Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat – 7/6/20
2:00 |
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2:01 |
: I’m going to answer a few questions while I make a delicious soda stream seltzer water, so I’ll probably be a bit slow at the start.
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2:01 |
: Lots of baseball to cover today, though.
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2:01 |
: Or, attempt to cover, only to be frustrated by delays in mailing our tests.
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2:01 |
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2:01 |
: Yeah, the past week hasn’t been great!
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2:02 |
: On one hand, a chunk of players testing positive isn’t that bad of news from my perspective, given that a lot of them tested positive for COVID for non-team-related reasons; they had just gotten it while living their lives.
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2:02 |
: On the other hand, the league’s testing protocol looking inept is not good.
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2:02 |
: Did you know that it’s harder to mail stuff on holiday weekends?
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2:02 |
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2:03 |
: And I don’t work in the professional mailing of important-to-mail things
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2:04 |
: But yeah, I’m less confident in things working out than I was a week ago. Not because too many players have tested positive, but because the league seems less prepared than I’d expect
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2:04 |
: It’s not a surprise that you might need special FedEx service on the fourth of July, guys
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2:04 |
: Ben how does the delay in Covid testing impact the start of the season?
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2:04 |
: For now, I don’t think it does.
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2:05 |
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2:05 |
: Someone in Dan’s chat mentioned the MLB keeping the names of positive-tested players confidential. I’ve seen player notes on fantasy sites citing “pending issues”, “a condition preventing him from reporting”, etc. Was that confidentiality part of the agreement to play this year? What’s the point?
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2:05 |
: I believe it’s some kind of HIPAA thing
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2:06 |
: Given that it’s a non-baseball-related injury, I’m pretty sure that the CBA defines those differently in terms of reporting
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2:06 |
: It’s something that we have talked about at FanGraphs on the editorial side; it feels pretty icky to be speculating about who has contracted a potentially deadly illness if the players don’t want to talk about it
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2:07 |
: Obviously you can’t expect the world to follow that protocol, because yeah, that’s just not how the world works.
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2:07 |
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2:08 |
: But I would just say, maybe don’t speculate? It doesn’t get you much, and if the players want to say what’s going on with them, they will.
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2:08 |
: With players opting out, or getting sick, do we have a better chance of a Manny (or another over the hill player) come back in 2020?
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2:08 |
: Bartolo please!
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2:08 |
: I would say not very likely, though
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2:08 |
: Just because of the compressed timeframe
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2:08 |
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2:08 |
: But good luck getting up to speed right now
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2:09 |
: I’m fine with the Extra Innings rule with the shortened season but overall I think it’s kind of a joke. When we get back into a world with a full slate of regular season what’s wrong with ending in a tie after day 12 innings? I know it’s not perfect and after 4 hours feels like a slight but feels like a better outcome than a gimmick. Plus get rid of 17 inning 6 hour games.
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2:09 |
: Yeah, I have no problem with ties. A lot of old-timey baseball people seem to dislike them on principle, but to them I say, you’re just not old-school enough.
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2:09 |
: The 19th century was full of ties!
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2:09 |
: Bob Caruthers looks down on your looking down on ties.
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2:11 |
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2:11 |
: Boy, this is a close one
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2:11 |
: These are maybe my favorite two young pitchers in the game right now
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2:11 |
: I think I’ll take Flaherty, but it’s really close. Buehler’s injury history gives him maybe a little lower floor? But if we’re just talking stats, I might take Buehler despite that, because of the pitcher’s park and the fact that the Dodgers are always going to win a lot
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2:12 |
: It’s going to be really fun watching the two of them compete though.
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2:12 |
: Help me out understanding the shuttle roster. Could you give a brief run down of those players assigned to it i.e. Wander Franco and their availability to the MLB team?
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2:12 |
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2:12 |
: Think of it like a sort of 40-man roster
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2:12 |
: If you’re not on the 60-man, you can’t play or be included in trades this year
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2:13 |
: Can’t take part in organized team scrimmages even, I think, though I’m less certain on the exact implementation.
