Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 8/4/16
12:47 |
: It’s been a long time since I listened to some R.E.M willingly but this song is kinda tight
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12:01 |
: Hello, friend!
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12:01 |
: Hello!
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12:01 |
: how many cases are you buying when i’m back on shelves?
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12:02 |
: I have no calories for soda.
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12:02 |
: I’ve been offered Sano for Dahl in a dynasty league. What do you think?
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12:03 |
: Might take Dahl because he should be able to steal some bases, might have better BA.
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12:03 |
: how much does a good third base coach matter? has there been any research into how much they can affect the outcome of a game?
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12:03 |
: I bet it’s less of a deal than seems. You remember the big gaffes. But for the most part I bet they’re really bunched together.
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12:04 |
: Am I wrong to think the Reds front office sucks??
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12:04 |
: Dragged their feet on some decisions, got some bad returns on the players they traded last year, but I find the pitchers they got very interesting. Yeah, they aren’t working out except DeSclafani, but that’s pitchers, man.
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12:04 |
: Did Lewis Brinson’s outlook improve in MIL? When do you think he’ll be up?
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12:05 |
: Fewer roadblocks now. He just needs to put together that awesome power with the new strikeout rate and stay healthy.
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12:06 |
: When you and Paul initially discussed Gurriel, you were pretty low on him–though I think you might have been reading incorrect stats. Do you still feel the same way about him. Asking because he is now available in the Yahoo! database and trying to decide if I should blow the rest of my FAAB on him.
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12:07 |
: I was looking at the wrong Gurriel! And with the way Bregman is playing, I think he can take the job. His actual translation is 268 .307 .435, which is decent but probably not worth dropping your whole FAAB on.
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12:07 |
: T/F – Mookie Betts is the second best OF in baseball.
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12:07 |
: True.
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12:08 |
: Musgrove looked great. What caliber fantasy starter do you envision him being?
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12:09 |
: I’m a little worried that people get better at him the more they see his funky stuff. He doesn’t have a great comp. Ironically, he looks a little bit like a Mengden with better command and less deception based on delivery, but similarly deceptive stuff. I think he’ll be a fantasy 3 or so.
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12:10 |
: John Gibbons said he had a “butt feeling” when he decided to have Biagini pitch to Altuve. Can you please create a stat that corresponds to butt feelings?
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12:10 |
: Well, there is a ‘butt’ saying for when things don’t work out at least.
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12:10 |
: The strikeouts have disappeared, and he’s up against an innings limit, but he’s been successful at avoiding giving up runs. Going into next year, Michael Fulmer is a top ______ pitcher.
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12:10 |
: 20? 25?
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12:10 |
: This trade went down in my league and I don’t think it’s fair. Harper for Taijuan Walker and Yasmany Tomas. On the face of it, does that seem uneven? Commish can only veto if there is collusion and that will be hard to prove. Maybe the one owner is an idiot.
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12:11 |
: I’d sigh super loud and let it go.
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12:11 |
: HEY SARRIS! I own property on 69th street, you could come over and suck!
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12:11 |
: Green grapes are the best grapes – Donald Trump and Seabass
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12:11 |
: Ayyyy Happy IPA Day!
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12:11 |
: WE got the interludes, the best interludes, nobody’s got interludes like us.
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12:12 |
: Eno! I’m going to keep asking this question until someone answers it! What are your thoughts on Max Kepler? Is this power for real? I remember hearing about him, but nothing outstanding.
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12:12 |
: I think he’ll regress to a .175 type ISO but also cover the plate, hit line drives, and have a good OBP.
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12:12 |
: Edwin Diaz: is he a top 10 closer in 2017?
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12:12 |
: yes.
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12:12 |
: Pick one rookie for the ROS? Naquin (w/ the bloated BABIP), or Kepler (whose power compares to Alonso)?
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12:12 |
: Kepler.
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12:12 |
: Eno, you are my sunshine
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12:13 |
: MY ONLY SUNSHINE YOU MAKE ME HAPPY WHEN
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12:13 |
: I have Lindor on the bench behind Bogaerts and have had other teams contacting me about a Lindor trade. Would you trade Lindor for any of the following: Benintendi, Mazara, Josh Bell.
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12:13 |
: FIRST TWO, whoops, cough cough, the first two, but with a pitching sweetener.
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12:13 |
: GUESS WHO’S BACK, BACK AGAIN, ROBBIE’S BACK, TELL A FRIEND!!!!
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12:14 |
: Man, you’re always good for like 8 Ks, 2 bbs, and 5 ER…
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12:14 |
: Talk me down Eno, talk me down! Why the hell are the Red Sox platooning Benintendi, when he had zero platoon split in the minors?
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12:14 |
: Hit the ground running?
