Demoted: The Fourth-Best Starter of the Last Month

With a view towards collecting the sort of hot internet clicks that’ll keep him employed into the near future, the author has purposely attached a half-divisive title to this short weblog post. That having been said, one notes that nothing about its (i.e. the headline’s) contents is actually incorrect.

Regard, by way of illustration, the pitching leaderboard below — which leaderboard features the top-10 qualified starters of the last 30 days by park-adjusted xFIP.

# Name Team GS IP K% BB% GB% ERA- FIP- xFIP-
1 Tyson Ross Padres 5 35.0 30.8% 3.8% 51.2% 29 47 52
2 Stephen Strasburg Nationals 5 32.2 30.3% 5.3% 44.6% 98 79 57
3 Hyun-Jin Ryu Dodgers 5 28.1 26.9% 3.4% 49.4% 126 62 59
4 Josh Tomlin Indians 5 31.1 24.2% 0.8% 38.5% 121 101 60
5 Yu Darvish Rangers 5 30.0 33.1% 4.8% 36.8% 94 67 61
6 Felix Hernandez Mariners 5 38.0 32.6% 7.3% 61.4% 31 60 62
7 Jacob deGrom Mets 5 32.1 29.7% 5.5% 46.3% 40 40 65
8 Corey Kluber Indians 5 38.2 27.4% 3.4% 56.0% 49 59 65
9 Zack Greinke Dodgers 5 34.2 28.3% 5.8% 54.5% 66 65 65
10 Garrett Richards Angels 5 36.1 28.6% 5.7% 56.8% 60 60 66

Of note regarding that leaderboard is how it features Cleveland right-hander Josh Tomlin. Over five starts, beginning with June 28th, Tomlin pitched like one who would prevent runs at a rate about 40% better than league average. He didn’t do that, of course, but his fielding-independent numbers indicate that such a performance wouldn’t have been a surprise.

If and when he does begin preventing runs at an above-average rate, Josh Tomlin will likely be doing that for Triple-A Columbus after having been demoted over the weekend.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Jorge Fabregas
10 years ago

The daily refresh of data seems to have obscured the point you were trying to make at a particular time. Tomlin appears to have not “qualified” if one counts the previous 30 days. But if one lowers the threshold to 20 innings, then he is still a respectable 12th (69 xFIP-).