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2:13 |
: So if you want someone to get consistent reps against good minor league pitching, they need to be on your 60-man
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2:13 |
: If you might trade someone, they need to be on there
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2:13 |
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2:14 |
: Franco likely fits the first category; he’s likely on the list because they want him to play against good pitching and keep developing.
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2:15 |
: It definitely doesn’t mean he’s likely to make the bigs this year. But it does mean that if they have severe injury issues he could.
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2:15 |
: And as to the traded part, he’s not getting traded, don’t fret.
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2:15 |
: Time for your crystal Ball Ben: Over/under 8.5 players who sign a FA deal in 2021 for 3+ guaranteed years. Bonus question…what does Ozuna end up doing. Obviously so much can change but this off-season is definitely going to be interesting
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2:15 |
: Hm
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2:16 |
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2:16 |
: From Gerrit Cole all the way down to Josh Lindblom.
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2:17 |
: I’ll say over, but I think that AAV’s will be way down, justifiably so.
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2:17 |
: If a player goes on the IL can the player be replaced on the 60 man roster?
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2:18 |
: Yes, however, only for COVID-related IL. And then when they come back, as I understand it, the players who replaced them will need to leave the roster when they come back
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2:19 |
: And the only ways to leave the roster are weird nonsense like retirement and military service
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2:19 |
: So teams are really incentivized to never remove players
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2:19 |
: What are the odds that a truly star level player (Mike Trout?) opts out of the season? Would that impact the perception of the season more than covid already has?
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2:19 |
: This seems like a really tough thing to speculate about, so let me stipulate that my error bars are huge here
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2:19 |
: But, 25%?
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2:21 |
: To be clear, opting out seems like a reasonable option for many established stars
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2:21 |
: But baseball players LOVE baseball
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2:21 |
: Don’t underestimate that
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2:21 |
: J Montgomery indicated that Tanaka’s getting hit in the head was a “one in a million” thing. I’m not going to argue with his scholarship, but are there any numbers on how frequent this does happen in the MLB (practice or game situations)?
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2:23 |
: I’ve never seen any such statistics. One in a million might not even be wrong — there were 730k pitches last year and nothing like this.
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2:23 |
: It’s certainly not impossible, and also not probable
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2:23 |
: And goodness I hope he’s okay, that was scary
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2:23 |
: Who do you think has the highest ceiling/makes the biggest impact this season out of Jesse Winker, Sam Hilliard, and Randy Arozarena?
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2:23 |
: Winker, b/c of the DH. I am reallllly high on Arozarena overall, but I just think that the Reds situation works in Winker’s favor
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2:23 |
: With Margot now on the Rays Arozarena will have less to do.
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2:24 |
: Any Brewers you like a little more after getting to know them as their OOTP GMident?
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2:24 |
: For sure!
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2:24 |
: Brock Holt, lots of random relievers (headlined by Jonathon Feyereisen), Avi Garcia
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2:24 |
: I’m also going to have more knowledge of Brewers prospects than pretty much any other team for a bit now.
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2:25 |
: Kris Bryant says he is more or less ready to extens. How close to 1 can we get his $/WAR?
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2:25 |
: Ha
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2:25 |
: I mean
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2:25 |
: Don’t hold your breath
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2:25 |
: I’m curious to see what happens with Bryant but make no mistake, this year has hardened players’ resolve
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2:25 |
: The league was just so clearly intent on slashing salaries that it really ticked off the players in a way that I haven’t seen in baseball before
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2:26 |
: RE Brewers OOTP: I’ve never played OOTP but enjoy following this article series. Historically Gamel has been stronger vs LHP, and the ratings you shared are not really all that abysmal. Suggestion: Against lefty SPs with reverse splits (Banda?), I’d consider starting Gamel (preserving his plus D in LF) and keeping Braun at 1B over a Holt/Braun or Braun/Taylor combo.
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2:26 |
: I could totally see doing that against reverse split guys
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2:26 |
: The real issue with handedness is that pitchers are generally split-y
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2:26 |
: Research consistently shows that pitchers have more platoon variation than hitters
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2:27 |
: And Gamel is really a plus in the field
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2:27 |
: For now I have Taylor up, because I just needed one body, but I like the idea of keeping Gamel in against reverse split types
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2:27 |
: Could we see a guy like Josh Hader appear in like 50 out of 60 games?
