Paul Sporer FanGraphs Chat – 5/27/15
May 27, 2015
| 12:03 |
Trade Axford for Burnett in Roto league? |
| 12:03 |
: Definitely
|
| 12:03 |
: Hello everybody! I’m filling in for Dave. Trying to stay dry in Austin, Texas. And crushing some Drake: https://www.youtube.com/wat…
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| 12:03 |
Would you trade Stanton for Harper? |
| 12:04 |
: Sure. They aren’t too far apart, even with Harper’s madness
|
| 12:04 |
Guess on when Correa gets called up? |
| 12:04 |
: June 18th
|
| 12:04 |
Hi Paul. Big fan. I know you were high on Eaton coming into the year. See anything making you want to buy low? Will he run again? |
| 12:05 |
: Skills are in line with career norms, while BABIP is nearly 50 points below average. He’ll rebound.
|
| 12:05 |
Brett Gardner for Cole Hamels.. Non Keeper, which side do you prefer? |
| 12:05 |
: Hamels slightly, but it’s perfectly fair if the Hamels owner needs a quality hitter.
|
| 12:05 |
Do you make anything of Greg Holland’s reduced velocity? Down at least 2 mph in his last 2 appearances, and doesn’t match up with his previous injury’s timeline. Is this a new one to be concerned about? |
| 12:06 |
: He looks awful so far. Can’t find the zone with any regularity. THis would be a big deal on just about any other team, but they have like 28 replacements who will be as good or better than him if he continues to sputter.
|
| 12:06 |
Gregory Polanco is giving me fits. He won’t be a keeper in this league, and there are decent short and long term options available (hot hands, long term talents and short term injured). Incomplete list: Gose, Ethier, Pagan, Werth, K. Davis, Jackson, Arcia, Maybin, Burns, Tucker, Colabello. Is it safe/reasonable to move on? |
| 12:06 |
: That seems like a shallower league with some strong options available and since he’s not a keeper, yeah you can move on
|
| 12:07 |
Hey Paul, wondering your thoughts on whether to cut bait on David Wright. I have Headley and picked up Guerrero earlier this year. With Uribe gone and more playing time for Guerrero, you think it makes sense to give up on Wright yet? |
| 12:07 |
: Are you just going to cut him? That seems rash regardless of league size. Can’t you just sit tight with him on the DL?
|
| 12:07 |
Paul! I’ve got Josh Harrison as my 3rd OF’er, but both Yelich and Bruce are on my wire. What should I do? |
| 12:08 |
: Depends on needs, tbh. Bruce’s power is there (pacing toward 27-28 HRs). Wish he could just get to a .250 AVG, it’d be so much more palatable. I’d go for Bruce personally. I didn’t see the Yelich growth that others did
|
| 12:09 |
Heading to Detroit to check out the Tigers/Cubs in a couple weeks. I know you are a Tigers fan that lives out of state. Any tips on where to buy tickets/where to stay/go in area pre/post game? |
| 12:09 |
: Unfortunately, I’m not a great resource. I moved 19 years ago and I only go back in the winter for holidays (when the weather is pure garbage) so I haven’t been to Comerica for a game yet. Sorry
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| 12:09 |
If you faced 20 pitches from the worst MLB pitcher, would you be able to lay 1 fair bunt down? |
| 12:10 |
: LOL. I’m not so sure. The worst MLB player is SUUUUUUUUUUUCH an amazing baseball player in the grand scheme of things.
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| 12:10 |
How concerned are you with David Ortiz? Really is starting to look old all of a sudden. |
| 12:11 |
: Always gotta be concerned at his age. We’ve seen him turn it around before, but he’s even older now of course so banking on that to happen is risky. I’d have real concerns if he were on any of my teams
|
| 12:11 |
What is the best site for Keeper leagues? |
| 12:11 |
: In terms of running them? They all have the capabilities. Most of my leagues are on CBS.
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| 12:11 |
Rank for the ROS: McCullers, Greene, De La Rosa, and DeSclafani |
| 12:11 |
: Greene, DLR, DeSclafani, McCullers
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| 12:11 |
Sporer! Why are the brewers trying to screw me? Fiers has been awful enough on regular rest. Now they are starting him on short rest? |
| 12:12 |
: LOL I don’t think they’re targeting your team directly! I imagine it’s because his struggles aren’t fatigue related or anything so this shouldn’t have any bearing on him. I still think he can deliver a mid-3.00s the rest of the way.
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| 12:12 |
Belt or Napoli 5×5 weekly ROS? I am getting killed in BA every week, and moving away from caring about it… |
| 12:15 |
: http://www.fangraphs.com/fa… — complete with a David Ortiz update
|
| 12:16 |
: Major thunderstorm here in Austin (AGAIN) so if I disappear, the power went out
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| 12:16 |
Thoughts on Matt Carpenter batting in the 2-spot for the Cardinals after a few weeks? He’s hit a lot more homers, but is striking uncharacteristically more. |
| 12:17 |
: It’s working, though, so we’ll take it. I’d imagine that if it started to have negative effects, he’d change it back. He’s been unreal.
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| 12:17 |
Hey Paul. I need some outfield help. I have Longoria, Carpenter, and Kang as 3B. Need to trade one (Thinking Longoria). Is Pollock a good return for Longoria? 20 team dynasty. Thank you. |
| 12:18 |
: I wonder if you could get even more for Longo. I love Pollock, but it seems like a 1-for-1 is a touch light for Longo. I’d do it if that’s all that were available since you really need the OF and have a logjam at 3B, but make that the settling offer, not the initial one
|
| 12:18 |
What are you thoughts on activating a guy from the DL right away? (when considering weekly lineup change leagues) Take Lucroy and Segura as examples. Lucroy has been out longer, but is the superior player. I always go back and forth on giving someone a week off before activation to shake the rust off. |
| 12:19 |
: I’m usually a start-em-right-away guy. Especially at the high end. Pitchers are more mixed, but hitters are always right back in for me.
|
| 12:19 |
Is it time for the Carson Smith show in Seattle? |
| 12:19 |
: We have to be getting close. Rodney’s been SO bad.
|
| 12:20 |
Dealt Lincecum and Eury Perez for Jordy Mercer and Juan Jaime in 12 team NL keeper (no bench spots), how’d I do? |
| 12:20 |
: I feel like Lincecum should’ve brought more. Mercer has struggled and is losing PT to Kang. I’m good w/selling Lincecum, but just thought he’d net a little more
|
| 12:20 |
Which of these pitchers do you like more ROS: Rubby, Mike Wright, Jimmy Nelson, C. Wilson, Chris Heston or Lackey? |
| 12:21 |
: Lackey is still the best there, but I really like Rubby. I’m getting more and more interested in Wright, too. Might be writing about him soon
|
| 12:21 |
Should I trade Encarnacion for Kershaw? I can pick up Duda or V Mart as replacements for EE. |
| 12:21 |
: Yeah that totally works if you need SP
|
| 12:21 |
Start or Sit for tonight .. Pineda in KC, Wood in LA? |
| 12:22 |
: Start, Sit. I know Pineda got worked by KC last time, but I could see him making adjustments to thwart them this time. I wouldn’t clown you for sitting him, but Pineda’s upside is so high that you start him v. everyone
|
| 12:22 |
Iwakuma + Cargo for Matt Harvey. Not in a keeper league, I need pitching. Fair trade? |
| 12:22 |
: Very fair. I feel like you’re getting a discount on Harvey bc of the dead arm issue. I don’t think this happens 2 weeks ago
|
| 12:22 |
Scoop up Eduardo Rodriguez? Expected to start tomorrow vs Texas |
| 12:24 |
: I’m intrigued. Liked him as a guy w/mid-rotation upside in Baltimore and he’s taken a jump w/Boston to where now mid-rotation seems very likely w/some fringe potential at being a frontliner down the line. Very young, though, so don’t get drunk on the potential for the short-term
|
| 12:24 |
Gomes and D’Arnaud are on the waiver wire. I have Russell Martin. Do I drop Martin for either of those guys? And if so, which one do I pick up? |
| 12:25 |
: Hold Martin – http://www.fangraphs.com/fa…
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| 12:25 |
8-team triple slash. Have Brandon Moss and Moose Tacos, with guys like Span, Choo, Aoki, Inciarte, Gose on the wire. Ok with dropping Moss/Moose for those guys? AVG and SB are my biggest offensive needs. |
| 12:26 |
: Attack your needs. Although Moose isn’t hurting your AVG one bit so hang onto him
|
| 12:26 |
Should Stephen Strasburg really be on the waiver wire in an 8-team half-season fantasy league where a team only rosters 5 starters? |
| 12:27 |
: No he shouldn’t be on the wire in any league. I know he’s struggled, but his upside is far too rich to be on the wire
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| 12:27 |
Anything wrong with Adam Jones? or just a slump? |
| 12:27 |
: In the midst of his best season ever.