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12:14 |
: Should James Paxton be throwing his curveball? His usage of the pitch fluctuates a lot. His pitch mix in general seems to fluctuate game to game, is he still experimenting or does it just depend on the handedness of the batters?
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12:14 |
: I think he’s still trying to figure out the movement out of his new slot.
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12:15 |
: Do you think that Yoan Moncada is destined for 3B, given the infield situation in Boston?
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12:15 |
: Yes.
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12:16 |
: Who is Trevor Bauer and why do I still like him after all he’s done to me? I feel like a battered spouse here…
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12:16 |
: It’s hard for him to keep command as his stuff changes, I guess. He’s even said that to me. Suddenly he’s got the same numbers as ever.
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12:16 |
: Robbie Ray – the Ks jump out at you, and make me want to believe, but he also gets squared up so dang much. Is there a reason for this or do you think he can tame his batted ball profile in the future?
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12:17 |
: Have to think lack of a third pitch matters here. Also command isn’t great. It’s plus velocity, plus fastball, plus slider, minus everything else.
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12:17 |
: With Story out, who do you see providing the most value in 5×5 roto at SS: Arcia, Mondesi, Owings, Gregorius, Peralta?
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12:17 |
: I’d take a shot at Arcia, but Peralta has highest floor if you’re in the top two/three.
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12:18 |
: How much will the Phillies inactivity at the deadline hurt them? They looked poised to head up towards .500 next year and be real contenders in 2018. Does this alter the timeline at all?
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12:19 |
: Jeanmar Gomez probably would have gotten them a better return than Jeremy Hellickson, which is super weird to me. They probably just didn’t get a great offer for Hellickson and figured maybe they can extend him to be a back end guy.
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12:19 |
: You know we have some paranoid fans when they’re already comparing Jay Bruce to Jason Bay.
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12:19 |
: It’s been a poor start, but Bruce is a real power source.
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12:20 |
Over the last calendar year JBJ is 13th in wOBA. Would you consider him established? I still struggle to view him as a top hitter (and projections aren’t buying his recent star level play). |
12:20 |
: I still can’t imagine this power will keep up. Never really showed this sort of power in the minors.
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12:20 |
: Does the Orioles’ best pitcher really have 4 career starts?
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12:21 |
: Bundy so good.
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12:21 |
: Which Braves pitching prospects stand out the most to you? Are any front-of-the-rotation starters, or did they collect a bunch of innings eaters?
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12:21 |
: I don’t see the front of rotation guy yet.
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12:22 |
: Any recs for a fruit wheat/hef in so cal area? Not really my preference so not familiar with many
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12:23 |
: I like Hottenroth from The Bruery,
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12:23 |
: I’ts not super fruity, but it’s a bit tart.
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12:23 |
: Hi Eno, Is it reasonable to cut a $32 Puig in ottoneu? I can’t imagine being able to trade him at that salary now or in the offseason.
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12:23 |
: I just did.
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12:23 |
: Will be at the Colliseum on Sunday for the game. I believe that’s one of your haunts. Anything I should check out?
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12:24 |
: The taco truck on high street exit, it’s 100000x better than anything you’ll eat in the stadium. In the stadium, go to the West Side Club for the best beer bar inside. You’ll probably get Easy Jack or Drake’s 1500.
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12:24 |
: Eno, Severino worth a speculative add? Have to think he will get back in the rotation
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12:24 |
: In deeper leagues, yes.
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12:25 |
: I think 12th of Never is my new favorite session beer.
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12:25 |
: Is it time to give up on Tyson Ross for this year? I’ve been offered Steven Wright & Thornburg for him in dynasty H2H pts. Wright’s recent starts are kinda scary but I have to take this right? I’m trying to win the Championship.
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12:25 |
: Just saw a report that he could maybe throw 4-6 starts… that seems like not much to keep holding on to.
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12:25 |
: My league mates have given up on Smyly. I put in a waiver claim. What do you expect ROS in a QS league?
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12:26 |
: I’m thinking the Depth Charts projection. 3.69 ERA, 1.2 WHIP, 1.25 HR/9.
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12:26 |
: I’ve seen some work that tries to track 3B coaches by runs scored against running ability of men on base. It’s not consistent year to year–too much randomness. I suspect much depends on whether players trust a coach–if they start ignoring him, he’s got to go.
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12:26 |
: They definitely ignore sometimes, and that confounds!
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12:26 |
: Odds deGrom can win the NL Cy Young?
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12:26 |
: Not bad.
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12:27 |
: You’ve been great help to me with trades this year: I just traded Melancon (11th round keeper) and Pence (can’t keep) for Piscotty (16th round keeper) and Wheeler (20th round) and picked up Diaz w FAAB. Did I do ok? Is Piscotty worth keeping? I never seem to hear people talk about him.
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12:27 |
: Piscotty may have overperformed his exit velocity so far, but he’s proven himself to be defensively versatile with power and plate coverage. I think you did really well, particularly with the Diaz pickup.