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2:27 |
: A guy like Hader? Sure!
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2:27 |
: Hader? Not likely. Counsell has already said he won’t use him on back-to-back days this year.
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2:28 |
: I think it’d be a one-inning guy who has maybe a little more stamina than you think
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2:28 |
: Like if the Mets decide to make Seth Lugo a one-inning guy, he could pitch way more than expected.
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2:28 |
: Do you think some teams will have stricter internal policies for their players than others? I can see some GMs thinking that keeping players healthy to win games is an important advantage and enforcing stricter policies than MLB as a whole.
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2:28 |
: For SURE
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2:29 |
: I don’t necessarily have a handle on which teams, though the Rays, Dodgers, Yankees, etc. are the usual suspects
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2:30 |
: It’s a real possible advantage, though!
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2:30 |
: I do think that some of it comes down to a team’s culture; getting people to follow rules is tricky
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2:30 |
: Do you think being a part of the 60 man roster is better for top prospects than spending time in the minors would have been this year? How much value is there in being around the big league club/coaches compared to the steady work in AA/AAA?
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2:30 |
: Yeah, I think it’s better
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2:30 |
: It’s not so different from being in the minors
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2:30 |
: In that most teams are just establishing a secondary site and having scrimmages there
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2:31 |
: It will definitely still be steady-ish work
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2:31 |
: And you won’t have the uneven competition issue; everyone there is hand picked by the team
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2:31 |
: So OOTP21 is currently free on xbox game pass, which I have on PC (was given to me as a birthday present). I haven’t played any OOTP is it worth checking out with actual baseball returning, theoretically. Or, is it a huge time sink (I have a toddler and limited free time)
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2:31 |
: Oh good god it’s a huge time sink
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2:31 |
: It’s the kind of time sink I love
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2:31 |
: But yeah to get the most out of it you have to put some time in
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2:31 |
: I thikn of it kind of like Skyrim but for baseball
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2:31 |
: I love it
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2:32 |
: But I wouldn’t commit to playing Skyrim if I had only 4 hours a week to play games
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2:32 |
: And I wouldn’t with OOTP either
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2:32 |
I have a question about the runner on second in extra inning. Do you know if it’ll count as an inherited runner, therefore not counting as an unearned run if the runner scores, or will it count as an unearned run for the pitcher? If it does count as an unearned run, will it affect the pitchers RA9 and RA9-WAR? |
2:32 |
: My understanding is that it will be an unearned run.
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2:32 |
: I know that b-ref has been talking about what they’ll do, hvaen’t seen an answer yet
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2:33 |
: Potentially some kind of adjustment for the run-scoring environment of extras
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2:33 |
: That seems like the easiest solution
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2:33 |
: Have a league average for regular innings and one for extras
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2:33 |
: How hard is it to get an extension done right now? Is all the uncertainty making it impossible to do a new deal? Or do teams and players just look at it as “eh, well pick a number and then prorate/whatever same as for everyone else”?
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2:33 |
: Oh it’s incredibly hard until this season is over.
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2:33 |
: I think teams want more information about whether they might have fans in the stands in 2021
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2:33 |
: Say what you want about whether teams make or lose money this year, and I’ve said plenty
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2:34 |
: If there are going to be no fans in the stands for several years, that severely impacts the economics of the game
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2:34 |
: So teams are probably not making offers that would make sense in the context of a return to regular baseball right now.
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2:34 |
: A 60 game season seems like heaven for in-his-prime Andrew Miller!
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2:34 |
: Yeah
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2:34 |
: Too bad the Cards signed old Andrew Miller
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2:34 |
: But he’s a good example
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2:35 |
: Hader isn’t really the modern analog for that, though. Heck maybe Chad Green will just start every other day this year as an opener!