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| 12:27 |
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| 12:27 |
Pretty soon are you going to be filling in for every chatter every day of every week? 😛 |
| 12:27 |
: Who wouldn’t love that?!
|
| 12:27 |
12 team points league: I get Stanton and Paxton and give up Adam Jones and Bumgarner. Have Lester, Cashner, Kazmir, Liriano, Elias, Hughes in my rotation as well. |
| 12:29 |
: Love Stanton, but I think you’re getting smoked here. Jones has been incredible and I imagine he’s been on par w/Stanton depending on the scoring and even if Stanton has an edge, the difference isn’t Paxton to Bumgarner
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| 12:29 |
H2H points league so there is some extra emphasis on pitching. I’ve been offered Anibal Sanchez ($18) and C. Dickerson ($5) for my Strasburg ($22). I am competing for this year but wouldn’t mind another bat. Thoughts? |
| 12:30 |
: Solid buy-low on Dickerson. Plantar fasciitis is annoying, but as a Dickerson backer myself, I prefer sitting now to see if it gets better as opposed to constantly trying to play through it and missing 1-2 days here and there
|
| 12:30 |
When does Buxton get the call? |
| 12:31 |
: Impossible to know, of course, but their competing in Minnesota probably helps his chances. Let’s see how they’re doing in a month. Buxton has no Triple-A experience and hasn’t been flawless in Double-A
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| 12:31 |
Give Votto get Pederson? Non-keeper league. |
| 12:32 |
: I still prefer Votto, but it’s a defensible trade for sure.
|
| 12:32 |
Is Alberto Callaspo enough of a return if the result is making Juan Uribe cry? I say no. |
| 12:33 |
: Right? I legitimately didn’t see them trading Uribe bc of how much he means to their clubhouse, but Guerrero and Turner have just been TOO good while Uribe has struggled mightily. So I imagine they told him something like we can send you somewhere where you’ll get full-time burn, but you are going to play if you stay here with us
|
| 12:33 |
Why am I still in AAA with Kelly and Wright in the Red Sox rotation? |
| 12:33 |
: You’re not. Check the news, bro.
|
| 12:33 |
Lucroy+Yordana Ventura for Strasburg. Who wis? |
| 12:33 |
: No one. It’s a fair deal. No clear winner.
|
| 12:33 |
Hi Paul. What a treat to have you on this fine Wednesday! I’m in an 11-team AL-only league. I’m about .20 back of the pack in AVG, and have far too many low average power hitters on my team. Can you be so kind as to name a few AL players I should trade for that will help raise my AVG, without costing me too much? Thanks so much! |
| 12:35 |
: Here are some guys you can buy now as they have a shot to improve their AVG substantially: Eaton, Encarnacion (though he’ll still be expensive), Betts, Beltre, Kiermaier, and Melky
|
| 12:37 |
What are your favorite Buy Low SPers? I need pitching, but I am in 1st place, so I dont want to rock the boat too much (I have Iwakuma and Tanaka on the DL) |
| 12:39 |
: Carrasco (will be CHEAPER, but not *cheap*), Gio, Quintana, Anibal, Colon, and Hutch
|
| 12:39 |
Was offered Appel for my Lawrie in a dynasty. I’m lacking young pitching but Appel looks horrid. What do you think? |
| 12:39 |
: yeah, Lawrie isn’t exactly lighting it up, either, but I still prefer him
|
| 12:39 |
Will Jose Urena help my team in my deep NL only dynasty league this year and in the future? |
| 12:39 |
: No, probably not
|
| 12:41 |
i need SB in an ottoneu roto do u think schaefer with the twins can be of use–there is NOTHING on the wire…….thx |
| 12:42 |
: If there’s really nothing, then I guess he could be something, but he’s just not good.
|
| 12:42 |
Denard Span with a .215 ISO after 132 PA. What?? |
| 12:43 |
: Pretty bananas. The only real difference across his whole profile is a 16% HR/FB ratio… 5% career
|
| 12:43 |
Will the real Odrisamer Despaigne stand up? What is your forecast ROS? |
| 12:44 |
: LOL at that whole game yesterday. Both SPs were 6.00+ in ERA. I was surprised he was SO bad to this point, but the skills were pretty awful, too. Nice coupla efforts in a row, but the Angels have been anemic as can be against righties which takes some steam out of it. I think the best you can expect is like a 4.40 ERA
|
| 12:44 |
NL keeper, an owner is shopping overpriced Kemp, Holliday, and R. Zimmerman. I need power but these sources aren’t showing it. Which one should I target? |
| 12:45 |
: I could see Holliday getting hot and still reaching his 20-something.
|
| 12:45 |
12 team H2H Points league. My staff looks like this….Kershaw, Sale, Gio, Wood, Cashner & Lynn. One spot open for streaming. Thinking about dropping one for another streamer spot since everyone seems to pick up guys days in advance. Should I hold pat? Or if I was to drop one, which one? |
| 12:45 |
: I wouldn’t want to get rid of any of those. Maybe Wood, but the others need to stay
|
| 12:46 |
In a keeper league, when is a good time to start offering bottom feeders trades for their studs? |
| 12:47 |
: When you have a clear need for yourself. Worst he can say is no. If I were a bottom feeder myself, I wouldn’t really start trading em off until June, but that’s just me
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| 12:47 |
ESPN has Harper projected 60 HR and Cruz 61. Could we see another McGwire / Sosa ’99? |
| 12:47 |
: that’d be ridiculously fun
|
| 12:47 |
Looks like you were right not to overly panic about Shin-soo. His reemergence has been a huge help to my fantasy squad!!! |
| 12:48 |
: How great has he been pretty much SINCE I wrote that? I’m not saying I had anything to do with it, but rather the coincidence of it all has been awesome
|
| 12:48 |
If Uehara went down tomorrow, are we looking at Tazawa or Ogando as his replacement? |
| 12:48 |
: Tazawa for me
|
| 12:48 |
who finishes as the Top SS this year? |
| 12:53 |
: Brandon Crawford! Isn’t he #1 currently? I’m actually a big fan of his, but holding first will be tough. I’ll stick with Starlin Castro, my bold pick to do so this preseason
|
| 12:53 |
When do you expect Carlos Correa to get called up to the majors? With him continuing to rake in AAA I have to imagine the Astros are thinking about it. |
| 12:53 |
: Really no idea. These things are impossible to predict because we can’t predict injuries or know the front office
|
| 12:53 |
Is Withrow legit or just a pipe dream as a future piece to a Braves bullpen? Control seems to be shaky. |
| 12:54 |
: I could’ve seen him closing to fill in for Jansen had he been healthy. Lots of live stuff, but erratic like many relievers. There’s something there.
|
| 12:54 |
Does Carter Capps delivery basically add height to him? Instead of the ball coming out of the hand of a 6’5 guy, because he jumps to the mound is it more like its coming out of the hand of a 6’10 guy? |
| 12:55 |
I got Kipnis/Souza for Beltre in a deep AL only OBP. How’d I do man? |
| 12:55 |
: It’s pretty freakin’ nuts. I imagine it helps, but saying so definitively is tough
|
| 12:55 |
: Crushed it. I’m not even a huge Kipnis guy, either.
