Archive for April, 2013

Zone% by Batting Order Position

Giancarlo Stanton is struggling and Giancarlo Stanton’s teammates are terrible. These two things are true. These two might be related. It would make sense that these things are related, because the drop-off from Giancarlo Stanton to the guys hitting behind him is absurdly large.

Stanton has played in 16 games this season, and has hit third in all 16 of those games. The cleanup spot behind him has been a rotation of Greg Dobbs (8 games), Placido Polanco (5 games), and Joe Mahoney (3 games). If you go by the rest-of-season ZIPS projections, Mahoney is the best hitter of the bunch, forecast for a .677 OPS, with Dobbs and Polanco both coming in at .650. Weighted for the number of games played, then, you could say that Stanton has been “protected” by three players with an aggregate OPS projection of .665, a 269 point drop off from his own .934 rest-of-season ZIPS forecast.

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Changing Approaches: Youkilis, Young, and Seager

It’s still April and the samples are still small, but we’re over 10 percent of the way into the 2013 season and a few statistics are beginning to stabilize. Approach-related statistics in particular are starting to reach the point where the regression can be a little less aggressive. Swing rate begins to tell a bit of a story after just 50 plate appearances, for instance.

It’s a pretty intuitive result — the batter’s choice to swing is less dependent on pitcher quality and independent of fielder quality. By now, qualified players are in the 75-100 plate appearance range, and so we can get an idea of who is making a big change to their approach this year.

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Mike Newman Prospects Chat – 4/26/13

11:49
Mike Newman: Hello all. While you wait, check out my site, http://www.rotoscouting.com/, and get acquainted if you haven’t already!

11:50
JD Sussman: I’ll be joining Mike today. Try to contain your excitement.

11:50
Mike Newman: We’ll begin in about ten minutes, but let’s review the ground rules. In general, I’ll stick to players I’ve seen/spoken to contacts about. If I don’t answer your question, that’s probably the reason. I promise it’s nothing personal.

11:51
Mike Newman: Oh yeah, and JD is joining me today. Somebody had the nerve to ask for him or Marc last week like I wasn’t good enough on my own. (Just kidding of course)

11:59
Comment From Hawk Tyson
Any good under the radar prospects to put on my watch list in a deep 70 man roster league?

12:00
Mike Newman: Check my piece on Ynoa from about an hour ago. He’ll pique your interest in a league that deep. The primary focus of my newsletter is to unearth the type of player you are looking for while on the road and share it quickly with subs. You might want to check it out.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/mets-ynoa-and-lara-add-to-dominican-pitching-pipeline/

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Mets’ Ynoa and Lara Add to Dominican Pitching Pipeline

The Mets boast a quartet of Dominican arms who rank among the top-15 prospects in the organization. Jeurys Familia, Rafael Montero, Luis Mateo and Domingo Tapia are off to strong starts. And with Rainy Lara and Gabriel Ynoa pitching well in Savannah, the core of young, Dominican arms will only continue to grow.

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Daily Notes: Baseball Information for the Reader’s Enjoyment

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Three Notable Pacific Coast League Peformances
2. SCOUT Leaderboards: Triple-A Pacific Coast League
3. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
4. Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning Percentages

Three Notable Pacific Coast League Peformances
The leaderboards for the Triple-A Pacific Coast League are below. Here are brief notes on three players from those leaderboards.

• On Wednesday, the author sang the body Wilmer Flores (currently fifth on the prospect-age batting leaderboard below) as part of the second installment of a weekly column called The Fringe Five. In summary: he (i.e. Flores) is only 21 and controls the hell out of the strike zone.

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Dollars & Sense: A Round-Up Of Baseball Business News

Some weeks, there are major developments in the business of baseball — like a team signing a new local TV contract. Some weeks, there are little developments on the big developments. My posts tend to focus on the big developments, but that leaves you in the dark on the little developments, unless those little developments become big developments down the road.

This week has been full of little developments in stories I’ve written. Rather than wait until they blossom into big developments — if that ever happens — I’ll run them down here.

StubHub loses fight in California Legislature

On Tuesday,  I wrote about a bill pending in the California State Assembly that would prohibit ticket sellers from placing restrictions on ticket re-sales, like what the Los Angeles Angels have done this season. The Assembly Committee on Arts, Entertainment, Sports, Tourism and Internet Media had a hearing on the bill Tuesday morning and were none too pleased with its provisions. The Committee gutted the bill, and left in only the provision to outlaw computerized ticket-buying software that brokers often use to scoop up tickets to high-demand events. The Committee is stacked with members from southern California, where the entertainment industry holds tremendous sway, so the bill’s demise isn’t surprising.

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Prospect Stock Watch – 04/26/13

Another week, another update on the prospects worth knowing — for both good and bad reasons — from around Minor League Baseball…

Tim Berry, LHP, Baltimore: You can’t get drafted any later than the 50th round… in fact, the amateur draft doesn’t even go that long anymore. But that’s where the Orioles found Berry, an up-and-coming prospect in Baltimore’s system. Prior to the 2013 season, I ranked the southpaw as the 12th best prospect in the system and he’s working hard to ascend that ranking.

Berry, 22, has made four starts at the high-A ball level and has accumulated 27 strikeouts in 22.0 innings of work. He’s also walked just four batters and allowed 16 hits. He has solid control and improving command of a repertoire that includes a fastball with average velocity, a solid changeup and a curveball with plus potential. He’s a prospect that definitely deserves some attention.

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Effectively Wild Episode 190: The Ike Davis Enigma/Trading Prospects Straight Up for Stanton

Ben and Will discuss the confusing career of Ike Davis, then talk about whether there are any prospects teams wouldn’t trade straight up for Giancarlo Stanton.


FanGraphs Audio: Dayn Perry Ends Comedy

Episode 329
Dayn Perry is a contributor to CBS Sports’ Eye on Baseball and the author of three books, now — one of them serviceable and one of them, against all odds, something more than serviceable. He’s also the guest on this edition of FanGraphs Audio.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 51 min play time.)

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The Man Right in Front of Josh Hamilton

Earlier Thursday, Dave Cameron made a simple observation regarding the Los Angeles Angels and their batch of position players:

All right, neat. Now keep that in mind as we go forward.

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