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2:35 |
: Thought of a new potential stat that can combine offensive production from the batter’s box and on the bases. It’s called Base Running Slugging Percentage (BRSLG) which then can be added into BROPS. BRSLG = (TB + SB – CS)/AB. BROPS = OBP + BRSLG. This way, a single + a stolen base is valued the same as a double, and a single + a caught stealing is valued as nothing at all. I’d love to get an expert’s thought on this. Thanks!
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2:35 |
: Let me think about this one a little bit
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2:35 |
: I mean, the first thing is that a caught stealing isn’t worth -1 base, that’s not quite right.
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2:36 |
: Because that needs to impact OBP as well
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2:37 |
: if you made BROBP (and my friend, let’s work on these names) be H+BB+HBP-CS/PA, that’d be a little bit better
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2:37 |
: The thing is, though, how much better would this stat be than just OPS?
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2:37 |
: OPS gets you so close to all the way there!
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2:38 |
: (this has been my weekly ode to OPS as a sweet and underrated stat)
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2:38 |
: A team name change appears to be coming in Cleveland, what would you rename them to?
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2:38 |
: Sounds like Spiders is in the lead in early suggestions, but what about the Cleveland Naps?
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2:38 |
: Won’t happen but Nap Lajoie is awesome and the concept of a team being named after a player is great too!
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2:38 |
: Any teams that you feel should be looking to line up trades with each other? Feels like Cards/Giants are a great match for some of Cardinals OF depth.
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2:38 |
: Hm, I hadn’t really considered that.
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2:39 |
: I don’t exactly see a match, in that I don’t know who the Giants have who the Cardinals want, but let me ponder
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2:39 |
: It’d have to be pitching, because I think you can make a case that the Cards are better at every position in the field
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2:39 |
: So like, Tyler ROgers? eh
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2:41 |
: Maybe they could match on some more peripheral outfield names like Austin Dean or Justin Williams
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2:41 |
: But I don’t think that’s what you meant.
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2:41 |
: How many ties are we going to have this season at the division level. Chances for a 3 way tie? I think we end with with a few…more than we have had in the past. Maybe 5 across the 2 leagues (including wildcards). Could be a crazy “pre” postseason
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2:42 |
: Jay wrote about this
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2:42 |
: I sure hope it happens
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2:43 |
: Re Cards Giants trade candidates: Tyler Anderson might benefit from some development in the Cardinals system (I 100% stole him from Dan’s Breakout candidate list)
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2:43 |
: Ugh I picked the wrong Tyler!
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2:43 |
: I would think this would give us a grasp on the combined effort of what a guy can do with the bat and on the bases. We can see if a guy with a lower OPS but more stolen bases was better or worse than the guy with a higher OPS and less stolen bases. And yeah, I couldn’t really think of a better name for it.
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2:43 |
: Yeah, I suppose. I just think that at the point that you’re adding that much complexity, why not just use BsR or something
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2:44 |
: Sadly a good rule of thumb is that the stolen bases don’t add that much after accounting for the extra outs
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2:44 |
: Like, you can definitely do it
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2:44 |
: And it would probably add a little bit of precision to our offensive statistics if correctly handled. I just don’t know if it hadds enough, essentially
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2:44 |
: adds*
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2:44 |
: I think Cleveland Spiders is great. We need more teams named after insects and insect-adjacents.
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2:44 |
: Maybe Cleveland should just always be named after a team-voted best player. We’d get one season of the Cleveland Franciscos! And then maybe the Cleveland Biebers? They’d consistently have new jerseys to sell and merchandise to market!
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2:45 |
: This last idea is incredible
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2:45 |
: I would 100% buy one of those jerseye
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2:45 |
: Does it ever feel to you like elite pitching might fall into defined cohorts more than hitting? Looking at HOF level talent, it seems like the pitchers really do come in waves — right now, its Scherzer, Greinke, Verlander, and Kershaw, who are right about the same age. Growing up, it was similar — Maddux, Clemens, Johnson, Pedro. Any idea why that might be? Or confirmation bias on my end, since we generally only talk about someone being at that level when they get late in their career?