|
| 12:55 |
So to get to 40 HR Harper still needs to hit more (23) than he ever has in a full season before this year (22)…he still almost has to get there it feels like, doesn’t it? |
| 12:56 |
: Yeah I mean, nothing is out of the realm of possibilities for him. He’s that good. Of course after two straight years of first round drafting in LABR, Jason and I weren’t able to get him this year
|
| 12:56 |
how likely is Shelby Miller to keep this pace |
| 12:58 |
: This pace? Not at all. No one can be predicted at that kind of level. But as a big time arm? Very good chance. He was excellent in 2013 and still not *that* bad last year despite the skills drop. I think his 2014 overly soured too many people
|
| 12:58 |
Trade Springer (22nd round keeper for two more seasons after this one) and Yelich for McCutchen in 10 team roto league? |
| 12:59 |
: I wouldn’t do that. Springer is killing it even with the weak AVG and at that cost, it’s too much to give
|
| 12:59 |
Holds league and looking for a SP/RP to grab some points … Congrani or Maurer? |
| 12:59 |
: I like Maurer more
|
| 12:59 |
When will Paul Sporer get a regular chat slot? |
| 1:00 |
: We’ve been talking about a regular Sunday evening since that’s usually transaction night in leagues, but we haven’t been able to get it going because of various things (holidays, my move). But we’re working on something!
|
| 1:00 |
I’ve been offered Torii Hunter, Martin Prado, and Carlos Rodon for Carlos Carrasco and Addison Russell. Am I crazy to not want to do that? |
| 1:00 |
: Not at all. I wouldn’t do it.
|
| 1:00 |
Freeman and Grilli for Meadows and Bell….Too steep a price for the Pirates? |
| 1:01 |
: Yes, that’s a lot.
|
| 1:01 |
Ellsbury or Gardner ROS? |
| 1:01 |
: I gotta take the healthier guy
|
| 1:01 |
Josh Donaldson was ridiculous last night. |
| 1:01 |
: He’s so good.
|
| 1:01 |
Hey Paul! Thoughts on Buchholz’ start last night? I know he didn’t wow, but he was solid after the 1st inning. And the Twinkies have been tough lately. |
| 1:02 |
: Didn’t get a chance to check it out. I’m open to the idea that his skills this year may have some legitimacy, but I still don’t trust him upstairs. Until he can show that he’s mentally able to avoid the implosion start, I’m always going to be worried. There’s a lot of talent there and that’s become obvious, but I’m not sure he’ll ever maximize it.
|
| 1:03 |
I’ve got too many players possibly traded to the AL. Which one is the biggest risk to lose and thus should be traded: Cueto, Hamels, Revere, Tulo? |
| 1:03 |
: I’d imagine the Phillies are the most prone. Cincy will be reluctant fold, plus Cueto’s recent health scare. And trading Tulo is really difficult w/that contract, plus he’s sucking lately (though that won’t stop teams from wanting him… it could be more of an attitude than skills thing right now, tbh)
|
| 1:04 |
Should we be expecting to see Eduard Rodriguez called up in the relatively near future? When he does get called up, how high can his ceiling be going forward? Should I be excited to own him in my AL-only league? |
| 1:04 |
: He’s been called up.
|
| 1:04 |
I have Tulo in a 20 man league and he is driving me nuts. Do you think I should hold onto him or push to move him? |
| 1:04 |
: Depends what you can get back. If you can fill three or four holes in such a deep league, then I can get behind it. But you’re selling low.
|
| 1:04 |
Fun Fact, Betances has thrown 2 no hitters this season (1 stretch where hitters went 0-27, and currently in a stretch of 0-28). He’s good |
| 1:05 |
: He’s amazing. I got a lot of heat regarding him in the Spring and early part of the season. My investments obviously won’t pay the expected dividends bc he’s not closing, but I got Miller in two of the leagues I draft DB so I’m good to go overall
|
| 1:05 |
What are your thoughts on Julio Teheran’s struggles thus far? Could he be the ace of a fantasy staff in your opinion? |
| 1:06 |
: He’s missing spots and badly. Sometimes good pitches are just getting hit and compounding the mistakes, but a lot of it is just Teheran’s own mistakes. There was some great analysis by Mark Mulder on the ESPN game last night
|
| 1:06 |
I just traded Shelby Miller and Cecil for Altuve. How did I do? |
| 1:06 |
: That’s pretty good. I like it for both clubs assuming the needs align with the acquisitions
|
| 1:06 |
12 team mixed w/3 starting OF slots: LF, CF, RF. Currently using R. Castillo and A. Either as CF options but D. Span was just dropped. I have the #1 waiver priority and am considering using it for Span (dropping Ethier). Enough of an upgrade to burn #1 waiver priority? Nice to have that in this keeper league because sometimes injured studs do get dropped and it’s nice to have first shot at them if they do. |
| 1:07 |
: Sucks to drop Ethier because he’s been so good, but I prefer Span by a lot.
|
| 1:07 |
Wondering if it’s silly to own Gattis, but keep Norris as security measure in 1 catcher, 10 team, OBP league? Have Rizzo, Sanatana, Brantley to compensate with the Gattis K’s? So many FA pitchers I am drooling over out there. Maybe trade Norris…hmmm.. *thinks* |
| 1:08 |
: I like Norris, espec. in OBP, but you can find a perfectly suitable replacement if Gattis goes down even if it’s not quite as good as Norris
|
| 1:08 |
who’s your favorite team? |
| 1:08 |
: Tigers
|
| 1:08 |
How much FAAB would you spend on Charlie Morton? |
| 1:09 |
: That’s really vague. League type and budget really matter. I’d spend a few bucks. He’s solid, but unspectacular
|
| 1:09 |
Will the Blue Jays pen ever get a save chance? |
| 1:10 |
: Right? They steamroll or walk off in their wins or lose close
|
| 1:10 |
About to run Carrasco out there vs. Rangers. As my SP4, is that wise? |
| 1:10 |
: Yeah, it’s fine. Texas is playing brilliantly, but Carrasco is a start-always guy, IMO. His skills are much better than the ERA.
|
| 1:11 |
cutch for felix and denard span? |
| 1:11 |
: That’s a good deal
|
| 1:11 |
I’m here! I’m here! I love the last week of school, nothing to do but talk with you fine folks. |
| 1:11 |
What do you think about Aaron Barrett for Washington? I’m in a deep league with lots of room for relievers |
| 1:12 |
: Impressive skills. ERA is up there w/6 ER allowed in his last 8 app., but he’s been pretty good. You might find better middle relievers out there w/a better shot to close since Storen is dominating.
|
| 1:12 |
What kind of stat line do you think Jorge Soler will put up ROS? |
| 1:14 |
: His current AVG and OBP seem right, but there’s gotta be more power coming! At least a .430-.440 SLG, I’d hope. So about 13-14 HRs the rest of the way unless he really turns the flyballs up and goes for power, then he could pop 18-20 rest of way
|
| 1:19 |
: BRB guys, gotta take the dog out
|
| 1:22 |
Is Cano/Gomez for Kendrick/Gardner/Casilla/Samardzija vetoable in a 5×5? |
| 1:24 |
: No. Cano is more name than performance and Kendrick/Gardner are more performance than name right now. I prefer the Gomez side, but it’s not an awful deal
|
| 1:24 |
After last nights game, i would once again like to thank Billy Beans for giving us Josh Donaldson, guy’s incredible 🙂 |
| 1:25 |
Didn’t realize you were in Austin. This rain is insane. Thoughts on Tomas going forward? In a shallow league and trying to decide if I should hold him or drop for Mous |
| 1:25 |
: drop for Mous immediately!!! how is Mous available?? the rain FINALLY stopped just a few minutes ago.
