NERD Game Scores: Surprisingly Relevant Sox-Yankees Event

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
New York AL at Boston | 19:10 ET
Pineda (99.2 IP, 67 xFIP-) vs. Buchholz (110.0 IP, 81 xFIP-)
Following a loss to Tampa Bay on June 27, Boston’s probability of qualifying for the divisional series fell to roughly 8% by the methodology used at this site. After winning eight of ten, however, that same club’s odds have ascended to 23% by that same measure. The relative optimism of the latter figure is informed less by the Red Sox’ current record and more by their expected future performance. Consider: despite possessing the fourth-worst winning percentage in the American League, the club presently features the AL’s top projected rest-of-season winning percentage. That reliance on future performance adds considerable urgency to games like this one, against an immediate competitor for a playoff berth.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Boston Radio.

Other Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features St. Louis at Pittsburgh, starts at 19:05 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those changes here, if you’re the sort of person accustomed to making poor life decisions.

NERD Image 4

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Carlos Rodon CHA 8 1 6 7 7 CHN Kyle Hendricks 16:05
Lance Lynn STL 5 4 7 8 10 PIT Gerrit Cole 19:05
Gio Gonzalez WAS 7 5 6 6 5 BAL Undecided 19:05
Chase Anderson AZ 3 5 5 4 10 NYN Noah Syndergaard 19:10
Mike Leake CIN 6 4 5 5 3 MIA David Phelps 19:10
Collin McHugh HOU 5 10 6 4 5 TB Erasmo Ramirez 19:10
Michael Pineda NYA 10 8 8 6 7 BOS Clay Buchholz 19:10
Kend. Graveman OAK 4 4 6 7 10 CLE Danny Salazar 19:10
Ian Kennedy SD 5 3 3 3 3 TEX Wandy Rodriguez 20:05
Shelby Miller ATL 7 2 4 4 5 COL Undecided 20:10
Justin Verlander DET 0 5 4 3 8 MIN Ervin Santana* 20:10
Marco Estrada TOR 3 8 6 7 4 KC Danny Duffy 20:10
Hector Santiago LAA 3 9 6 5 5 SEA Mike Montgomery 22:10
Jimmy Nelson MIL 6 3 5 5 5 LAN Mike Bolsinger 22:10
Cole Hamels PHI 8 1 5 4 9 SF Ma’n Bumgarner 22:15

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Hmmbug
9 years ago

Verlander with the 0 NERD? Oh, how the mighty have fallen!