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2:45 |
: Hm
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2:45 |
: Time to frantically search for this
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2:46 |
: Kershaw is actually a lot younger than the other guys — he’s 32 and they’re all 35-37
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2:46 |
: But it’s interesting to think about
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2:47 |
: I guess the great pitchers of the 2000’s were also cohort-ish — Halladay, maybe Cliff Lee, CC
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2:47 |
: Chris Sale might fall into the new list, along with maybe Corey Kluber?
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2:48 |
: And they’re all over the place — 31 and 34
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2:49 |
: I think you’re right that some of this is confirmation bias — Pedro is nine years younger than Roger Clemens, but I think of them together to
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2:49 |
: too*
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2:49 |
: Best indoor “bar” game. I’m a huge shuffleboard fan but also love Darts and foosball. Bubble hockey is classic but not as common.
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2:49 |
: Ooh
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2:49 |
: I have to say that I’m down on foosball on this list
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2:49 |
: For me, a bar game has to let you drink a beer while you play
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2:50 |
: So I have shuffleboard at the top, most likely, just like you
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2:50 |
: And darts not far behind
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2:50 |
: But I don’t think foosball really fits, because you can’t relax and carry on a conversation while you play it
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2:50 |
: Is bowling a bar game?
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2:52 |
: I have one open slot to hedge for next year. Do I go with Dalbec or Cruz O’Neil?
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2:52 |
: maybe i’m a suckre but gimme cruz
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2:52 |
: I want an eight foot tall shortstop to work out
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2:53 |
: With company logos appearing on uniforms in addition to the nike swoosh, how awesome would it be if there was a small Fangraphs logo somewhere on there, free of charge, to help the site bounce back with a vengeance?
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2:53 |
: I mean, I’d be into it
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2:53 |
: Less into it: the teams putting that on there instead of getting ad revenue
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2:53 |
: But what the heck, teams aren’t only motivated by profit, right?
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2:53 |
: What kind of contract do you think Stroman gets?
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2:53 |
: I was wondering about this yesterday actually
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2:54 |
: Because as a still-sometime-Cards fan, I’d love to see him on the Cardinals
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2:55 |
: I just don’t have any idea how to handicap this offseason’s contracts
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2:55 |
: I’ll say…. 1/20
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2:55 |
: I think a big issue this offseason is going to be that teams are hesitant to commit long-term money without knowing the fan policy in 2021
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2:56 |
: And also because the new CBA could produce new outlays for young players
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2:56 |
: So there will be a lot more wait-and-see deals
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2:56 |
: If you could have a useless skill in the sports world that wouldn’t actually make you a pro But you could constantly do what would it be? Just a few examples: dunking a basketball, throwing 95+ mph, driving a golf ball 300 yards, bending a soccer ball in from a corner kick
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2:56 |
: I think probably dunking
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2:57 |
: It’s the only one of these I’ve done, albeit a long time ago and not in game situations
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2:57 |
: So I could be wrong
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2:57 |
: But I think the visceral ‘wow’ is there more than the others
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2:57 |
: 95 just looks like a faster 85
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2:57 |
: dunking is not a faster layup
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2:58 |
: I’d also consider being a legit switch hitter, or being really good at juggling a soccer ball, like peak-Ronaldinho level good
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2:58 |
: Doing a flip! I’d take that too
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2:59 |
What random skill would you want?
Dunking (44.8% | 13 votes)
Throw 95 (20.6% | 6 votes)
Drive 300 yards (20.6% | 6 votes)
Bend like Beckham (6.8% | 2 votes)
Flip (6.8% | 2 votes)
Other (0% | 0 votes)
Total Votes: 29
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2:59 |
: Re: offseason contracts. Will be most interesting to see what the players want. This could be a rare instance of wanting a 1 year deal with COVID lingering and CBA expiring. May even “leave” guaranteed money on the table more than normal, no?