|
| 1:25 |
His Harvey or my Arenado? 10 team mixed, H2H 5×5 w/OBP and QS |
| 1:28 |
: That’s a perfectly fair deal
|
| 1:29 |
Fly me to the danger zone…would you trade Jones and Shield for Harper or maybe, Kershaw straight up? |
| 1:29 |
: Who’d fill in for the second guy you’re dealing?
|
| 1:29 |
Please rank ROS: Miley, Gausman, Gibson, Pomeranz. Merci beaucoup!!! |
| 1:38 |
: Pomeranz, Miley, Gausman, Gibson… still worried about Gausman getting and holding a spot
|
| 1:38 |
tell me it’s gonna be alright ;_; |
| 1:41 |
: I think he wants out and it’s impacting his play. Just a guess and I know I’m playing into narrative a bit, but I think it’s viable
|
| 1:41 |
sigh… |
| 1:41 |
: What are you sighing about?
|
| 1:41 |
How do you think playing time for the Dodgers shakes out for the rest of the year? Between LF and 3B, they’ve got Guerrero, Olivera, Crawford, Van Slyke, Turner and Seager waiting in AAA. |
| 1:46 |
: I’d bet on Guerrero and Turner right now. I don’t think Seager comes up unless one or two of those guys goes down
|
| 1:46 |
Correa finishes as a Top 8 SS. True or False? |
| 1:47 |
: False. I realize it’s a low bar bc of SS, but we just have no clue when he’s coming and how he’ll perform
|
| 1:47 |
Paul, Getting hammered with offers for Correa in a 20 team keeper league in which I’m middle of the pack. There have been a couple of maybe offers (lucroy). Is he the type of player you want to build your keeper team around? |
| 1:48 |
: I think you gotta hang on. While I would’t predict the Top 8 SS as asked above, I also don’t believe he’s unreasonable for suggesting it because the do-it-all profile of Correa is conducive to elite production
|
| 1:48 |
For det buy tickets on stubhub a few hours before. copa is a good park to roam so anywhere lower is awesome. Stick to the Arena distict to stay and greektown/foxtown area is good pre game. Also a little further out is corktown and mid town. Corktown has green dot stables and slows and midtown has Hopcat if you’re into beer |
| 1:48 |
Think better results are ahead for Anibal Sanchez? |
| 1:50 |
: Yeah, but he needs to tighten up the command. He’ll be cruising for 3 IP and then just lose it, leave a couple fatties over the heart and he’s down 5-0 in the blink after three perfect innings or something. It’s been that kind of back-n-forth and it’s been maddening. Skills are there, this is on him to sharpen up, though
|
| 1:50 |
So you’re just a construct of Carson Cistulli’s imagination?! EVERYTHING MAKES SENSE NOW. |
| 1:50 |
My OF in a 12 team H2H is Trout, Brantley, Dickerson, Cargo, Span and Bruce we have 2 util spots. Who would you be looking to trade? I suld use a 1b as I have Carter and Napoli. |
| 1:51 |
: Trout, Brantley, and Span will likely get you the most because they’re healthy and crushing. Dickerson shouldn’t have plummeted in the market despite the injury, though, so you should still net a solid return for him
|
| 1:51 |
Pretty much time to cut bait on Gyorko even in deep keeper leagues right? |
| 1:51 |
: Never been in
|
| 1:51 |
Think Pedroia is just in a slump, or was the early season power a mirage? |
| 1:52 |
: That whole team is in a slump. I look at his work v. lefties and I can’t imagine he stays this bad. The numbers certainly suggest much better days ahead v. lefties
|
| 1:52 |
Thoughts on Billy Hamilton? His drop to the 9th spot in the lineup has really hurt his run production, but I am hopeful that he will run more. Assuming he ever gets on base |
| 1:53 |
: Hitting in the bigs is SO hard. I think he’s proof of that. And yet still a top 20 OF in ESPN’s Player Rater bc of that speed. Ya gotta hold, but it’s frustrating how modest his offerings are
|
| 1:53 |
Thoughts on Wade Miley? Seems to have turned the corner but ks are down and ground ball rate down from last year. |
| 1:54 |
: I really liked him coming in. I didn’t quite understand the complete meltdown so I’m not surprised to see him rebound. I still want to see the Ks return to be totally sold, but I think there’s something there
|
| 1:54 |
No DL spots in my league (12 teamer) and I have Wright, Dickerson, and Werth on the DL holding roster spots. You’re probably going to tell me to sit tight or cut Werth, no? |
| 1:54 |
: Yeah. Dickerson goes nowhere. You could move out on either of the others, but it seems tough to drop Wright yet even w/the bad news last week
|
| 1:55 |
booo! i hate CBS… we were on all star stats for years, they sold out to CBS and we get like none of the functionality we used to. We have been looking for new sites |
| 1:55 |
: I like CBS. Good app, too.
|
| 1:55 |
Paul, would you trade Encarnacion for Kershaw? I could pick up Duda or V Mart as a replacement for EE. Also Ortiz just hit my wire…Take Duda over him? |
| 1:55 |
: Yeah you can do that trade. I like Duda over Ortiz.
|
| 1:55 |
What are your thoughts long-term on Rougned Odor? Do you think he will come up and produce anything of value this year? |
| 1:58 |
: I understood the excitement with him. Super young and growth isn’t linear in players. Showing major life in AAA and I suspect he’ll return to Texas in ’15.
|
| 1:58 |
Should I hold on to Norris? Expecting anything from him if he is called back up? |
| 1:59 |
: Daniel, I presume? League type matters most here. But I think I’m only holding in an AL right now
|
| 1:59 |
Glad to see Sporer dominating in Chat again. Do you think Ryan Howard has finally recovered from that Torn Achilles a while back? He’s hitting with power regularly again. |
| 2:02 |
: I bought in zero, but I’m glad he’s succeeding. It looks pretty believable, too. The BB% is way down, but everything else is strong.
|
| 2:02 |
Bauer , Anibal or Verlander in 6-cat that replaces W with QS and adds losses? |
| 2:04 |
: Man. That’s a tough trio. I’ll use JV’s injury to eliminate him here. I’ll go Bauer slightly over Anibal because Anibal’s HR issue is too much to ignore right now. These self-inflicted wounds must stop. Bauer is evolving nicely.
|
| 2:04 |
ROS Napoli, C.Carter or Laroche for a 12 team h2h? |
| 2:04 |
| 2:04 |
10 tm mixed, got CarGo for essentially nothing and been holding him, is it safe to drop the former first rounder? I don’t understand how every site still has him as a top 40 OF |
| 2:05 |
: Yes it is. Just not striking the ball well enough to be successful. I can move on in a 10-teamer
|
| 2:05 |
Is Anibal Sanchez worth holding onto in a 12 team league? His velocity seems fine, what gives? |
| 2:06 |
: See previous discussions regarding him. Skills are still strong, but lots of self-inflicted damage w/the horribly missed spots resulting in homers
|
| 2:06 |
Hutchison, Wood, RDLR, or Hahn ROS? |
| 2:06 |
: I’ll take ’em in that order
|
| 2:06 |
Carson Smith the closer? |
| 2:06 |
: Rodney’s leash is hella long, but he’s used most of it this year and Smith would have to get a shot.
|
| 2:07 |
You had David Price at the top of the non-Felix tier in March… Had he had much movement? GB% isn’t looking great. Still one of the elite? |
| 2:08 |
: It hasn’t been overwhelming skills-wise, but how can we complain about a 2.97 ERA and 1.17 WHIP? We should see a K jump rest of way. Still elite.
