2013 FanGraphs Staff Predictions by Dave Cameron March 29, 2013 After last year’s rousing success that included tabbing Albert Pujols for AL MVP, Devin Mesoraco for Rookie of the Year, and Arizona as the National League champions, we’ve decided to make fools of ourselves again. Yes, predictions are basically worthless, even ours. Yes, they’re still kind of fun, and provide a useful reminder of what we all thought was true before the season started. So, here’s the FanGraphs Staff predicting 2013. AL West: Texas AL Central: Detroit AL East: Rays AL Wild Card: Angels AL Wild Card: Blue Jays The Rays and Blue Jays actually tied with 15 votes apiece as the AL East winners, but Tampa Bay got more votes as a WC team, so they got stronger playoff support overall, so I used that as the tiebreaker, which pushed Toronto into the second wild card spot. AL MVP: Evan Longoria AL CY Young: Justin Verlander AL ROY: Aaron Hicks 10 different players got AL MVP votes, as there are a number of fine candidates who could plausibly win. Longoria edged out Mike Trout with two extra votes. On the pitching side, only six different hurlers were picked, with Verlander getting one more vote than Yu Darvish. Hicks edges out Jurickson Profar for AL ROY, likely because Hicks has a job and Profar does not. That six people still think Profar will win the award without a clear path to the Majors speaks to how impressive a prospect he really is. The full grids, in order for you to point and mock later. Author AL West AL Central AL East AL Wild Card AL Wild Card Al Skorupa Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rays Rangers Bill Petti Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels Blake Murphy Rangers Tigers Rays Blue Jays Angels Bradley Woodrum Rangers Tigers Rays Blue Jays Angels Brandon Warne Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels Brett Talley Angels Tigers Rays Blue Jays Rangers Bryan Grosnick Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rangers Rays Carson Cistulli Angels Tigers Yankees Rangers Blue Jays Chad Young Angels Tigers Rays Rangers Athletics Chris Cwik Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels Colin Zarzycki Rangers Tigers Rays Angels Indians Dan Wade Angels Tigers Rays Blue Jays Rangers Dave Cameron Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels David Appelman Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rangers Rays David Laurila Angels Tigers Rays Rangers Indians David Wiers Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Athletics Rays Eno Sarris Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Angels Indians Howard Bender Angels Tigers Rays Rangers Royals Jack Moore Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rangers Yankees Jeff Zimmerman Rangers Tigers Rays Angels Yankees Jeremy Blachman Rangers Tigers Rays Athletics Royals Jesse Wolfersberger Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels Marc Hulet Rangers Tigers Rays Blue Jays Angels Michael Barr Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rays Rangers Mike Petriello Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Angels Rays Mike Podhorzer Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels Patrick Dubuque Rangers Tigers Rays Blue Jays Athletics Paul Swydan Rangers Tigers Rays Angels Athletics Steve Staude. Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rangers Rays Wendy Thurm Angels Tigers Rays Blue Jays Rangers Zach Sanders Angels Tigers Rays Blue Jays Rangers And the award winners. Author AL MVP AL CY AL ROY Al Skorupa Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Jackie Bradley, Jr. Bill Petti Mike Trout Justin Verlander Jurickson Profar Blake Murphy Evan Longoria Yu Darvish Brandon Maurer Bradley Woodrum Robinson Cano Justin Verlander Jurickson Profar Brandon Warne Evan Longoria Yu Darvish Leonys Martin Brett Talley Jose Bautista David Price Jurickson Profar Bryan Grosnick Evan Longoria R.A. Dickey Brandon Maurer Carson Cistulli Mike Trout Yu Darvish Conor Gillaspie Chad Young Miguel Cabrera Yu Darvish Aaron Hicks Chris Cwik Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Jurickson Profar Colin Zarzycki Mike Trout Felix Hernandez Jackie Bradley, Jr. Dan Wade Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Aaron Hicks Dave Cameron Jose Bautista Yu Darvish Kevin Gausman David Appelman Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Aaron Hicks David Laurila Albert Pujols David Price Kevin Gausman David Wiers Jose Reyes Justin Verlander Aaron Hicks Eno Sarris Adrian Beltre Yu Darvish Aaron Hicks Howard Bender Evan Longoria Yu Darvish Jackie Bradley, Jr. Jack Moore Robinson Cano Yu Darvish Aaron Hicks Jeff Zimmerman Prince Fielder Yu Darvish Aaron Hicks Jeremy Blachman Josh Hamilton David Price Aaron Hicks Jesse Wolfersberger Jose Bautista Justin Verlander Jurickson Profar Marc Hulet Robinson Cano Felix Hernandez Aaron Hicks Michael Barr Albert Pujols Yu Darvish Jurickson Profar Mike Petriello Mike Trout Justin Verlander Leonys Martin Mike Podhorzer Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Leonys Martin Patrick Dubuque Mike Trout Felix Hernandez Aaron Hicks Paul Swydan Adrian Beltre CC Sabathia