With the first couple rounds of the MLB draft now complete, the top drafted talent will soon be merged with previous top-prospect rankings to create new lists. Well, I will jump the gun and give a snapshot of where these players could end up being ranked by looking at past draft and prospect-list information.

For the prospect information, I will use Baseball America’s top-100 prospect list, published annually each spring. The reason I will use it instead of other sources is that the information goes back to 1990, which gives me 26 match drafts and prospect rankings to examine. To start with, here are the overall metrics on players just drafted will end up on Baseball America’s rankings:

Overall Draft Rank Order	Number Ranked	Percentage Ranked	Min Rank	Average Rank	Max Rank
1	24	96%	1	19.3	89
2	22	88%	2	25.3	92
3	24	96%	7	31.8	77
4	19	76%	10	43.7	96
5	20	80%	10	44.4	87
6	17	68%	10	51.8	96
7	19	76%	4	45.3	95
8	13	52%	20	57.2	99
9	17	68%	26	57.2	93
10	20	80%	11	56.9	93
11	15	60%	23	66.9	100
12	12	48%	22	66.8	93
13	13	52%	20	53.2	96
14	12	48%	1	50.0	81
15	9	36%	6	47.2	75
16	9	36%	44	76.1	97
17	4	16%	32	68.0	97
18	6	24%	65	77.5	90
19	8	32%	23	60.3	90
20	4	16%	19	68.3	94
21	6	24%	64	73.5	83
22	9	36%	30	70.9	98
23	8	32%	41	74.9	95
24	3	12%	13	53.7	90
25	5	20%	50	71.0	95
26	4	16%	21	50.3	72
27	2	8%	21	55.5	90
28	2	8%	81	85.0	89
29	3	12%	61	84.7	97
31	1	4%	74	74.0	74
32	3	12%	84	91.7	99
33	1	4%	94	94.0	94
34	1	4%	46	46.0	46
35	2	8%	22	55.0	88
36	3	12%	27	63.0	87
39	1	4%	67	67.0	67
40	1	4%	97	97.0	97
41	2	8%	50	62.5	75
44	3	12%	42	69.0	100
46	1	4%	74	74.0	74
48	1	4%	42	42.0	42
49	1	4%	82	82.0	82
52	1	4%	79	79.0	79
60	2	8%	43	55.0	67
61	3	12%	60	81.3	99
63	1	4%	40	40.0	40
65	1	4%	74	74.0	74
72	1	4%	18	18.0	18
74	1	4%	91	91.0	91
79	1	4%	3	3.0	3
83	1	4%	63	63.0	63
97	1	4%	100	100.0	100
98	1	4%	90	90.0	90
131	1	4%	99	99.0	99
149	1	4%	80	80.0	80
179	1	4%	96	96.0	96
254	1	4%	100	100.0	100
297	1	4%	81	81.0	81
354	1	4%	62	62.0	62

Here are some quick thoughts on the above information.

• Eight players since 1990 taken among the draft’s top-three selections were omitted from BA’s prospect list the next season. Here are the reasons why:

#1 Picks
2004 – Matt Bush – Overdraft because of signability issues
2014 – Brady Aiken – Didn’t sign

#2 Picks
2004 Justin Verlander – Didn’t play in 2004, not highly touted
1997 J.D. Drew – Didn’t sign
1990 Tony Clark – May have been hurt as he didn’t play in minors at all in 1991
1991 Mike Kelly – Not highly touted

#3 Picks
1990 Mike Lieberthal – Not highly touted
1992 Billy Wallace – Overdraft because of signability issues

• Brien Taylor (1991 draft) and Bryce Harper (2010 draft) where the only two players to be taken #1 overall and then get the #1 ranking the next season.

• Todd Van Poppel was the only player not to be drafted number-one overall and then to be named the minors’ top prospect the next season. He was drafted 14th overall by the Oakland Athletics in 1990.

• Any player drafted within the top seven picks has an 83% chance of ending up on next year’s top 100. Here are the next three groups of players drafted and the chance they’ll be on the top-100 list:

8 to 14: 58%
15 to 21: 26%
22 to 28: 19%
29 to 35: 6%

• Pick #30 is the first pick which hasn’t had a player ranked.

• The lowest picked player who was ranked the next season was the Blue Jays’ Alex Gonzalez who was ranked #62 by BA despite having been the 354th overall player taken in 1991.