|
| 2:08 |
Which SP rest of season: A. Sanchez, P. Hughes, I. Kennedy? |
| 2:08 |
: That’s the order
|
| 2:08 |
Anthony Gose a poor-man’s Ellsbury for rest of season (considering Ellsbury’s lack of power this year & current injury)? |
| 2:10 |
: Yeah I liked him when the Tigers got him – https://twitter.com/sporer/… … Speed asset w/occasional pop and big runs thanks to that lineup w/more of a .280 AVG upside than the .338 we’ve seen so far
|
| 2:10 |
A few of these guys have already come up, but a few haven’t, can you give me a rank ROS: Hahn, Anderson, Greene, Hutchinson? |
| 2:11 |
: Hutch, Greene, Anderson, Hahn … pretty tight bunch talent-wise, though
|
| 2:11 |
Do you see a major uptick in PT for Alex Guerrero now? What kind of arm(s) would it take to land him would you say? |
| 2:12 |
: Yes, I do. I think it pained them to deal Uribe, but Guerrero and Turner have just been too good. Maybe like a Bauer-type? I think it’d take someone pretty good as his owner likely understands the upside potential with increased PT
|
| 2:12 |
Jason Heyward or Rusney ROS? |
| 2:13 |
: Rusney…. show me something Heyward, I’ve been on the Heyward Train from the start and I’m not completely jumping off, but at some point I need more. Rusney can do Heyward’s 2014 the rest of way (11 HR, 20 SB)
|
| 2:13 |
Are you buying Ubaldo Jimenez? Or should we avoid him like the plague? |
| 2:14 |
: I’m not, no. He’s talented, no doubt, but the mechanics offer such little room for error that if he falls off, he’s headed all the way back down. Remember, he had a tremendous run w/Cle to end his tenure there
|
| 2:14 |
How many Anibal Sanchez questions are there going to be? |
| 2:14 |
: Lots it seems.
|
| 2:14 |
Is Hundley or Swihart an adequate replacement for Mesoraco? |
| 2:14 |
: Yes, espec. given what Meso had been doing (nothing)
|
| 2:14 |
Buying low on Shoemaker? |
| 2:14 |
: You could, but it really depends on format. Command needs to pinpoint or HR-fest starts up.
|
| 2:14 |
Dozier or Cano, ROS? |
| 2:14 |
: Dozier
|
| 2:14 |
Justin Turner a good roster addition, since multiple position eligibility? |
| 2:15 |
: In a lot of leagues, yes. Probably still not 10 teamers even w/the Uribe move, but everything else
|
| 2:15 |
Plouffe or Santana at 3B rest of the way in a 16-team OBP redraft league? |
| 2:15 |
: Santana, but I’m a Plouffe fan
|
| 2:15 |
Mous for Gio? |
| 2:15 |
: Fair.
|
| 2:15 |
Simple question: Ian Kennedy or Jimmy Nelson ROS? |
| 2:15 |
: Nelson.
|
| 2:15 |
colby lewis lol |
| 2:15 |
: We knew it was coming
|
| 2:15 |
Hey Paul! |
| 2:15 |
: Hola!
|
| 2:15 |
Is Eduardo Rodriguez worth a pick up in mixed 12 team leagues? |
| 2:16 |
: Lots of E-Rod questions, too. I’d have to be pretty ransacked pitching-wise in a 12-teamer, but I’d go for him in every other format for sure.
|
| 2:16 |
Will a defensive stat ever be common in a 5×5 ? if so, which one? |
| 2:16 |
: No, I can’t see it
|
| 2:16 |
Who would you rather have in 2016 – $19 Brett Gardner or $1 Dalton Pompey? |
| 2:16 |
: Still Gardner.
|
| 2:16 |
ROS:Liriano, Bauer, Salazar, Nelson, Greene, Syndergaard |
| 2:17 |
: I think off the top of my head — Liriano, Bauer, Syndergaard, Salazar, Nelson, Greene… Nelson gets the edge w/more Ks and the easier NL over Greene, but they’re close.
|
| 2:17 |
Are you concerned at all about Tulo or do you think he starts Tuloing? |
| 2:17 |
: Slightly concerned, yes. But I think it’s more attitude than skills.
|
| 2:17 |
If you had Tulo, would you trade him for Danny Salazar? |
| 2:17 |
: No
|
| 2:18 |
Think Choo can keep up his level of production from the last month? |
| 2:18 |
: Yes, I do. I think when healthy, he’s still near-elite.
|
| 2:18 |
In roto keeper league where I’m last in Ks would you give a $2 Keuchel for a $25 Strasburg? |
| 2:18 |
: Ooh that’s really tough. I think Keuchel-Stras straight up is question so factoring in the $ leans me toward Keuchel, tbh, even with the Ks need
|
| 2:18 |
Over at B-R, Jason Kipnis just became the second position player to reach 3.0 WAR. Bryce Harper has 4.1. I have no question here. |
| 2:18 |
Eduardo Rodriguez called up to face the Rangers. Any thoughts on him? |
| 2:19 |
: Lots, scroll up! 🙂
|
| 2:19 |
Starting me today? |
| 2:19 |
: Yeah, if I have you, you’re in my lineup still
|
| 2:19 |
2 part question : Better finishing line this year- Butler or VMart? And … which whiskey should Dombrowski be drinking to wash away his sorrows on his decision? |
| 2:20 |
: Butler gets the edge just bc of the PT advantage while VMart is out, but I’m still interested in VMart upon return. I don’t drink anymore so I don’t have any good answers here. Is the drunk Mila Kunis hocks a whiskey? That one.
|
| 2:20 |
whats wrong with eddie butler? he both gives up entirely too much contact and nibbles off the edges. How are both things possible? I thought he was a groundball pitcher, just throw in the zone |
| 2:21 |
: As if it’s that easy to just throw it in the zone! Not sure there’s anything *wrong* so much as it is that baseball is EXTREMELY hard, especially for a rookie pitching in Coors. Give him some time. Not on your fantasy roster necessarily, but just overall
|
| 2:21 |
Polanco is sitting against another righty today! Time to move on in an 11-team roto or is still a hold? |
| 2:21 |
: Non keeper without a speed need, I can move off in that format
|
| 2:21 |
What do you make of Preston Tucker? |
| 2:23 |
: I like him a decent bit. Tried to get him everywhere upon arrival. I think he’s a pure hitter. Never got prospect acclaim bc he was a college kid who was old for his levels and can’t really play any D. But he’s a hitter. Could see a 120ish wRC+ rest of way
|
| 2:23 |
How many more bad outings for Rodney before Carson Smith gets the job? |
| 2:23 |
: I can’t imagine many. We’ve hit the Rodney/Smith deal a good bit so far, sorry if you missed it. I like Smith a lot.
|
| 2:23 |
Thoughts on Mad Men finale? |
| 2:24 |
: I really liked it. Those expecting some grandiose out-with-a-bang episode clearly never understood the series. I wasn’t the least bit surprised that the penultimate ep had more drama and excitement. Great finale, brilliant series.
|
| 2:24 |
Who is your favorite under the radar hit you pulled so far this year? someone you gambled on and has paid off big so far… |
| 2:25 |
: Brandon Crawford. Got him in four leagues http://www.fangraphs.com/fa…) and recommended him as a sleeper (http://www.fangraphs.com/fa…)
|
| 2:25 |
Heyward for Polanco straight up? |
| 2:25 |
: Still riding Heyward there
|
| 2:25 |
Is Prince for deGrom fair or is he worth a better arm? |
| 2:26 |
: No that’s really fair. Both very good. I prefer the hitter in those situations, but it’s good for the Prince owner if his O is crushing and he needs an impact arm
|
| 2:28 |
Please, quickly talk me out of starting Josh Hamilton in DFS (batting 5th, very reasonable price) in DFS today. |
| 2:28 |
: LOL, too late now obviously. Did you do it?
|
| 2:28 |
Addison russell or Carlos Correa in a keeper? Should I take either over Starlin Castro? |
| 2:29 |
: Russell over Correa barely, but Castro over both for me, still
|
| 2:29 |
Any chance Gallo comes up this year? Is Hamilton any sort of road block? |
| 2:30 |
: I wouldn’t bet on it, but I can’t in good conscious rule it out because we just don’t know. Hamilton is sort of a block, but let’s see how he hits. Beltre, Moreland, and Fielder are blocks, too. As three of the corners and DH are where he can legitimately play
|
| 2:30 |
Velasquez, Farmer, Nola, Hoffman, Reyes – Who in order would you stash for help this year and early next? |
| 2:31 |
: Farmer, Velasquez, Nola, Reyes, Hoffman
|
| 2:31 |
: Duda is such a beast.