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12:28 |
: What player are you most surprised did NOT change hands during the trade deadline?
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12:29 |
: Hellickson, J Gomez, I guess that’s about it.
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12:30 |
what say you? |
12:30 |
: Kids? Pain in the ass but amazing. Duffy? Can’t believe he’s this good, but he is.
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12:30 |
: Ass bomb ass bomb you’re my ass bomb and baby you can turn me on
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12:30 |
: Supposedly, the White Sox were offered Benintendi, Michael Kopech, and Brian Johnson for Quintana. If true, should the White Sox have taken it?
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12:31 |
: Yes.
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12:31 |
: sorry if you answered this a lot before, but what is your opinion on the whole Aaron Sanchez bullpen thing?
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12:31 |
: You can see fatigue in pitchfx stats. I’d watch that.
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12:32 |
: You a Blood Orange fan, Eno? His new album Freetown Sound is fire. I think you’d love it.
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12:32 |
:
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12:32 |
: Are double IPAs acceptable on IPA day? Love me some Nimble Giant from Troegs.
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12:32 |
: Gotta be.
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12:33 |
: I’m a decade older than I suspect a lot of FG readers are–am I justified in feeling you whipper-snappers don’t know what a lopsided trade looks like? Shelby Miller is nothing compared to Heathcliff Slocumb for Varitek and Lowe or Pedro for Carl Pavano.
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12:34 |
: Have GMs gotten better at their jobs?
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12:34 |
: Best Sculpin: Grapefruit, Pineapple, Watermelon, Habenero. I bet it’s pineapple. You’re going to say pineapple, aren’t you?
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12:34 |
: RANKING: Pineapple Grapefruit Watermelon ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………. habenero.
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12:34 |
: Better Sano replacement at 3B if he gets demoted: Plouffe, Kang, or Gurriel?
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12:35 |
: Gurriel because what’s Kang’s legal situation?
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12:35 |
: Obviously not for this year, but are you a buyer of Clint’s Frazier?
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12:36 |
: That sounds dirty. He told me he’s gotten better on Ks by anticipating better, which tells me that his K rate will jump big in the big leagues, where pitchers will change it up on him. I’d give him a high bust rate, even though I like his power.
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12:36 |
: Karns is in the bullpen and Miller is at 1B. Who’s happier with this trade?
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12:37 |
: Karns gets another shot at starting after DL stint, I think, so it’s not writ yet.
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12:37 |
: I would like to request a Bork chat marathon where everyone just says Hello! for hours
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12:37 |
: What are your thoughts on Hunter Renfroe as a prospect?
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12:37 |
: Be very aware of where he’s playing right now, it inflates power a poop tonne.
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12:37 |
: Yeah, talk me down from easing a AA player into the MLB by allowing him to hit primarily from his strong side. Red Sox fans… sheesh.
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12:37 |
: I LIKE TO GIVE THE OTHER TEAM A CHANCE
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12:37 |
: Can I ever love?
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12:38 |
: good, good.
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12:39 |
: I’m in a dynasty league; Naquin or Altherr ROS and in the future?
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12:39 |
: Naquin.
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12:39 |
: I get the feeling that people are underestimating the value pop to Matt Moore being in SF. This is really good .. right?
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12:39 |
: Yeah the stuff is back, and the HR problem should quiet in the NL.
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12:39 |
: Is Trea Turner a similar/better/worse version of Dee Gordon? What’s a full season of Trea look like?
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12:40 |
: Could have more power, more stable BA.
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12:40 |
: Xavier University has installed a pizza ATM. From 1-10, how does this rank up there with monumental achievements in human history?
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12:40 |
: OH LORD
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12:40 |
: Tony Zych was a big under the radar prospect in the spring but got hurt early. Any updates? Have heard almis nothing since. With he be pitcher ng in the majors this season?
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12:40 |
: Shoulder injuries suck. And Diaz hot fire now.
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12:40 |
: I’m watching my almost one year old right now. How much time is too much time to let a child spend in a pack n play?
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12:40 |
: The crying will tell you.
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12:40 |
: Half Acre is finally coming to SoCal, they are doing a preview night at a local brewery/bar with Daisy Cutter, Get Right, Akira Shogun, and Navaja. Your talking up of Daisy Cutter has me crazy excited. Thoughts on the others?
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12:41 |
: The cutter is the star but they are good. Especially if they bring any collabos.
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12:41 |
: Going to Threes brewery this weekend. Any favorites you recommend?
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12:42 |
: All of it, but I really liked Chronic Myopia.
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12:42 |
: I’m sad (but optimistic) that McCullers will be able to resume his ascension into ace-hood soon. You?
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12:42 |
: He told me he was basically still hurting in the shoulder when we talked, and now the elbow. This may be a thing.
