Tonight’s All-Star game was by far the lowest scoring All-Star game in the past 5 years, but it certainly did make for an exciting Win Probability graph thanks to Michael Young’s 2-out, 2-run triple in the top of the ninth. The National League was very close to pulling out a win, but in the end they still remain without a win in the past decade.

Away |
|
Home |
|
M Rivera |
21.9 |
S Kazmir |
5.2 |
B Zito |
5.2 |
J Santana |
4.9 |
B Ryan |
3.5 |
K Rogers |
0.0 |
R Halladay |
-0.9 |
|
|
T Gordon |
12.7 |
D Turnbow |
10.0 |
B Fuentes |
8.3 |
B Arroyo |
7.3 |
B Webb |
6.5 |
R Oswalt |
5.7 |
B Penny |
0.0 |
T Hoffman |
-60.7 |
|
|
|
|
M Young |
59.1 |
P Konerko |
11.1 |
V Guerrero |
6.7 |
G Matthews Jr |
6.1 |
V Wells |
0.6 |
M Ordonez |
-1.9 |
T Glaus |
-2.4 |
D Ortiz |
-3.2 |
A Rodriguez |
-3.8 |
I Rodriguez |
-3.9 |
J Thome |
-4.9 |
M Tejada |
-5.8 |
M Loretta |
-5.9 |
I Suzuki |
-6.2 |
D Jeter |
-6.4 |
J Dye |
-7.7 |
J Mauer |
-9.3 |
G Sizemore |
-12.0 |
|
|
C Beltran |
17.5 |
D Wright |
4.4 |
A Soriano |
2.2 |
L Berkman |
2.1 |
C Utley |
0.3 |
D Eckstein |
-1.2 |
B McCann |
-1.5 |
J Bay |
-2.1 |
M Holliday |
-4.6 |
A Pujols |
-5.7 |
P Lo Duca |
-7.2 |
R Howard |
-7.5 |
E Renteria |
-9.7 |
F Sanchez |
-11.8 |
C Lee |
-15.0 |
|
When Beltran singled and Soriano got thrown out at the plate, how is that scored? Does Beltran get credit for making it 1-3 one out, then Soriano get penalized for making it man on second two out? Or does the whole play of man on second 1 out to man on second 2 out get credited to Beltran? It’s not clear from the graph.