Jackie Bradley, Jr. Steve Staude. Mike Trout Justin Verlander Wil Myers Wendy Thurm Mike Trout Felix Hernandez Wil Myers Zach Sanders Miguel Cabrera David Price Aaron Hicks And now, for the Senior Circuit. NL West: Giants NL Central: Reds NL East: Nationals NL Wild Card: Braves NL Wild Card: Cardinals The division winners were all pretty clear, but the Wild Card was tougher, as the Braves, Cardinals, and Dodgers all got a decent amount of support from our authors. In the end, 25 of the 31 voters had Atlanta making the playoffs, so they secured the first wild card spot, and then the Cardinals edged out the Dodgers for the final playoff spot with a few extra votes. NL MVP: Joey Votto NL Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg NL ROY: Shelby Miller Votto got 14 of the 31 votes for MVP, while the next highest vote getter was Buster Posey with four. I’d call that a runaway. Strasburg dominated the pitching side of the equation as well, getting 16 votes, while six different pitchers showed up on just one ballot. Shelby Miller rounded out the blowouts, getting 14 of the ROY votes, with Jedd Gyorko finishing a distant second. Author NL West NL Central NL East NL Wild Card NL Wild Card Eno Sarris Giants Cardinals Braves Nationals Reds Al Skorupa Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Giants Mike Petriello Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals Steve Staude. Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Giants Patrick Dubuque Dodgers Reds Nationals Giants Cardinals David Wiers Dodgers Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds Blake Murphy Giants Reds Nationals Cardinals Braves Howard Bender Giants Reds Braves Nationals Cardinals David Laurila Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Giants Bryan Grosnick Dodgers Cardinals Nationals Reds Diamondbacks Brett Talley Diamondbacks Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals Chris Cwik Giants Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals Chad Young Giants Reds Nationals Braves Dodgers Carson Cistulli Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Diamondbacks Bill Petti Giants Reds Nationals Cardinals Braves Jesse Wolfersberger Dodgers Cardinals Nationals Reds Giants Dave Cameron Diamondbacks Cardinals Nationals Giants Reds Dan Wade Dodgers Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds Mike Podhorzer Giants Reds Nationals Braves Dodgers Zach Sanders Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds Michael Barr Giants Reds Nationals Braves Dodgers Jeff Zimmerman Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Dodgers Wendy Thurm Giants Reds Nationals Dodgers Braves Paul Swydan Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Padres Bradley Woodrum Giants Reds Nationals Cardinals Dodgers Brandon Warne Dodgers Reds Nationals Giants Braves Jack Moore Giants Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals Colin Zarzycki Giants Reds Nationals Braves Dodgers David Appelman Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals Jeremy Blachman Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds Marc Hulet Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds And the awards. Author NL MVP NL CY NL ROY Eno Sarris Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Adam Eaton Al Skorupa Justin Upton Stephen Strasburg Adam Eaton Mike Petriello Buster Posey Clayton Kershaw Jedd Gyorko Steve Staude. Joey Votto Clayton Kershaw Jedd Gyorko Patrick Dubuque Matt Kemp Clayton Kershaw Jedd Gyorko David Wiers Justin Upton Jeff Samardzija Jedd Gyorko Blake Murphy Buster Posey Stephen Strasburg Jedd Gyorko Howard Bender Jason Heyward Stephen Strasburg Jedd Gyorko David Laurila Jason Heyward Stephen Strasburg Jedd Gyorko Bryan Grosnick Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Jedd Gyorko Brett Talley Joey Votto Johnny Cueto Julio Teheran Chris Cwik Bryce Harper Matt Cain Julio Teheran Chad Young Joey Votto Matt Cain Julio Teheran Carson Cistulli Troy Tulowitzki Stephen Strasburg Julio Teheran Bill Petti Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Oscar Taveras Jesse Wolfersberger Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Oscar Taveras Dave Cameron Bryce Harper Adam Wainwright Shelby Miller Dan Wade Bryce Harper Clayton Kershaw Shelby Miller Mike Podhorzer Joey Votto Clayton Kershaw Shelby Miller Zach Sanders Joey Votto Clayton Kershaw Shelby Miller Michael Barr Joey Votto Cliff Lee Shelby Miller Jeff Zimmerman Ryan Zimmerman Jordan Zimmermann Shelby Miller Wendy Thurm Joey Votto Madison Bumgarner Shelby Miller Paul Swydan Andrew McCutchen Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller Bradley Woodrum Buster Posey Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller Brandon Warne Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller Jack Moore Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller Colin Zarzycki Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller David Appelman Ryan Zimmerman Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller Jeremy Blachman Ryan Zimmerman Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller Marc Hulet Buster Posey Clayton Kershaw Yasiel Puig