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12:42 |
: Cigar City Jai Alai suddenly showed up in my local Whole Foods. How excited should I be?
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12:42 |
: Very.
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12:42 |
: Thornburg have the skills to be a real deal closer? Pretender or Contender?
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12:42 |
: Contender. Has been great in the pen.
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12:43 |
: Yes I like Eno Coladas… gettin caught in the rain.
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12:43 |
: Alright the baby is playing with electrical equipment. I’ll read the transcript when she’s napping.
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12:43 |
: I’m the grip that you’ve looked for, write to me and escape
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12:43 |
: FYI – I hit 2 HRs in a Game
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12:43 |
: You can bet a dude wants better ‘ludes.
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12:43 |
: You should name your child Owt and then convince him/her to name your grandchild Eerht. It can be a family tradition!
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12:44 |
: Like I actually think my mother thought the ‘one’ backwards thing was a joke, I hope.
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12:44 |
https://www.sarriscandies.com/ – the best chocolate-covered pretzels I’ve ever had.
: Also have you heard of this company — |
12:44 |
: Love choco pretzels and yeah aren’t they in Pittsburgh?
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12:44 |
: Does Ryan Madson get traded this month to a contender?
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12:44 |
: Contract too claimable.
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12:44 |
: Jim Johnson, on the other hand….
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12:45 |
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12:45 |
: Is that an IPA???
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12:45 |
: Gregory Polanco was excellent the first two months but has tailed off a lot since then. Are you still a believer?
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12:45 |
: Heck ya though I’d prefer he stole more obviously.
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12:45 |
: Thinking of offering Belt and Duffy for Velasquez in 12-team dynasty. Sound fair?
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12:46 |
: Too much.
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12:46 |
: Now that Stroman has been throwing his slider more, can he be relied as a solid SP in fantasy? Looking to replace McCullers.
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12:46 |
: I’d pick him up. Ks up big.
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12:46 |
: What’s your favorite bad beer? Everybody has a favorite bad beer.
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12:46 |
: Modelo Especial.
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12:46 |
: Rockies have gone on a tear since the break, and forced us to not completely ignore them…can they really keep this up? Their pitchers can’t keep throwing quality starts every game…right??
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12:47 |
: I believe in Tyler Anderson and Jon Gray and JDLR is going to JDLR for eternity.
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12:47 |
: Chatwood a fine 3/4 type too.
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12:47 |
: Just saw the post for the new FG t shirts, but I’m holding out for the Eno Sarris replica jersey, complete with a tulip glass and conditioner
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12:47 |
: Sounds more like a bobble head.
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12:47 |
: that will ferrells production company is called Gary Sanchez productions?
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12:48 |
: Gary. Busey. Sanchez.
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12:48 |
: In his last six starts Marcus Stroman has a 26.4 K-BB%. Throwing his sinker less and his slider/cutter a lot more. Can it be that simple to just throw your best pitch more? C.f. Shoemaker, Neris, McCullers
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12:48 |
: It doesn’t always work, but when it does…
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12:49 |
: Any chance Tommy Joseph becomes a valuable fantasy 1B?
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12:49 |
: Power only Ryan Howard type for a while, maybe.
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12:49 |
: I want to eject sooooo many chatters right now.
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12:49 |
: and you and you and you and YOU made a raunchy joke you’re GONE.
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12:49 |
: starting vince against the giants today?
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12:50 |
: In the words of Little John, YAY-EH.
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12:50 |
: First year in a keeper (10-tm, keep 5): who do I look to keep of Mazara ($5), Dahl ($2), C. Seager ($18), Franco ($5), Contreras ($5), Polanco ($7), Pollock ($7)?
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12:50 |
: Seager, Mazara, Contreras, Polanco….. wait and see if Pollock plays some late this year.
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12:51 |
: Do you a strong second half bounce back for Smyly? Pitching well as we speak.
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12:51 |
: Strong matchups play and today was a good matchup.
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12:51 |
: I still believe in Domingo Santana as legit NL only contributor for 2017. Is that because i’m his father?
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12:52 |
: I believe in him too. He’s made some adjustments to his swing rates, and if he can get a little loft — not crazy since he’s been hurt this year and will have the offseason to heal — he could regain that power stroke with some SBs. Lovely bench play / deep dynasty acquisition right now.
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12:52 |
: Is there a quantifiable value for how many pitches a player sees per at bat? Seeing a lot of pitches definitely affects the game in a big way because it can cause more bullpen use. Is it calculated into any more comprehensive stats like WAR?
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12:53 |
: It helps you BB more, and is related to power, but you also K more. Not directly measured and included in anything, but has implications everywhere.
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12:53 |
: Does Joey Votto’s approach increase the likelihood that he can remain effective well into his 30s?
