that if he’s traded he becomes a free agent by the end of the year.
|
| 1:34 |
beards, locally sourced food, music no one ever heard before…hunter/gatherer chic |
| 1:34 |
: Seems familiar.
|
| 1:34 |
It’s weird they’re called “hunter gatherers” when fishing seems a lot easier as a protein source than hunting basically everywhere. Or does fishing fall under the “gathering” umbrella? |
| 1:34 |
: Hunting no?
|
| 1:35 |
My Donaldson and G. Holland for Fernandez and Arrieta, too much? |
| 1:35 |
: yes, too much
|
| 1:35 |
: Okay I’m doing the peepee dance.
|
| 1:35 |
: I’ll talk to you guys next week!
|
| 1:35 |
bye thanks eno |
| 1:35 |
i usu gather fish |
| 1:36 |
that’s ENO(ugh) |
| 1:36 |
whzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz |
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
Would you trade a Harvey for Pollock or Brantley in a 12 team roto that counts OBP, SLG and K/BB?
I would trade Ken Harvey for anything you can get in return, even if that anything is only fish or Brantley Gilbert.