Kansas City Royals Top 35 Prospects

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Kansas City Royals. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as our own observations. This is the fifth year we’re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see in the “position” column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.
A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. A much deeper overview can be found here.
All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team’s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found here.
Rk | Name | Age | Highest Level | Position | ETA | FV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jac Caglianone | 22.3 | AAA | RF | 2026 | 55 |
2 | Carter Jensen | 21.9 | AA | C | 2027 | 50 |
3 | Noah Cameron | 25.9 | MLB | SP | 2025 | 50 |
4 | Blake Mitchell | 20.8 | A+ | C | 2027 | 45+ |
5 | Luinder Avila | 23.8 | AAA | SP | 2025 | 45 |
6 | Ben Kudrna | 22.3 | AA | SP | 2026 | 45 |
7 | Asbel Gonzalez | 19.4 | AA | CF | 2029 | 45 |
8 | Felix Arronde | 22.1 | A+ | SP | 2026 | 40+ |
9 | Ramon Ramirez | 20.0 | A | C | 2029 | 40+ |
10 | Cam Devanney | 28.1 | AAA | SS | 2025 | 40+ |
11 | Austin Charles | 21.5 | A+ | 3B | 2028 | 40+ |
12 | Yunior Marte | 21.7 | A | SP | 2027 | 40+ |
13 | Yandel Ricardo | 18.6 | R | 3B | 2030 | 40+ |
14 | Steven Zobac | 24.6 | AA | SP | 2026 | 40 |
15 | Blake Wolters | 20.6 | A | SP | 2027 | 40 |
16 | Hiro Wyatt | 20.8 | A | SP | 2028 | 40 |
17 | David Shields | 18.7 | A | SP | 2029 | 40 |
18 | Daniel Jose Lopez | 19.7 | R | CF | 2029 | 40 |
19 | Warren Calcaño | 17.6 | R | SS | 2031 | 40 |
20 | Drew Beam | 22.3 | A+ | SP | 2026 | 40 |
21 | Javier Vaz | 24.7 | AA | 2B | 2026 | 40 |
22 | Andrew Hoffmann | 25.3 | AAA | SIRP | 2025 | 40 |
23 | Jonathan Bowlan | 28.5 | MLB | SIRP | 2025 | 40 |
24 | Tyson Guerrero | 26.3 | AAA | SIRP | 2025 | 40 |
25 | Josh Hansell | 23.3 | A+ | SIRP | 2027 | 40 |
26 | Yeri Perez | 20.6 | A | SIRP | 2027 | 40 |
27 | John Rave | 27.4 | MLB | CF | 2025 | 35+ |
28 | Eric Cerantola | 25.1 | AAA | SIRP | 2025 | 35+ |
29 | Frank Mozzicato | 21.9 | AA | SIRP | 2027 | 35+ |
30 | Henry Williams | 23.7 | AA | SP | 2026 | 35+ |
31 | Shane Panzini | 23.6 | A+ | SIRP | 2027 | 35+ |
32 | Dennis Colleran | 21.8 | A | SIRP | 2028 | 35+ |
33 | A.J. Causey | 22.5 | A+ | SIRP | 2028 | 35+ |
34 | L.P. Langevin | 21.9 | R | SIRP | 2028 | 35+ |
35 | Noah Murdock | 26.8 | MLB | SIRP | 2025 | 35+ |
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.
Fallen From Past Lists
Tyler Gentry, OF
Gavin Cross, OF
Daniel Vazquez, SS
Anderson Paulino, RHP
Gentry, at peak, looked like a lefty-mashing corner platoon guy, but he’s struck out at a roughly 30% clip in Triple-A the last two years and is on the 40-man fringe. Cross, a former first rounder, sandwiched a solid 2024 between bad 2023 and 2025 performances. He’s striking out nearly a third of the time at Double-A and has a pretty slow bat. Vazquez, 21, is a fair shortstop defender with below-average offensive tools. Typical utility guys have better gloves than he does. Paulino is a 26-year-old reliever whose fastball has been in the 94-97 mph range for most of the last several years, but it has always played way down and he has a career ERA over 5.00.