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12:54 |
: We did an interview about this and the research was surprisingly vague. I think his walk rate will give him value even as things fall apart, but tools also help you age well.
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12:54 |
: Does a DL Stint for Cespedes, if it took a month, increase the odds of him NOT opting out?
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12:54 |
: hey! maybe. he’s sorta borderline right now.
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12:55 |
: Jon Niese blamed defensive shifts for him sucking in Pittsburgh. Does this mean that Jeff Locke is actually better than Kershaw but those darned shifts are holding him back?
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12:55 |
: Niese doesn’t know what he’s talking about.
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12:55 |
: Is it better to send out a league-wide email asking if people are interested in trading or is it better to individually email teams asking to trade? I’m in a new league and don’t want to piss people off.
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12:56 |
: Individually cater to teams. Say, hey, i noticed you might need X and I have it. Trade blocks and posts don’t move needle much.
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12:56 |
: Naw, Teheran not changing teams was the biggest surprise of the trading season.
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12:57 |
: Not after Kemp move. They want to have a couple players in 2018 after the 2017 new stadium smell calms down.
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12:57 |
: Please rank for 2017: Mazara, Naquin, Ozuna, or Kepler.
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12:57 |
: Ozuna Mazara….. Kepler…. Naquin.
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12:57 |
: How did Daniel Murphy become the best hitter in the world?
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12:58 |
: Moved closer to the plate to make middle-out middle-in, started pulling the ball more, and hunted fastballs more.
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12:58 |
: Thoughts on Nashville Hot Chicken?
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12:58 |
: Very much enjoyed.
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1:00 |
: Gary Sanchez v. Willson Contreras ROS?
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1:00 |
: Wilson. for sure.
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1:00 |
: RE: Sculpin… You’re insane. Regular/Grapefruit (very close), Habernero, Pineapple. Never had watermelon.
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1:00 |
: Habenero is trash. Grapefruit is pretty damn sweet.
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1:00 |
: As a one-time publishing worker, do you have any advice for someone who is considering an attempt at writing children’s books? (Assume that the person does not have the visual-artistic skills to illustrate the book, if that makes any difference.) Thanks!
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1:01 |
: Probably find that visual person. Everyone will respond better to a pitch with pictures.
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1:01 |
: Time to cut Buxton in a 12 team dynasty points?
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1:01 |
: depending on how many keepers. if fewer than 10, yes.
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1:01 |
: What’s IPA day? Is that a reference to 8.4% ABV? Lots of IPA’s in the high 6%s, no?
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1:01 |
: Just a way to sell more beers.
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1:01 |
: so re: Benintendi, do you think that it might be a smart move for some teams to platoon guys on their first call up? Even if the team knows they’re going to eventually be an everyday player?
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1:02 |
: If they aren’t in competitive mode, no, let them try both sides and adjust before the team is good. But in Boston’s situation, yes.
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1:02 |
: Toronto! September 7,8,9, I’ll be there. Pitch Talks and a meetup. I’ll be
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1:03 |
: What’s going to happen with Braun? Surprised he hasn’t been traded?
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1:03 |
: That’s a big contract.
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1:03 |
: She lies and says she’s in love with him. Can’t find a better ‘lude. She dreams in color she dreams in red. Can’t find a better ‘lude.
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1:03 |
: Beware, your computer is being hacked.
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1:03 |
: robot: you can love, just don’t squeeze the eyeballs out of your maker a la Blade Runner!
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1:03 |
: Install a fleshlight in that pizza ATM and mankind will never have to socially interact ever again.
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1:03 |
: oh no we broke humanity.
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1:03 |
: Smyly was not giving up home runs and then Alex Gordon dammit.
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1:04 |
: Robbie Ray is a reliever, not a starter. Every start it’s 3-5 good innings where you think he looks like he’s in command and then it’s that one inning with 2 PA where he can’t put a guy away and puts them on and gives up a 3 run bomb. He has the stuff to be really good in the pen – his 94 starting would be 96 in the pen and he’d be death on lefties and capable against righties.
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1:04 |
: This might be true. The running joke is that I’ve thought this and people have been telling me I’m wrong and pretending they are Ray himself. If you don’t have a third pitch, you need to have really good command.
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1:05 |
: How worthwhile is a trip to the winter meetings/job fair stuff for someone who just graduated and wants to get into baseball in some capacity?
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1:06 |
: It’s so frigging crowded. I think I’d take a job that increases the skills that you would use to get in baseball, or a job around baseball (think writing, coaching, anything sorta baseball) and start making contacts. Going in blind puts you in the meat grinder.
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1:06 |
: If I were to tell you that Sierra Nevada Pale Ale is my favorite beer, how would you respond?
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1:06 |
: Hello, college me!
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1:07 |
: 12 team redraft standard, pick one to cut. J Upton, Kepler, K Davis, David Dahl.