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3:00 |
: Yeah it’ll be interesting. I’m not sure what the new CBA will do for veteran salaries; there’s a decent chance that the deal ends up being better for young players than old ones
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3:00 |
: And I don’t know how existing players will think about that
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3:00 |
: Normally everyone wants to cash in, and a new CBA just means more cashing
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3:00 |
: But this one is going to be verrrrrrry hard to handicap
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3:00 |
: Yeah, I’m obsessed with Stroman to the Cubs.I feel like he is built for the big stage, just can’t get enough of his makeup
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3:01 |
: Yeah if it’s a one year deal basically every team in baseball should be in on Stroman
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3:01 |
: I can’t think of a team he wouldn’t help, he’s a ton of fun, and as an added bonus, he’ll immediately be your team’s best player on social media
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3:01 |
: I root for teams more b/c Stroman is on them, for sure
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3:02 |
: Which is a thing I can’t say about all that many baseball players (not zero, just not a ton)
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3:02 |
: Except for the Cubs, who already have Darvish on Twitter!
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3:02 |
: Yeah, Darvish will be tough to top
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3:02 |
: The two-year-delayed Verlander burn is an all-timer
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3:03 |
: But he’s just overall excellent
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3:03 |
: A Darvish/Stroman combo would be awesome
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3:03 |
: It would make up for Jon Lester, who I legit do not enjoy
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3:03 |
To be clear, if a player was owed 20 million in 2020 and is a free agent after 2020, then if playing in 2020 they got a prorated salary (of WAY less than 20 million), it would seem to benefit them NOT to get a year of service time so that now their contract that was for 2020 now pushes back to 2021 and results in the FULL 20 million. Is this how it’s going to work? |
3:03 |
: So my understanding is that the contract is just voided for this year
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3:04 |
: I.e. Ryan Zimmerman will be a free agent after this year, not on a new 1/$2 million deal
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3:04 |
: People can correct me if I’m wrong, but that’s how I’ve read it
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3:04 |
: I say bend it like Beckham for the sport skill. Bring able to hustle people with trick shots would be fun
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3:04 |
: That’s a fair point
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3:05 |
: Maybe I should have included something like ‘make a bank shot in basketball from any angle’
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3:05 |
: never lose a game of horse again
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3:05 |
: Do you envision a lot of managers playing matchups with SP? For example, if Scherzer is scheduled to face Miami, but they then face the Mets the next day, do you think Scherzer would be given an extra days rest, or just get him as many innings as possible?
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3:05 |
: I think you just have to get as many innings as possible, to be honest
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3:05 |
: But that’s just my intuition
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3:06 |
: I haven’t actually sat down to do the math
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3:06 |
: Would depend a bit on how good your 6th starter is
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3:06 |
: Is there anyway a good player who deserves an extension, even a hefty one, looks good getting one now? They’re an old, racist lot but Jets fans are like crazy against Jamal Adams…I can’t imagine it gets better across the landscape…Bet no one gives a shit when teams get a billion dollars for a new stadium tho
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3:07 |
: Yeah – I mean, football isn’t a great analog, but I definitely think this might happen
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3:08 |
: I mean, to some extent, who cares
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3:08 |
: I’m pretty sure Jamal Adams isn’t like dangit, GangGreen0675 on twitter hates me, I’ll never be able to cover anyone again
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3:09 |
: But yeah, generally speaking, the next wave of big money contracts will probably have more fan angst than normal
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3:09 |
: I don’t know if it’s fair to have 95+ listed. If you were left-handed and could throw 95+, you will get every chance to be a pro.
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3:09 |
: Hm, that’s a fair point
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3:09 |
: Let’s specify that you have no control and no secondaries
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3:09 |
: Like you have a 55 mph slider somehow
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3:11 |
: That Cleveland idea with the popular player names is TIGHT
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3:11 |
: I know right? Excellent call by Derek
|
3:11 |
: This chat is usually full of nonsense opinions and me making stupid takes
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3:11 |
: But this is emphatically not that
|
3:11 |
: I’m super into it
|
3:12 |
: Could a 95 mph fastball, 55 mph slider be effective given the massive velocity difference?
|
3:12 |
: If you had the same arm action, maybe?
