NERD Game Scores for Sunday, August 21, 2016

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Stroman at Cleveland | 13:10 ET
Stroman (153.2 IP, 80 xFIP-) vs. Kluber (163.0 IP, 79 xFIP-)
In the great tradition of utilizing arbitrary endpoints to the end of supporting an offhand observation, here’s an observation on the topic of Marcus Stroman supported by data produced between arbitrary endpoints.

The observation: Toronto starter Marcus Stroman is a better pitcher now than before the All-Star break.

The supporting data, in the form of a table:

Marcus Stroman, Before vs. After All-Star Break
Period IP TBF K% BB% GB% xFIP
Before 116.0 490 16.9% 6.7% 59.9% 3.72
After 37.2 155 27.7% 3.2% 60.6% 2.50

Stroman has produced a distinctly higher strikeout rate, lower walk rate, and even slightly improved ground-ball rate since early July. This is indisputable. What’s more disputable: the import of the All-Star break in this development. In point of fact, what has the author done besides merely examine Stroman’s splits and relate the contents of two different rows? Nothing. Nothing, is what the author has done.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Cleveland Radio.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features the same Toronto and Cleveland games cited above and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for August 21, 2016
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Henry Owens BOS 0 10 6 4 6 DET Justin Verlander 13:10
Julio Urias LAN 10 10 7 3 6 CIN Anthony DeSclafani 13:10
Martin Perez TEX 4 5 5 4 6 TB Drew Smyly 13:10
Marcus Stroman TOR 9 10 8 5 8 CLE Corey Kluber 13:10
Dallas Keuchel HOU 7 5 5 8 0 BAL Yovani Gallardo 13:35
Jose Urena MIA 5 6 5 5 4 PIT Ryan Vogelsong 13:35
Mike Leake STL 7 7 6 3 8 PHI Vince Velasquez 13:35
Gio Gonzalez WAS 5 4 3 2 0 ATL Joel de la Cruz 13:35
Zachary Neal OAK 5 3 4 3 5 CHA Jose Quintana 14:10
Ervin Santana MIN 5 4 5 3 8 KC Danny Duffy 14:15
Chad Green NYA 10 4 5 3 3 LAA Jhoulys Chacin 15:35
Jason Hammel CHN 5 4 3 3 1 COL Jorge de la Rosa 16:10
Matt Garza MIL 1 3 3 6 1 SEA Ariel Miranda 16:10
Braden Shipley AZ 1 4 4 4 7 SD Luis Perdomo 16:40
Noah Syndergaard NYN 10 4 7 9 5 SF Jeff Samardzija 20:05
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of clueless author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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