NERD Game Scores for Thursday, August 20, 2015

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
San Francisco at Pittsburgh | 19:05 ET
Peavy (56.0 IP, 115 xFIP-) vs. Morton (88.2 IP, 100 xFIP-)
It’s a truth as old as Abe Vigoda: what the braying masses most want to observe is a pair of contestants, compelled by force or profit, to compete in a game with real consequences for both the winner and loser. What one finds in the Giants and Pirates is the baseball clubs whose wins and losses currently hold the greatest consequence. Regard, below: a table featuring the five teams whose odds of reaching the divisional series* are closest to 50% — which is to say, furthest from certainty. DIV% denotes current divisional-series odds; DIFF, the absolute value (in percentage points) from 50%.

# Team DIV% DIFF
1 Giants 52.7% 2.7%
2 Pirates 55.7% 5.7%
3 Dodgers 55.8% 5.8%
4 Angels 36.0% 14.0%
5 Cubs 35.7% 14.3%

The viewer is invited to examine the faces of each player for the presence of Shuddering Desperation — an expression which resembles the sort one might also wear after eating a burrito made with spoiled sour cream.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: San Francisco Radio or Television.

*By the season-to-date stats method, which seems to best reflect how the human brain perceives the drama of playoff contention.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features the same San Francisco and Pittsburgh clubs cited above, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Image 4

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Josh Tomlin* CLE 6 4 5 8 2 NYA Ivan Nova 19:05
Tyler Duffey* MIN 5 2 5 8 3 BAL Miguel Gonzalez 19:05
Jake Peavy SF 2 10 7 9 6 PIT Charlie Morton 19:05
Martin Perez TEX 6 5 4 3 2 DET Alfredo Simon 19:08
Patrick Corbin AZ 8 4 5 3 6 CIN John Lamb* 19:10
Danny Duffy KC 2 3 3 3 4 BOS Wade Miley 19:10
Jerome Williams PHI 5 2 4 4 4 MIA Brad Hand 19:10
Mike Foltynewicz ATL 7 2 6 8 8 CHN Jake Arrieta 20:05
Chris Archer TB 10 3 6 8 5 HOU Collin McHugh 20:10
Max Scherzer WAS 10 8 6 3 5 COL Yohan Flande 20:40
Jose Quintana CHA 6 2 6 8 7 LAA Nick Tropeano 20:05

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Joe
9 years ago

Oh man the number one NERD score should NEVER involve Charlie Morton. Highly recommend any one-day fantasy players grab Brandon Crawford, brandon Belt and Gregor Blanco today. Left-handed hitters destroy Ground Suck