|
| 2:31 |
Can you outline a brief basic approach for DFS beginners? |
| 2:32 |
: That’s really tough in a chat. Hit up this pod – https://rotogrinders.com/po…
|
| 2:32 |
Danny Salazar over Yordano Ventura? Both are very frustrating, seem to be inconsistent. Is Yordano a big tease? |
| 2:33 |
: Yeah, prefer Salazar. I have a ceiling on his ERA bc of his HR issues, but the K numbers make up for it
|
| 2:33 |
Preston Tucker has been absolutely killing it. What do you think of him? |
| 2:33 |
: Scroll up not too far
|
| 2:33 |
How long til the twinkies call up Pinto??? |
| 2:33 |
: He isn’t exactly crushing Triple-A and making a case
|
| 2:33 |
Is billy burns for real or should I sell high?? |
| 2:34 |
: He’s a legit speed asset so if that’s your need, hang on. Otherwise, you can move him to a speed-starved team for a decent return
|
| 2:34 |
Do you think we see Steven Matz or Kyle Schwarber anytime soon? |
| 2:35 |
: No, they’re already doing a 6-man rotation so it’d require injury. And where would Schwarber play? So I can’t see him moving up either, not without Triple-A experience
|
| 2:35 |
Will Trout ever post a .432 OBP again? |
| 2:35 |
: Probably
|
| 2:35 |
You buying Mike Wright as a guy who’ll stick in the Orioles rotation? Looked great so far but feels very fluky when coming in his rep was as a AAAA/bullpen type arm. |
| 2:36 |
: Yes, I quite like what we’ve seen. Big velo spike from minor league reports has me believing.
|
| 2:36 |
Which one do I drop? Hahn, Pomeranz, Fiers, D. Norris, McCullers? |
| 2:36 |
: Norris
|
| 2:36 |
Need SP badly due to an uneven autodraft in a NL only, Harper, Puig for Bryant, Cole, Burnett, Morton? |
| 2:36 |
: That’s not too bad. Why three Pirates? I mean, Cole is an ace and Burnett is pitching like one. Bryant covers the Harper loss. Morton solid. Good deal, even though it’s hard to deal Harper
|
| 2:36 |
20 team 15 keeper league |
| 2:37 |
: for what? I don’t remember what this is in reference to, sorry
|
| 2:37 |
Is Billy Burns rosterable for OF help? Or is his OPS drag too much to overcome for the speed he offers? |
| 2:37 |
: See above
|
| 2:37 |
Pitcher question: LIncecum, Burnett, Roark? what order? |
| 2:37 |
: Burnett, Roark (if Fister goes down long-term), Lincecum
|
| 2:37 |
What is a fair return for Chapman? Keep forever head to head, 6X6 OBP, Hlds . Team is on the brink of being out of it and I am looking to just punt saves in hopes of winning a few other categories each week. |
| 2:37 |
: Should net a pretty big return. He’s as elite as it gets
|
| 2:37 |
What are your thoughts on Allen and the closer situation in CLE? McAllister or Shaw a possibility, not that either have been great? |
| 2:38 |
: That’s the thing, no one is pushing him. McAllister is a sneaky choice, though. I think he plays up in the pen (as everyone does). I wasn’t buying the velo spike as a reason to roster him as SP this Spring, but I’m on board w/him as an elite RP
|
| 2:38 |
Worth dropping Tanner Roark or Harang for Eduardo Rodriguez? |
| 2:39 |
: Nah. I’d be surprised if he matched Harang. That’d be a win for Boston
|
| 2:39 |
Is there anything worse than CBS locking the entire roster when the first game of the day starts? How hard could it be for them to change to individual lock times? |
| 2:39 |
: Yeah that definitely sucks. It’s not perfect (like any site), but that’s my biggest annoyance. Much worse when an early NL game locks my AL roster.
|
| 2:39 |
5×5 14 team dynasty league w/ OBP and TB instead of AVG and HR. Would you rather have Gallo or Addison Russell in 2016? |
| 2:39 |
: Russell
|
| 2:39 |
My Donaldson, Carpenter and King Felix for Harvey and Freddie Freeman in a keeper league with no salary or restrictions – just keep 6 players every year. I also have Jose Fernandez, Gerrit Cole, Rizzo, Altuve, Dickerson, Lucroy. Thoughts on selling soon-to-be 30 year olds for 26 Harvey and 25 Freeman? |
| 2:40 |
: I think you’re giving too much, tbh. The long-term thinking around Harvey is inflating his value. He and Felix are equals and then you’re looking at the two 3Bs for Freeman which is just too much
|
| 2:40 |
Will Javy Baez hit .200 in the majors this year? |
| 2:41 |
: Yeah he definitely can. Still lots of skill, too soon to say he’s THIS and can’t change
|
| 2:42 |
Sorry, I’m new at this. I was looking at Panda’s numbers. He has 0.0 Off and -2.0 Def, so it would seem he has provided negative value, but he has 0.4 WAR. Where is does the difference come from? |
| 2:42 |
: Fair question. I don’t really know. Anyone in the chat have any ideas there?
|
| 2:42 |
In a dynasty h2h format, Stroman for Alex Wood? I’m contending this year. |
| 2:42 |
: That’s not a bad return, but I love Stroman.
|
| 2:42 |
Howard had 572 RBI from 2006-09. That doesn’t matter at all and yet seems hugely impressive somehow. |
| 2:44 |
: It does matter. Just because RBI counts aren’t talent meters doesn’t mean RBIs as a whole are completely unimportant. My only backlash on them is when they’re used as the defining reason to suggest someone is good or better than another player bc they’re SO context dependent
|
| 2:44 |
Have you looked closely at DeShield’s numbers? Dude stole 100 bases in the minors not long ago with great OBPs. He seems to be carrying both skills over to the majors, yet there is no hype? Thoughts on DeShields? |
| 2:46 |
: Yeah, I’m a fan. My only reservation coming into the season was his being blocked by Martin (whom I love, but obviously is struggling mightily). I wrote in the Rangers OF write up that he was someone to watch and you shouldn’t ignore him just bc his Rule 5 status. the BB% is gold w/his kind of speed. Imagine if BHamilton could walk like that?!
|
| 2:46 |
Thoughts on Jose Ramirez? I’m forced to roll him out as my SS right now, and there are literally no better options available on the waiver wire. Is he in immediate danger of losing his starting gig, or will he hang on to the starting gig for awhile longer? Also, will he remember how to hit some time soon? |
| 2:47 |
: Eno likes him more than I do. I don’t see too much there, but he’s obviously better than a .499 OPS. But I’m not sure he’s much more than a .660 OPS the rest of the way
|
| 2:47 |
Traded Votto and Salazar for Jose Abreu, OBP counts in this league. Feel like Votto has peaked, and selling as high as possible. Good trade? |
| 2:48 |
: Well I love Votto so there’s that. I think it’s a perfectly defensible trade, especially given your feelings on Votto. Probably wouldn’t have had to give Salazar back in late-April when Votto was totally peaking, but you’re unlikely to super-regret this deal even if Votto does as I suspect
|
| 2:49 |
Traded Kang for Bucholz in a 16 team dynasty. Am i crazy to keep betting on his FIP? |
| 2:49 |
: That’s not a bad deal, though I like Kang and would prefer to be on the other side of that deal. I worry about Buchholz mentally. He can’t avoid the implosion start
|
| 2:49 |
i jumped on the frias bandwagon… hard thrower, good rates… padres KILLED him last start. just a blip or just not a good pitcher |
| 2:50 |
: Two of his starts have been historically bad these last two years. Not sure what happens there when a guy just takes it on the chin. I still buy a lot of the good we saw prior to the meltdown
|
| 2:50 |
I dropped Kendall Graveman for Eduardo Rodriguez. Our league is K-BB for pitchers as opposed to just K’s. Decent gamble? |
| 2:50 |
: That’s totally fine
|
| 2:50 |
Encarnacion for Hosmer and Soler? |
| 2:50 |
: Really fair.
