Last week, FanGraphs published the results of our contract crowdsourcing project, as part of which effort readers of the site provided estimates of the years and dollars the top-55 free agents (more or less) are likely to receive during the 2014-15 offseason.

As part of that effort, respondents were also asked if certain eligible players were or were not likely to receive a qualifying offer (worth $15.3 million) from their respective clubs. As of last night, we know the identities of the 12 players who received qualifying offers in real life. Those same 12 players appear below, along with the percentage of crowd respondents who believed the player would receive a qualifying offer (denoted What the Crowd Said) and the percentage of respondents who thought the relevant player would accept a qualifying offer if extended one (denoted as Will He Accept?).

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Melky Cabrera (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
No prediction. Reports were pretty clear that Toronto would make offer.

Will He Accept?
No: 76%. Yes: 24%.

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Nelson Cruz (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Yes: 92%. No: 8%.

Will He Accept?
No: 87%. Yes: 13%.

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Michael Cuddyer (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Nothing. Because the author didn’t ask. Because this is unexpected.

Will He Accept?
No prediction. Although, if he doesn’t accept, he likely won’t receive the two-year, $18 million contract for which he was projected by the crowd.

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Francisco Liriano (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
No: 61%. Yes: 39%.

Will He Accept?
No: 67%. Yes: 33%.

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Russell Martin (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Yes: 86%. No: 14%.

Will He Accept?
No: 92%. Yes: 8%.

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Victor Martinez (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Yes: 98%. No: 2%.

Will He Accept?
No: 90%. Yes: 10%.

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Hanley Ramirez (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Yes: 97%. No: 3%.

Will He Accept?
No: 98%. Yes: 2%.

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David Robertson (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Nothing. Because the author didn’t ask. Because the author’s an idiot, in this case.

Will He Accept?
N/A. Again, owing to the author’s incompetence.

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Pablo Sandoval (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Yes: 96%. No: 4%.

Will He Accept?
No: 96%. Yes: 4%. (And, indeed, Sandoval has already rejected the offer.)

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Ervin Santana (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Yes: 70%. No: 30%.

Will He Accept?
No: 78%. Yes: 22%.

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Max Scherzer (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Yes: 99%. No: 1%.

Will He Accept?
No: 99%. Yes: 1%.

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James Shields (Profile)
What the Crowd Said
Yes: 98%. No: 2%.

Will He Accept?
No: 99%. Yes: 1%.

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Some Relevant Notes

• Among the players who received a qualifying offer — and for whom there was a not an instance of grievous oversight (as in the case of David Robertson) or real surprise (as in the case of Michael Cuddyer) — only Francisco Liriano’s receipt of a qualifying offer runs counter to the expectations of the crowd, 61% of whom estimated that he wouldn’t receive a qualifying offer.

• Omitted from the above is Hiroki Kuroda, who 82% of respondents predicted would receive a qualifying offer.

• With regard to how these results might influence next year’s crowdsourcing effort, it seems as though it might make sense to ask the qualifying-offer question of three of five more players, with a view towards avoiding omission either by oversight (Robertson) or surprise (Cuddyer).