Following Up On College World Series Bunts

Last week, I took a look at bunting in the World Series. Unsurprisingly, the college game contains many, many more bunts than the professional game. I surmised that college teams were bunting too often, and I made the (obvious) claim that bunts would make a large impact on the final games of the Series. Let’s take a look at what actually happened.

Vanderbilt vs. Florida

This game saw a whopping six bunts, with five of them coming from the Gators. Naturally, as I had published last week’s piece as this game was still in progress, Florida’s bunts killed the Commodores. Although the first three bunts (two from Florida, one from Vanderbilt) all came in scoreless innings, the Gators’ three bunts in the later innings were the key to their victory. In the sixth, a would-be sac bunt resulted in a throwing error, and a run scored on a subsequent double play to push Florida’s lead to 4-1. By the eighth, though, Vanderbilt had managed to tie the game. Florida then used two bunt singles — generously called singles, as Vanderbilt pitcher and 18th overall draft pick Sonny Gray had trouble fielding them — to load the bases with nobody out. Florida managed to plate two runs and would go on to win by the 6-4 score.

Virginia vs. South Carolina

This game went to extra innings, where everybody plays for one run, so we shouldn’t be surprised by the massive total of nine bunts in this game. Supporters of the bunt in the college game need look no further than the bottom of the 13th inning, as after a leadoff single, the Gamecocks plated the winning run after two errors on the Cavalier’s pitcher on consecutive would-be sacrifice bunts. However, before that, the bunt was futile: all of one run scored on the seven prior bunt attempts, and that was largely the result of an error after the bunt. Now, the pitching on this day was so good that we can’t really say whether or not the lack of scoring was due to strategic error or simply great pitching. My personal opinion is that both played a part — making great pitchers only get two outs per inning just makes their jobs easier.

Florida vs. South Carolina, Game 1

This game was an absolute thriller, one that had twitterers imploring each other to drop everything and flip over to ESPN. There was only one bunt used before the eighth inning, used by Florida in the fourth. It failed to bring in a run, as the next two Florida batters couldn’t deliver a single to score the runner from second. South Carolina succeeded in a similar situation in the eighth, getting a two-out single to score a run after a sac bunt. The game remained tied at one through regulation.

Here’s when the craziness began. After holding South Carolina scoreless in the top of the 10th, the Gators led off the inning with a single. Naturally, as they’re playing for one run, they bunted him over to second. After a pop-up and an intentional walk, the Gators got the single they needed to win the game… except the runner was thrown out at home from left field. The Gamecocks managed to get a runner on with one out in the top of the 11th, but instead of opting for the sacrifice bunt, they attempted a stolen base. The throw went into center field, and as the runner went for third, the throw back from the outfield went into the stands, allowing the run to score.

The Gators went back to the bunt immediately in the bottom of the 11th as their leadoff man reached once again. The bunt successfully moved the runner to second, but South Carolina’s shutdown closer Matt Price easily recorded the next two outs to end the game.

Florida vs. South Carolina, Game 2

South Carolina opened the scoring in this game after a sacrifice bunt in the third inning, but once again the real culprit was an error later in the inning, allowing two unearned runs to come in. The Gamecocks also brought in a run after a sacrifice bunt on a single in the 8th inning. The other four bunts in the game were unsuccessful. Alas, for the real bunt enthusiast, this game lacked the drama of the previous three.

Overall, the bunt was largely unsuccessful in producing runs, although, as I mentioned above, we can’t be sure if this was a matter of tactical failure or merely poor offense. Florida and South Carolina can both credit bunts as a large part of their ascent to the Championship Series, but at the same time, Florida’s failure to score runs after bunts in the first game was key to their downfall.

I am still of the opinion, personally, that these teams would be better off bunting less and letting their batters try and put the ball in play — the worse defense in the college game applies on batted balls as well as bunted balls — but the findings and opinions presented here are anecdotal and not meant to be taken as scientific fact in any way.





Jack Moore's work can be seen at VICE Sports and anywhere else you're willing to pay him to write. Buy his e-book.

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beat_la_25
13 years ago

From what I saw, I think the lack of defense does shift the balance in favor of bunting much more often. Bunt plays generally involve split-second timing, and although it’s generally a pretty easy play for a big leaguer, the arms and fielding abilities of college athletes on the whole make it much easier for something to get screwed up. The throw bounces or is a little bit off the bag, and the player has a single/reaches on an error. It seemed like the lesser defensive abilities didn’t show up as much on non-bunt plays, as with ground balls the player usually has some time to steady themselves and step toward first base and make a routine throw, and fly balls are pretty easy to get right assuming they’re hit somewhere around an outfielder. I guess what I’m saying is the difference between bunt BABIP (and the chances of reaching on an error) from college to the big leagues seems to be much bigger than the difference in overall BABIP.

vivalajeter
13 years ago
Reply to  beat_la_25

Not only that, but there’s also a bigger disparity between quality of hitters in college. In MLB, even the worst hitters (more or less) are able to hit pretty decently. You’re better off not wasting an out and trying for a single. In college, an ace pitcher is more dominant than in the pro’s, and a bad hitter is much worse than a bad MLBer. So I would expect that there are more situations in college where the batter is damn near a guaranteed out.

John DiFool
13 years ago
Reply to  beat_la_25

Your analysis also helps to elucidate why bunting probably made sense during the dead-ball era, with the small gloves and (presumably) fielders not as good as those today.