|
| 2:50 |
Porcello getting absolutely shelled right now in MIN. What’s his long-term outlook in a keep forever dynasty league? |
| 2:51 |
: Well, I’m a long-term believer. I really wish he’d have stayed w/Detroit as I love his groundball approach w/Iglesias and Kinsler, but he’s gotta away from it in Boston for some reason. I still think he has big potential, but I’m lowering my percentages on him reaching it
|
| 2:51 |
Thoughts on Shoemaker ROS? He looked good last night vs SD |
| 2:52 |
: Needs to command his stuff to be good otherwise it’s REALLY bad. There isn’t much in between
|
| 2:52 |
Gotta be new record for length of chat! Thanks! B. Hamilton BABIP .240 & OBP is .257. Last year BABIP .304. All other peripherals look like last year. Does that mean he can be a .317 OBP ROS? |
| 2:53 |
: I’ve done much longer! Yes he can be. He’ll probably start getting more infield hits, too. But I wouldn’t expect much more than that .317 barring some real skills development
|
| 2:53 |
ROS: Dee Gordon vs. Jose Altuve |
| 2:54 |
: Tie? Do I have to pick? Both elite. Love both. If forced, gimme Altuve by a hair rest of way, but really have a hard time splitting these two
|
| 2:54 |
Looks like the Bucs are saving Cole from a tough lose. Early season Cy Young candidate |
| 2:54 |
: Loving it. The ace transformation is happening. Was between he and Wacha for my NL Cy since I was trying to avoid chalk Kershaw
|
| 2:54 |
If the Jays would get some save opportunities then Cecil would be out and Osuna in as closer by now. |
| 2:55 |
: Maybe, but Cecil has a 1.29 ERA and 9 Ks in 7 IP this month. He’s been v. good
|
| 2:55 |
Is the difference in value between tv w/blackouts and radio w/out blackouts really 75 bucks a year? |
| 2:55 |
: I guess so?
|
| 2:56 |
BTW, thanks for always chatting for so long! Really appreciated. |
| 2:56 |
: No problem. I enjoy chatting.
|
| 2:56 |
Javier Baez gonna get the call sometime soon? |
| 2:56 |
: Where’s he going to play?
|
| 2:56 |
Billy Burns or DeShields in OBP League ROS? |
| 2:56 |
: DDS
|
| 2:56 |
Do you expect a full bounce back for Yan Gomes |
| 2:57 |
: More or less, yeah. I have him 7th rest of way, more bc of risers like Grandal, Martin, and Vogt as opposed to disbelief in him returning (had Gomes 3 to start season) http://www.fangraphs.com/fa…
|
| 2:57 |
Better $1 Keeper in a 5×5 AL only, Pomeranz or Kiermaier? |
| 2:57 |
: Kiermaier
|
| 2:58 |
Send Bauer, Liriano, or Salazaar for Gattis? Too much? |
| 2:58 |
: All should get it done by themselves. Not sure it’s too high, especially if you believe Gattis will be better rest of way. I’d prefer to deal Salazar most of the three.
|
| 2:58 |
what are your thoughts on guys like Kemp, Heyward and Yelich? Think any of them end up having the year we hope they do? thanks. |
| 3:00 |
: I wasn’t too high on Kemp coming in as I bought into the concerns around the hips. I’d love to be wrong and see him dominate, but it’s not looking good. Also didn’t see the power surge many saw for Yelich, but I think he can at least be his ’14 self rest of way (prorated obviously). Heyward is maddening. I’m still a believer, but really need to see some results soon or the love will wane
|
| 3:00 |
Javy Baez Javy Baez Javy Baez. Dingers |
| 3:00 |
I would have lost so much money on so many bets if someone had offered them to me prior to the season about the Twins performance thus far. (And I’m a Twins fan!) Is there any explanation for them so far? I just don’t get it. |
| 3:00 |
: Right?
|
| 3:01 |
: That was one of the few teams I was certain was bad. I’m still entirely unsold on the rotation as it’s led by Pelfrey and Gibson. However, if Hughes continues to get better and Santana returns as himself, they could cover the regression for the other two. Berrios could be the game-changer they need. Pitching is why I’m super skeptical, but there is a path to remaining relevant
|
| 3:01 |
FYI, Brad Hand is a LHP, thus Polanco sits |
| 3:01 |
: Forgot it was Hand. Just took whomever said that re: him sitting at their word
|
| 3:02 |
Need a SS, who would you take ROS? Segura, A. Escobar, J. Turner, Andrus, or D. Santana? |
| 3:02 |
: Segura is coming back this week I believe and he’s the best bet probably
|
| 3:02 |
Corbin and Matt Moore. Ready to stash? |
| 3:03 |
: Maybe in super-deep, but I’m not expecting much
|
| 3:03 |
Eno Sarris wrote about Hahn’s improved change up. He looks impressive. Also a top 25 pitcher as far as FIP. Think he can finish better than Ian Kennedy?? |
| 3:04 |
: He can, yes. Kennedy is just too much of a HR machine. Pretty much always has been and as his stuff wanes, his margin for error with the HRs shrinks considerably.
|
| 3:04 |
Thoughts on Buck Farmer starting tomorrow? |
| 3:06 |
: Could be solid. Got a little MLB taste last year. Not a huge prospect, but throwing well at Triple-A. I’m intrigued. Deep league consideration (15+ teams). Wait and see in shallower ones
|
| 3:06 |
What kind of bat do you think Familia can return? |
| 3:06 |
: Depends how much need there is for saves, but he’s been fantastic so it should be a pretty good bat. I’d try for like a Charlie Blackmon
|
| 3:06 |
Is Matt Kemp hurt? Petco doesn’t steal that many homers |
| 3:06 |
: I can’t imagine he’s at 100% That’d be scary.
|
| 3:06 |
AL only drop Adam Warren for Rodgriguez? |
| 3:07 |
: Yeah, you can do that. E-Rod might not be better than Warren if he proves to not be ready, but there is a real chance he exceeds Warren so it’s a good gamble
|
| 3:07 |
Do you think Cishek will ever get the closer job back? |
| 3:07 |
: I dunno, man. Ramos could be a stud.
|
| 3:07 |
Is Utley buy low in an NL only? |
| 3:08 |
: Yeah, should still be able to, too, despite a .345 AVG and .919 OPS in his last 17 games. Just couldn’t be as bad as we saw in April/early-May barring major injury that he was hiding or something. Just seemed impossible that he was 100% toast
|
| 3:08 |
Thoughts on CarGo ROS? I just bought low b/c I’m near the bottom and looking for that hail mary |
| 3:08 |
: Not a bad Hail Mary, but I think it’s going to go unanswered
|
| 3:08 |
Should I try to sell Doolittle before he plays a game? |
| 3:09 |
: That’s not a bad strategy at times, but you already waited it out and unless you’re getting big value in return, I’d just wait.
|
| 3:09 |
Does it worth waiting for Marisnick or should I trade him? Target? |
| 3:09 |
| 3:09 |
On Uribe-Callaspo: https://s-media-cache-ak0.p… |
| 3:09 |
re: Moss/Moose question: I also have Ortiz in this triple slash, but I feel I can’t cut him even in an 8-teamer. Would you try to trade Ortiz based on name value? maybe package with an overachieving pitcher (Odorizzi) for an high-end SP? |
| 3:10 |
: yes, try that. Otherwise, you can cut him if no one bites. Moose and Moss are just better right now.