Great Deliveries
Logan Martin, RHP
Julio Rosario, RHP
Jordan Woods, LHP
Martin was a 2023 12th rounder out of Kentucky who is currently in the High-A rotation. He has a gorgeous delivery and a build in the Jason Marquis mold. His fastball sits 92-96, he has a 45-grade slider, and it’s possible his changeup will take a late leap because his arm action is so slick. Rosario is a 22-year-old A-ball reliever who sits 91 but has a good slider and changeup. Woods, 21, is a projectable Canadian southpaw who signed as an undrafted free agent in 2022. His 6-foot-3 frame and curveball feel made him a good sleeper coming out of TJ. He hasn’t progressed from a velo standpoint and is still sitting 88 at Columbia.
2025 Signees
Ramcell Medina, SS
Moises Marchán, C
Kendry Chourio, RHP
Medina is a twitchy shortstop prospect with above-average bat speed and precocious pull power. Elements of his swing look like that of Miguel Andujar, geared to pull in such a way that he makes concessions on the outer third. He’s an exciting DSL prospect to monitor in 2025. Marchán is a sinewy catching prospect with a huge arm. Chourio is a fairly undersized righty with a good curveball whose fastball will creep into the mid-90s.
Surprise Royals
Jhonayker Ugarte, 3B
Darison Garcia, INF
Kyle DeGroat, RHP
Sthiven Benitez, RHP
Ugarte signed for $1.4 million in 2023 as a well-rounded third base prospect. He isn’t tracking pitches at all in Arizona and looks like a high-risk prospect due to a lack of contact ability. Garcia is a projectable ACL infielder with advanced feel for contact but below-average bat speed. DeGroat signed for just shy of $350,000 in the 2024 14th round rather than go to Texas. He’s a 6-foot-1 righty with a drop-and-drive delivery, a low-90s fastball, and the makings of an above-average breaking ball. Benitez is one of the harder-throwing complex-level arms, sitting 94-97 in relief. He’s wild and has a career WHIP well over 2.00, but he’s a 6-foot-3 20-year-old with huge arm speed, and he needs to be monitored in case he ever corals his velocity.
Depth-Type Southpaws
Hunter Owen, LHP
Hunter Patteson, LHP
Dash Albus, LHP
Jacob Widener, LHP
Chazz Martinez, LHP
Big and beefy with a sky-high left-handed release point, Owen is piling up whiffs with a tight gyro slider. He’s also sitting 91 mph, and his below-average athleticism adds an extra scare factor to his recent bouts of poor control. Patteson was the club’s 2022 fifth rounder out of Central Florida. Now 25, he’s a strike-throwing High-A starter with below-average stuff. Albus is a southpaw reliever who signed for $150,000 out of Abilene Christian in 2024. He only sits 90, but he has a deceptive arm action and commands an above-average slider. He could be a lefty specialist. Widener is a 6-foot-7 sidearmer from Oral Roberts who is fresh off elbow surgery and rehabbing in Arizona. He has a classic LOOGY look — low-90s fastball, big sweeping slider — but on an XXL frame. A former two-way player in college who legit banged as a 19-year-old in the West Coast League, Martinez transferred to Oklahoma for his draft year in 2022. He parlayed solid work as the Sooners’ swingman into a $125,000 bonus as a Day Three pick, and is pitching his way toward being protected on the 40-man this December thanks to a command leap. Granted, it’s not a huge command leap. But opposing hitters often whiff — 30% of the time in-zone — against Martinez’s super-runny, low-90s cross-fire heater, setting up his slider and changeup to play up when he keeps them on the same tunnel. This looks like a funky medium-leverage lefty specialist profile if the strike-throwing holds.