|
3:12 |
: You wouldn’t, though
|
3:12 |
: You’d look like a regular major leaguer for your fastball and then the kid from rookie of the year for your slider
|
3:12 |
: Ugh I had to vote for dunking. I’m typically a kicker on my rugby team and I can already bend a rugby ball which is harder than a soccer ball IMO. But I’m 6’3″ and I’ve never been able to dunk not because I can’t jump quite high enough to two handed dunk and my hands are about 1/2″ too small to palm a basketball for a single handed dunk which I at least used to be able to jump high enough but I’d always drop the ball.
|
3:12 |
: Oh man I know EXACTLY what you’re talking about
|
3:13 |
: I have long arms but only regular-sized hands, which was a perpetual disappointment to me in basketball
|
3:13 |
: Following up on the Cleveland team name – if this system had already been in place we could have gotten a feel-good team naming after Carlos Carrasco… And also a MLB team named the Cleveland Cookies.
|
3:13 |
: Cleveland could use that idea to pitch to Lindor to keep him around!
|
3:13 |
: Cleveland Cookies
|
3:14 |
: Make me a Carrasco jersey with a sweet cookie logo and I’m buying it right now
|
3:14 |
: What happens in a case scenario of massive outbreak on a single team…say 7-10 players?
|
3:14 |
: Honestly, no idea! Less than that and they’d just keep playing as normal. Probably even at 7-10 they’d just keep playing like normal
|
3:15 |
: Becaues there aren’ really other good options
|
3:15 |
: I think in the extreme, say 15-20 players all testing positive at once, they’d just forfeit
|
3:15 |
: But at that point I wonder if the baseball season would just stop
|
3:16 |
: The odds aren’t particularly high of one team spiking that rate without a lot of cases overall
|
3:16 |
: If the original intent of the Indians name was to honor native americans, they should be the Cleveland Native A’s
|
3:17 |
: Eh, I don’t love it. The problem for me here is that the Indians have the Chief Wahoo baggage
|
3:18 |
: So if you keep the name in this vein, it’s just going to invite the continued usage of the chief
|
3:18 |
: I think you want to make a clean break
|
3:18 |
: thoughts on the schedule matchups that have been reported? Feels like Cardinals May have easiest Schedule with their pool play. AL central could be better but I think I read they are getting more against the royals due to geography.
|
3:18 |
: Yeah agreed with this
|
3:18 |
: NL Central gets the most boost, and whoever gets to play the Royals and Tigers the most gets the most of that boost
|
3:19 |
: Why is Haagen-Dazs so hard to scoop?
|
3:19 |
: Sharp left turn!
|
3:19 |
: I haven’t had Haagen-Dazs in a long time, to be honest
|
3:19 |
: Stupid coastal elites and their stupid coastal elite Ben and Jerry’s
|
3:19 |
: (also my wife is lactose intolerant, a truly cruel fate for a native of Wisconsin, so we err on the side of dairy-free desserts)
|
3:20 |
: Ben and Jerry’s actually sucks. Like, 30-grade ice cream.
|
3:20 |
: Oh I’m gonna have to disagree
|
3:20 |
: I think they’re willdly inconsistent
|
3:20 |
: Liek 75% of their flavors are not good
|
3:20 |
: But the ones that use caramel and peanut butter are almost invariably great
|
3:20 |
: We’re partial to the non-dairy PB and Cookies flavor
|
3:21 |
: Derek your take on ice cream is bad and you should feel bad (insert zoidberg meme here)
|
3:21 |
: Now Derek’s the popular one
|
3:21 |
: Back to the bar game…bowling doesn’t count (because then minigolfBut I forgot Golden Tee! That’s a great one!
