Bryce Harper Just Keeps Getting Better
Earlier this month I set out to explore an adjustment Bryce Harper has been working on, a sort of lower gear, to ostensibly better allow him to compete against elite velocity and with two strikes.
As of July 26th, the leg-kick-less swing remains, and it continues to get results. It has helped Harper become the best two-strike hitter in baseball this season and it is not particularly close as you can see via FanGraphs leaderboards.
| Name | OPS | ISO | wRC+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryce Harper | 0.931 | 0.264 | 139 |
| 2 | Zack Cozart | 0.860 | 0.197 | 123 |
| 3 | Mike Trout | 0.827 | 0.252 | 123 |
| 4 | Justin Turner | 0.801 | 0.080 | 120 |
| 5 | Jose Ramirez | 0.832 | 0.214 | 118 |
| 6 | Anthony Rendon | 0.819 | 0.181 | 116 |
| 7 | Joey Votto | 0.777 | 0.123 | 111 |
| 8 | Mikie Mahtook | 0.813 | 0.208 | 111 |
| 9 | Scooter Gennett | 0.824 | 0.256 | 109 |
| 10 | Aaron Judge | 0.779 | 0.224 | 109 |
| 11 | George Springer | 0.756 | 0.212 | 102 |
| 12 | Eric Sogard | 0.728 | 0.070 | 102 |
| 13 | Denard Span | 0.748 | 0.163 | 100 |
| 14 | Robinson Cano | 0.727 | 0.181 | 99 |
| 15 | Buster Posey | 0.735 | 0.117 | 99 |
| 16 | Marwin Gonzalez | 0.730 | 0.216 | 99 |
And it’s not just helping Harper with two strikes, it has allowed him to be the top hitter in NL the over the last month (237 wRC+) — and second in all of baseball only to the otherworldly run Jose Altuve is enjoying.
Let’s consider an at bat from Saturday night against the Arizona Diamondbacks when Harper rained on the parade that was the MLB debut of Anthony Banda.
Earlier in the at bat, when Harper had the advantage, his leg kick — his 100 percent swing — was still present.
With a 2-0 count …
And a 3-1 count …
But with two strikes, Harper changed. The leg kick was toned down.
And if you ever wanted to see the reaction of a father witnessing his son allowing a 460-foot home run in his MLB debut, the following video footage is for you. (And, again, note the lack of leg kick and power generated:)
The home run Bryce Harper obliterated, by the way? No leg kick for it. Front foot never left the ground. He's getting better with it. Scary. pic.twitter.com/86sKrAsoaQ
— David Adler (@_dadler) July 23, 2017
This is a frightening development for the rest of baseball.
This adjustment is of interest to this author for a variety of reasons. For starters, the amount of power Harper is generating without the jump start that is a leg kick is interesting. And also of note is that this is a 24-year-old superstar not satisfied with his performance or swing, he is looking to improve. A better Harper is a scary thought for opponents but he should get better. He is not yet in his prime years and perhaps this adjustment is evidence of aptitude and willingness to adjust.
MLB.com’s Jamal Collier asked Harper about his swing adjustment after Saturday’s game. He did not extract much from Harper.
“Not even trying to think about it at all,” Harper said said. “I don’t know, sometimes I [stride], sometimes I don’t. Sometimes I swing, sometimes I miss, and it’s part of the game.”
Harper told me he “hates stats” earlier this year when I approached him to ask about some areas in the zone where he has improved. I kind of doubt he “hates” information that could help him. I suspect he’s not willing discuss much of his secrets and methods and he did not seem particularly interested in discussing his B-swing.
But Washington Nationals hitting coach Rick Schu did talk about the new swing Harper has worked on.
“It just kind of simplifies things,” Shu said.”He usually does it when he gets to two strikes now, or he gets like a really tough matchup with a lefty. Just kind of keeps it simple, kind of like a B hack.”
Later in the game, Harper continued to use the modified approach with two strikes:
In a contributing piece for The Athletic, I asked Corey Kluber about his strikeout jump this season despite not enjoying any apparent skill growth in the form of velocity or movement increases.
“Guys a lot of times don’t really make adjustments,” Kluber said. “They go up there swinging for the fences. More times more than not [the breaking ball] is the best pitch to take advantage of that.”
