NERD Game Scores for Sunday, June 12, 2016

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

***

Most Highly Rated Game
Detroit at New York AL | 14:05 ET
Fulmer (47.2 IP, 84 xFIP-) vs. Pineda (66.0 IP, 86 xFIP-)
One of the earliest and longest abiding lessons of field-independent metrics for the present author was the ease with which they illustrate how little control one ultimately exercises over the course of events. For those (like the author) whose personal ledgers are marked largely by failure, FIP offers some consolation. “Perhaps it isn’t entirely my fault,” one is able to say. “Perhaps it’s the merely vagaries of chance.”

By the fielding-independent metrics, Michael Fulmer was basically the same pitcher over his first four starts as his next four. His run-prevention numbers have not been identical over those two samples, however.

Michael Fulmer’s Eight Starts
Starts IP K% BB% xFIP ERA Diff
First Four 19.1 23.7% 9.7% 3.59 6.52 +2.93
Next Four 28.1 26.5% 6.9% 3.44 0.32 -3.12

Fulmer is a talented pitcher, one for whom — by virtue both of his physical tools and youth — it’s possible to expect great things. He’s neither so indomitable nor domitable as he’s alternately appeared this season.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio.

Two Other Brief Notes
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features San Diego at Colorado, starts at 16:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Broadcaster Rankings
Recently, the present author facilitated a crowdsourcing effort to reproduce the broadcaster rankings which appeared on this site roughly four years ago. The results for television broadcasts are available by means of this hyperlinked text; for radio, by means of this text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for June 12, 2016
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Ubaldo Jimenez BAL 4 7 6 4 10 TOR Aaron Sanchez 13:07
Dallas Keuchel HOU 7 6 6 6 6 TB Matt Moore 13:10
Kendall Graveman OAK 5 4 4 3 2 CIN John Lamb 13:10
Jon Lester CHN 6 7 5 1 7 ATL John Gant* 13:35
Michael Fulmer DET 9 4 7 4 9 NYA Michael Pineda 14:05
Rick Porcello BOS 5 8 6 5 6 MIN Pat Dean 14:10
Yordano Ventura KC 3 4 4 3 6 CHA Carlos Rodon 14:10
Steven Matz NYN 10 6 6 4 5 MIL Zachary Davies 14:10
Danny Salazar CLE 8 7 5 3 3 LAA David Huff* 15:35
Adam Morgan PHI 4 2 5 7 5 WAS Joe Ross 16:05
Adam Conley MIA 5 5 6 6 8 AZ Robbie Ray 16:10
Christian Friedrich SD 1 5 4 3 8 COL Tyler Anderson* 16:10
Cole Hamels TEX 6 6 6 6 6 SEA Wade Miley 16:10
Mike Leake STL 4 6 5 5 4 PIT Jon Niese 17:05
Julio Urias LAN 9 6 6 5 4 SF Jake Peavy 20:30
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of clueless author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

1 Comment
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
ralph
9 years ago

Paxton appeared worthy of his NERD score of 12 (out of 10!) last night. If he goes against the Sawx on Friday, will he bust that highest, hardest NERD score glass ceiling?