|
3:21 |
: Yeah that’s fair — bowling is mini golf basically
|
3:21 |
: Those are the two I’d most want to play, to be clear
|
3:21 |
: But Golden Tee is a true bar game
|
3:21 |
: And I’d take that wayyyy over foostball
|
3:21 |
: I’m really bad at it but I’d love to be good at it
|
3:21 |
: Buck Hunter counts too although I’ve never played it
|
3:21 |
: Photo Hunt, not so much
|
3:22 |
: There are a decent number of bars here with Killer Queen setups but I’m not fancy enough for that
|
3:22 |
: Also the actual bar game I’d want to be best at might be speed quarters, because bouncing a quarter into a shot glass is just tremendously satisfying
|
3:23 |
: But that’s more of a drinking game and less a bar game
|
3:24 |
: Dunking and throw 95 are comfortably ahead of the field in the random sports skill game
|
3:24 |
: Makes sense to me. I’m down on throwing 95 but it’s probably the skill that could most be used in your actual life, just go be great at men’s league
|
3:25 |
: Although I guess drive 300 counts, you’d be sick at your local course
|
3:25 |
: Best outdoor/backyard game then. Just a few Off the top of my head…washers, cornhole, boche ball, that ladder game with ropes that have golf balls tied to them, giant connect four
|
3:25 |
: At our wedding, we had a nice grassy area for the cocktail hour
|
3:25 |
: So we set up cornhole and ladder golf (the rope golf ball game)
|
3:25 |
: We didn’t even consider other games
|
3:25 |
: So I’d put those 1/2, but a lot of that is because they’re so portable
|
3:26 |
: Which is a big game when it comes to a wedding
|
3:26 |
: It wasn’t exactly in our backyard, b/c we don’t have a yard
|
3:26 |
: If you have a nice space for it, Bocce goes on the list for sure
|
3:26 |
: I would take cornhole over ladder golf, but I’m better at ladder golf
|
3:27 |
: Oh, and giant connect four, nah, I’m off it
|
3:27 |
: Gimme Giant Jenga any dya
|
3:27 |
: horseshoes are like a 20 on the 20-80 scale, in case anyone’s wondering
|
3:27 |
: For driving 300, do you have precision or are you just hitting the ball a mile with no control? Also isn’t the better golf skill being a great putter so you could dominate at mini golf?
|
3:27 |
: Presumably not much control, but also not literally zero
|
3:28 |
: And I personally would vastly prefer being good at putting
|
3:28 |
: But I’m not a golfer, so take everything I say with a grain of salt
|
3:29 |
: Driving 300 with little control still helps – I’d rather be 300 yards away from the tee and in a terrible position after 1 stroke than 300 yards away from the tee in a terrible position after 3 or 4 or 5 strokes like I usually am!
|
3:29 |
: That’s kind of my thinking
|
3:29 |
: I follow MGL on twitter, and he’s like an even split of baseball, politics, and golf
|
3:29 |
: I’ve picked up on some of the golf stuff more or less passively
|
3:30 |
: And it seems like people just vastly underrate how valuable hitting the ball a long way is
|
3:30 |
: (which makes sense)
|
3:30 |
: It’s like in baseball, everyone is all about control
|
3:30 |
: But being good involves a lot of velo
|
3:30 |
: How does service time work for rookies this year? How many days off can add a year?
|
3:30 |
: So everything is pro-rated
|
3:31 |
: So take your days of service time and multiply by 186/66 I believe
|
3:31 |
: So the math works out to 6 games off getting you below 170
|
3:31 |
: 6 days off rather
|
3:31 |
: But I’d imagine teams would take it to 10 just to ensure no surprises and no ‘hey this is bad faith’ arguments
|
3:31 |
: Though to be clear it’s very obviously in bad faith
|
3:32 |
: Fair enough. My only golf experience is mini golf so I’d rather be good at that
|
3:32 |
: Oh me too
|
3:32 |
: There’s a bar here in SF that is mini golf indoors with a bar
|
3:32 |
: We had a date planned for it and everything
|
3:32 |
: Bam, COVID’ed
|
3:33 |
: I wonder if it will just never open again 🙁
|
3:33 |
: Love me a little mini golf though
|
3:34 |
: I would not say I’m particularly good, but is anyone particularly good?
|
3:35 |
: Alright now that we’ve essentially turned this into trick shots and drinking games, I’m going to call it a chat. Thanks for hanging out today everyone, and I hope that the coming weeks give us more opportunities to tlak about whimsical fun things and fewer opportunities to talk about how miserable life is.
|
3:35 |
: Have a great day, be safe, and wear a dang mask, though hey, not a single commenter telling me that masks are a joke today, so hat tip to all of you guys
|
Ben is a writer at FanGraphs. He can be found on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.