But a few hitters, including some of the game’s best hitters — have you seen Joey Votto choking up seemingly a foot on the bat? — are making adjustments. And Harper is perhaps the best, young hitter making a very visible adjustment.
While this is just one adjustment in what figures to be a long, productive career, it might speak to the ability of Harper to adapt and adjust and get the most out of his considerable abilities. When one of the game’s most powerful and effective hitters is also its best two-strike hitter, that seems to say something about the player’s aptitude and ability. It means we haven’t yet perhaps seen the best of Harper.
A Cleveland native, FanGraphs writer Travis Sawchik is the author of the New York Times bestselling book, Big Data Baseball. He also contributes to The Athletic Cleveland, and has written for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, among other outlets. Follow him on Twitter @Travis_Sawchik.
This means he’s going to hit his prime once he’s playing for the Cubs. #backtobackoneday
ROFLOL!
Cubs spent their money on Jason Heyward.
Phillies
PHILLIES
P H I L L I E S
Harper understands how a player’s legacy is diminished by bouncing around between teams. That stuff matters to him. Only way he leaves DC is if he doesn’t think they will spend the money to win long-term. And remember, baseball’s richest owners (like not even close) are the Lerners who own the Nationals. Harper will spend his entire career in DC.
Just because they’re rich, it doesn’t mean they like to spend it. Ask Twins fans about Carl Pohlad’s spending habits. Your statement is especially funny when you consider that this team has lost out on multiple marquee free agents because they seemingly can’t offer a big contract without deferring half the damn money.
They’re business men. They have a young franchise with a still developing fanbase. When it came time to spend on the original face of the franchise, Ryan Zimmerman, they did. They also like spending on Boras clients. They’ll spend on Harper, look at the buyout of his last arb year he signed this year for over $20M a year. Cubs, Yankees and Philthies fans can downvote me all they want, but he ain’t playing for your team.
You’re all wrong. Harper is going to my favorite team.
I remember when this was funny three years ago.
And yet, here we are. Meet the new boss. Same as the old boss.
Harper would have to look up the meaning of legacy.
One more reason I really hope he can’t read.
it’s = it is
Yeah, not Fangraphs’ proudest moment.
I will continue to enjoy speculating about his 2019 team.
Hope the Nats can re-sign Rendon, he and Harper could be the next Mays and McCovey (Harper’s not going anywhere). Also, it’s so much fun to watch a young player twerk the media. Bonds was the same way when he played. He didn’t discuss hitting with just about anyone because he didn’t want to give anyone an advantage. He was even worried about talking to teammates who might end up on another team one day. He’s also a good case of some people’s over-reliance on WAR. Just because UZR hates Harper, doesn’t mean he’s a bad defensive player which really diminishes his WAR numbers. As good as Rendon has been, Harper’s been better.
So he feels that ditching the leg kick with two strikes gives him better bat control and gives him a better chance against high velocity. So my question is, if he can launch the ball 460 feet without the leg kick, why have a leg kick at all?
Maybe the leg kick is more about timing? But then, if that is the case, why get rid of it with two strikes? I can’t pretend to have any idea of how to hit 95mph heat, but it seems as though the action of the swing comes after the leg kick. It doesn’t seem that it would make it harder to hit. Obviously Harper does very well with the leg kick, and now it seems he does well without it, too.
The obvious response is that he can hit them without one, but he’ll hit more of them with one.
You could of ended the sentence here : “And Harper is perhaps the best, young hitter” if you got rid of the comma.
Aaaaand here he is with 2 homers today, 1 with a full count.
Prophetic
Bryce Harper decided to reward your article today. Either that or the Brewers did.
And he just did it again on his 2nd HR today. Video link: http://mediadownloads.mlb.com/mlbam/mp4/2017/07/27/1656637683/1501175385219/asset_2500K.mp4
Interesting stuff, I’ll just note that this whole ‘prime years’ thing (ie, thinking all players magically improve until age 27) continues to be a trope people write about, despite it being more or less disproven for modern era players. It’s weird.
I don’t think it has been disproven for the average modern player. I think the issue is that for some players (Harper but especially Trout) there is so little room to go up.
Well, the “average” man physically peaks at 27. It’s all downhill from there. Whether that applies to baseball players, who are physical freaks in so many ways already, I don’t know.
I think a player’s prime years are 29 and 31. Also 23 and 37.
Mike Trout
Christ, I hope he can’t read.