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1:08 |
: Oh lord, even by projections at this point it’s pointing towards Upton. He’s projected at .260 9 (HR+SB), and Davis can beat that, Dahl can beat it (if he steals), Kepler should have a better BA. Otherwise it’s Dahl, but you should at least shop him in a two for one first.
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1:08 |
: Eno, which 2 of these 3 would you start tomorrow; Hellickson @ SD, Taillon vs CIN, or Santana @ TB?
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1:08 |
: Taillon.
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1:09 |
: Went to TreeHouse the other day…3 hours wait and then they were limiting the nubmer of bottles. No thanks.
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1:09 |
: But the beer is so so so so good.
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1:10 |
: Can confirm sarris is amazing. They are about 30 mins south of Pittsburgh.
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1:10 |
: Maybe they’ll send me free chocopretzels just for the name.
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1:11 |
: Why is Tyler Skaggs steamer projection so amazing? MiLB numbers? Steamer has him at a 2.97 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, nearly 10 K/9…
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1:11 |
: Velocity up too. I like what I see. Commanding the curve for called strikes some when not getting whiffs. Want to see more changes, but movement solid.
|
1:12 |
: As an Orioles fan, I kind of hate that the Yankees made all the right moves during the trade dealine. But it was also kind of fun to watch, having seen them do virtually nothing but outspend for the past 20 years or so.
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1:12 |
: They did really well. Finally bit the bullet and sold.
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1:12 |
: The rockies played out of their mind…to get to .500. Not seeing a story here at all. Pun intended.
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1:12 |
: They’re quietly gathering pitching.
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1:13 |
: What to make of sonny gray? velocity, k and bb rates seem normal, but huge hr/fb spike can’t be fluke if hard hit rate is so high too, right?
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1:14 |
: Lost command of the breaking ball and can’t morph it into two pitches. More predictable, can’t bury it when he needs to. Injury related I’d bet.
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1:14 |
: Eno Sarris bobblehead cia-pet.
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1:14 |
: Look at Mo Rivera for throwing your best pitch more
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1:14 |
: Well if you have an all-time legendary pitch, yes, you shold throw it more.
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1:15 |
: Does Taijuan Walker have three plus pitches?
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1:16 |
: Actually, not by results, not this year. The split is below average, strangely. Curve is too.
|
1:16 |
: I’m convinced some of the NEIPA knockoffs, (Hoof Hearted, whatever the hell that is linked above, etc.) are using literal Flour in the mash. I made a NEIPA, it’s cloudy but it isn’t opaque looking chicken broth water.
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1:16 |
: Yes, I am as well. Or at least leaving poop tonnes of yeast in em.
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1:16 |
: Tyler Skaggs – what are your thoughts on the early returns? Can he be a top 40 arm ROS? Do you think a shutdown is possible or will they likely let him go given previous innings total and the need to build for next year?
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1:16 |
: Top 50, should pitch going forward.
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1:16 |
: Are you buying Christian Arroyo as the Giants’ 3B of the future?
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1:16 |
: They so good at this. And I do like Arroyo from what I’ve seen.
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1:18 |
: What does Diaz’s K/9 rate stabilize at?
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1:18 |
: 11/12?
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1:18 |
: Hey Eno, I want to order your book and I’d happily pay regular price but I’m also cheap, so could you post the site and discount code in here? I heard it on a podcast but didn’t write it down.
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1:18 |
: bg-weloveyou
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1:19 |
: Upcoming Friday night dilemma: Do I join girlfriend’s office outing (and presumably free tickets) to AT&T for Giants/Braves, or go to anniversary party @ Drakes brewery? It is my B’day weekend, she is good with either one
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1:19 |
: Damn the Public House is pretty amazing, and so is AT&T. I’d poke around to see how good the tickets are because I’m a snot, but you’re allowed to be a snot on your birthday.
|
1:20 |
: I believe you were pretty high on Rodon in your last SP ranks. Any update on your thoughts after his first start back from the DL?
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1:21 |
: Kept his higher velocity that made him more attractive, had some of his best sink on his pitches, didn’t walk the lineup. I still like him as a top 75 guy if barely.
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1:21 |
: Hey Eno, remember when you called that Venable walk-off in San Diego against the Mets? Good times. Hope all is well.
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1:22 |
: Man I love that guy. What a smile. Really nice guy. Hope he finds a soft landing.
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1:22 |
: Is Tommy Joseph likely to improve at all in the future, or is he something like a 1-win player at best?
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1:22 |
: I don’t see the plate discipline… maybe he can all power his way to two wins.
|
1:23 |
: Heading to San Diego for a wedding in October. Only gonna be there two days. Staying in the gaslamp district. Any must go breweries or beer stores in that area? I’m driving, so I plan on stocking up on some stuff.