|
| 3:10 |
Sandoval or Plouffe ROS? |
| 3:10 |
: Plouffe
|
| 3:10 |
Alex Wood worth rostering in a a 12 team H2H Points league? |
| 3:10 |
: Do you have distinct SP/RP slots and you can slot him in RP to get extra starts over the rest of the league? If so, sure. If not, you could maybe stream him, but I’m not so high on him
|
| 3:11 |
ROS, McCutchen vs Jones |
| 3:11 |
: Cutch
|
| 3:11 |
Kang, Colabello or Burns today only? |
| 3:11 |
: Sorry, way late on this, I presume. I played Kang in DFS
|
| 3:11 |
Dump Heyward for Alex gordon in a keeper? Just soooooooo ready to move on |
| 3:12 |
: You can. Like I said, I love Heyward and I remain on the train, but I understand the frustration and honestly Heyward might end up just being another Gordon which is so far from bad it’s not even funny, but it’s also not elite so it will be seen as disappointing. Take the guy actually playing at Alex Gordon levels right now
|
| 3:12 |
Better DL stash, Gausman or Morrow? Think Gausman starts? |
| 3:12 |
: Morrow for now. Still a Gausman believer long-term, but it’s so uncertain right now
|
| 3:13 |
Who sits in the Nats infield when Anthony Rendon returns? |
| 3:13 |
: Both Yunel and Espinosa take a hit
|
| 3:13 |
I just traded Reyes for Trumbo fair value? |
| 3:14 |
: Speed for power. That’s fine. You have backup SS so you’re good
|
| 3:14 |
Teheran is going to be fine right? His peripherals seem to have fallen off a cliff. |
| 3:15 |
: A lot of this is on him. This isn’t just a stud arm getting unlucky or anything. He’s not pitching to his ’14 level. Missing spots. Getting in bad counts. Just very inconsistent right now and tough to figure out. I can’t go cutting him or anything, but I’m concerned and he’s moved down the ladder for me
|
| 3:15 |
How far has Rendon and Puig’s stock fallen in a keeper league? Rendon has significant injury history, and Puig has hd one every year. What do you think? |
| 3:16 |
: they both have taken a hit for sure. neither have their skills in question, but skills are only good if they’re being used. i still like these types, though, because you’re only some health away from superstar seasons so i’ll still bet on these types over the guys who have the skills potential but need 2-3 things to develop or even that one missing piece.
|
| 3:16 |
Matz make an impact this year? |
| 3:16 |
: Doubtful. Already running six out there. Would take some injuries, but that’s not out of realm given SPs
|
| 3:16 |
Jake Peavy, Jaime Garcia, or Patrick Crobin ROS? |
| 3:16 |
: That’s the order
|
| 3:16 |
Is Tolleson for real? I’m thinking of offering Doolittle for Paredes (Wright on my bench)? Thoughts on both questions? |
| 3:18 |
: Tolleson’s skills are really strong and believable. I think he can hold this the rest of the way. You’re buying high on Paredes, but I think he can be an .800 OPS the rest of the way so that’s still pretty good.
|
| 3:18 |
A misunderstanding from 12:30 gets posted at 3:10. Love chats! |
| 3:18 |
: I’m going as fast as I can
|
| 3:18 |
Turner or Zobrist ROS? |
| 3:18 |
: Z
|
| 3:18 |
I just came back from break and you’re still chatting. You’re now my 2nd favorite chatter behind only Eno. |
| 3:18 |
: Wooo!!!
|
| 3:18 |
Good time to buy low on Puig right now? |
| 3:19 |
: Probably won’t get much lower, so yeah
|
| 3:19 |
Answer to Sandoval WAR question is league and replacement adjustments. |
| 3:19 |
Hughes or Lohse ROS? |
| 3:19 |
: Still Hughes, but I think Lohse will be “himself” or very close to it for the rest of the way. Looked like he was on the track before getting crushed again. Needs fewer meltdowns (they both do, really). Bottom line is they’re closer than they were to start the season as Hughes has moved down my list (after starting REALLY high…)
|
| 3:20 |
Need to move one. Who do you like ROS: Ian Desmond or Brandon Crawford? Do we see significant regression to the mean on either? |
| 3:21 |
: I think Desmond will get better, but I’m buying the Crawford surge. He’ll drop some, but I don’t see him cratering. They’re much closer than they were to start the season. My real concern on Desmond is the speed. Without that, he’s not the prime asset I thought he was.
|
| 3:22 |
Fangraphs just tweeted out an ICYMI for your chat… |
| 3:22 |
: As if it’s done?
|
| 3:22 |
Fangraphs just tweeted the ICYMI link to this chat. |
| 3:23 |
Bryce Harper has more NL ASG votes than anyone and is also the only National in the top 5 in any position |
| 3:23 |
Thoughts on what Moncada could be? What position he will be at? |
| 3:24 |
: Really tough to say right now. The ceiling is sky-high, though. I’d lean on the prospect guys there. My bandwidth is such that I don’t really start paying attention until Double-A when it comes to in-season. I can only really dedicate to MLB and Triple-A with some strong Double-A knowledge. In the offseason, I study the really low minors prospects, but in season, I lean on the prospect folks
|
| 3:24 |
Is Steven Matz worth the speculative add in 12-team non-keeper roto, or waiver wire the better play? Need SP |
| 3:24 |
: Nah. Where’s he gonna pitch? 7-man rotation?
|
| 3:24 |
Does Jaime Garcia stay healthy through June? |
| 3:25 |
: I’d bet against just because the odds are probably -2000 that he gets hurt. I hate to predict that for someone, too
|
| 3:25 |
What would Haren cost in a trade? Mariners could sure use some pitching depth. I’m assuming Seattle qualifies under Haren’s strong desire to play on the west coast. Would a B level prospect get it done? |
| 3:25 |
Preston Tucker? I can make a hat, a broach, a pterdacktyl…. |
| 3:25 |
: I don’t get that
|
| 3:25 |
Looking for saves going forward should I target Doolittle |
| 3:25 |
: I can’t imagine it’d take even that.
|
| 3:25 |
: I think you can. I’m a big fan. Velo needs to tick up from minor league rehab, but it’s early in his season so I’m not worried. I think he’ll be great
|
| 3:25 |
Moncada or Wong/Hechavarria in a Dynasty? |
| 3:26 |
: Gimme the duo. Moncada is so far from delivering.
|
| 3:26 |
Adam Warren.. You Buying? |
| 3:27 |
: Not much to buy, tbh. Been league average results-wise with weak component numbers. Sell.
|
| 3:27 |
Angel Pagan, Joe Panik, Pompey, or Grichuk? Which one do I drop in a 20 teamer keeper league? |
| 3:27 |
: Pompey. Other three are all playing. Pompey showed he wasn’t ready and isn’t exactly ripping through Triple-A. Tough to let go, but you need to focus on the now
|
| 3:27 |
Who of these fellows do you like ROS, Hendricks, Shoemaker, Folty, Jaime Garcia? |
| 3:28 |
: That’s probably the order. Folty has some big upside if the command jumps forward, but I’m betting on more inconsistency throughout the year
|
| 3:28 |
Price, Greinke, Gio, Lackey, Hutchison, Pomeranz, Chavez, McCullers & Morton….drop any for EdRo? |
| 3:28 |
: Nah.
|
| 3:28 |
Hey Paul, big fan of these chats. Thanks for your time. Was wondering what your opinion was on Yoan Moncada. Since he is so raw and a bit aways he is a tough player to value right now. I own Moncada in a Dynasty league and have been offered Wong/Hechavarria for him. Take the current value? Or keep the potential star? |
| 3:29 |
: Be careful on your raft. Check out my thoughts on Moncada just a little above this question. Too far out to get tooo psyched about just yet
|
| 3:29 |
And I know I’m splitting hairs, but would rather own Blackmon or Bruce as your third outfielder? Also any thoughts about taking a flyer on P. Tucker? |
| 3:29 |
: Blackmon. Like tucker, but not over these guys. As a bench option, sure
|
| 3:29 |
Thoughts on Kyle Hendricks? Streamer or rosterable in a 10 team mixed? |
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
I want to roster all of these in a standard 10 team roto non keeper. Mccullers, Folty, Roark, Bauer, Carlos Martinez, buck farmer and now Eduardo Rodriguez. First in ERA and Whip, so i can take on the risk. can you rank for me?