Baltimore Should Open The Market

The Baltimore Orioles are a shocking 17 games out of first place. Part of it is that they’ve played really poorly, but that has been compounded with Tampa Bay playing excellent baseball and opening up a canyon sized gap despite the calendar still reading May. However, while their playoff odds may be zero due in large part because of the division they play in, the fact still remains that the Orioles hold no realistic chance of playing baseball in October of this year.

With that being made clear so quickly, the Orioles should take advantage of the one silver lining in the cloud that is their 2010 season – the ability to be the first seller to market.

Over the last few weeks, we’ve heard multiple GMs explaining that there simply isn’t a market of available players yet. The oft-quoted principle of the first third of the season being for evaluating your roster has spread, and historically, there have been very few significant trades made before June. Organizations are reticent to wave the white flag too early in a given season, and prefer to wait until summer before becoming sellers.

This reluctance to trade, quite simply, an opportunity for the Orioles. They have several pieces who could be of interest to potential contenders who need to improve sooner than later, and could peddle the likes of Kevin Millwood, Luke Scott, Ty Wigginton, and Miguel Tejada without any serious competition from other teams who will join the market in a month or two.

Being the only seller in a market where there is demand for players can only be a good thing for the Orioles. While they have some attractive pieces, players like Wigginton won’t stand up as well once the market gets crowded with better players being made available. Right now, he would be the best right-handed hitter any team could acquire, though that almost certainly won’t be true in July.

There’s no point in waiting any longer. The Orioles should let every GM know that their players are available, and they’re willing to deal. They might not be selling grade A premium beef, but there’s a reason Taco Bell does so well at 2 am – they’re the only ones open.





Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.

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JR
13 years ago

I wonder when the Mariners will realize that their situation is a poor man’s version of the Rays-O’s and similarly begin marketing their non-Ichiro players of value?

joser
13 years ago
Reply to  JR

With the notable exception of Lee, the “non-Ichiro” players are either ones they want to keep or ones no one else wants either. About their only non-Lee trade piece of any value is Aardsma — and there just aren’t many contending teams desperate enough for a closer yet to give up anything of value.

dickey simpkins
13 years ago
Reply to  JR

Yes, teams are just lining up to acquire Jose Lopez.

JR
13 years ago

What, you mean Brandon League isn’t a valuable trade chip? It was in jest.

All the great moves by Jack Z haven’t exactly had the Midas Touch. The team is a morbidly interesting combination of core pieces (Felix, Ichiro, Figgins, and maybe Gutierrez) and spare parts that have more value to the Mariners (because they lack backup depth at the positions) than any other team. And that’s hoping that Figgins doesn’t have Atkins disease. Maybe they get something for Lopez and Aardsma, but aside from Lee there are no other Mariners that another team needs more than the Mariners themselves.

I’m excited to see what happens when they just dump Griffey, Sweeney and Bradley.

joser
13 years ago

There’s no “maybe” about Gutierrez.

I doubt they drop Bradley. There’s still a chance they can get some value out of him over this season and next. The Hugging Platoon will probably find itself on the DL in stages rather than being dropped. After all, there are still several more Griffey giveaway nights this season, and how else to they get butts in seats this summer now that the whole “win games” thing is off the table?

Jason B
13 years ago

“Morbidly interesting?”

JH
13 years ago
Reply to  JR

I wonder when people will be able to read a Dave Cameron article without immediately making it about the Mariners.

joser
13 years ago
Reply to  JH

Probably never. Between all the spill-over from USSMariner, and all the people who want to hate on Cameron no matter what he writes, you’re going to have people going off on M’s-centric tangents no matter what.

JR
13 years ago
Reply to  JH

I think Cameron’s a good writer, and a smart analyst, but there are O’s fans who still spit on Jeffrey Maier’s name. That’s the sort of reaction I have to the myopia there is regarding the Mariners outlook (like their organizational ranking).