Righty Relievers
Brandon Johnson, RHP
Beck Way, RHP
Jacob Wallace, RHP
Johnson is the former Ole Miss closer (not the current mayor of Chicago) and pairs below-average size with average velocity on a four-seamer that has an intense downhill plane. The raw ingredients and athleticism aren’t exciting, but Double-A hitters aren’t squaring up his heater, and his mid-80s gyro slider plays great out of his axe-throwing arm slot. Part of the three-player return from the mid-2022 trade that sent Andrew Benintendi to the Yankees, Way’s east-west arsenal out of low-three-quarters slot makes him a tough hang for righty hitters, but his poor control has been unpalatable for three years running now. Wallace’s velocity is down a tad in 2025, but at peak, he’ll show you 94-97 with a plus slider and erratic command.
Long-Term Dev Bats
Derlin Figueroa, 3B/1B
Hyungchan Um, C
Figueroa was a rookie ball acquisition in the Ryan Yarbrough trade with the Dodgers in 2023. The 21-year-old lefty-hitting Dominican infielder is repeating Low-A to start 2025. He has a big arm, but inaccuracy and (potentially) a lack of range threaten a full-time first base move, and there isn’t quite enough offense here to support that. Um is a developmental 21-year-old Korean catcher with average power projection and a risky hit tool.
System Overview
This is a below-average system with one big fish at the very top, several high-variance hitters with hit tool risk, and a fair number of pitchers with starter-quality command. The Royals have pumped a ton of draft capital into high school pitching since the pandemic (Ben Hernandez, Frank Mozzicato, Ben Kudrna, Shane Panzini, Blake Wolters, Hiro Wyatt, David Shields, and a few mid-six-figure guys), totaling upwards of $15 million in bonuses, and while several of them are still prospects, none of them has really developed in a significant way. The risky selections of high school catchers might still work out. Blake Mitchell and Carter Jensen have big lefty power for young backstops, a demographic that notoriously takes longer to develop. Any attempts at diversifying risk via college player selections have gone awry because players like Gavin Cross, Asa Lacy, and some other mid-round draftees just haven’t panned out, or don’t look like they’re going to. Noah Cameron is an exception and should be a rotation mainstay for the next half decade.
Amateur talent is the lifeblood of smaller market teams like the Royals, and while they’re more competitive and interesting than they were a couple of years ago, they aren’t getting enough out of the draft to break through and truly contend in any kind of sustainable way. Whether that’s a problem with development, scouting, or draft strategy (why keep feeding a system high school arms when it hasn’t shown it can develop them?), the org needs to change course somewhere in the domestic amateur space.
Internationally, things are more interesting. There’s volatility inherent in that market but the Royals tend to have toolsy, projectable players on their complex, and they tend to get them without putting all of their eggs into one or two baskets. Many of the best international prospects in this system were signed for less than $200,000. Several 6-foot-3 (or bigger) pitchers with good deliveries, athletes with prototypical size and some degree of pitchability, are lurking here. The industry as a whole doesn’t generate many Latin American starters, but there are several potential exceptions in this system.
The Royals are competing for the crown of a mediocre (though improving) division and are in position to be deadline buyers, but they may not have the prospect quality to make a real splash in the trade market. That said, they’ve made meaningful trades during the last year or so (for Jonathan India, Hunter Harvey, and Lucas Erceg) by giving up players like Mason Barnett and Cayden Wallace, and trades of that ilk seem plausible again. But this isn’t a “shark’s teeth” farm system where, when one player departs, another is developed to move into his place. There’s only so much they can do before the cupboard looks pretty bare. Once Cags graduates, this will be one of the bottom couple of systems in baseball.
I was pretty high on Jac last year, I thought he had a shot to be a Ryan Howard / Matt Olson type of offensive force, with Darryl Strawberry looking like a good comp if absolutely everything came together.
He’s wildly exceeded my expectations so far, to the point where it’s hard to see him failing entirely. I think he’s a 60 grade prospect at least at this point, quite possibly a 65 and the best prospect in baseball. Strawberry is a pretty good comp at the plate, although he’s not anywhere near as fast as Strawberry was he’s clearly more athletic than Howard and Olson. But (I can’t believe I’m saying this about any prospect) I think he’s got a shot to be an even better hitter than Strawberry.
