Oliver Projections
The Oliver projection system for batters is now available in the player pages, projections pages, and you can get a customized player list using the my projections feature.
Huge thanks to Brian Cartwright for allowing us to use his projections and you can read all about them at Statistically Speaking.
David Appelman is the creator of FanGraphs.
Yikes, .370 wOBA for Hanley? That seems extremely low…. When did he turn into Brian Roberts?
Yeah, they have pretty much every aspect of his game regressing mightily. I certainly hope this is not the case, I would be very sad.
His career OBP is .379, I haven’t known many players as toolsy as Hanley, who has shown improvement in each facet of his game peak at 24 and significantly regress at 25! Well, I am sure there are a few, but not with Hanley’s pedigree and just recent MLB success….
With a career .379 OBP, that .370 wOBA ‘projection’ just seems like a waste of time, sorry to say…
HanRam did not produce in the minors, that’s why its lower than you’d think.
No, but he was the Red Sox top prospect according to BA for like 4 years running before he was dealt… Every scout was in awe of him… But you’re right, outside of rookie ball (51 games) he was average in the minors…
Hey, Brian Roberts is 345
The past years weighting is causing the projections to lag a little behind someone like Ramirez who broke out to a very high level, but 370 still has him as the best offensive ss in the majors.
MLE PROJ
2002 18 BOS A- 419 367
2003 19 BOS A 311 331
2004 20 BOS AA 329 327
2005 21 BOS ML 295 314
2006 22 FLO ML 360 333
2007 23 FLO ML 404 357
2008 24 FLO ML 401 370
Yeah, I was referring to Hanley’s projection (.370) vs Brian Roberts 08 wOBA (.369)…