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1:23 |
: BottleCraft in Little Italy for take homes and some tasting. I love love Neighborhood in the gas lamp, and enjoyed Half Door brewing there, too. Monkey Paw is good, brewery and bar.
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1:24 |
: Modern Times tasting room is near Hamilton’s and Toronado’s in North Park if you leave the hood at all. MT has take homes.
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1:24 |
: are you dropping mccullers in a 14 tm mixed? not competing this year
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1:24 |
: you have ot keep him.
|
1:24 |
: What’s the worst food that a city is known for and why is it Primanti brothers?
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1:24 |
: no. Skyline Chili.
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1:24 |
: Wait wait wait wait wait…you can eat Nashville hot chicken CAKED with spice, but you can’t handle pizza? It’s the cheese, huh?
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1:24 |
: Yeah and tomatoes.
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1:24 |
: Is fouling pitches off a skill? What sort of value does it have? Would a short sample of tons of foul balls predict things in the near future? Bad things? No things?
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1:25 |
: It is a skill, from what I’ve seen. Can help contact rate and K%.
|
1:25 |
: When do you start believing results and not advanced metrics? JA Happ has been really good for awhile now. Thoughts on him? I’m 12.5 points back in 12tm roto dynasty. Would you move JP Craw for him or Verlander? Too far back? Really need pitching help. How many good years does JV have left?
|
1:26 |
: The ride / pop-up thing does help him a ton. I’d hold your assets if you’re that far back though. Go to the wire.
|
1:26 |
: who do you consider the best in game manager in the league?
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1:26 |
: Bochy?
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1:26 |
: KEVIN KIERMAIER I WILL HAVE YOUR BABY
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1:27 |
: Is that the thing with Smyly? He gives up some dingers? He was so good and then kind of unplayable, and now I’m like, sure, let’s see what happens.
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1:27 |
: Curve is slightly wonky, but not enough that you’d think he’d fall apart. League wide HR surge hurting him, but a 1.24 HR/9 would be a 10% increase on career rate.
|
1:27 |
: Dave Cameron wrote about how players who sign with different teams rather than being extended tend to underperform relative to expectations. Does this mean maybe the A’s think Reddick’s defense has actually declined like the metrics say and that’s why they wouldn’t go for a fourth year? Or are they just too broke to gamble?
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1:28 |
: They offered him 3/36 or something, and that’s just not enough, and it sounds too much like 3/30 to Butler… might just be their best offer to anyone. Which…. yeah.
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1:29 |
: some romantical music for me and Kiermaier
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1:29 |
: Sierra Nevada is a gateway beer for sure. I went Sierra Nevada > Lagunitas IPA > everything else. I used to love Sierra Nevada but I really don’t like it anymore. Drake’s 1500 is my new pale ale jam
|
1:29 |
: Talking to everyone in the village is tedious, but one of them will have an important clue!
|
1:30 |
: Do you have long-term concerns about Kershaw?
|
1:30 |
: Backs are terrible. Won’t it be a surgery one year?
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1:30 |
: You’re trash.
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1:30 |
: Benintendi has -0.1 defensive WAR thus far. HOW COME HE SUCKS SO MUCH AT DEFENSE?
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1:30 |
: I heard the Duda news, I hope Maxamuz is taking it ok.
|
1:31 |
: dynasty going forward…rather have Donaldson+Addison or Correa+Jake Lamb?
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1:31 |
: Correa Lamb because i love Correa so much.
|
1:31 |
: why is Hosmer so bad?
|
1:31 |
: About to break the record for ground ball rate by a first baseman.
|
1:31 |
: do managers matter that much? does bochy get loads of credit for 3 world series rings?
|
1:31 |
: I think 1-3 wins a year.
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1:31 |
: Honest question, how do you keep track of all the beers you’re had and what they taste like? I’m impressed with your ability to name beers you like from different breweries off the top of your head and provide recommendations based on other beers people have liked. But there are SO DAMN MANY BEERS, how do you keep it all straight?
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1:32 |
: Untappd, which chronicles all of my ratings for me, and feeds www.beergraphs.com leaderboards.
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1:32 |
: New rule idea: you can pick up bases and be safe wherever you take them, but you can only carry one base at a time, and the runners coming in behind you still have to follow the basepaths, so you can steal second no problem, but the next guy has to make it to second to make it anywhere until someone returns first to its ancestral home.
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1:32 |
: …
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1:33 |
: RE: Reds pitchers: wouldn’t u say Straily is working out?
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1:33 |
: Yeah and he has the worst ‘stuff’ of the bunch. Well, maybe that’s not fair. He has top-five vertical movement separation between fastball and change. Decent slider. Tons of pitchability.
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1:33 |
: What are some of the best books for people looking to getting into sabermetrics?