It’s not likely, but the upside for a guy who has 80 grade raw and like 60 grade bat control and 30-grade swing decisions are nuts, because he has so much room to improve on swing decisions. You can come up with some wildly irresponsible comps for guys with these sorts of raw tools, guys like Jim Thome and Willie Stargell. We’re probably looking at the guy with the highest upside at the plate in the minors right now.
Yeah agreed. this report reads like a 65 not at 55
I think Eric covered this in that he doesn’t really have a defensive home yet and there’s volatility in the bat.
I was the opposite on Cags coming out, pretty low on him because 1) the history of slugging college 1Bs with free-swinging ways is somewhat dreadful 2) the history of two-way college players is just as dreadful and 3) the Royals development of hitting prospects over the past decade is even more dreadful.
Cags has shown more contact ability than I thought he could, so kudos to him and the org for development there. His exit velos are really insane.
I do have two fears still lingering though:
1) his swing rate is still very, very high. He’s swung at ~62% of all pitches he’s seen in AAA, which would be at the top of the MLB board and while his contact rate calms some worries (it’s league average or so), it’s still a lot of junk he chases (and makes contact with). Below is a recent PA where he swung at three straight completely unhittable pitches (all changeups)
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gr_7ResXsAA8ICu?format=png&name=900×900
2) I wonder if he’ll tweak his launch angle a bit. He’s more of a line drive hitter so far than putting it in the air, where he could maximize his power outcomes. His average launch angle is ~14 degrees, so he isn’t pounding grounders and he doesn’t need to be Cal Raleigh swing-wise, but wonder if there can be some lift there.
It’s a weird comp but I keep thinking about him being Salvador Perez at the plate, with a little less contact skill but a little more power. A guy who runs maybe a sub-5% walk rate but a sub-20% strikeout rate with an ISO of >.230?
Also was thinking about Corey Dickerson too (not a bad outcome!) who was a free-swinger type with huge power and made enough contact to pull it off (again, speaking only as a hitter – Cags is more athletic defensively).
This is a unique profile, as the list of guys in the majors who ran >80th percentile swing%, 40-60th percentile contact%, and league-adjusted ISO of >110 are:
Salvador Perez
Ozzie Albies
Rod Barajas
Freddie Freeman
Bobby Witt Jr
Carlos Quentin
Lourdes Gurriel Jr
Mike Moustakas
Three Royals on the list! Freeman might be the outlier here because he had also a well above average walk rate (Quentin was closer to league average).
Yeah people were really sleeping on Jac’s contact ability coming out of college. His swing decisions were awful because he didn’t miss much. He had an 8.2% strikeout rate and a batting average of .419 and 35 homers so there was no real reason to stop swinging. It was reasonable to think pro pitching would exploit that better than SEC pitching, but it also indicated much better bat to ball skills than people were giving him credit for.
Corey Dickerson is a good example of what I think a low-end outcome for Jac looks like, with the other one being him winding up as an excellent platoon bat like Kerry Carpenter. Even Geoff Jenkins had several years in the 130ish wRC+ range. But depending on how good Jac’s bat control is I think a pre-2023 Rafael Devers-type outcome is still plausible even if he’s swinging more than half the time. He’s probably not going to get to have a season like Ryan Howard’s or Darryl Strawberry’s or Matt Olson’s best years or even the year that Rafael Devers is having now unless he becomes much more selective, though.
I hear ya – but tough for me to call a low-end outcome on a player being a hitter like Dickerson who during a 6 season span was a top 40 hitter by wRC+ and a top 10 power hitter by ISO+.
Dickerson at his peak was a pretty good hitter!
I’m still skeptical that his approach will play as well at the MLB level where pitchers are much much better at attacking guys but man is it fun to think about what he could be.
At worst he probably winds up as something like Chris Davis. Who was a pretty darn good hitter at his peak.
I like how you don’t specify which version of Chris Davis, who both had a 7 win season and another where he had a stretch where he went 0 for 54.
Oh that was intentional. I meant the full Chris Davis experience.