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1:34 |
: Big Data baseball for a survey of what’s going on in clubhouses/FOs. Inside the Book by Tom Tango. Baseball Hacks.
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1:34 |
: Hey Eno, sorry just to clarify you would sit Taillon out him, Hellickson and Santana tomorrow? I just need to sit 1, can start 2 of 3…
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1:34 |
: Oh sit Santana.
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1:34 |
: If you get Lasik, are you a cyborg? Just a little?
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1:34 |
: No, but when we start three-d printing ligaments…
|
1:35 |
: Re: JBJ. When are we going to stop saying “We just didn’t see that kind of power in the minors.”? It’s obvious to me the coaching is better at the ML Level. Naquin/Kepler are recent success stories. M. Carpenter in St. Louis, is now one of the better power hitters in baseball, showed little in the minors. It’s an approach for these guys. If you have good hands, bat speed, you can hit HR”s.
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1:35 |
: In 1200 career plate appearances, JBJ has a .172 ISO, which is where I would peg him.
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1:36 |
: Just wanted to dump my salt somewhere….. Traded lindor and rendon for story 20 hour before new hits of his ligament damage
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1:36 |
: what am I going to do with all this salt though.
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1:36 |
: Daniel Murphy is leading MLB is SLG, wOBA, and WRC+
|
1:36 |
: Was popular answer for first-half MVP at the ASG, and, sure.
|
1:37 |
: I guess the way to get an answer here is ask about Robbie Ray or IPA beers. What a joke
|
1:37 |
: I answer about 7% of the questions, maybe 10%. Ask better.
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1:37 |
: Brett Anderson could be back next week. A difference maker ROS or Hyun Jin Ryu 2.0?
|
1:38 |
: Not a difference maker, but for people looking for non-crappy innings from the back end of their rotation, Anderson is usually good for about 40 innings a season. Ryu’s a shoulder, those are really tricky. Not saying back injuries suck, but Anderson is pitching now.
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1:38 |
: Holliday or Pence for 3OF spot?
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1:38 |
: Holliday.
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1:38 |
: sorry I am late, so you may have already had this asked. NL only who would be your priority out of those switching leagues? Moore or Hill?
|
1:39 |
: Hill for upside for sure. If you need the innings, I could see Moore, both good.
|
1:39 |
: Altherr feeds off the souls of Giants LHP’s
|
1:39 |
: I like him, but a lot of his work comes against lefties, and the strikeout rate is not great. That’s my opinion RIGHT THERRRRRRR.
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1:39 |
: You’re picking your no trade list: you’re supposed to pick contenders right? So you have increased leverage when they come calling. Thought a Nats FO guys said that…
|
1:40 |
: Ah but players probably think to pick non-contenders so they can just say no thanks.
|
1:40 |
: (or cities they hate.)
|
1:40 |
: Was reading that a big part of Bryce’s decline is a decrease in contact velocity. How hard of a fix is this?
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1:41 |
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/player?player_id=547180&pos=9&player_type=batter I think he’s messed up in the head. I saw him choke up, move up in the box, and then shoot one down the oppo line in one game, and that’s a lot of weird stuff for one game.
: That’s certainly not a good chart. |
1:42 |
: Travis Jankowski going to keep running? Do you think he can continue hitting enough to help with steals?
|
1:42 |
: first part yes, second part… should make more contact if he’s a bit more aggressive. Right now he’s so passive he’s striking out too much. I’d own him in 15+ teamers.
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1:42 |
: Should I drop Aaron Nola? As an aside, it makes me sad to have to ask this question. 🙁
|
1:42 |
: yeah, unless keeper league.
|
1:42 |
: WE’RE ALL HERRRRRR CUZ WE’RE NOT ALTHERRRRRRR
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1:43 |
: Devenski’s last line was 4.1 IP, 7 K’s. No walks, no hits. Looked like SP material that day.
|
1:43 |
: Really nice change.
|
1:43 |
: Hey. It’s Me. Dynasty n00b. Who do you like out of Polanco, Mazara, and Schwarber going forward?
|
1:43 |
: that order. Polanco can give in five cats, improved every year. I love Mazara’s ability to cover plate.
|
1:43 |
: Rank Junior Guerra, McCarthy, J. Ross, and Tyler Anderson?
|
1:43 |
: Guerra Ross McCarthy Anderson
|
1:44 |
: I’m trying to understand pitch lingo: fade = arm side run, cut = glove side run?
|
1:44 |
: Yup!
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1:44 |
: I know A Russell is young but how much better will he get in the next year or two? Is something like .275 with 25 HR’s and 10 SB’s realistic?
|
1:45 |
: He’s 22, and should finish this year around .245/18/5. yeah I think he can .270/25/5 sometime in the next two years.
|
1:45 |
: Hey! I gotta go back to work! It’s been grand. The ludes today were top notch, you are some wonderfully weird people.
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With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.